⚠️ Storm Éowyn - Fri 24.01.25 (**Please read Mod Instruction in OP.**)

munsterlegend

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123079942#Comment_123079942

That's Saturday at 11am?

adocholiday

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123079967#Comment_123079967

That chart is max gusts up to that time, so they could happen at any time up to 11am Saturday

ClimateObserver

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123079963#Comment_123079963

Hopefully the destination for them is northeast of where they are now, the storm might do it for you!

ClimateObserver

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123079942#Comment_123079942

Sting jet field in grey? Storm Darwin had a sting jet and really left it's mark via a trail of destruction.

Rain from the West

Helluva difference compared to yesterdays runs. Looking like an event for the South (for now). 80 knot (145kmh) wind barb over West Kerry.

Rebelbrowser

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123079838#Comment_123079838

How early is the ferry? That could be relevant.

KingdomRushed

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080027#Comment_123080027

Yes, on GFS, however I think the Arpege has shifted it more northerly again. Worrying thing is how the band of error is probably now reducing and most all outputs across models look impactful for ireland

.Donegal.

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123079994#Comment_123079994

The previous run had a white streak running in to a bit of Galway 200km/h+ gust. I wouldn’t be surprised if there is one with this.

TheMilkyPirate

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080064#Comment_123080064

Yeah consensus is it's going to hit at least somewhere in Ireland heavy now. Possible warnings tomorrow PM if it stays the same?

.Donegal.

M.E outlook. Potential gales sounds ominous…

Friday: There is some uncertainty in the forecast for Friday but it is expected to be a very windy day with near gale force westerly winds developing, potentially reaching gale force in places. The rain will clear to sunshine and showers through the day, some of which may turn wintry

Rain from the West

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080064#Comment_123080064

Yep, bit of a difference alright from the GFS.

Elmer Blooker

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123079942#Comment_123079942

hasn’t the storm moved away by Saturday? I can’t figure out that chart? The isobars look well spaced on Saturdays fax chart?

DayInTheBog

Weather alert from Kerry CoCo

Kerry County Council:
Weather Alert // Weather Advisory for Kerry

Moderate Weather Advisory for Kerry

Alert message from Met Eireann:

On Thursday night and Friday, a deepening Low-Pressure system, Storm ÉOWYN (AY-OH-WIN), is forecast to track across Ireland. Very strong to gale force winds are expected across the country with the potential for damaging wind gusts and disruption in places. Transitory falls of sleet and snow are expected too, especially across west and northwest counties. High seas and spells of heavy rain are expected also.Met Éireann is continuously monitoring the evolving situation and weather warnings will be issued as confidence in the forecast track/intensity of the Low-Pressure system improves.Please check the met.ie website and app for updates to forecasts and warnings in the coming days.

• Event: Advisory
• Valid from: Tue. 21/01 @ 11AM
• Valid to: Sat. 25/01 @ 12AM (midnight)
• Affected Areas: Ireland

.Donegal.

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080144#Comment_123080144

It’s highest recorded gusts since start of run to that point. It’s the same for the day before, I should have selected Friday in fairness

fits

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123079838#Comment_123079838

maybe. I wouldn’t be planning to travel Friday morning at all whatever the mode.

Cork2021

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080187#Comment_123080187

cork county council is the same. Don’t think I’ve seen them mention an advisory before. They’d always put up about yellow, orange red etc when MÈ release them

pc7

Based on the colours in those charts is that a red for everywhere (tia)

edited to add - know its a day or two out

.Donegal.

Antrim,Armagh,Derry,Down,Fermanagh & Tyrone warning updated.

Whilst there is some uncertainty in the track of Éowyn, a spell of very strong winds is likely, initially southeasterly before turning westerly, with peak gusts of 60-70 mph inland and 80-90 mph along some coasts and hills (perhaps even higher in a few locations).

The high impacts area has been upgraded, paving the way for orange/red if the likelihood increases.

aidanodr

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123078832#Comment_123078832

THIS :D .. Day after Tomorrow

munsterlegend

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080218#Comment_123080218

Looking at ECM it has very high gusts of 150kph for west Cork and along the coast. This has the potential to be a very dangerous event.

Cork2021

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080236#Comment_123080236

that’s what it looks like. Inland looks nasty too

leahyl

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080236#Comment_123080236

Will probably change a lot between now and Friday.

Meteorite58

GFS 06Z exceptionally strong. High impact across a lot of the country. On this run showing the storm deepening considerably and stalling and slowing down a bit just off the SW / W. But guidance is still a bit varied for track and timing, the main thing is the models are upping the odds each run for the possibility of a very strong damaging storm.

.Donegal.

Updated Advisory

Weather Advisory for Ireland

On Thursday night and Friday, a deepening Low-Pressure system, Storm ÉOWYN (AY-OH-WIN), is forecast to track across Ireland. Very strong to gale force winds are expected across the country with the potential for damaging wind gusts and disruption in places. Transitory falls of sleet and snow are expected too, especially across west and northwest counties. High seas and spells of heavy rain are expected also.

munsterlegend

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080258#Comment_123080258

Yeah these in the past used go up north or north West towards the end. The jet stream is on steroids though. Interesting weather to watch.

Meteorite58

ECM 06Z no let up. Probably slightly less strong than the GFS inland.

WolfeEire

Met Éireann says "Western and northwestern counties are likely to see status orange wind warnings as a minimum."

Full Met summary here

https://www.met.ie/meteorologists-commentary/storm-eowyn-commentary/

DayInTheBog

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080295#Comment_123080295

This is were I dig a big hole and bury my house for safety.

zell12

Look at those incredibly tight isobars for Friday morning!

.Donegal.

Good video highlighting wind gusts, transient snow and a spell of snow for SE Ireland Friday night

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=NlQQTIe5I90

LambshankRedemption

The question on everyone's lips is "Who's taking the horse to France?"

SuperBowserWorld

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080400#Comment_123080400

Scroll up

Bicyclette

It has already been named Eowyn. That information is contained earlier in the thread.

Thank you to all the knowledgeable people here - your expertise is so much appreciated.

Oíche Na Gaoithe Móire

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080400#Comment_123080400

Eowyn

LambshankRedemption

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080439#Comment_123080439

For the week thats in it, I was hoping for Daniel.

bnt

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080439#Comment_123080439

Don't forget the fada: Éowyn

redsteveireland

Comment of the week in the office so far on the approaching storm, "its supposed to be the worst storm of the year so far" 🙄.

SuperBowserWorld

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080448#Comment_123080448

Daniel or Donald or ?

Donegal Ken

I think the UK Met office will go Amber for the whole northern Ireland and Met Eireann going orange for all of Ireland. Met UK may consider parts of West Ulster Derry, Tyrone, Fermanagh for a Red warning. Will be tomorrow morning before we see any up tick on warnings been issued.

Tzmaster90

My Sister in law in flying from dublin to london saturday at 12 pm how does it look for then? Thanks

Pacing Mule

Looking that windy she might not need a plane.

JanuarySnowstor

Ecm, might aswell be a nationwide Red!

pad199207

Those who have interests in West Cork, Kerry also need to be closely watching this!

munsterlegend

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080626#Comment_123080626

Certainly one to watch all across the country it seems. If showing like this Thursday then certainly a very worrying event.

bazlers

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080587#Comment_123080587

ECM still holding this track. The big bad Wolf coming!

WolfeEire

A summary of the latest output from the primary weather models for Storm Eowyn:

- Output is trending toward centering the storm's centre over the northwest Mayo by Friday morning, but some models keep the system centre further out to sea.
- The Arpege and GEM keep the storm centre well offshore to the northwest of Ireland.
- All other models centre the storm over northwest Mayo with the peak winds to the system's south.
- The ICON moves the system through much quicker than the other models.

Met Eireann says "Western and northwestern counties are likely to see status orange wind warnings as a minimum."

The only official warnings that should be heeded are those issued by the Met services in Ireland and the UK. Follow Met Éireann's website rather than clickbait sites.

Full Met.ie summary here - https://www.met.ie/meteorologists-commentary/storm-eowyn-commentary/

KingdomRushed

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080836#Comment_123080836

Be hard to bet against the cluster of models taking the wind field right across the country. Very interesting stuff.

Chris_5339762

Certainly this time I would like the usual "storms arrive earlier and go further north than forecast" to come true. This is a very powerful looking storm.

I'm guessing its not terribly far off the maximum theoretical speed and depth of a storm in our waters with our jetstream? Or what is the theoretical max?

Neddyusa

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123080898#Comment_123080898

Isn't the tendancy for these to track further north associated with a stronger than forecast storm though?

Given current forecasts are at the max of the normal range, are corrections southward now more likely?

Neddyusa

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