Peter Casey to contest the European elections

SirGerryAdams

Really hope he runs for Dail. It will happen within months.

VinLieger

SirGerryAdams wrote: »

Really hope he runs for Dail. It will happen within months.

He's very unlikely to win a dail seat based off last weeks performance unless he aligns to a party and i can't see any of the main ones taking him on.

The only way he has a chance is via much larger elections like the Euro's or the Presidency when it boils down to Dail constituencies he doesnt have broad enough appeal to be an independent

eagle eye

This next count in MNW is the big one Casey likely to get a lot of transfers here and he needs a hell of a lot. It's Eames after that and you wouldn't expect Walsh to get many of those because Eames is against same sex marriage.

blanch152

VinLieger wrote: »

He's very unlikely to win a dail seat based off last weeks performance unless he aligns to a party and i can't see any of the main ones taking him on.

The only way he has a chance is via much larger elections like the Euro's or the Presidency when it boils down to Dail constituencies he doesnt have broad enough appeal to be an independent

He might take a seat in Donegal.

is_that_so

eagle eye wrote: »

This next count in MNW is the big one Casey likely to get a lot of transfers here and he needs a hell of a lot. It's Eames after that and you wouldn't expect Walsh to get many of those because Eames is against same sex marriage.

Actually it will probably be both Healy-Eames & Hannigan at the same time. She'll get some from both. Again aim is just to stay ahead. If Rabbitte transfer tallies to Smith are correct it will be lights out for Casey.

blanch152

eagle eye wrote: »

This next count in MNW is the big one Casey likely to get a lot of transfers here and he needs a hell of a lot. It's Eames after that and you wouldn't expect Walsh to get many of those because Eames is against same sex marriage.

Casey has been getting less transfers than Walsh and McHugh. So has Carthy by the way.

Walsh has been keeping her own versus McHugh. Difficult to see past Carthy and Walsh for the last two seats. McHugh might catch Casey but she won't catch Carthy. She also has to watch Smith coming up behind.

The real race is the race for fifth between Casey, Smith and McHugh. Unfortunately, there is no prize.

VinLieger

blanch152 wrote: »

He might take a seat in Donegal.

Doubtful, he's likely to get some transfer off PBP and LAB but not off any of the others tbh, its very likely that once Anne Rabbitte is eliminated Smith could leapfrog him and I still think the Green candidate could get ahead of him as he's simply not transfer friendly

is_that_so

Casey got 800 more votes than Walsh in Count 7 ( O'Dowd elimination) but still over 12000 behind.

Obvious Desperate Breakfasts

blanch152 wrote: »

Casey has been getting less transfers than Walsh and McHugh. So has Carthy by the way.

Walsh has been keeping her own versus McHugh. Difficult to see past Carthy and Walsh for the last two seats. McHugh might catch Casey but she won't catch Carthy. She also has to watch Smith coming up behind.

The real race is the race for fifth between Casey, Smith and McHugh. Unfortunately, there is no prize.

In Count 7, Casey got a good deal more transfers than Walsh. But I think in all the others, she got more. So she’ll probably be stay ahead.

is_that_so

Obvious Desperate Breakfasts wrote: »

In Count 7, Casey got a good deal more transfers than Walsh. But I think in all the others, she got more. So she’ll probably be stay ahead.

Well 650 more, barely moves the needle at all. Healy-Eames got the biggest chunk.

Cienciano

is_that_so wrote: »

Well 650 more, barely moves the needle at all. Healy-Eames got the biggest chunk.

If people are voting for Fidelma Healy-Eames we need to scrap democracy, we're too stupid to handle it.

dxhound2005

Cienciano wrote: »

If people are voting for Fidelma Healy-Eames we need to scrap democracy, we're too stupid to handle it.

If people want to scrap democracy they are stupid.

pjohnson

Cienciano wrote: »

If people are voting for Fidelma Healy-Eames we need to scrap democracy, we're too stupid to handle it.

Tbf if they put Eames before Casey in preference they have some hope :pac:

LuasSimon

Casey should have stuck to the traveller issue ... at least most immigrants do a days work and contribute to society and don’t go round robbing anything not bolted down

SirGerryAdams

https://twitter.com/MarianHarkin/status/1133451642031005698

Princess Consuela Bananahammock

LuasSimon wrote: »

Casey should have stuck to the traveller issue ... at least most immigrants do a days work and contribute to society and don’t go round robbing anything not bolted down

Said it before, saying it again: should have gone for environmentalism if he wanted votes.

Galwayguy35

The D4 media had him all but written off before the election, he slipped up criticizing the EE but despite it all he will end up with a decent enough vote.

is_that_so

SirGerryAdams wrote: »

https://twitter.com/MarianHarkin/status/1133451642031005698

So the only fight is over who called it first!:rolleyes:

Galwayguy35

Princess Consuela Bananahammock wrote: »

Said it before, saying it again: should have gone for environmentalism if he wanted votes.

Didn't do McHugh any good when it's all said and done, this Green Wave that was being talked up will end up as a Green puddle.

is_that_so

Princess Consuela Bananahammock wrote: »

Said it before, saying it again: should have gone for environmentalism if he wanted votes.

He couldn't hold a coherent thought on that for more than a second!

is_that_so

Galwayguy35 wrote: »

Didn't do McHugh any good when it's all said and done, this Green Wave that was being talked up will end up as a Green puddle.

Worked well for them in councils but predominantly in urban areas.

is_that_so

Hannigan elimination

COUNT 9
Carthy + 1377 = 82,921
Casey + 857 = 61,616
Flanagan + 1560 = 91,747
McHugh + 3187 = 58,642
Walsh + 1851 = 74,116

Healy Eames elimination next and that will probably be it for the night.

Galwayguy35

is_that_so wrote: »

Worked well for them in councils but predominantly in urban areas.

The next GE which might be in the next few months will be the real test, FG know they will get it in the neck on the doors in rural areas if they put up the price of heating fuel.

Things could turn very sour for the Greens when they are put under pressure to admit that voters will have to pay more to turn Green.

is_that_so

Galwayguy35 wrote: »

The next GE which might be in the next few months will be the real test, FG know they will get it in the neck on the doors in rural areas if they put up the price of heating fuel.

Things could turn very sour for the Greens when they are put under pressure to admit that voters will have to pay more to turn Green.

It will still be FG or FF + in government anyway. The Greens could get as high as six and Labour might creep up to, dare I say, double figures. Either of the big parties will agree to some of what the Greens want to do but not necessarily to all of it.

JohnnyFlash

SirGerryAdams wrote: »

https://twitter.com/MarianHarkin/status/1133451642031005698

Ming has never been very good at accepting constructive criticism. It’s easy to forget how much of a crank he really is.

Sonny noggs

JohnnyFlash wrote: »

Ming has never been very good at accepting constructive criticism. It’s easy to forget how much of a crank he really is.

Withdrawal symptoms maybe?

Nobelium

McHugh could have picked up a seat like the greens in the other EU constituencies if she hadn't gone for the cheap ad homiem personal attacks instead debating actual policy.

batgoat

Nobelium wrote: »

hello new poster, how's the post count coming on ? What were you banned for last time / how many accounts have you now ?

Your account is a month old... But are shouting at another poster for being new...

LuckyLloyd

JohnnyFlash wrote: »

Ming has never been very good at accepting constructive criticism. It’s easy to forget how much of a crank he really is.

Except in this case he’s spot on. Journalist obviously didn’t like being called out on peddling rubbish to people who can’t read a count.

FrancieBrady

So it looks like Peter has fought three elections and lost three...is it time for him to fall on his sword?