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Summer 2019 - General Discussion
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That was a lovely summers morning with no wind in Dublin, Met.ie have changed their chart as having no rain today(rain was predicted originally) but their description of the forecast as well as the radar says it will rain! Contradiction
That's an anomaly on their new website where they have graphics tables derived from a specific grid point for noon for example on harmonie meaning if theres marginal something nearby,its useless
Human intervention in the written and broadcast forecast shows the correct forecast0 -
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latest GFS has rolled out, and things continue to slide away in the medium term, a definitely upgrade for cool and wet conditions later next week and into next weekend.
Looks cool and unsettled with low pressure right over Cork.
This is followed by a cool or cold plunge developing from the north-east with low pressure firmly in the driving seat.
By Monday 17th June, there are signs of High pressure and warmer weather, but this is already pushed back 5 days since yesterday and so far away that my confidence of this is very low.
This is all thanks to the extreme northern blocking, something which we would sell our souls for in winter, but the last thing we want to see during summer.0 -
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Clonmel1000 wrote: »How good was 75-76 Sryan?
Both summers featured a blocking area of high pressure that was of a frequent influence throughout them as shown by the comparison of their 500mb height anomaly reanalysis (from NOAA) below (the brighter the colours (green, yellow, orange, red), the more intense the high pressure was). You can see the centre of the anticyclone was almost over top of Ireland and in the case of 1976, the UK and Ireland had the most intense area of high pressure (compared to average) in the northern hemisphere.
In some summers you tend to find a trough of low pressure stuck over top of Ireland whilst everywhere surrounding us has high pressure whether it's central and southern Europe or Greenland. However, 1976 was a rare opposite example to that (as was 1995) with omega blocking resulting in minimal cyclonic weather. 1975 wasn't quite as high pressure dominated but I mean, it's hardly one to be joked at like it was still very anticyclonic.
In fact, the UK & Ireland were nearly the warmest relative to average during Summer 1976 in the entire world according to NASA GISS. Anomalies from average typically between 1-2c above average but isolated locations could have been 2c above average or more. The only summer that has beaten 1976 for most places is Summer 1995. 1947, 1983, 2006 and 2018 were other comparable very warm summers but just not quite reaching the levels of 1976 and 1995.
Both summers reached at least 30c at one point in their season whilst the actual max for 1975 was 31.5c on August 3rd (the joint highest August temperature on record for Ireland with 1995) and 1976 had 32.5c on June 29th (highest temperature for Ireland of the 20th century and second highest known on record). May 1975 was a record sunny May (holding the Irish May record of 289.6 hrs of sun).
Data from Met Éireann.
According to the Irish Rainfall series by Maynooth University, Summers 1976 and 1975 were the 7th and 8th driest summers on record for Ireland back to 1711 (as far as the series goes back) respectively with 136.9mm and 139.2mm of rain (again respectively). This compares with 131.0mm in Summer 1995 so not a huge difference with 1975 and 1976.
More on Summer 1976 in my little slideshow I made last year and posted in the heatwave thread (shown below in case you missed).sryanbruen wrote: »Lots of comparisons will be made with this heatwave to 1976 and as a result, I have made this video to give you an insight into the Summer of 1976.
It was the year that ABBA was number one on the charts and Denis Howell was appointed Minister for Drought (but was followed by thunderstorms and a very wet Autumn).
Enjoy!
I have not come across a pair of summers that quite match the level of 1975-76. Both years reached at least 30c/31c in Ireland, both were exceptionally dry and both were very sunny.Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/
Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1
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sryanbruen wrote: »Both summers featured a blocking area of high pressure that was of a frequent influence throughout them as shown by the comparison of their 500mb height anomaly reanalysis (from NOAA) below (the brighter the colours (green, yellow, orange, red), the more intense the high pressure was). You can see the centre of the anticyclone was almost over top of Ireland and in the case of 1976, the UK and Ireland had the most intense area of high pressure (compared to average) in the northern hemisphere.
In some summers you tend to find a trough of low pressure stuck over top of Ireland whilst everywhere surrounding us has high pressure whether it's central and southern Europe or Greenland. However, 1976 was a rare opposite example to that (as was 1995) with omega blocking resulting in minimal cyclonic weather. 1975 wasn't quite as high pressure dominated but I mean, it's hardly one to be joked at like it was still very anticyclonic.
In fact, the UK & Ireland were nearly the warmest relative to average during Summer 1976 in the entire world according to NASA GISS. Anomalies from average typically between 1-2c above average but isolated locations could have been 2c above average or more. The only summer that has beaten 1976 for most places is Summer 1995. 1947, 1983, 2006 and 2018 were other comparable very warm summers but just not quite reaching the levels of 1976 and 1995.
Both summers reached at least 30c at one point in their season whilst the actual max for 1975 was 31.5c on August 3rd (the joint highest August temperature on record for Ireland with 1995) and 1976 had 32.5c on June 29th (highest temperature for Ireland of the 20th century and second highest known on record). May 1975 was a record sunny May (holding the Irish May record of 289.6 hrs of sun).
Data from Met Éireann.
According to the Irish Rainfall series by Maynooth University, Summers 1976 and 1975 were the 7th and 8th driest summers on record for Ireland back to 1711 (as far as the series goes back) respectively with 136.9mm and 139.2mm of rain (again respectively). This compares with 131.0mm in Summer 1995 so not a huge difference with 1975 and 1976.
More on Summer 1976 in my little slideshow I made last year and posted in the heatwave thread (shown below in case you missed).
I have not come across a pair of summers that quite match the level of 1975-76. Both years reached at least 30c/31c in Ireland, both were exceptionally dry and both were very sunny.
Superb thanks a million0 -
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