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US Presidential Election 2020

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,133 ✭✭✭TomOnBoard


    https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1322942527994023940

    Given that 93m have already voted, and the general expectation is circa 150m, some rough maths:

    Biden: 93*0.66= 61.6m + 57*0.27= 15.4 = 77m

    Trump: 93*0.32= 29.76m +57*0.69=39.33 = 69m

    For me, this holds some concerns in respect of those who voted 'early':

    1. how many were cast using 'unusual/new' methods, such as the curbside voting in Harris County, TX?
    2. how many were mail-in votes that won't be delivered before various cut-off dates?
    3. how many were votes that will be rejected due to such issues as mis-matched signatures, improperly completed ballots etc.

    As it stands, the 'early/mail-in' votes will be waaaay more prone to being excluded in swing/battleground/toss-up states than will in-person votes cast on the day itself...

    I am worried...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,949 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    froog wrote: »
    it's amazing how good trump makes mccain and romney look. both would have been fine presidents.

    In terms of toxic conspiracy theories, polarising the country, sever administration corruption, self enrichment and anti-science specifically regarding covid yes they would have been far superior. However i doubt they would have done much different regarding immigration, corporate taxes or the Supreme court. They may have been slightly better regarding BLM but only marginally because the GOP will always rely on the blue vote.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,832 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Biden going to Ohio on Monday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,576 ✭✭✭JTMan


    Which TV network (I have freesat) offers the best coverage of the US election through the night? Thanks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,436 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    CNN coverage in usually excellent on election nights


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 143 ✭✭JoeGil


    Looks like the corruption is starting to catch up on Biden. The polls are tightening and looks like the result will come down to the wire.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 454 ✭✭MikeSoys


    Have they started counting USA postal ballots yet.. before election day?


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,643 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    JoeGil wrote: »
    The polls are tightening and looks like the result will come down to the wire.

    I haven't noticed any significant changes in the polls over the last few days, which polls are you looking at JG?


  • Posts: 25,611 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    MikeSoys wrote: »
    Have they started counting USA postal ballots yet.. before election day?

    Depends on the state.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72,795 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    JoeGil wrote: »
    Looks like the corruption is starting to catch up on Biden. The polls are tightening and looks like the result will come down to the wire.

    Absolutely nobody who might ever consider Biden corrupt and Trump not corrupt wasn't already voting for Trump


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,748 ✭✭✭ExMachina1000


    Will it be possible to watch election coverage live on YouTube?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,806 ✭✭✭An Ciarraioch


    Graham wrote: »
    I haven't noticed any significant changes in the polls over the last few days, which polls are you looking at JG?

    Seems to be a flood of Sean Hannity and Trafalgar polls today, as for the others, the margins are tightening slightly, but apart from Florida, nothing that would shake up the Electoral College.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,832 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    MikeSoys wrote: »
    Have they started counting USA postal ballots yet.. before election day?

    For example yes in Florida and those will be announced straight after the close of polls. In contrast Pennsylvania cannot even start opening the outside envelope and verifying the signature etc until Tuesday morning. So there declaration could take days.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 143 ✭✭JoeGil


    L1011 wrote: »
    Absolutely nobody who might ever consider Biden corrupt and Trump not corrupt wasn't already voting for Trump

    Not sure what the reference to Trump is. Biden family taking money money from China will not sit well with US voters.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,832 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    JoeGil wrote: »
    Not sure what the reference to Trump is. Biden family taking money money from China will not sit well with US voters.

    You must have missed the last two weeks.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,643 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    Seems to be a flood of Sean Hannity and Trafalgar polls today, as for the others, the margins are tightening slightly, but apart from Florida, nothing that would shake up the Electoral College.

    I didn't think there had been any significant changes.

    JoeGil, which polls have you seen tightening?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,832 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Graham wrote: »
    I didn't think there had been any significant changes.

    JoeGil, which polls have you seen tightening?

    538
    'We’ve gotten a lot of new polls in the past couple of days, and we’ll continue to get many more, but so far, there’s little evidence that the race is tightening. If anything, Biden is continuing to make gains in the Midwest (1.7 points, on average, since the final debate).'


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,133 ✭✭✭TomOnBoard


    Water John wrote: »
    You must have missed the last two weeks.

    Aaand the last 4 years of the Presidency on top of decades of shady dealings...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,921 ✭✭✭spacecoyote


    JoeGil wrote: »
    Not sure what the reference to Trump is. Biden family taking money money from China will not sit well with US voters.

    Apart from that secret bank account Trump had in China as well as the revelation he paid more in tax in China than he has in the US...but yeah, the rubbish Rudy has been trying to peddle about the Bidens is really going to sway the undecided voters


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Will it be possible to watch election coverage live on YouTube?

    Undoubtedly


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,729 ✭✭✭FrostyJack


    Overheal wrote: »
    Undoubtedly


    Almost sure the last few years each channel CNN, FOX etc will all be streaming on youtube like during the debates. You can channel hop on it to watch the spin on each channel. Cans are ready in the fridge :D

    Just read a comment from an American saying that they will not vote for Biden as he is a liar, has shady dealings, the least transparent candidate in history and has no idea where he stands on anything as he has no plans etc, talk about bizarro world.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,158 ✭✭✭relax carry on


    FrostyJack wrote: »
    Almost sure the last few years each channel CNN, FOX etc will all be streaming on youtube like during the debates. You can channel hop on it to watch the spin on each channel. Cans are ready in the fridge :D

    Just read a comment from an American saying that they will not vote for Biden as he is a liar, has shady dealings, the least transparent candidate in history and has no idea where he stands on anything as he has no plans etc, talk about bizarro world.

    Was the comment from a Mr D Trump by any chance? The utter insanity of the American political system is just fascinating.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,088 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation


    JoeGil wrote: »
    Not sure what the reference to Trump is. Biden family taking money money from China will not sit well with US voters.

    They're not even trying anymore


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,133 ✭✭✭TomOnBoard


    They're not even trying anymore

    Yeah, as a once- famous, now infamous man said: Sad!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,133 ✭✭✭TomOnBoard


    I read that the FBI is investigating the "Trump Train" attack on the Biden bus in Texas...

    I hope they'll be looking into the instigator-in-chief's role in promoting such actions.... Looks like certain 'very fine people' are no longer willing to 'stand by'...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,028 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    TomOnBoard wrote: »
    I read that the FBI is investigating the "Trump Train" attack on the Biden bus in Texas...

    I hope they'll be looking into the instigator-in-chief's role in promoting such actions.... Looks like certain 'very fine people' are no longer willing to 'stand by'...

    Would answer why the FBI and not the local law enforcement isn't involved


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,904 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    L1011 wrote: »
    Absolutely nobody who might ever consider Biden corrupt and Trump not corrupt wasn't already voting for Trump
    It doesn't matter if Biden is corrupt or not.

    It's the US , assume all politicians are somewhat corrupt because there's no other way they could pay for the election campaigns.

    What matters is how corrupt they are.

    At this stage it looks like Trump a billionaire business man isn't even paying his bills to small businesses for essential services like providing ambulances and transport for people at out of town (because he allegedly doesn't pay the in-town ones) rallies.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,832 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    There was a Congressional candidate on the bus, that might explain FBI concern.


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Hopefully the attack on the bus was an aberration because the idea this is a precursor to a larger swath of aggressive "support" is a chilling escalation of partisanship. Trump has played with fire throughout his presidency and his desperation to be worshipped is causing this ramping up of zealotry. Of course, for the dissemblers and contrarian types who flit in and out of here, Trump remains technically blameless; his outspoken "concern" for stolen elections, or ask for "poll watching" never amounted to encouraging people to ram motorcades. It's Mafia levels of intellectual deniability.


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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,904 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    prawnsambo wrote: »
    Yeah. Both main parties have had the opportunity to end gerrymandering, improve voting systems or any number of other electoral reforms, but have sat on their hands because it may have suited them once they were in power.
    Special mention to the Republicans for dividing the nation’s largest historically black university into separate congressional districts.


This discussion has been closed.
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