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2019 All Ireland Senior Football Championship *Mod note: Post #1*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,329 ✭✭✭Seadin


    I think the most Dublin will do is 6 in a row(if they get that far). I think Kerry are not million miles off and I would not totally write them off in 3 weeks.

    Dublin by 4 but think it be right up until last 10 minutes when Dublin will just pit it to bed.

    I agree with you and i wouldn't be surprised either if Kerry won. I think Dublins first half performance is a worry against mayo if you ask me.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    ClanofLams wrote: »
    Eoin Murchan and Sean Bulger have both looked capable in championship. Paddy Small is highly regarded I think? Haven’t seen him myself.

    Five of their six forward were 26 or under, Rock isn’t especially old at 29. Dublin just need to find one or two defenders over the next couple of years and ideally a midfielder but McCarthy will be able to partner Fenton for a few years anyway presuming McAuley isn’t first choice. There’s no reason to believe the production line won’t deliver that.

    It is actually interesting that Gaelic stats which is an independent site ( i dont know who runs it) has crunched the numbers and can say that the peak years of an intercounty footballer is from 23-27 and the decline is dramatic from the age 28+, considering how many players Dublin have that are over 28 it is interesting to see how they will cope over the next year or two as they will lose a big core over this time. Up front is not an issue, it is the defence which is a issue i think for Dublin with no real players coming through and the defence is aging now


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,647 ✭✭✭elefant


    kilns wrote: »
    and all started on Saturday with the exception of Lowndes (who has been around the squad for a long time now), Murchan and Costello.

    Considering the defenders alone Fitzsimons, McMahon, McCarthy, Cooper and OSullivan area all 29+, they dont have too many more seasons left. That is a lot of players to replace and only Murchan has really come through as if Lowndes was good enough he would have got a lot more starts than he has. So there is a big gap to fill within the next year or two with no evidence that Dublin have the players to step up

    And that is not even mentioning Cluxton who I doubt will be around for too much longer

    That's 11 multiple all-ireland winners, the oldest of whom is 26 years old. All of them are likely to have another 5 or 6 years of crushing all opposition ahead of them. And the likes of Dean Rock and James McCarthy aren't exactly on their last legs. There is no big gap to fill.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    elefant wrote: »
    That's 11 multiple all-ireland winners, the oldest of whom is 26 years old. All of them are likely to have another 5 or 6 years of crushing all opposition ahead of them. And the likes of Dean Rock and James McCarthy aren't exactly on their last legs. There is no big gap to fill.

    But you would agree replacing in the squad and first team Cluxton, Cooper, Fitzsimons, McMahon and OSullivan will be a tall order?

    The forwards get all the plaudits but arguably two of Dublins most important players are Cluxton and Cooper, they will be huge losses


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,341 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    elefant wrote: »
    That's 11 multiple all-ireland winners, the oldest of whom is 26 years old. All of them are likely to have another 5 or 6 years of crushing all opposition ahead of them. And the likes of Dean Rock and James McCarthy aren't exactly on their last legs. There is no big gap to fill.

    Not right now or next two years but original conversation goes back to Dublin being shoe-ins for 10 in a row.

    Since 2015 Dublin have really only brought three players through that weren't already on squad that summer ie O'Callahan, Howard and Murchan. All three were All Ireland winners at under 21 in 17 so transition was seemless.

    Dublin won't have the option of picking from multiple U21 All Ireland winning teams going forward and even this year's U20 side wouldn't have got to final had the old system been in place and top senior players allowed participate. Dublin had decent minor side in 17 but nothing more than that really, losing to Derry who got ate by Kerry.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,647 ✭✭✭elefant


    kilns wrote: »
    But you would agree replacing in the squad and first team Cluxton, Cooper, Fitzsimons, McMahon and OSullivan will be a tall order?

    The forwards get all the plaudits but arguably two of Dublins most important players are Cluxton and Cooper, they will be huge losses

    They're all top players, but Dublin will have no trouble keeping the quality up.

    Everyone was saying the same thing about Connolly, Brogan and Flynn, and yet they were phased out without any issues whatsoever. Jack McCaffrey can take a year off, Rory O Carroll too.

    Even if they were forced to just keep using exactly the same squad now for the next 3 years and didn't blood a single new first-teamer, they'd probably still be untouchable.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    elefant wrote: »
    They're all top players, but Dublin will have no trouble keeping the quality up.

    Everyone was saying the same thing about Connolly, Brogan and Flynn, and yet they were phased out without any issues whatsoever. Jack McCaffrey can take a year off, Rory O Carroll too.

    Even if they were forced to just keep using exactly the same squad now for the next 3 years and didn't blood a single new first-teamer, they'd probably still be untouchable.

    Dublin were blessed to have Howard and OCallaghan to come through from the All Ireland winning under 21s to replace these.

    As previously stated there is no evidence of players coming through to replace these important players in defence

    I doubt very much that if it was the same squad in 3 years time they would be untouchable, given its age profile


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,109 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    So apart from the new players coming through there are no new players coming through. Got it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    So apart from the new players coming through there are no new players coming through. Got it.

    Wow arent you smart!


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,792 ✭✭✭Happyilylost


    kilns wrote: »
    Dublin were blessed to have Howard and OCallaghan to come through from the All Ireland winning under 21s to replace these.

    As previously stated there is no evidence of players coming through to replace these important players in defence

    I doubt very much that if it was the same squad in 3 years time they would be untouchable, given its age profile

    P Ó Cofaigh Byrne, K Lynch Bissett, D Newcombe and obviously Archer are seriously talented young players. Archer and Ó Cofaigh Byrne I expect to see in the Dublin panel for the O' Byrne Cup in January.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,665 ✭✭✭Bonniedog


    Dublin underage football has not been particularly strong, and even some strong clubs with recent county titles are finding it hard to maintain their previous high standards as older players retire.

    It is clear to see where the under 21 players came from and they had the benefit of Gavin's direct involvement and that of others now part of senior management.

    Next year or two is going to see a plethora of resignations and Dublin will come back to the pack. Dublin have always been contenders and always will be. Others counties never have been nor ever will be.

    Same applies to hurling. Tradition some say..


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,109 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    kilns wrote: »
    Wow arent you smart!

    You are the one that seems to think that the best team in Ireland in the biggest population centre in Ireland and with the best youth development structures in Ireland will struggle to add a few good players in the next 5 years.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,647 ✭✭✭elefant


    kilns wrote: »
    Dublin were blessed to have Howard and OCallaghan to come through from the All Ireland winning under 21s to replace these.

    As previously stated there is no evidence of players coming through to replace these important players in defence

    I doubt very much that if it was the same squad in 3 years time they would be untouchable, given its age profile

    1. 40
    2. 28
    3. 32
    4. 33
    5. 28
    6. 32
    7. 29
    8. 29
    9. 35
    10. 28
    11. 26
    12. 25
    13. 29
    14. 32
    15. 29

    If Saturday's exact same team started the 2022 final this would be the age profile. Cluxton, Fitzsimons (maybe) and MDM are the only ones that you'd think definitely need replacing. Dublin are in rude health.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,884 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Armagh are our main rivals now. Donegal are still a great squad.

    On the Donegal thread the guy said he was glad us tramps are out.

    Want me to post the super 8s brag post you constantly avoid or not?


    What are you attempting to say here, that Armagh are your main rivals now because they are a better team than Donegal.:confused:



    If he read any of your posts re Donegal on various threads here you were warned about, and eventually earned a rest for, it would not surprise me if quite a few others felt the same way.



    Post whatever you like, and while you are at it post the rants re Donegal you were consistently warned about for posting on a number of threads. With you being such a fair and balanced football critic that should not be a problem for you surely.:)


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    You are the one that seems to think that the best team in Ireland in the biggest population centre in Ireland and with the best youth development structures in Ireland will struggle to add a few good players in the next 5 years.

    Not talking 5 years, we are talking the next 2 years and defenders specifically


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭shockframe


    I had a conversation with a journalist in 2008 after the Kilkenny mauling of Waterford and he reckoned that Kilkenny could be going for 6 or 7 in a row. It didn't quite go to plan.

    Whenever a team gets at least 3 All irelands in a row fatalism sets in. Was probably the same with Kerry in the early 80s.

    I'd ease up on the talk of Dublin winning 6 or 7 in a row. They might do well to win 5. It's the holy grail for a reason.

    Dublin will start to come back to the pack in the next year or so. The players in the 30+ bracket will start to fade out and even the likes of Kilkenny, Mccafrey, Mannion, Small will have a lot of miles built up by 2021. Jim Gavin might decide to bail out too.

    Others will also come good. Kerry might have had their breakthrough win yesterday. Cork look to have turned a corner, Donegal look like they have potential. Mayo and Tyrone will still be formidable going forward. Meath have taken baby steps and Kildare under new management have a bit of scope for improvement.

    Dublin will still be in the mix but they will draw a blank some day.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    elefant wrote: »
    1. 40
    2. 28
    3. 32
    4. 33
    5. 28
    6. 32
    7. 29
    8. 29
    9. 35
    10. 28
    11. 26
    12. 25
    13. 29
    14. 32
    15. 29

    If Saturday's exact same team started the 2022 final this would be the age profile. Cluxton, Fitzsimons (maybe) and MDM are the only ones that you'd think definitely need replacing. Dublin are in rude health.

    How many defenders alone are at the top of their game when into their 30s? Any player in the full back line relies on speed off the mark, you dont think any player would lose that speed going into the 30s when opposing guys who will be 10 years younger than them, perhaps you could carry one guy at that age but not a group of them


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,647 ✭✭✭elefant


    kilns wrote: »
    How many defenders alone are at the top of their game when into their 30s? Any player in the full back line relies on speed off the mark, you dont think any player would lose that speed going into the 30s when opposing guys who will be 10 years younger than them, perhaps you could carry one guy at that age but not a group of them

    This is an extreme thought experiment where literally not one single Dublin squad member or underage player makes a step up in 3 years. And you still only have 5 outfield players in their 30s on that team sheet.

    Obviously there are some super players in that Dublin team who can't stick around forever, but the age profile of this current team should not be worrying at all for Dublin fans at the moment. And is very worrying for everyone else.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,341 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    P Cofaigh Byrne, K Lynch Bissett, D Newcombe and obviously Archer are seriously talented young players. Archer and Cofaigh Byrne I expect to see in the Dublin panel for the O' Byrne Cup in January.

    I thought Conor McHugh looked nailed to be top Dublin senior when I saw him playing at Under 21 level but it hasn't happened.

    Under 20s is even more difficult to judge. Cian McKeon was shooting the lights out at that level last year for Roscommon but he is miles off being senior intercounty ready.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    elefant wrote: »
    This is an extreme thought experiment where literally not one single Dublin squad member or underage player makes a step up in 3 years. And you still only have 5 outfield players in their 30s on that team sheet.

    Obviously there are some super players in that Dublin team who can't stick around forever, but the age profile of this current team should not be worrying at all for Dublin fans at the moment. And is very worrying for everyone else.

    But you said they would be untouchable which they would not be of course, look at a squad like Kerry who are start of their life cycle as a squad, they should come to full maturity in the next year or two and even though Dublin of course will always be there they will no way be dominant over someone like Kerry. There will be much change within Dublin in the next year or two, I dont expect Gavin to stay on that much longer, Cluxton too along with a couple of the older members of the squad. Its a matter how they deal with this.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,621 ✭✭✭Nidgeweasel


    rossie1977 wrote: »
    I thought Conor McHugh looked nailed to be top Dublin senior when I saw him playing at Under 21 level but it hasn't happened.

    Under 20s is even more difficult to judge. Cian McKeon was shooting the lights out at that level last year for Roscommon but he is miles off being senior intercounty ready.

    It's a balls. It's only a year but the difference is actually pretty striking.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,301 ✭✭✭✭fullstop


    Armagh are our main rivals now.

    Well this made my day :D:D balanced as ever!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 255 ✭✭Gachla


    kilns wrote: »
    Dublin were blessed to have Howard and OCallaghan to come through from the All Ireland winning under 21s to replace these.

    As previously stated there is no evidence of players coming through to replace these important players in defence

    I doubt very much that if it was the same squad in 3 years time they would be untouchable, given its age profile

    Dublin weren't blessed to have Howard and O'Callaghan come through, they have a multi million euro system bringing players like that through. This system has not stopped, it will continue to create players.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 255 ✭✭Gachla


    Bonniedog wrote: »
    Dublin underage football has not been particularly strong, and even some strong clubs with recent county titles are finding it hard to maintain their previous high standards as older players retire.

    It is clear to see where the under 21 players came from and they had the benefit of Gavin's direct involvement and that of others now part of senior management.

    Next year or two is going to see a plethora of resignations and Dublin will come back to the pack. Dublin have always been contenders and always will be. Others counties never have been nor ever will be.

    Same applies to hurling. Tradition some say..

    Dublin underage football wasn't strong up until..........well we all know. 5 All Ireland's since 2003 at u20/21 level, none before that.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 255 ✭✭Gachla


    shockframe wrote: »
    I had a conversation with a journalist in 2008 after the Kilkenny mauling of Waterford and he reckoned that Kilkenny could be going for 6 or 7 in a row. It didn't quite go to plan.

    Whenever a team gets at least 3 All irelands in a row fatalism sets in. Was probably the same with Kerry in the early 80s.

    I'd ease up on the talk of Dublin winning 6 or 7 in a row. They might do well to win 5. It's the holy grail for a reason.

    Dublin will start to come back to the pack in the next year or so. The players in the 30+ bracket will start to fade out and even the likes of Kilkenny, Mccafrey, Mannion, Small will have a lot of miles built up by 2021. Jim Gavin might decide to bail out too.

    Others will also come good. Kerry might have had their breakthrough win yesterday. Cork look to have turned a corner, Donegal look like they have potential. Mayo and Tyrone will still be formidable going forward. Meath have taken baby steps and Kildare under new management have a bit of scope for improvement.

    Dublin will still be in the mix but they will draw a blank some day.

    Dublin will come back to the pack when Brogan, Flynn and Connolly are no longer playing, remember that?


  • Registered Users Posts: 27,194 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    ClanofLams wrote: »

    Cyclical? This isn’t one team, half the team has changed since the first final. 8 starters were 26 or under.

    The population advantage was always significant but bringing in underage development squads, specialised coaching at young age, etc essentially bringing an amateur sport much closer to professional standards that advantage becomes much harder to rise above. But I do agree with you that we are seeing some of the finest footballers to ever play and their skills are great to see:

    Also can we stop with the comparisons to the 80s in relation to attendance? It took twice as long to get to Dublin from most of the country and almost nobody had money. Attendances were far lower across the board - there was hurling semi final double headers played in front of less than ten thousand.

    Saturday night was a sell out on the basis of past Dublin Mayo battles - 45k went to Dublin Galway last year in the semi final.


    From the 21 players that played in the 2015 final, there has only been Bastick, Alan Brogan and Paul Flynn who have left the panel. Two of the unused subs are gone - Brady and Savage - but the other three unused subs are still on the panel, meaning that 21 of the 26 named for the 2015 All-Ireland final are still involved with Dublin.

    How many of the Kerry team that played that day will play on the 1st of September? Well, I don’t think we will see Aidan O’Mahony, Brendan Kealy, Fionan Fitzgerald, Jonathon Lyne, Peter Crowley, Anthony Maher, Johnny Buckley, Donncha Walsh, Colm Cooper, James O’Donoghue, Brian Kelly, Kieran Donaghy, Bryan Sheehan, Barry John Keane, Darren O’Sullivan or Paul Galvin, will we? That is 16 of the Kerry 26 in 2015 who I don’t expect to see anywhere near the Kerry 26 on the 1st September (I am happy to be corrected if I have got one wrong).

    Apart from the five who I mentioned earlier, three others from the Dublin 26 in 2015 didn’t make the squad last Saturday - Bernard Brogan, Rory O’Carroll and Darren Daly - which meant that remarkably 18 of the 26 who were in the 26-man Dublin squad for the 2015 All-Ireland final were still in the squad last Saturday. Only around 10 of that Kerry squad survive.

    If there is one thing that you can say about this Dublin team is that it hasn’t changed anywhere near as quickly or as much as its rivals. That means when the end comes, it will come quickly, as they will have to replace quite a few at the same time.

    These are the facts.

    Edit: Brogan, O’Carroll and Daly have featured in the Championship this year.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,884 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    May as well qoute it.


    That wasn`t gloating, it was simply pointing out a fact that you were doing your best to ignore.:D


    Same as you are doing now when being asked about Armagh now being Tyrone`s main rivals, so I will ask you again.

    Do you believe that is because Armagh are a better team than Donegal


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭ClanofLams


    blanch152 wrote: »
    From the 21 players that played in the 2015 final, there has only been Bastick, Alan Brogan and Paul Flynn who have left the panel. Two of the unused subs are gone - Brady and Savage - but the other three unused subs are still on the panel, meaning that 21 of the 26 named for the 2015 All-Ireland final are still involved with Dublin.

    How many of the Kerry team that played that day will play on the 1st of September? Well, I don’t think we will see Aidan O’Mahony, Brendan Kealy, Fionan Fitzgerald, Jonathon Lyne, Peter Crowley, Anthony Maher, Johnny Buckley, Donncha Walsh, Colm Cooper, James O’Donoghue, Brian Kelly, Kieran Donaghy, Bryan Sheehan, Barry John Keane, Darren O’Sullivan or Paul Galvin, will we? That is 16 of the Kerry 26 in 2015 who I don’t expect to see anywhere near the Kerry 26 on the 1st September (I am happy to be corrected if I have got one wrong).

    Apart from the five who I mentioned earlier, three others from the Dublin 26 in 2015 didn’t make the squad last Saturday - Bernard Brogan, Rory O’Carroll and Darren Daly - which meant that remarkably 18 of the 26 who were in the 26-man Dublin squad for the 2015 All-Ireland final were still in the squad last Saturday. Only around 10 of that Kerry squad survive.

    If there is one thing that you can say about this Dublin team is that it hasn’t changed anywhere near as quickly or as much as its rivals. That means when the end comes, it will come quickly, as they will have to replace quite a few at the same time.

    These are the facts.

    Edit: Brogan, O’Carroll and Daly have featured in the Championship this year.

    You have taken a rather radical example there in Kerry, I highly doubt there has been as much turnover in any other county.

    Murchan, John Small, Con O’Callghan, Howard, Scully, Mannion, none started the ‘15 final, all started final last year. Only John Small was in the squad in ‘15.

    Eight of those who started last Saturday were 26 or under. There’s no wholesale surgery required. Gavin will do what he has done the last four years and gradually adapt the team year on year. Domination will continue.

    Demographics are demographics. Can’t fight population ten times the size when the game, for player development purposes, has gone professional.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    Gachla wrote: »
    Dublin weren't blessed to have Howard and O'Callaghan come through, they have a multi million euro system bringing players like that through. This system has not stopped, it will continue to create players.

    Ah yes sorry i forgot about all those players bursting onto the panel straight off the specialized production line the last couple of years :rolleyes:


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 255 ✭✭Gachla


    kilns wrote: »
    Ah yes sorry i forgot about all those players bursting onto the panel straight off the specialized production line the last couple of years :rolleyes:

    It seems you did. They've been rolling off the production line for over a decade now!


This discussion has been closed.
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