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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part IV - **Read OP for Mod Warnings**

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,025 ✭✭✭growleaves


    ‘The lockdown is causing so many deaths’
    Dr Malcolm Kendrick on the disastrous response to Covid-19.
    We are over-recording it because elderly people die quite often, and we may say they have died of Covid-19 but not know that was the case. Therefore there will have been a number of people who died of other things who have been recorded as dying of Covid-19. Equally, there will be people who died of Covid-19 but the GP did not know, so did not put it on the certificate. It really depends on how people decide to record the death.

    The really concerning thing is that if all the deaths taking place during lockdown are put down as Covid-19 deaths, we are going to miss the fact that the lockdown policies have caused an increase in deaths from many other things. There has been a 50 per cent reduction in people turning up to A&E. It is clear that people just do not want to bother the doctors. And a number of these people will be dying. If we muddle the Covid-19 statistics in with the other statistics, we might think the lockdown has prevented a certain number of deaths, when it has actually caused a large number of deaths.
    We are spending as much on Covid-19 as we would spend on the NHS in three normal years. You have got to ask the question of what we are going to get from that. Refusing to engage that question is political cowardice. Politicians have just said they did what everyone else did and so we cannot blame them for anything that has happened. It was only Sweden that did not go down that route, and Japan, too, which has had very few deaths.

    I have looked at the impact of social upheaval in the post-Soviet Union countries in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Russia had five million excess deaths in that period due to economic problems. That is how powerful the effects can be. We are going to see the downsides of lockdown policies around the world.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭s1ippy


    Is anyone in this thread doing a staycation? if yes - which hotel and how many nights?
    I would in my eye post that info up here. The "restriction lifting" fanatics are the last people I'd want to be camped up beside.
    There is no pandemic. It’s over.
    Open it all up, sweetmaggie has spoken


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,656 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    s1ippy wrote: »
    I would in my eye post that info up here. The "restriction lifting" fanatics are the last people I'd want to be camped up beside.

    I'd say your safe enough tbh


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    People working and spending. Happy days.

    Must consume must consume


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,171 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Oh sweetie, whatever you learned, you've clearly forgotten. It can be transmitted through pregnancy, breastfeeding, blood transfusions, and many other ways. But of course, we only know that in hindsight. At the time it was a total unknown, as coronavirus was. So I'll ask the question that nobody was unable to answer - when this disease was first discovered killing people in their thousands - where was the lockdown?

    No , haven't forgotten . Lived through it , lost a good friend to it so will never forget.
    HIV.. Bodily fluid borne but the epidemic you talk about was sexual transmission first but also transmitted by needle , transfusion and pregnancy. None of these are transmissions that are infectious in the way this virus is nor do they warrant a lockdown. Precautions , yes .

    TB has been around a long time . Its transmission is much more limited that a virus like Covid 19 , although infectious. There have been spikes of infection though
    Young people were detained forcibly in some cases, in sanitariums or large institutions , and kept segregated, to prevent socialization and spread of the bacterium before a treat ment was found in the late 50s ..in Ireland !. One of my relatives was , and a lot of my family would have had contact .

    Abortion is legal here in Ireland , yes, and it is very narrow minded of you to extrapolate that anybody here may or may not have been pro life or pro choice depending on their viewpoint on the present situation .
    That ...says it all , as far as I am concerned . That you would even talk about these issues , which are not relevant to this discussion at all , shows how you are just dragging stuff up trying to justify some sort of picture in your head about Ireland and anyone who doesn't agree with your viewpoint .


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    s1ippy wrote: »
    I would in my eye post that info up here. The "restriction lifting" fanatics are the last people I'd want to be camped up beside.

    n

    No worries about that. Theyre going on a group trip to China.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,656 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    fr336 wrote: »
    Must consume must consume

    I dont follow what you mean?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭Ginger n Lemon


    Not my parents anyway, they're going abroad as usual. They refuse to be cooped up in a pub or hotel on these miserable wet days, breathing everyone else's germs in, because Dr Hoolahoop claims this is the safest option.

    When I'm not in Germany, i hope to head to Greece at some point, and Asia towards the end of the year all going well.

    That there is the definition of staycation in Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,257 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    None. Why is me going to south of Spain, and some German lads coming over to temple bar - bad for Irish economy and Irish tourism?

    That can't happen because you dont wanna take a little risk welcoming foreign visitors?

    This is a good example of the standard Ginger debating tactic in action.

    You, Naos, asked does he not see the contradiction in complaining, constantly, about the damage being done to the Irish economy, while expressing the view that he'd prefer to spend his money abroad.

    Rather than dealing with that proposition, he deflects and throws in the caveat of a German tourist coming the other way, which he was never asked about and has no relevance to the initial question.

    It's quite clever really because nine times out of ten the responding poster gets caught up in the added in element and it shifts the focus away from Ginger providing a straight answer. It's classic and very deliberate moving of the goalposts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    On one hand the anti restriction hysterics say Ireland has practically wiped out Covid, in the next breath they say theyre going abroad for a holiday as its safer than staying in Irish pubs and hotels. Which is it??


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    Arghus wrote: »
    This is a good example of the standard Ginger debating tactic in action.

    You, Naos, asked does he not see the contradiction in complaining, constantly, about the damage being done to the Irish economy, while expressing the view that he'd prefer to spend his money abroad.

    Rather than dealing with that proposition, he deflects and throws in the caveat of a German tourist coming the other way, which he was never asked about and has no relevance to the initial question.

    It's quite clever really because nine times out of ten the responding poster gets caught up in the added in element and it shifts the focus away from Ginger providing a straight answer. It's classic and very deliberate moving of the goalposts.

    He should be a politician!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,171 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    road_high wrote: »
    That’s a great comparison- that’s exactly the extreme psychology and thinking they engage in.

    Yes , except I would say substitute anti restrictions for pro lockdown , as they don't seem to care who dies as long as they get what they want !


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,025 ✭✭✭growleaves


    It's quite clever really because nine times out of ten the responding poster gets caught up in the added in element and it shifts the focus away from Ginger providing a straight answer.

    He did give a straight answer. He said 'None' (meaning he does not see any contradiction). Then he explained his reasoning.

    You're assuming that economic patriotism has to take a protectionist form, which is debatable. I see the logic but haven't heard anything like it since the Guaranteed Irish campaign in the 1990s. It seems to have sprung up again merely as a timely debating tactic.


  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    growleaves wrote: »
    Screenshot-2020-06-30-at-11.03.25-1024x557.png

    Don’t think the chart tells the story you think it tells. Looks like a minimum of a 5-10% rise and the highest rate in nearly 20 years. All cause death rates have fallen steadily for decades, but COVID sets it back 20 years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,656 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    growleaves wrote: »
    He did give a straight answer. He said 'None' (meaning he does not see any contradiction). Then he explained his reasoning.

    You're assuming that economic patriotism has to take a protectionist form, which is debatable. I see the logic but haven't heard anything like it since the Guaranteed Irish campaign in the 1990s. It seems to have sprung up again merely as a timely debating tactic.

    From whats been posted recently it seems quiet a few will holiday in Ireland. Couldnt be supporting crippled irish travel agents or 2 of the largest airlines in the world which are both Irish and have been obliterated.

    Nah they will holiday in Ireland, perhaps the Curragh, with their horses, all aptly named "moral high".


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,025 ✭✭✭growleaves


    Don’t think the chart tells the story you think it tells. Looks like a minimum of a 5-10% rise and the highest rate in nearly 20 years. All cause death rates have fallen steadily for decades, but COVID sets it back 20 years.

    Lol surely you mean what you think I think?

    I posted a graph in another thread the other week and someone started giving out I was 'wrong'. I had to point out I hadn't included any interpretation.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,184 ✭✭✭riclad


    The government do not really want Irish people travelling abroad, because there's a chance some will come back with the virus, without even knowing it. On comparison with other country's we have a limited no of icu beds and a limited no of medical staff to cope with a pandemic.
    We are not like the USA. We can't print money.
    There's a limit to how much the government can borrow to get through this crisis and revive the economy.
    I have no wish to go to a pub where you may have to sit 6 feet from anyone else.
    Will a pub in Asia or Greece be safer to go to
    than a Irish pub?
    I think the government is doing the best it can
    under the circumstances and following the advice of medical experts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 841 ✭✭✭setanta1984


    This thread is ruined by constant bickering and sniping at where people express their holiday preferences (which are also quite clearly a wind up)

    The thread is supposed to be about the "Relaxation of Restrictions" on the basics of everyday life in Ireland, can the hand wringing about where people want to go on holiday be done in its own thread or one of the travel threads or something?


    So as this post isn't just a complaint, a fairly simple question or the people who are constantly arguing with the "restriction hysterics" (as a post called them) - I asked this question on this thread a few days ago, but got no answer. I'd be very interested in what people who consistently complain about people wanting restrictions lifted further honestly think.
    Just curious - for how long do people think we should keep the whole queuing outside shops and shopping centres and all the multitude of other restrictions on businesses for?

    Unless people want to keep them until there is a vaccine and it is totally eliminated like smallpox then I don't see what the point is having them now when we have such minuscule levels of the virus in Ireland at present.
    There is no real logic at all when our levels are where they are, not at USA levels or March/April levels here. Unless you want them permenantly.

    You either want them forever or we have to accept that where we are now is about the best scenario imaginable without eradication and all the current scenario is all just PR window dressing.

    I'm hoping that this only lasts a few more weeks and we collectively come to this realisation pretty quickly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,740 ✭✭✭Naos


    Arghus wrote: »
    This is a good example of the standard Ginger debating tactic in action.

    You, Naos, asked does he not see the contradiction in complaining, constantly, about the damage being done to the Irish economy, while expressing the view that he'd prefer to spend his money abroad.

    Rather than dealing with that proposition, he deflects and throws in the caveat of a German tourist coming the other way, which he was never asked about and has no relevance to the initial question.

    It's quite clever really because nine times out of ten the responding poster gets caught up in the added in element and it shifts the focus away from Ginger providing a straight answer. It's classic and very deliberate moving of the goalposts.

    Fully agreed.
    None. Why is me going to south of Spain, and some German lads coming over to temple bar - bad for Irish economy and Irish tourism?

    That can't happen because you dont wanna take a little risk welcoming foreign visitors?

    Why can't you spend your money here for just one year and have a pint in the West with your German tourist friend? The Irish economy & Irish tourism get a double win and gets back on it's feet quicker.


  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    growleaves wrote: »

    I would suggest you vet your sources. This is the doctor that published a book telling people with high cholesterol to stop their statins. A consequence of which the British heart foundation has said could kill 2,000 people a year in the uk.

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/jun/28/statins-controversy-uk-people-stop-taking-pills-heart-attack-stroke

    One of the biggest contributors to the reduction in all cause death rates have been the improvements in heart health of which statins have been a massive contributor. But the contrarian gp got a book published so must be right


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,171 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    growleaves wrote: »
    Screenshot-2020-06-30-at-11.03.25-1024x557.png

    Are you expecting us to take that seriously?
    It goes back to 1900 and includes 2 world wars , lol !


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,025 ✭✭✭growleaves


    I would suggest you vet your sources. This is the doctor that published a book telling people with high cholesterol to stop their statins. A consequence of which the British heart foundation has said could kill 2,000 people a year in the uk.

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/jun/28/statins-controversy-uk-people-stop-taking-pills-heart-attack-stroke

    One of the biggest contributors to the reduction in all cause death rates have been the improvements in heart health of which statins have been a massive contributor. But the contrarian gp got a book published so must be right

    I haven't read his book or anything on the subject so I have no opinion on that matter. That one doctor disagrees with other doctors/scientists means he is part of a controversy, it doesn't mean he couldn't have something interesting or relevant to say.


  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    growleaves wrote: »
    Lol surely you mean what you think I think?

    I posted a graph in another thread the other week and someone started giving out I was 'wrong'. I had to point out I hadn't included any interpretation.

    Well when are chart with questionable scaling which at a cursory glance would suggest that the variation this year is well within normal variation is posted without comment, it suggests a certain story is being promoted. Apologies if it wasn’t.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,025 ✭✭✭growleaves


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    Are you expecting us to take that seriously?
    It goes back to 1900 and includes 2 world wars , lol !

    Its presented without commentary. As raind showed in his reply, it could be taken as evidence that restrictions are necessary if that's how you choose to interpret it.

    Personally I like historical perspective. We're all aware that medicine has come along since 1900.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,203 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    fr336 wrote: »
    Using a cafe as an office during a pandemic, this just gets better lol
    Sounds like a business owner taking their responsibilities seriously, and being slagged off here by the "it's just a flu" crowd. Anyone sitting indoors for a long period in a pub or cafe is unwise at best.

    When this is all over we are going to look back at those businesses which took the p**s, and those which acted responsibly. I'll be voting with my feet.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 917 ✭✭✭MickeyLeari


    This thread is ruined by constant bickering and sniping at where people express their holiday preferences (which are also quite clearly a wind up)

    The thread is supposed to be about the "Relaxation of Restrictions" on the basics of everyday life in Ireland, can the hand wringing about where people want to go on holiday be done in its own thread or one of the travel threads or something?


    So as this post isn't just a complaint, a fairly simple question or the people who are constantly arguing with the "restriction hysterics" (as a post called them) - I asked this question on this thread a few days ago, but got no answer. I'd be very interested in what people who consistently complain about people wanting restrictions lifted further honestly think.

    I thought it was an excellent post and question. Would love to hear a coherent response to it, but the good questions are always tough ones to answer.


  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    growleaves wrote: »
    I haven't read his book or anything on the subject so I have no opinion on that matter. That one doctor disagrees with other doctors/scientists means he is part of a controversy, it doesn't mean he couldn't have something interesting or relevant to say.

    But where history suggests that individual takes contrarian positions that are the polar opposite to the experts in the field it suggests they may be an avid contrarian, self promoter or both.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,171 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    growleaves wrote: »
    Its presented without commentary. As raind showed in his reply, it could be taken as evidence that restrictions are necessary if that's how you choose to interpret it.

    Personally I like historical perspective. We're all aware that medicine has come along since 1900.

    It certainly has ...and this graph shows nothing except that .
    Oh and , war is the biggest killer of all .


  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Thank god then for parliamentarians like Daniel O’Connell who stood up to those experts in the field (his peers in Westminster).

    Parliamentarians? experts? good one.

    A GP’s opinion carries more weight, or even equal, to that of the British Heart foundation or the WHO?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,203 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    I'd be very interested in what people who consistently complain about people wanting restrictions lifted further honestly think.
    Restrictions are going to be in place until we have a vaccine or a really good treatment as the virus is too dangerous to allow simply spread through the population. Most likely a vaccine which hopefully should become available towards the end of this year/first half of 2021.

    The virus hasn't been eliminated, we just have it suppressed. It will very quickly spread again if we don't suppress it. The only way we have of suppressing the virus at present is with physical measures - distancing, handwashing, masks etc. There is no reason to have restrictions if they don't prevent the spread of the virus, so as we know more about how the virus spreads the restrictions will change - e.g. it's not unlikely primary schools may open, but pubs may have to close again in certain areas. We finally have councils taking action to open outdoor seating areas for cafes and restaurants which is a great move.

    So get used to queuing, wearing masks, and making a small sacrifice on behalf of the community.


This discussion has been closed.
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