Winter 2022-23 - General Discussion

pauldry

The weather till mid February will be boring but may get mild if Southerly sourced from far but mid February on looks more interesting with at worst frost and light snow at times. Confidence in this about 30 percent but so was that cold week in January so once we go past February 15th I think things get interesting and cold.

Oscar Bravo

Light south westerly delivering grey skies here in Castlebar with rain/drizzle . Low cloud on the hills. Mild.

Graces7

A fresh breeze singing its ancient song

OldRio

Went for a run first thing. Cool but dry conditions. Now the sun is shining 9C and I've managed to do some weeding in the garden for the first time this year. Lovely day.

mcburns07

Feeling very mild in East Cork, 11 degrees, sunny and flat calm. Got the grass cut yesterday 😎

Cluedo Monopoly

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120173468#Comment_120173468

Fair play to you. Yeah the grass is a tricky one for lots of people because November was so mild, it just kept growing after people stopped mowing!

.Donegal.

Blustery and rained for a couple of hours this afternoon

KanyeSouthEast

https://www.thesun.ie/news/10134937/exact-date-cyclone-met-eireann-storm-ireland-weather/

somebody better tell the tabloids because according to them there’s a cyclone coming…..

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120174739#Comment_120174739

I posted that on Facebook and said its weather clickbait, they shouldn't be allowed to do this

sryanbruen

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120156379#Comment_120156379

2009-10 had an even lower max gust of 115 km/h for winter itself, though this was beaten by 133 km/h in Nov 2009 and 139 km/h in Apr 2010.

Apart from that, I can't find anything close to comparable or think of a similar year. So could well be a record low if it were to carry on until August somehow (before the new storm names are issued) but this is Ireland, surely not?

Tom_Tripland

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120107360#Comment_120107360

Same goes here in Southeast Asia. It's been raining hard in the past few weeks. Gladly, we have a nice weather now. There's a fair bit of clouds but partly sunny. 

Supercell

Mild and mostly overcast, cut the grass yesterday.

Loughc

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120175639#Comment_120175639

They do it all the time, Snowaggedon, Beat from the east part 2, Blizzard incoming, and then in Summer, Summer scorcher on the cards, Ireland to be hotter than Spain, Heatwave to last a month, etc etc.

Unfortunately for the tabloids, Normal weather resumes doesn't sell newspapers.

Beechwoodspark

few stories in the British papers about another cold snap heading this way

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120177370#Comment_120177370

All we can do is hope

Oneiric 3

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120177005#Comment_120177005

Some gems alright, but this one really hit hard a few years ago.

'week long sizzle'. That did, and still does, grate on every single nerve in my body as would a 1000 nails being drawn across a blackboard. Just looking at it now just makes me want to puke, violently and indiscriminately.

Oneiric 3

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120176015#Comment_120176015

I haven't been keeping up with the stats very much this last while, but I'll have a look at the national averages regarding wind speeds etc perhaps over this coming weekend. A curious lack of notable wind events as you say, yet.. there is just enough breeze there at times to be annoying, especially when trying to walk or cycle against it.

I think if this longer term pattern holds (which set in in July 2021) then I'd not be surprised if we see yet another heatwave this summer. For some reason, mid Atlantic ridges have become unusually strong within that time frame and extend their influences more readily over Ireland as they normally would. Events such as the wetter periods of the late Autumn and the freeze up during December really only prove to be momentary breaks in this steadfast pattern.

KanyeSouthEast

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120179270#Comment_120179270

Or not as the case may be!

Supercell

Jeeze the wind out this morning would cut you in half, i would take a week long 20C soaring sizzler right now gladly!

Rebelbrowser

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120179450#Comment_120179450

Was it in winter by any chance in which case they may have had a point!

Rebelbrowser

Had the pleasure of being in an alpine resort at 1800m for some of last week. Gorgeous powdery snow everywhere. A crime we don't get more of it here when we are many hundreds of miles further north. Was also fascinating to see a temperature inversion in practice whilst there. The clouds were almost constantly 400m below us at 1400m (which led to some of the most spectacular sunsets I have ever seen - sample attached which to be honest doesn't do justice to what it actually looked like). But it meant that temps were constantly much higher in our village than down below us. Several times it was, say, -3 when I started skiing at resort height but by the time I skied into a village below at 1300m it was -7. So counterintuitive. Definitely better understand what the likes of GL describes as faux cold when you see it in actual action.

highdef

Looking out west at 18:00 in Trim and there's still a bit of light in the sky. If the clock changing ceased and we stayed in Irish Standard Time all year round, this photo would be the scene at 19:00 local time in the month of January. Maybe it will actually happen in the next few years!

Hooter23

Most of the cold has been bottled up in the arctic for much of the winter and now its only a matter of time before its released...so expect extreme winter weather in febuary/march or even well into spring....we will either freeze over or get big storms as the polar air comes south and mixes with mild spring air...we could get a bit of both if we do not get this in ireland it will happen in europe and many other places im sure...Spring is becoming the new Winter

Gonzo

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120183833#Comment_120183833

There is a slight cooling trend now appearing between the 8th and 12th of February, but as of now it's nothing to get excited over. There are a few outliers that get us very cold but there is only a few members doing so. A few of these runs bring cold weather into the east and then it stops so no margin of error. What we need is a bitter easterly that stretches out past us into the Atlantic.

The south-east of Europe and Greece in particular looks like the place to be as they are going to get a prolonged bitterly cold spell with several reloads leading to a 10 to 14 day cold spell with sub zero temperatures by day and night during the first half of February.

nacho libre

Bear in mind none of the members last week were backing the GFS Op when it signalled a Scandi High. So the fact there is a fair few now showing a Scandi High is encouraging. The latest GFS op has the the cold making its way into Ireland. Sometime the op can lead the way against its own members. However without the support of the ECM and the UKMO, its likely the GFS will back down or meet the others halfway, which likely means the deep cold will plunge south eastwards over the continent instead of moving our way. Even If we do miss out, should the high stay firm to the north east this could be the precursor to a very cold spring if it helps to produce a final early warming in late February.

OldRio

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120183833#Comment_120183833

Nah.

Loughc

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120185744#Comment_120185744

Correct.

nacho libre

The latest GFS run has crashed Netweather! Although maybe it's just me it has stopped working for.

Gonzo

Those bitter GFS runs are extreme outliers and no support from any other models so I wouldn't put too much energy into wishing them true yet.

nacho libre

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120186530#Comment_120186530

I do think we will miss out this time. What is likely to happen is the GFS if not a full climbdown in the next couple of days , it will meet the others halfway, which will mean no deep cold for us. The South East of England might get some, but the deepest cold will probably flood south eastwards over the continent.

However I think we may have a cold spring. Some of the recent GFS strat runs indicate it, and some of the pros think it might happen.