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Covid19 Part XVII-24,841 in ROI (1,639 deaths) 4,679 in NI (518 deaths)(28/05)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    mean gene wrote: »
    People had it here in Dec and Jan is this not the 2nd wave

    It's definitely not


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,839 ✭✭✭Dr. Bre


    Roger_007 wrote: »
    It’s bonkers the way we think of life and death these days.
    The way some people go on you’d think that nobody should ever die of anything. If they do it’s because somebody must have fcuked up.
    Medicine is the new religion where everyone is promised they can have eternal life by not dying. In the old religion we were promised eternal life but we had to die first.
    Get over it folks. We are all going to die sometime of something. In the meantime let us all get on with living and get the most enjoyment we can from life, or are we going to spend years cowering in fear in case the virus might get us? What good is life if you can’t do the things that make it worth living.

    Surviving isn’t living


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,440 ✭✭✭VonLuck


    fr336 wrote: »
    And again I ask, why the negativity towards face masks? At worst we all feel a bit out of the norm (as if this year has been normal). At best we save thousands of lives. No brainer.

    I may be wrong, but is the thinking that people would start to touch their face more to adjust their masks or take them off, thus increasing the risk. Also the false sense of security it provides and people are more likely to break social distancing guidelines.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,708 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Roger_007 wrote: »
    Get over it folks. We are all going to die sometime of something. In the meantime let us all get on with living and get the most enjoyment we can from life, or are we going to spend years cowering in fear in case the virus might get us? What good is life if you can’t do the things that make it worth living.

    It's only been 9 Fucking weeks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭Martina1991


    Bridge93 wrote:
    Then you create demand which potentially allows us to speed up the opening of things. If there’s 60,000 spare tests.
    We should be aiming to use almost all the capacity, this should be a continuous drive.
    You'd nearly need to start testing everyone every week or at least fortnight.
    lbj666 wrote:
    I think at this point like many are saying the testing needs to be expanded to people at risk of exposure in the work place.
    It has taken so much time, effort, work and millions of euro to provide this testing service.

    It shouldn't be used to test anyone and everyone who feels like getting tested.

    Just because we have capacity, doesn't mean we have to exhaust it and waste resources.


    It’s better to only test who need it and maintain spare capacity for when /if a new wave comes. Testing a random would only give a false sense of security
    Exactly.



    We have already borrowed milions from from the EU for this. What happens when we cant provide other health service because we spent it on a nationwide epidemiological study.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    The 4 horsemen of the apocalypse have become 5 !

    deering.jpg


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Tony EH wrote: »
    This gets WORSE if another lockdown has to be put in place.

    What do not get about this?

    There wouldn't be a second lockdown, so your if is irrelevant as is the rest of your comment.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,155 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    There wouldn't be a second lockdown, so your if is irrelevant as is the rest of your comment.

    What makes you so sure?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,708 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    There wouldn't be a second lockdown, so your if is irrelevant as is the rest of your comment.

    You don't know this.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    The 4 horsemen of the apocalypse have become 5 !

    deering.jpg

    You do realise that the quality of life in both health outcomes and services we enjoy are directly related to a functioning economy.


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    He must have been in the same class as Bill Gates.

    Because they both have the same experience in the field


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭Obvious Desperate Breakfasts


    For sure (by GPs in the first instance), but that's a separate issue.

    It's not related to the pause in national screening programmes, which is due to the time needed to set up procedures that minimise the risk of Covid for both HCWs and patients.

    Not resuming for the “foreseeable future” though was what was said. Doesn’t seem like they are prioritising them, does it?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Arghus wrote: »
    What makes you so sure?

    We can't afford one, the money is not infinite.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,777 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    I’m seeing a lot of older people though who are probably not gym goers.

    Not many who be on sports teams .

    I’m just back from the local park where there was what seemed to be a 3 generational football match... literally both genders and three generations together playing...

    Kids mid teens to early twenties, 40-50 year olds and about 5 or 6 fellas in their 70’s and one fella who must have been mid 80’s decked out in shorts and a jersey... brilliant stuff...people prioritizing health, being active, their enjoyment of life, being with family and friends...

    Pre covid you wouldn’t have seen it... people giving their all for big corporations , who drain your energy and motivations for stuff like that.... there won’t be any going back, peoples priorities are set, life and each other..one upside to all this...people value life, health and each other more... that won’t be changing ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    VonLuck wrote: »
    I may be wrong, but is the thinking that people would start to touch their face more to adjust their masks or take them off, thus increasing the risk. Also the false sense of security it provides and people are more likely to break social distancing guidelines.

    Good points but personally I think even touching the mask or face covering is LESS of a risk than going out without one. Both are risks, but it's our new reality. Different folks will be better at using the masks, as everyone is different in everything they do. As for the social distancing that's a laugh - the idiots who want to get up close to others will do so regardless. Distancing in shops is an area which is not being policed at all and it's a disgrace.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    fr336 wrote: »
    I'm guessing he's just using that rare degree in as plain as day common sense. And again I ask, why the negativity towards face masks? At worst we all feel a bit out of the norm (as if this year has been normal). At best we save thousands of lives. No brainer.

    My wife spent the weekend making them. Using O’Leary as a source on the medical effectiveness of however is what I was commenting on. Common sense never trumps real knowledge
    https://www.bbc.com/news/52707461


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Tony EH wrote: »
    You don't know this.

    It's his or hers opinion just like (and I'm not saying you here) the people on here who swear that there'll be a second wave its their opinion but they'd think its gospel at times saying it'll definitely happen, challenge it and your an awful person and labelled an idiot.

    Nobody on either side of the argument knows what'll happen for definite but can give their opinion on it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    fr336 wrote: »
    I'm guessing you guys have seen O'Leary and Ryanair saying 98% of transmission could be cut by everyone wearing face coverings? Why is this even a debate? It should be compulsory. Immediately. It's bloody obvious for goodness sake! Avoiding getting the virus isn't the only goal - getting a smaller dose of it is also critical, as instead of ending up in hospital you could work it off at home. If face coverings even just lowered the amount of virus you inhale, they would be worth their weight in goal and smash this virus in the face nationally. I'm talking Ireland of course, where I am in England and globally. Even Trump's US are far more insistent that people should be wearing something. Why the anti mask feeling in Ireland and UK? Genuinely don't get it. Is it because they look scary? Come on.

    It's because the government said, wear a face covering if you want if you can't maintain social distancing. That's what the government said. That's what people are following.

    I do think it's ridiculous from the government not to make it mandatory especially at this point in time, releasing the restrictions and more people moving about. People are not going to maintain social distancing forever. People are going to mix and get closer together as time goes on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 59 ✭✭Cameron326


    Most consider that the Irish government has by and large dealt with the crisis well - particularly in comparison to the British. But be that as it may, Ireland is still the 8th worst affected country in the world measured by deaths per capita (excluding the absolutely tiny countries, San Marino etc). So curious to know, what do people think was/has been Ireland's main failing in its Covid approach? Given that certain West European countries - Germany, Portugal, Denmark for example, have fared considerably better. Or is Ireland just a victim of being very close to the chaotic approach going on over the Irish Sea?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,777 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    Rather than predict a second wave, try to convince others it will happen or otherwise, I’d rather focus my efforts to ensure that neither I nor those close to me.. family AND friends are exhibiting and practicing behavior and habits that can and are likely to contribute to it... vigilance... might take telling somebody close to you, you know these ‘social animals’ things they’d rather not fücking hear with a spiked tone and a volley of expletives but I’m happier having a temporary falling out as opposed to needing to make a 999 call.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    You do realise that the quality of life in both health outcomes and services we enjoy are directly related to a functioning economy.

    Of course... but re-opening the economy must be done slowly and safely, otherwise disaster beckons. A pile of dead people do not help any economy, they don't spend, they don't consume and they don't work !

    Simple really !

    A glimpse of the fwits, panty sniffers and assorted fruitcakes who attended the Anti-lockdown protests around the world recently.

    Britain

    ?m=02&d=20200518&t=2&i=1519073885&w=780&fh=&fw=&ll=&pl=&sq=&r=2020-05-18T210906Z_35637_MRPRC2AGG9VT5II_RTRMADP_0_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-BRITAIN

    USA

    ?m=02&d=20200518&t=2&i=1519073883&w=780&fh=&fw=&ll=&pl=&sq=&r=2020-05-18T210906Z_35637_MRPRC28FG9SHVHD_RTRMADP_0_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-USA-MICHIGAN

    ?m=02&d=20200518&t=2&i=1519073931&w=780&fh=&fw=&ll=&pl=&sq=&r=2020-05-18T210906Z_35637_MRPRC2VPG98D4ME_RTRMADP_0_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-USA

    Germany

    ?m=02&d=20200518&t=2&i=1519073896&w=780&fh=&fw=&ll=&pl=&sq=&r=2020-05-18T210906Z_35637_MRPRC2FGG9B5LRW_RTRMADP_0_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-GERMANY-PROTESTS


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,722 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    It would be a good idea to do some random testing on a weekly basis. Would need a good 5,000 samples each week to be able to detect any changes however given the low level currently in the community


    Yes. Exactly how low is the question. May not need to be 5,000 to be statistically useful if done correctly.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Cameron326 wrote: »
    Most consider that the Irish government has by and large dealt with the crisis well - particularly in comparison to the British. But be that as it may, Ireland is still the 8th worst affected country in the world measured by deaths per capita (excluding the absolutely tiny countries, San Marino etc). So curious to know, what do people think was/has been Ireland's main failing in its Covid approach? Given that certain West European countries - Germany, Portugal, Denmark for example, have fared considerably better. Or is Ireland just a victim of being very close to the chaotic approach going on over the Irish Sea?

    54% of all deaths have occurred in nursing homes, fairly terrible failing considering we saw what was happening in Italy . Dr Holohan when nursing homes started putting in restrictions advised them not to act unilaterally.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Of course... but re-opening the economy must be done slowly and safely, otherwise disaster beckons. A pile of dead people do not help any economy, they don't spend, they don't consume and they don't work !

    Simple really !

    A glimpse of the fwits, panty sniffers and assorted fruitcakes who attended the Anti-lockdown protests around the world recently.

    Britain

    ?m=02&d=20200518&t=2&i=1519073885&w=780&fh=&fw=&ll=&pl=&sq=&r=2020-05-18T210906Z_35637_MRPRC2AGG9VT5II_RTRMADP_0_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-BRITAIN

    USA

    ?m=02&d=20200518&t=2&i=1519073883&w=780&fh=&fw=&ll=&pl=&sq=&r=2020-05-18T210906Z_35637_MRPRC28FG9SHVHD_RTRMADP_0_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-USA-MICHIGAN

    ?m=02&d=20200518&t=2&i=1519073931&w=780&fh=&fw=&ll=&pl=&sq=&r=2020-05-18T210906Z_35637_MRPRC2VPG98D4ME_RTRMADP_0_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-USA

    Germany

    ?m=02&d=20200518&t=2&i=1519073896&w=780&fh=&fw=&ll=&pl=&sq=&r=2020-05-18T210906Z_35637_MRPRC2FGG9B5LRW_RTRMADP_0_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-GERMANY-PROTESTS

    I suppose when you can't respond with a valid riposte, dramatics are the go to position.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,722 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Cameron326 wrote: »
    Most consider that the Irish government has by and large dealt with the crisis well - particularly in comparison to the British. But be that as it may, Ireland is still the 8th worst affected country in the world measured by deaths per capita (excluding the absolutely tiny countries, San Marino etc). So curious to know, what do people think was/has been Ireland's main failing in its Covid approach? Given that certain West European countries - Germany, Portugal, Denmark for example, have fared considerably better. Or is Ireland just a victim of being very close to the chaotic approach going on over the Irish Sea?


    Our openness to the outside world through air travel was and is a big factor. Also we were too slow to impose restrictions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves


    Bringing the phases forward is itself a potential part of the plan, so saying 'We need to stick to the plan' is a redundancy. If phases ARE brought forward we will not have deviated from the plan.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,155 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    We can't afford one, the money is not infinite.

    The head of the ESRI is on record as saying that theoretically the state could maintain this level of borrowing for up to a year if neccessary. He's not saying that's a good situation, but this idea that the state simply won't find the means to borrow in the short to medium term is overblown. There's a lot of funding mechanisms still open and flowing freely.

    Technically we couldn't afford the first lockdown - it has blown a massive hole in the public finances - but when it was deemed necessary it was done. There are times when there's a unique and clear existential threat to public health - and then some of the old ways of thinking about how the state pays for things become a question for another day.

    The Department of Health, the HSE and the Government are all on record - each of them multiple times - as saying that restrictions could be imposed if the future situation with the growth of the disease go south. They have been crystal clear: If we go back to a situation like in March, with a spiraling infection rate, then you can bet 100% we'll experience another lockdown situation. It's the only proven way to get a handle on the spread of the virus.

    All the which makes how we exit this period beyond crucial. Being extra cautious right now gives us more confidence for the future. I can't understand people's mad desire to throw the shackles of lockdown off with such fervour. It works. The confirmed cases per day has fallen steadily downward week by week. We're now in double figures, based on that trajectory we could conceivably achieve something akin to what New Zealand has within another fortnight to three weeks. That's unbelievable, considering where we were in relation to them a few weeks ago.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,155 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    It's his or hers opinion just like (and I'm not saying you here) the people on here who swear that there'll be a second wave its their opinion but they'd think its gospel at times saying it'll definitely happen, challenge it and your an awful person and labelled an idiot.

    Nobody on either side of the argument knows what'll happen for definite but can give their opinion on it.

    That's true, but predictions of a second wave are based on prior behaviour of the spread of the virus. It's still the same highly infectious disease it was back in the beginning and spreads just as easy as before. It hasn't become lazier or bored with transmitting itself around.

    Predictions that it won't happen seem to be mainly based on people's belief that it won't happen.


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    saabsaab wrote: »
    Yes. Exactly how low is the question. May not need to be 5,000 to be statistically useful if done correctly.

    Given that 2.5% of those qualifying for a test are currently testing produce, if it was done at random, the positive rate would be a tiny fraction of that - probably less than 0.1%. To have sufficient power to detect a change, your study design would need a very large sample size. Would do the stats on it if I could be bothered getting my laptop


This discussion has been closed.
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