Coronavirus Part IV - 19 cases in ROI, 7 in NI (as of 7 March) *Read warnings in OP*

quokula

Somedaythefire wrote: »

You can't seriously be comparing an annual number against one from 3 weeks, can you?

First of all, the yearly flu numbers are also concentrated into a small period, it's not spread through the year. The current virus is unlikely to last that long either, but if you do extrapolate the 3 weeks out to a year you still end up with a far smaller number.

Somebody will say "oh but it's exponential" - all stats that we have of the outbreak at a more advanced stage show that it tapers off and doesn't stay exponential. You end up with a bell curve, which is consistent with flu. The key is when it peaks and all mitigation steps like hand washing flatten that bell curve which is why they're important.

TheMilkyPirate

Wexford campus of IT Carlow closed apparently

jam_mac_jam

Oh god. The flu arguing is still going on.

cameramonkey

is_that_so wrote: »

Death rate Ireland currently 0% too.

Singapore has 120 cases with 82 recovered, first case Feb 4th so its a horse of a different colour.

saabsaab

Retail owners/managers will have to be extra careful with staff protection. Just imagine a till operator catches this and their close colleagues are put into isolation and the shop/supermarket is closed and deep cleaned. Public will stay even if it reopens!

gabeeg

2ndcoming wrote: »

Italy has the oldest population in Europe. It was uncontained in a hospital housing a huge number of elderly patients.

Italy (and France) have also stopped counting symptomless positive tests.

They did this to reduce their overall number because it was scary looking, but really all they've done is make their death rate look worse than it is.

Kermit.de.frog

BLIZZARD7 wrote: »

Switzerland @ 214, up 94 cases today so far.

Jesus. They will struggle to cope from now on.

josip

Rob A. Bank wrote: »

Distribution of laboratory confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the EU/EEA and the UK, as of 6 March 2020

Daily cases in Europe beginning to form the classic bell shaped epidemic curve.

When will we hit the peak ?

:-(

Looks to me that we're still in concave upward.

Duke of Url

str8talkingguy wrote: »

I don't need to read some business page to figure it,i just need to use my brain.You maybe should try it.

If lots of people are self isolating there is gonna be more people on facebook,using the internet,you telling me netflix isn't gonna through the roof and more people are not gonna be ordering online?

Facebook down 2.70 %

Google down 3.43%

Netflix down 1.37%

Miike

gabeeg wrote: »

Italy (and France) have also stopped counting symptomless positive tests.

They did this to reduce their overall number because it was scary looking, but really all they've done is make their death rate look worse than it is.

Source of this information?

circadian

moonlighting_1 wrote: »

Americans starting to panic

Capitalism cashing in. Round the clock deliveries, news reporters in to boost the visibility. Pretty sure bog roll won't run out unless everyone is doing exactly this.

Scotty #

jam_mac_jam wrote: »

Oh god. The flu arguing is still going on.

Have you a better yard stick?

Kermit.de.frog

cameramonkey wrote: »

Singapore has 120 cases with 82 recovered, first case Feb 4th so its a horse of a different colour.

Had it's highest increase yet of 14 new cases today.

babybuilder

is_that_so wrote: »

From The Guardian feed @14.06 today

Germany as other European countries has an aging population. They've probably done the algorithms and epidemiological and statistical analysis and concluded that the healthier and younger members won't be affected. Maybe same here.

Morrisseeee

This thread is spreading faster than the Corona virus :eek:

cameramonkey

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Had it's highest increase yet of 14 new cases today.

It did, I am sure people will die in Singapore of this virus but at the moment they are doing a good job.

DrumSteve

quokula wrote: »

First of all, the yearly flu numbers are also concentrated into a small period, it's not spread through the year. The current virus is unlikely to last that long either, but if you do extrapolate the 3 weeks out to a year you still end up with a far smaller number.

Somebody will say "oh but it's exponential" - all stats that we have of the outbreak at a more advanced stage show that it tapers off and doesn't stay exponential. You end up with a bell curve, which is consistent with flu. The key is when it peaks and all mitigation steps like hand washing flatten that bell curve which is why they're important.

That's because China recreated The Simpsons Movie in Wuhan.

Ironically, to paraphrase Chief Wiggum, it's not China's problem now.

ceadaoin.

screamer wrote: »

Paddy’s day parades
Wuhan had the pot luck gathering
We can have the pot a gold gathering
It really worked out well in wuhan didn’t it

I doubt many would go to the parade anyway if it does go ahead. Its not compulsory.

str8talkingguy

Duke of Url wrote: »

Facebook down 2.70 %

Google down 3.43%

Netflix down 1.37%

So boards is just an anomaly right,and all other internet sites aren't brimming with people like this is here,must be just us Irish then right?

Share prices can be manipulated by large shareholders,they wouldn't wanna be seen to be capitalizing on this.

darjeeling

DrumSteve wrote: »

The Iranians currently have a CFR of 2.6%...

Italy has a CFR of 3.8%.

What the hell is going on in Italy?

Massive under-recording of cases.

If there were only ~4k cases, there is no way that so many people flying out of northern Italy would have been infected as we've seen.

Dotsie~tmp

circadian wrote: »

Capitalism cashing in. Round the clock deliveries, news reporters in to boost the visibility. Pretty sure bog roll won't run out unless everyone is doing exactly this.

Shut it commie.

skimpydoo

DOCARCH wrote: »

That'll be a big blow for the DLRCC gritter truck/snow plough driver!

Don't forget Shane Ross

DrumSteve

darjeeling wrote: »

Massive under-recording of cases.

If there were only ~4k cases, there is no way that so many people flying out of northern Italy would have been infected as we've seen.

If you apply SK's criteria to Italy, your looking at at least 16k cases.

Drumpot

josip wrote: »

Turbulence is just potholes in the sky.
I honestly can't remember the last time a plane I was on crashed because of turbulence.

There are potholes in the sky? :eek:

Ah no, it’s more being thousands of feet in the air, flying hundreds of miles an hour in a tin can that has me freaked! Prob a bit of claustrophobia aswell. :pac:

Somedaythefire

quokula wrote: »

First of all, the yearly flu numbers are also concentrated into a small period, it's not spread through the year. The current virus is unlikely to last that long either, but if you do extrapolate the 3 weeks out to a year you still end up with a far smaller number.

Somebody will say "oh but it's exponential" - all stats that we have of the outbreak at a more advanced stage show that it tapers off and doesn't stay exponential. You end up with a bell curve, which is consistent with flu. The key is when it peaks and all mitigation steps like hand washing flatten that bell curve which is why they're important.

the flu season, and thus the amount of time for deaths to happen, is also longer than 3 weeks. Those numbers were wrong in the first place.

Lads, whats the point in fighting this????

Knowledgeable posters with obvious scientific backgrounds/PhDs (definitely not hysterical loons) have said it is some kind of mixture between SARS/HIV/Black plague. We are doomed anyway.

Kermit.de.frog

https://twitter.com/nerd_hawk/status/1235800486063685633

Duke of Url

str8talkingguy wrote: »

So boards is just an anomaly right,and all other internet sites aren't brimming with people like this is here,must be just us Irish then right?

Share prices can be manipulated by large shareholders,they wouldn't wanna be seen to be capitalizing on this.

The Share Price is is what makes companies go Boom or Bust.

jam_mac_jam

Scotty # wrote: »

Have you a better yard stick?

No. It's new. So we don't know.

Might as well compare it to anything. We don't know what the stats are yet. Its too early.

Comparisons to the flu are about as relevant to waving a yardstick around.

Same arguements every few pages from the just a flu bro are clogging up the thread with the same thing. Over and over.

Assetbacked

Deleted User wrote: »

Lads, whats the point in fighting this????

Knowledgeable posters with obvious scientific backgrounds/PhDs (definitely not hysterical loons) have said it is some kind of mixture between SARS/HIV/Black plague. We are doomed anyway.

Would you say it's time to crack open each other's skulls and feast on the goo inside?