Longshot Value at Cheltenham

longshotvalue · 14-03-2019 6:20am

TallyRand wrote: »

Are you up or down at the half way stage?

Down about 14-15 points .

Big day today loads of points at stake

sasta le · 14-03-2019 6:45am

aidankkk wrote: »

Down about 14-15 points .

Big day today loads of points at stake

Any good e/w for today

coillsaille · 14-03-2019 9:33am

Is Romain de Senaim a non runner?

Angliru · 14-03-2019 9:40am

coillsaille wrote: »

Is Romain de Senaim a non runner?

Yeah Nicholls said ground won't suit.

RivetingRoger · 14-03-2019 9:58am

Any opinion on Cuneo in the pertemps Aidan? Big price

Jayo11780 · 14-03-2019 10:01am

Lads Pravalaguna at 16/1 is super value in the first given what I’ve seen of her last two runs..
She gets a mares allowance too which definitely ties her in with market principles.

asteroids over berlin · 14-03-2019 10:08am

Jayo11780 wrote: »

Lads Pravalaguna at 16/1 is super value in the first given what I’ve seen of her last two runs..
She gets a mares allowance too which definitely ties her in with market principles.

no chance

RivetingRoger · 14-03-2019 10:15am

asteroids over berlin wrote: »

no chance

Have you no radio host to be bothering with your BS

JustJoe7240 · 14-03-2019 10:18am

Can ye lads jog on over to the cheltenham thread? Getting notifications for this thread, And i have zero interest in reading your fancies.

longshotvalue · 14-03-2019 10:42am

1:30 JLT
Mengli Khan looks the value here. He has soft ground festival form in last years Supreme, and only his last run is a big negative on basically firm ground. He really should improve for soft and in a tight race 16/1 looks decent
1 Point win 16/1

longshotvalue · 14-03-2019 10:50am

2:10
Wait for me owes me a decent run, and I think he was eye-catching last time out. He has been kept since then and is certainly of a workable mark. We’ll take a punt at 40/1
1 Point EW 40/1 6 places paddy/betfair

longshotvalue · 14-03-2019 11:02am

3:30
Sam Spinner just needs a better ride to get involved in the finish here. I think he still has plenty of class and stays well at the end of his races.40/1 with 4 places is certainly value.
1 Point EW 40/1 4 places vc/corla/betway/tote

longshotvalue · 14-03-2019 11:03am

aidankkk wrote: »

Ryanair Chase

The top of the market for this race is mad at the moment with most of them not showing up here for this race. Monalee and Politologue look the most likely favs on the day. I’ve had Coney Island in mind for this since his very good run at Leopardstown over Christmas and I just can’t get over his price at the moment. He is a very lightly raced horse with bags of potential and in my view this is his trip. He really ran well in the Savills chase when a poor jump at the last and perhaps a lack of staying power cost him what looked a likely place. He has had a lovely prep with only 2 runs this year both with promise and considering his novice form I think he is the forgotten horse in this market. He hasn’t been entered in the Gold Cup, so hopefully this is his target. The trainer’s horses always run well at the festival and I’m sure he will get there in top shape. If he does he will go of about 10/1 or lower. 33/1 NRNB is great price with no risk.
2 Points EW 33/1 NRNB 365 ¼ place 1/5th place SKY

Running today. Still the same price. I was able to cash out The 365 bet to full value and bet with VC at the same price with 4 places.

Anyone who hasn't backed it id be taking the 4 places

longshotvalue · 14-03-2019 11:11am

5:30
ArkWrisht is one I’ve been following all year. He hasn’t gone well so far but this test today will be right up his street. Have a look at the Irish Grand National last year in Heavy Ground, he was right beside Bellshill jumping the last and got taken out. Waiting for the morning price hasn’t worked out as we’ve missed the 40/1
2 Points EW 5 place 33/1 GEN

longshotvalue · 14-03-2019 11:28am

4:10
Kings Odyssey looks a short price to get involved in the finished here. He was 3rd last year in 3 of these races on soft over course and distance. He is of a lower mark here and the rain is a huge help
2 Points EW 5places 25/1 vc/fred/tote

longshotvalue · 14-03-2019 12:01pm

4:50
I’m always going for a Mullins Outsider here and his comments re Allez Dance are just too interesting for a 66/1 shot. The man can train mares.
1 Point EW 66/1 4 place vc

Father Hernandez · 14-03-2019 2:37pm

aidankkk wrote: »

1:30 JLT
Mengli Khan looks the value here. He has soft ground festival form in last years Supreme, and only his last run is a big negative on basically firm ground. He really should improve for soft and in a tight race 16/1 looks decent
1 Point win 16/1

Great shout Aidan

bladespin · 14-03-2019 2:40pm

Awesome!

Sultan of Bling · 14-03-2019 2:48pm

Father Hernandez wrote:

Great shout Aidan

Not for Aidan unfortunately as he had him to win.

maximoose · 14-03-2019 4:39pm

aidankkk wrote: »

3:30
Sam Spinner just needs a better ride to get involved in the finish here. I think he still has plenty of class and stays well at the end of his races.40/1 with 4 places is certainly value.
1 Point EW 40/1 4 places vc/corla/betway/tote

Great shout again!!