US Presidential Election 2020

dark crystal

CorkRed93 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/1322852329910116359

interested to see how this holds up come election day

This one was very interesting re: those who didn't vote in 2016.

I've always said that the ones who sat out the last election, either due to complacency over Hillary being a 'shoe-in', being sore over Sanders losing out on the Democratic nomination or because they just didn't like either candidate, have been feeling collective guilt over Trump's eventual win.

If most of these people had voted, chances are, Hillary Clinton would be President now.

I reckon if enough of those who didn't vote last time turn out in any kind of numbers this time, it could make all the difference. This, combined with the BLM movement, which may motivate the African-American vote much more than usual, may well be the deciding factors in 2020.

SimonTemplar

Here is the Lt Gov of Utah calling out the BS regarding all votes needed to be counted by election night.

https://twitter.com/SpencerJCox/status/1322933145709080576?s=20

He is a republican. This is good. More and more decent and sensible members of the GOP at all levels of government need to get this message across.

An Ciarraioch

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1322942527994023940

Given that 93m have already voted, and the general expectation is circa 150m, some rough maths:

Biden: 93*0.66= 61.6m + 57*0.27= 15.4 = 77m

Trump: 93*0.32= 29.76m +57*0.69=39.33 = 69m

Graham

Over the last few days there have been an increasing number of articles across all media formats reminding people that it's normal for results to take a few days.

How likely this information will reach those that think otherwise is another question entirely.

briany

Trump holding a rally right now, claiming that if the Democrats win, Ilhan Omar will be put in charge of immigration.

An Ciarraioch

An Ciarraioch wrote: »

If there were any doubt about Nevada, this should quell it:

https://twitter.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1322827814513614848

How so? The graph shows the Dems slightly behind where they were in 2016. Still around half of votes still to be cast.

froog

it's amazing how good trump makes mccain and romney look. both would have been fine presidents.

TomOnBoard

An Ciarraioch wrote: »

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1322942527994023940

Given that 93m have already voted, and the general expectation is circa 150m, some rough maths:

Biden: 93*0.66= 61.6m + 57*0.27= 15.4 = 77m

Trump: 93*0.32= 29.76m +57*0.69=39.33 = 69m

For me, this holds some concerns in respect of those who voted 'early':

1. how many were cast using 'unusual/new' methods, such as the curbside voting in Harris County, TX?
2. how many were mail-in votes that won't be delivered before various cut-off dates?
3. how many were votes that will be rejected due to such issues as mis-matched signatures, improperly completed ballots etc.

As it stands, the 'early/mail-in' votes will be waaaay more prone to being excluded in swing/battleground/toss-up states than will in-person votes cast on the day itself...

I am worried...

VinLieger

froog wrote: »

it's amazing how good trump makes mccain and romney look. both would have been fine presidents.

In terms of toxic conspiracy theories, polarising the country, sever administration corruption, self enrichment and anti-science specifically regarding covid yes they would have been far superior. However i doubt they would have done much different regarding immigration, corporate taxes or the Supreme court. They may have been slightly better regarding BLM but only marginally because the GOP will always rely on the blue vote.

Water John

Biden going to Ohio on Monday.

JTMan

Which TV network (I have freesat) offers the best coverage of the US election through the night? Thanks.

rossie1977

CNN coverage in usually excellent on election nights

JoeGil

Looks like the corruption is starting to catch up on Biden. The polls are tightening and looks like the result will come down to the wire.

MikeSoys

Have they started counting USA postal ballots yet.. before election day?

Graham

JoeGil wrote: »

The polls are tightening and looks like the result will come down to the wire.

I haven't noticed any significant changes in the polls over the last few days, which polls are you looking at JG?

MikeSoys

MikeSoys wrote: »

Have they started counting USA postal ballots yet.. before election day?

Depends on the state.

L1011

JoeGil wrote: »

Looks like the corruption is starting to catch up on Biden. The polls are tightening and looks like the result will come down to the wire.

Absolutely nobody who might ever consider Biden corrupt and Trump not corrupt wasn't already voting for Trump

ExMachina1000

Will it be possible to watch election coverage live on YouTube?

An Ciarraioch

Graham wrote: »

I haven't noticed any significant changes in the polls over the last few days, which polls are you looking at JG?

Seems to be a flood of Sean Hannity and Trafalgar polls today, as for the others, the margins are tightening slightly, but apart from Florida, nothing that would shake up the Electoral College.

Water John

MikeSoys wrote: »

Have they started counting USA postal ballots yet.. before election day?

For example yes in Florida and those will be announced straight after the close of polls. In contrast Pennsylvania cannot even start opening the outside envelope and verifying the signature etc until Tuesday morning. So there declaration could take days.

JoeGil

L1011 wrote: »

Absolutely nobody who might ever consider Biden corrupt and Trump not corrupt wasn't already voting for Trump

Not sure what the reference to Trump is. Biden family taking money money from China will not sit well with US voters.

Water John

JoeGil wrote: »

Not sure what the reference to Trump is. Biden family taking money money from China will not sit well with US voters.

You must have missed the last two weeks.

Graham

An Ciarraioch wrote: »

Seems to be a flood of Sean Hannity and Trafalgar polls today, as for the others, the margins are tightening slightly, but apart from Florida, nothing that would shake up the Electoral College.

I didn't think there had been any significant changes.

JoeGil, which polls have you seen tightening?

Water John

Graham wrote: »

I didn't think there had been any significant changes.

JoeGil, which polls have you seen tightening?

538
'We’ve gotten a lot of new polls in the past couple of days, and we’ll continue to get many more, but so far, there’s little evidence that the race is tightening. If anything, Biden is continuing to make gains in the Midwest (1.7 points, on average, since the final debate).'

TomOnBoard

Water John wrote: »

You must have missed the last two weeks.

Aaand the last 4 years of the Presidency on top of decades of shady dealings...

spacecoyote

JoeGil wrote: »

Not sure what the reference to Trump is. Biden family taking money money from China will not sit well with US voters.

Apart from that secret bank account Trump had in China as well as the revelation he paid more in tax in China than he has in the US...but yeah, the rubbish Rudy has been trying to peddle about the Bidens is really going to sway the undecided voters

Overheal

ExMachina1000 wrote: »

Will it be possible to watch election coverage live on YouTube?

Undoubtedly

FrostyJack

Overheal wrote: »

Undoubtedly

Almost sure the last few years each channel CNN, FOX etc will all be streaming on youtube like during the debates. You can channel hop on it to watch the spin on each channel. Cans are ready in the fridge

Just read a comment from an American saying that they will not vote for Biden as he is a liar, has shady dealings, the least transparent candidate in history and has no idea where he stands on anything as he has no plans etc, talk about bizarro world.

relax carry on

FrostyJack wrote: »

Almost sure the last few years each channel CNN, FOX etc will all be streaming on youtube like during the debates. You can channel hop on it to watch the spin on each channel. Cans are ready in the fridge

Just read a comment from an American saying that they will not vote for Biden as he is a liar, has shady dealings, the least transparent candidate in history and has no idea where he stands on anything as he has no plans etc, talk about bizarro world.

Was the comment from a Mr D Trump by any chance? The utter insanity of the American political system is just fascinating.

BonnieSituation

JoeGil wrote: »

Not sure what the reference to Trump is. Biden family taking money money from China will not sit well with US voters.

They're not even trying anymore