Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : 2019 and Winter 2020

Mortelaro

pad199207 wrote: »

Oh momma

That line is the 12 mile fishing exclusion zone as a point of reference
So all those strikes near that line should be audible at the coast and visible at this stage

JCX BXC

Christ there's some amount of strikes showing up out of that cell.

squarecircles

Just herd a rattle of thunder

pad199207

Those around Clifden/Inishboffin areas could be hearing thunder from new cell firing

zell12

Lightning strikes :eek:

km79

Holy moly thank God that missed us

PukkaStukka

That cell off Galway is one bad tempered yoke. Had that gone overland it would've caused big problems

zell12

Getting more intense

Say my name

Is a rainfall warning warranted for Galway on here?

People are looking at individual cells and expressing relief that it has missed them so far.
But the root cause of the cells is the cold front and as the cold front moves eastwards new cells will be popping up along that front. And going by where they seem to popping up along the front it looks like Galway will be likely hit later on at this point in time.

PukkaStukka

Say my name wrote: »

Is a rainfall warning warranted for Galway on here?

People are looking at individual cells and expressing relief that it has missed them so far.
But the root cause of the cells is the cold front and as the cold front moves eastwards new cells will be popping up along that front. And going by where they seem to popping up along the front it looks like Galway will be likely hit later on at this point in time.

Good point. I'm no met expert but I would expect things to lift off once the front starts to cross warm land

Say my name

PukkaStukka wrote: »

Good point. I'm no met expert but I would expect things to lift off once the front starts to cross warm land

It is a tough one to decide on.

Just by looking at the radar loop those cells that were off the Aran islands seem to have been caused by orographic lifting from the Kerry mountains along the front?

The front is currently east of those now.

JCX BXC

I note that there's some showers building north of Galway city around headford.

Say my name

It kind of looks like that's all the action over for today.

Storm 10

Say that's the end of our Thunder threat nothing showing anywhere now just that big storm heading away

Oneiric 3

squarecircles

second opportunity this week of experiencing major thunderstorms,safe to say we wont be seeing these setups for a very very long time again.


frustrating to see the thunderstorms dance around Ireland.

km79

Say my name wrote: »

Is a rainfall warning warranted for Galway on here?

People are looking at individual cells and expressing relief that it has missed them so far.
But the root cause of the cells is the cold front and as the cold front moves eastwards new cells will be popping up along that front. And going by where they seem to popping up along the front it looks like Galway will be likely hit later on at this point in time.

They are moving /have moved away the other direction already

Comhrá

Ah well....as yet another memorable week of thunderstorm busts draws to a close.

Storm 10

Last night after the news ME showed the front going from the West to the East bringing the storms to the West Coast yet they seem to have gone in the opposite direction, absolutely nothing happening in the Country at present. Am I right in this or did they get it wrong

Reversal

Storm 10 wrote: »

Last night after the news ME showed the front going from the West to the East bringing the storms to the West Coast yet they seem to have gone in the opposite direction, absolutely nothing happening in the Country at present. Am I right in this or did they get it wrong

The direction of travel of the front is not the same as the direction of travel of the individual cells. In a cold front the wind direction can change sharply at the front but the cells are kicked off ahead of the front

pad199207

Met Eireann have backed away now from any thunderstorms this afternoon.

Storm 10

pad199207 wrote: »

Met Eireann have backed away now from any thunderstorms this afternoon.

Got it way wrong for today

pad199207

Storm 10 wrote: »

Got it way wrong for today

Wasn’t hugely wrong it’s just they were about 50 or so miles too west I suppose.

Next chance is for a new round of thunderstorms to develop overnight tonight in the Celtic sea and to move up over Eastern areas.

That will probably be a bust too.

ZX7R

Rougies wrote: »

Some level of disregard for legibility you have going on there, took me a while to decipher the question!

Yes they are false returns. Easy way to tell is have a look at https://en.sat24.com/en. If there are no clouds, there is no rain or thunderstorm.

Sorry sometimes I find it difficult to convey in words what my mind does be thinking.
Thank you for the confirmation of the false return.

JCX BXC

Storm 10 wrote: »

Got it way wrong for today

Jaysus tis like some are trying to pin something on Met Éireann, as if they need to be blamed for something!

They never said there WILL be thunderstorms, they said there could possibly be, which to be fair was very accurate as the atmospheric conditions nearby were correct, evidence of this are the massive cells that got going just a few kilometers west of land.

leahyl

JCX BXC wrote: »

Jaysus tis like some are trying to pin something on Met Éireann, as if they need to be blamed for something!

They never said there WILL be thunderstorms, they said there could possibly be, which to be fair was very accurate as the atmospheric conditions nearby were correct, evidence of this are the massive cells that got going just a few kilometers west of land.

I agree, I can never understand why people are always looking for a opportunity to blame Met Eireann - they are more often than not correct and it’s their website I always go to for my forecasts, I don’t pay attention to accuweather or anything else.

squarecircles

It was thrilling watching the sky this morning, the clouds were rotating overhead, moving in various directions, you could tell there was something vicious not too far away.

squarecircles

highdef

North Kildare, near the meath border and the sky is looking increasingly dark to my southwest. Additionally, looking at sat24, it looks like something convective is happening in that same area.... Mid to North Kildare. Possibly something being kicked off by the Wicklow mountains?

Storm 10

Just a question for the experts here if that storm today had a direct hit on Galway would we have been looking at a Red Warning for rain/hail and lightning, there would bound to have been a lot of lightning damage looking at it this morning.