Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion: Summer 2022

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119324256#Comment_119324256

Thank you so much i didn't know there was another storm thread, i do love a thunderstorm

WJL

With the heat forecast and the right breakdown we could be in for something epic. A lot has to go right.

Danno

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119324289#Comment_119324289

Agreed, this forecasted setup is decent for a good thundery breakdown, a flabby low of around ~1010hPa drifting north out of biscay while wrapping around hot air on it's NE flank is a good mixture of ingredients - just have to get the mix right now!

Say my name

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119324256#Comment_119324256

Looks very promising this far out. But still far out.

I was looking at the charts this evening and noticed the low forecasted next monday and the direction of air travel on some from spain, portugal for the south east and others the west of Ireland. First thought was thunderstorms. And then I spotted this thread on the main site recent posts.

Hopefully, Hopefully, Hopefully.🤞 😁

WJL

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119324345#Comment_119324345

Perfect scenario! My bullock was killed in 1985..as long as that doesn't happen😅

Say my name

Going to be the longest build up to thunderstorms ever.

Still looking good.

Dazler97

I'm hoping we have a decent thunderstorm, my best one was in France in July 2014, lasted 8 hours 8pm till 4am

Cork2021

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119333971#Comment_119333971

the best one I can remember was around July/august (can’t really remember which month) 2003/4 I was playing an u14 football match and our game had to be called off before half time due to a severe thunderstorm in mallow and from around 4pm onwards that until 3/4am it was constant, I had velux windows and had a perfect view from my bed!

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119333998#Comment_119333998

Omg sounds deadly, fingers crossed we get some decent ones

esposito

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119334090#Comment_119334090

Be great if we got a decent thunderstorm at night. Desperate to see those blue flashes!

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119334152#Comment_119334152

Aw stop 🛑 same here, i do love thunderstorms ⛈️especially at night

spookwoman

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119334278#Comment_119334278

and with no rain.

Storm 10

ME say that the hot spell will break down of Tuesday with thunderstorms

FURTHER OUTLOOK: Very warm or hot conditions are likely to continue into Tuesday but current model indications are for a showery and thundery breakdown from Tuesday night, bringing an end to the hot spell.

 

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119334840#Comment_119334840

I don't mind the rain with them

pad199207

Latest UKV showing some thundery stuff moving into southern areas Tuesday eve but all still too far away to be certain. We wait.

spookwoman

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119338087#Comment_119338087

Make's it impossible to photograph especially when you do have a sheltered spot to stand under

mcburns07

Looks like we might do pretty well out of the breakdown in Cork 😅

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119338448#Comment_119338448

Ye your right i wasn't thinking of that

WJL

From memory there were some decent thunderstorms between 21-28 August 1990. Temps up to 28c too.

Say my name

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119343152#Comment_119343152

Tullamore show was cancelled in 2007 and 08 because of cloudbursts, flooding from thunderstorms.

https://m.independent.ie/weather/chaotic-2007-brought-plenty-of-sun-and-rain-26342107.html

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Ireland_floods

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/record-levels-of-rainfall-seen-in-2008-1.833700

WJL

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119343489#Comment_119343489

Oh yes but it was normal temperatures. 1990 late August was hot days. Thunder in the evening.

Danno

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119343489#Comment_119343489

I'll never forget 2007, think it was in the middle of August and the mother and father of all thunderstorms hit the small town of Mountrath in Laois County. The drifts of hail were multiple of inches if not feet deep. I was in Portlaoise on the day and such was the darkness of the anvil cloud that fork lightning was clearly visible against what was like a night-time section of the western sky. Remember seeing photos and reading reports in the local paper the following edition and metaphorically kicking myself up the rear end for not driving home that way that evening.

Dazler97

I just hope we have great thunderstorms here in Carrick on Shannon on Tuesday but with the rain temperatures will plummet only 18c on the west to 28c on the east, i sense a very unstable atmosphere ahead ⛈️⛈️

pad199207

UKV has some interest over Leinster and E Ulster Tuesday Night

pad199207

They snuck this in

Day 1 Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sat 16 Jul 2022 - 05:59 UTC Sun 17 Jul 2022 

ISSUED 11:29 UTC Sat 16 Jul 2022

ISSUED BY: Dan

While the risk is very low in any one location, a stout EML will advect northeastwards through Saturday evening and night across the Irish Sea and adjacent portions of Britain and Ireland. Gradual moistening of the mid-upper troposphere above this EML in the vicinity of a subtle shortwave cresting the northern periphery of the western Europe ridge may be sufficient to generate some very high-based convection during the overnight period, and hence a low risk of a few lightning strikes. The risk (albeit very low) appears greatest in the northern half of the LOW threat area.

Danno

Looks there could be a storm brewing over central Tipp! Sky is very dark to my west.

pad199207

ECM has a loud Tuesday evening across Leinster

Dazler97

Recent spark, northwest of ballinasloe

teddybones

Anyone any technical insight into the breakdown on Tuesday/Wednesday and potential for some sparks? TIA

The One Doctor

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119347314#Comment_119347314

Lots of energy in the atmosphere from the heat, it's like a boulder at the top of a mountain - one small push and BANG!