Storm Brendan Monday 13 Jan 2020 ** See Mod note in OP before posting**

Snow Garden

obi604 wrote: »

Hi. When is it meant to hit the west coast? Any high level guideline on the time.

Orange warning valid from 5am to 9pm in west

Kal3

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

Important to put things in perspective.

Arpege 36 member ensemble is giving very little risk of wind gusts above 120km/hr penetrating any further than the immediate coast.




Quite high probability of wind gusts exceeding 100km/hr nationally though.




So apart from the odd outlier like the ICON, this has been well handled by MET and will be a high end yellowy orange widely and a solid orange at the coast.

The dates in these charts are Tuesday 14th and Wed 15th??

Icyseanfitz

easypazz wrote: »

The problem is that if they go red there will be a countywide shutdown wherever they call it.

Then you will have businesses in say, Portumna, disrupted unnecessarily if the warning is only warranted in say Clifden.

Yeah I understand that, where I am in Kerry will probably get battered but east Kerry will probably be okay. In the same breath when it comes to people's lives, better safe than sorry in my opinion

ninebeanrows

Kal3 wrote: »

The dates in these charts are Tuesday 14th and Wed 15th??

It doesn't make a difference, they both encompass the event. It is the maximum forecast wind gust from time 0 to the forecast time....in this instance t48 and t66...bit confusing but no bothered editing as makes no difference!.

NomadicGray

Imelda Moore Rouse
‏ @mooreimel
2h2 hours ago
Replying to @deric_tv

"Thank you, Deric. It is good to be forearmed! "


idiots the lot

TomOnBoard

I have a Ruanair flight due to land at 13.00 on Monday.

Looking at Ventusky, I am seeing gusts into the region of 60-70 MPH for that time around the Airport.

I looks like serious sick bag territory or delay/cancellation.. Really not looking forward to this trip at all... :-(

Super-Rush

Super-Rush wrote: »

Willfully not staying updated to hear of any changes to a well publicised warning is just brain-dead.

Any person who has to travel tomorrow and doesn't check radio, TV or internet updates before leaving the bouse is looking for trouble.

Unless your power goes and mobile signal goes down then you have no excuse in these types of conditions.

Many people don't check media and that's not a crime in itself. Might be hard for the media bubble junkies like us on boards to understand, but it is a fact.

Mortelaro

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Many people don't check media and that's not a crime in itself. Might be hard for the media bubble junkies like us on boards to understand, but it is a fact.

Doesn't make those many people any the less stupid though

jimbobaloobob

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/1216452337331527683



Acording to their tweet there, theres a Red level warning at sea and in coastal areas. (does that not mean some counties must be red level by their coastline or do you have to be in the sea to fall under that red warning on both counts?

Icyseanfitz

jimbobaloobob wrote: »

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/1216452337331527683



Acording to their tweet there, theres a Red level warning at sea and in coastal areas. (does that not mean some counties must be red level by their coastline or do you have to be in the sea to fall under that red warning on both counts?

Confusing as hell, I live 1km from the coast

sdanseo

Interestingly Knock and Dublin TAFs both predicting the same peak wind 55kt gusts (up to 17Z tomorrow, event will persist longer).
Knock between 1100-1300hrs
Dublin between 1300-1500
Cork forecasting 60kt gusts between 0800-1000 (elevation >500ft ASL)

New Dublin & Cork TAFs out in a few minutes, Knock won't get a new one until 11 am because we can't even manage to forecast more than 2 airports at night in Ireland

EIKN 121700Z 1218/1318 20009KT 9999 SCT020 TEMPO 1218/1219 -SHRA SCT018CB BECMG 1300/1302 18018G30KT BECMG 1305/1307 16025G45KT BECMG 1309/1311 16032G55KT 4000 RA BKN008 OVC018 TEMPO 1311/1318 +SHRA BKN018CB BECMG 1316/1318 22021G42KT 9999 BKN020

TAF: EIDW 121700Z 1218/1318 21008KT 9999 SCT018 BECMG 1222/1224 22013G23KT BECMG 1303/1305 19015G30KT BECMG 1307/1309 17026G42KT TEMPO 1311/1317 4000 RA BKN008 BECMG 1313/1315 22025G55KT BECMG 1315/1317 22024G40KT

TAF: EICK 121700Z 1218/1318 22012KT 9999 SCT020 PROB30 TEMPO 1218/1219 -SHRA SCT018CB BECMG 1301/1303 21020G33KT BECMG 1306/1308 18030G50KT 4000 RA BKN006 OVC012 BECMG 1308/1310 18036G60KT TEMPO 1310/1313 1500 +RA BKN004 OVC010 BECMG 1313/1315 23022G40KT 9999 -SHRA SCT018CB

TAF: EINN 121704Z 1218/1318 21010KT 9999 SCT020 TEMPO 1218/1219 -SHRA SCT018CB BECMG 1302/1304 18019G30KT BECMG 1306/1308 17025G45KT BECMG 1309/1311 18033G55KT 4000 RA BKN010 OVC020 TEMPO 1311/1313 BKN018CB BECMG 1313/1315 21025G42KT BECMG 1314/1316 9999 SHRA BKN020CB

Decoded here: https://en.allmetsat.com/metar-taf/united-kingdom-ireland.php?icao=EIDW

TomOnBoard wrote: »

I have a Ruanair flight due to land at 13.00 on Monday.

Looking at Ventusky, I am seeing gusts into the region of 60-70 MPH for that time around the Airport.

I looks like serious sick bag territory or delay/cancellation.. Really not looking forward to this trip at all... :-(

I'm certain all flights operated by ATR42/72 aircraft will be cancelled for most of the day - Aer Lingus Regional schedule will go haywire

At Dublin specifically I would say it is likely there could be further delays and cancellations. Peak winds will be a direct crosswind for the main runway 10/28 and R16 has limited distance available.

Gaoth Laidir

Let it be said now...

Deric Ó hArtagáin is an idiot for posting that map.

Of course, Met Éireann will be the ones to get the flack on the chin now with that going around.

Snow Garden

NomadicGray wrote: »

Imelda Moore Rouse
‏ @mooreimel
2h2 hours ago
Replying to @deric_tv

"Thank you, Deric. It is good to be forearmed! "


idiots the lot

Deric wants to be the new George Lee. He should get ridiculed for that move tomorrow.

Pangea

Schools closed in Clifden tomorrow

Dank Janniels

Surely as a weather presenter he would only be dealing with Met Eireann +the data they give the tv stations?

Mortelaro

jimbobaloobob wrote: »

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/1216452337331527683



Acording to their tweet there, theres a Red level warning at sea and in coastal areas. (does that not mean some counties must be red level by their coastline or do you have to be in the sea to fall under that red warning on both counts?

Its semantics
Its covering bases quite well though as regards avoiding the official red on land if possible
Kudos if its intentional as its a carefully clever use of the tools in the box

sdanseo

Deric is entitled to a differing opinion than MÉ - he is after all not affiliated with them but neither is he a meteorologist.

He did put up a very large capitalised caveat with the picture but I think in his specific position his responsibility to not post disinformation outweighs the expectation that sheeple should be expected to ready the bloody caption.

Everyone loses.

Oscar Bravo

sdanseo wrote: »

Interestingly Knock and Dublin TAFs both predicting the same peak wind 55kt gusts (up to 17Z tomorrow, event will persist longer).
Knock between 1100-1300hrs
Dublin between 1300-1500
Cork forecasting 60kt gusts between 0800-1000 (elevation >500ft ASL)

New Dublin & Cork TAFs out in a few minutes, Knock won't get a new one until 11 am because we can't even manage to forecast more than 2 airports at night in Ireland





I'm certain all flights operated by ATR42/72 aircraft will be cancelled for most of the day - Aer Lingus Regional schedule will go haywire

At Dublin specifically I would say it is highly likely there will be further delays and cancellations especially to long haul. Peak winds will be a direct crosswind for the main runway 10/28 and A330 + cannot take off for the US from Runway 16. Too heavy.

Not sure what your on about there....Knock 2300 TAF is out now... we can manage a few more than 2 airports

Meteorite58

EUMESAT 22.00

sdanseo

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Not sure what your on about there....Knock 2300 TAF is out now... we can manage a few more than 2 airports

Jasus you're right. Apologies.
No METARs after a certain time but still TAFs.
Done remotely from Shannon or Dublin presumably?

billie1b

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Not sure what your on about there....Knock 2300 TAF is out now... we can manage a few more than 2 airports

Plus I’ve seen plenty off A330’s/777’s etc take off from RWY 16/34 in DUB heading stateside and the middle east

squarecircles

MARINE WARNING


STATUS RED - GALE WARNING
Southerly winds will reach storm force during Monday on all Irish coastal waters and on the Irish sea, with violent storm force winds expected at times on western coasts between Mizen Head and Malin Head.

red warning not exclusively out at sea so it appears. Clever way of avoiding issuing a full blown red alert.

well done met eireann,very crafty this time,all bases covered.

diceyd

Stay safe everyone, especially Graces7, we all love your lovely posts.

sdanseo

billie1b wrote: »

Plus I’ve seen plenty off A330’s/777’s etc take off from RWY 16/34 in DUB heading stateside and the middle east

I could well be wrong. I've landed on 16 several times on board, but have never seen them take off on it. Only 2000m/6500ft available.

East coast maybe, as wouldn't be full? West coast surely not.

Oscar Bravo

Airport TAF's 11pm

Max gust forecast

Dublin:52 knots between 11am-1pm
Knock:55 knots between 9am-11am (second core of strong gusts around 4pm gusting 55 knots)
Shannon:54 knots between 9am-11am
Cork :60 knots between 9am-11am

sunbeam

Our local secondary school in Achill is closed tomorrow too.

SleetAndSnow

This is gonna be a great first day back to Uni

Mortelaro

Mortelaro wrote: »

Doesn't make those many people any the less stupid though

Doesn't make you any the more smarter neither.

unplayable

Meant to land into cork at 9.30am/9.45am from Stansted what chances of that.

TTLF

Woah woah woah, I take a break to go Win the BT Young Scientist Analog devices award, and I come back to a sudden Orange warning for the whole country?!

what the hell can someone catch me up here