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Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : 2019 and Winter 2020

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    #722
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,824 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    There is a line of cloud coming from the SE ,having moved in over County Cork and on a line for N kerry / Clare, starting to show height in it on Sat 24. Convection might increase as it passes over higher terrain resulting in Thunderstorms along its track perhaps in N Kerry / Clare as the ECM continues to predict this morning. Not much else showing up at this stage. Will see.


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    #723
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,111 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    I see a shower pushing north over West Cork


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    #724
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,824 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    I see a shower pushing north over West Cork

    Just see that now too, will be interesting to see if the intensity continues to grow.


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    #725
    Comhrá
    Registered Users Posts: 4,757 ✭✭✭Comhrá


    Meteorite58 wrote: »
    Just see that now too, will be interesting to see if the intensity continues to grow.

    Fizzling as we watch it.


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    #726
    km79
    Registered Users Posts: 48,132 ✭✭✭✭km79


    km79 wrote: »
    Met Eireann and uk met office forecast sequences still having none of this
    In fact the UKMO has moved them further offshore
    It’s rarely that badly wrong so I’m hopeful the worst will stay further west
    Yr.no forecast still not updated and is out on its own
    MTC doesn’t seem too concerned either

    Yr.no updated
    All rain gone
    Never seen such a change


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    #727
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,111 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    YR have very poor accuracy in my experience. Maximum of 24°c I was to have apparently yesterday! 29.2°c is what I ended up with.

    It also forecasted the entire snow storm of march 2018 as 'sleet' for here.


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    #728
    km79
    Registered Users Posts: 48,132 ✭✭✭✭km79


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    YR have very poor accuracy in my experience. Maximum of 24°c I was to have apparently yesterday! 29.2°c is what I ended up with.

    It also forecasted the entire snow storm of march 2018 as 'sleet' for here.

    It did not perform well for me during the snow either
    Generally though it’s a good guide
    Never seen such a swing before

    What model is it based on ? Some Norwegian one I think ?


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    #729
    Mortelaro
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


    Zone from east limerick up to Mayo through Galway seem to have the most rapidly rising cloud tops atm,look there I think for activity later


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    #730
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,729 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    km79 wrote: »
    Yr.no showing 48 mm of rain over a 4 hour period tomorrow afternoon for Galway city
    This surely won’t happen??????
    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Can happen. Kilkenny had 56.7mm in 2 hours during a thunderstorm in July 1983 for example following a hot spell.

    https://www.met.ie/cms/assets/uploads/2017/08/July1985_Thunderstorm.pdf

    Coon in Kilkenny had 21mm in 15 minutes during the 1985 thunderstorms and 29mm in the full 30 minute period.


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    #731
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Sky to my south, west Mayo.


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    #732
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,118 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Get the sunshine going in those areas where the thunderstorm risk is today over Clare/Galway and the risk is quite something according to the ECM

    Parameters are definitely there today.

    Hopefully this transfers over to the East during tomorrrow. Tonight likely to be very oppressive.


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    #733
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Such a different feel to the atmosphere today compared to yesterday, oppressive, the air is stagnant, like a thick soup, the sun is out, but there are lumps of dark clouds circulating overhead.

    West Mayo.


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    #734
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,473 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Development getting going off the west coast alright. Its a question of how far east that corridor extends. We should be seeing some proper inland convection at this stage.

    Still good for tomorrow morning in the east.

    Sferics off the coast of Co Clare now.


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    #735
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    ...


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    #736
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,118 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Strikes now off Clare


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    #737
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Sudden gust of wind,


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    #738
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,876 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Strikes now off Clare

    Yes but they are moving North West away from the Coast


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    #739
    km79
    Registered Users Posts: 48,132 ✭✭✭✭km79


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Yes but they are moving North West away from the Coast

    UKMO spot on as usual


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    #740
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Classic thunderstorm looking sky now, navy blue, horizon faded out, clouds indistinguishable


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    #741
    Carol25
    Registered Users Posts: 722 ✭✭✭Carol25


    Clouds and skies between Oranmore and Athenry. Pic 1 to the East, pic 2 to the West. The birds and animals are eerily quiet. Strange feel to the day.


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    #742
    coillsaille
    Registered Users Posts: 526 ✭✭✭coillsaille


    Starting to hear the odd rumble to my west here in south Connemara. Cloudy and humid, bit of a breeze but nothing like yesterday's near gale.


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    #743
    Say my name
    Registered Users Posts: 11,070 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Yes but they are moving North West away from the Coast

    Cold front still moving eastwards though.
    These thunderstorms are the edge of the cold front.
    Be interesting to see what happens later.


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    #744
    Mortelaro
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


    Carol25 wrote: »
    Clouds and skies between Oranmore and Athenry. Pic 1 to the East, pic 2 to the West. The birds and animals are eerily quiet. Strange feel to the day.

    2nd one looks very thundery!


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    #745
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,118 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Very active now off the west coast nearly 30 strikes per minute.

    Pity they are not off the coast of Cornwall


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    #746
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,118 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Oh momma

    5-F43-AA30-A415-4-F29-A7-F2-32-D90-D0-D7090.png


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    #747
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Scary


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    #748
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,118 ✭✭✭pad199207


    squarecircles wrote: »
    Scary

    Loaded Gun


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    #749
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,118 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Oh she’s really going for it now off Galway Bay. If it was nighttime it would be a great show!


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    #750
    chris2007
    Registered Users Posts: 311 ✭✭chris2007


    Wondering if these thunderstorms will make it to the east coast dublin area


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    #751
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,473 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    chris2007 wrote: »
    Wondering if these thunderstorms will make it to the east coast dublin area

    Tomorrow morning is the best opportunity in the east.

    Nothing today.

    anim_nlb4.gif


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