Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

sydthebeat · 07-12-2018 02:10PM

leinster lost a point to -14 after the teams were named , which is surprising.

Edit :
My bad. It hasn't actually moved....

Del.Monte · 07-12-2018 05:18PM

Dropped the Newcastle game in favour of the Ulster one and just the two bets.

Fortune favours the foolhardy.

Leinstertomas · 07-12-2018 05:24PM

razorblunt wrote: »

Took Newcastle +7, should have waited!
Looking at Pau -12, at home to Worcester now too.

Can get Pau -9 with Boylesports

thomond2006 · 07-12-2018 06:34PM

11/4 for the outright win is tempting but the collapse away to Racing weighs on my mind.

thomond2006 · 07-12-2018 10:48PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

I've taken Newcastle +15. No other handicaps stand out really, though if Newcastle comes through I might follow up with Glasgow +2 away to Lyon.

Very annoyed I didn't bet the other way at halftime. The cap was Edinburgh -6.

kuang1 · 08-12-2018 12:30PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Very annoyed I didn't bet the other way at halftime. The cap was Edinburgh -6.

Yeah good point.

When I used to bet I was "all in" for whatever I had committed to before kick off. The amount of times I failed to cover my ass mid-game and got burned was unreal. Was one of the big reasons I stopped gambling.
Couldn't think logically mid-bet.

sydthebeat · 08-12-2018 12:38PM

kuang1 wrote: »

Yeah good point.

When I used to bet I was "all in" for whatever I had committed to before kick off. The amount of times I failed to cover my ass mid-game and got burned was unreal. Was one of the big reasons I stopped gambling.
Couldn't think logically mid-bet.

Fear of a double burn though

kuang1 · 08-12-2018 12:44PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

Fear of a double burn though

Well not necessarily. If my original bet was going well, I could have covered myself midstream to ensure a profit no matter what. (betfair was very useful for this, would give you the red (loss) and green (profit) numbers)
But I was too often too greedy!

razorblunt · 08-12-2018 01:40PM

Leinstertomas wrote: »

Can get Pau -9 with Boylesports

Don't have an account with them, hit the -12 with a sweat!

Leinstertomas · 08-12-2018 04:17PM

Gone for a double on Cronin and McGrath to both score at 8/1

sydthebeat · 11-12-2018 03:26PM

im going to repeat the same mistake as last week, by going on newcastle early....

@ -2 though i think they are good value and should have some of their injury worries from last weekend back.

they've added hardie (flanker) and payne (prop) to their squads which is a good boost.
Flood should be back starting and hopefully Wilson will be over his ear infection.

sydthebeat · 11-12-2018 06:35PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

i see he's now gone into 2/1

chris farrell now gone into 6/5.....

the 3/1 bet is looking like great value at this stage

thomond2006 · 13-12-2018 01:00PM

Gloucester are -2 at home to Exeter and Exeter have just named a largely second string side. I've jumped on Gloucester to win at 4/6, I don't think that will last.

Exeter play Saracens at home on the 22nd, all focus is on that I imagine. They're out of Europe already unless they get three BP wins and results go their way. It's not happening.

thomond2006 · 13-12-2018 01:06PM

Ulster are -8 but Scarlets are coming with a full side despite being out of contention. That handicap looks about right to me.

The real mccoy 91 · 13-12-2018 01:18PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Gloucester are -2 at home to Exeter and Exeter have just named a largely second string side. I've jumped on Gloucester to win at 4/6, I don't think that will last.

Exeter play Saracens at home on the 22nd, all focus is on that I imagine. They're out of Europe already unless they get three BP wins and results go their way. It's not happening.

100% on board with this reckon the handicap will hit 5 or 6 before kick off have snapped up some of the -2

thomond2006 · 13-12-2018 01:26PM

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

100% on board with this reckon the handicap will hit 5 or 6 before kick off have snapped up some of the -2

It's gone to -5 now. I'd still take it.

sydthebeat · 13-12-2018 02:08PM

anyone think Racing -3 is value ???

they are really targeting the H Cup this year and Leicester are a mess.

Leinstertomas · 13-12-2018 04:42PM

Made this accumulator the other day @13/1
Ulster win V Scarlets
Munster win V Castres
Glasgow -24 V Lyon
Leinster -23 V Bath
Toulouse -19 V Wasps

thomond2006 · 14-12-2018 09:35PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Gloucester are -2 at home to Exeter and Exeter have just named a largely second string side. I've jumped on Gloucester to win at 4/6, I don't think that will last.

Nightmare so far.

Del.Monte · 15-12-2018 12:54AM

I put the hex on Gloucester but once again Jacob Stockdale saved the day. Only down a few Euros so far this weekend - lost on a novelty bet on Theresa May too.

sydthebeat · 15-12-2018 10:14AM

Stupid glaws

In other news, leinster gone into - 20,
Newcastle out to - 5

thomond2006 · 15-12-2018 10:41AM

sydthebeat wrote: »

Stupid glaws

In other news, leinster gone into - 20,
Newcastle out to - 5

The weather would make me avoid -20
Then again given my recent luck Leinster will then probably put 50 on them.

sydthebeat · 15-12-2018 10:45AM

thomond2006 wrote: »

The weather would make me avoid -20
Then again given my recent luck Leinster will then probably put 50 on them.

I took bath +24

I don't think it will be a high scoring game

sydthebeat · 15-12-2018 08:58PM

Wiped out in my bets today.

Leinster imperious and the horrible weather didn't materialise.

Need Newcastle timeouts to win by 3 or more to take some of the sting out.

Del.Monte · 15-12-2018 09:23PM

Wipeout for me too - went for the wrong try scorers in both games and wasn't able to watch either.

thomond2006 · 04-01-2019 01:05PM

I took Ulster +23, both sides are weakened but I think Leinster will be laboured.

Del.Monte · 05-01-2019 10:55PM

The broken clock strikes again. Over 100% up on the day but Andrew Conway is starting to owe me.

Juwwi · 06-01-2019 03:58AM

Whats the point in posting this even if it is about a clock broken twice a day ,

Post them up before .

Del.Monte · 06-01-2019 11:15AM

Juwwi wrote: »

Whats the point in posting this even if it is about a clock broken twice a day ,

Post them up before .

If you bothered to read the thread you would see that I do - it depends on the game - several of the bets were placed after I arrived in the pub and just before kick-off.

ionadnapóca · 10-01-2019 12:35PM

Toulouse +11 look like good value
No Sexton, Toner & Lowe
With a gap still at 12

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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