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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Spring 2022 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,651 Supercell
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    The fax charts are holding on to settled weather albeit cold and likely cloudy in the north and east. Could be decent conditions in the SW though.

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    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,722 Meteorite58
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    A big flip from the models now showing lower rainfall amounts again, cooler maybe up to about next weekend with the ECM then showing an improvement getting into the mid to high teens or so over the Bank holiday weekend ,modest but welcome if it transpires , GFS not as warm that weekend on it's latest run. Low confidence at present in what way it will go.

    Very low confidence in the longer term forecasts at present, got seriously burnt with the previous strong hint of potential warm temperatures, the models were showing improving runs day by day and then pulled the plug.

    Picking up that at least there could be good spells of sunshine over the coming week and humidity keeping low, with winds from a N'ly direction they are going to have a cooling effect the further N and along the coasts, cool nights for many, jet very fractured and no clear pattern on what kind of weather is going to prevail, maybe keeping mixed perhaps for a time to come, a pattern of cool to near normal with an occasional warmer couple of days perhaps, anyway at least for now not looking as wet.

    modez_20220601_1200_animation.gif modez_20220601_1200_animation (1).gif


    xx_model-en-318-0_modez_2022052712_240_949_157.png


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,722 Meteorite58
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    ECM and GFS ( GFS bit changeable from run to run but the trend is there I think ) now close together on predicting fairly decent temperatures into and over next weekend, high teens low twenty's but both are showing the possibility of widespread frontal rain on B/H Mon associated with an area of LP well off the West coast.

    xx_model-en-318-0_modez_2022052900_204_1642_149.png xx_model-en-318-0_modez_2022052900_204_1642_155.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 286 eon1208
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    Not happy about that low. Is it fairly fixed or could it change this far out..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,466 pauldry
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    This weekend looks promising for Friday Saturday and Sunday before rains return on Monday.

    However I hope it's not a messy cloudy affair with just the sunny day Saturday. However I must say it's great the way Saturday seems to be the best day of the week....every week and Monday the worst. Weather matching moods this year. Like what is this today. Windy n cold rain that would be a torrid day in October 10c.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 The HorsesMouth
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    Had a quick look at the GFS there. So after what looks a decent weekend we are back to a period of rain/showers from Monday and Tuesday. But after that it looks like picking up again from Wednesday with temps starting out in the mid teens and gradually moving up to 20s all the way to the end of the run. Very little rain throughout if any. But as has always been with these charts.. it remains to be seen what will unfold.

    I've only really started to read these charts so if I'm missing something, someone feel free to point it out to me 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,245 squarecircles
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    MT Cranium outlook - several weeks of a mobile westerly regime, so thats june and a good portion of july down the tubes in terms of sustained warmth, sunshine, potential heatwaves or any form of prolonged settle weather -or 'summer' as i believed its called in some regions of the world.

    Time to head to ryanair so.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,426 Gonzo
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    The next 2 weeks genearlly look unsettled for Ireland with low pressure always over Ireland or brushing up along the west coast.

    Untitled Image

    These low pressures will surge heat northwards from Spain across France, into England and on to Scandinavia. Ireland never does well in these situations always staying unsettled and much cooler compared to the continent. Typical Irish summertime Atlantic sourced weather.

    Untitled Image Untitled Image

    Daytime temperatures over the next 2 weeks generally 12 to 18C. Very little sign of any warmth for us.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,405 mcburns07
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    Oh come on. July is almost 5 weeks away, throwing your toys out of the pram isn’t going to change the weather. Can we not stick to facts and charts on this thread instead of unsubstantiated rubbish like this?



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,426 Gonzo
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    Hopefully we will start to see a change in the charts in about a weeks time to a more settled and warmer second half to June. There is a factor that could lead us into having an unsettled summer which is the warmer than average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic to the west and south-west of Ireland. However this warmer than average anomaly has moderated a bit in recent days. We also appear to be getting close to setting up a tripole in the North Atlantic which could have a bearing on this winter if this was to enhance and be sustained throughout the summer and into early Autumn.

    Untitled Image




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 286 eon1208
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    Ouch. Change that outlook quick MT. Lol



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 qzy
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    For some reason I can't find MT's outlook? Could someone point me in the right direction 🙄



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,466 pauldry
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    Nah I'd say first halfof June will be muck but it will pick up in the second half. Still all that blue in the Pacific on above is sign La Nina strong so below normal temperatures in most places worldwide.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,426 Gonzo
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This discussion has been closed.
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