Fancies For Today III

bassy

5.15 heliers bay 5/1 sligo

zimmermania

The Lowther Stakes at 1.50 is a group 2 for fillies that always attracts a top class field and is often won by a lightly raced filly on the way up.

Ocasionally the race in won by one who has had a good few runs and i am hoping that DESERT DREAMER who is having her 7th run can make her experience count and get her head in front after some near misses.

She is 3 lbs better off with Sandrine who beat her a length and a quarter last time,DESERT DREAMER comes from behind and her run has to be well timed.Oisin Murphy excels on horses who come late and after being on board for her last 3 narrow defeats will be anxious to get it right this time.

At 7/1 is an ew value bet.

zimmermania

I was lucky perhaps?Desert Dreamer ran well and was staying in close home when her saddle slipped (its well worth watching the replay)she was passed by one or 2 horses but she got back up where it counted.

It was remarkable that she got back up,so i am going to believe i was lucky. If the saddle slipped at at other time in the race she would have been pulled up and instead of a small profit i would have lost a few quid.

thesandeman

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117778417#Comment_117778417

Seen that. First thing that came into my head was that she had broke down. I was delighted when I saw her coming back. I didn't care about the money.

zimmermania

She deserves to win a group race as she is so game and always does her best.

zimmermania

Suesa looks the days best bet in the Nunthorpe stakes at York.

A 5 furlong dash for speed merchants looks just the job for Suesa and with PP going 4 places I had a good ew bet.

The 3 oc at York should be won by Lusail there is a tenner back if placed 2nd 3rd or 4th with Pp and it looks a very safe bet that Lusail will be placed but a win is very likely.

Chancer3001

cheers zim. had a tenner on lusail at 10/3

zimmermania

Well you got 7 to2

Chancer3001

not with skybet. They dont offer best odds on any romoted race.

Promotion was 10 back if 2nd 3rd or 4th tho so a solid promotion

zimmermania

Suesa was stone last a couple of furlongs out made up a huge amount of ground to get the place money so a decent profit and not complaing too much.

zimmermania

Really good competitive card at York tomorrow.

Moshaawer is drawn ok in 17 in the 2.25 and will run well paddy goes 6 places online so an ew bet

Mitbaahy has a good bit to find with a few in the listed race at 4.10 but could find it,sold ew.

Fishable has a weight pull with a few from the last run and can repay ew support.

I have not finished trying to find the Ebor winner yet but will try to find one that will be competitive from a reasonable (high) high draw before the morning.

zimmermania

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117782765#Comment_117782765

Fishable runs in the 4.45 York and is freely available at 14s 5 places.

Oisin Murphy has 5 rides at Sandown for Andrew Balding looks like having a few winners,one that interests me at around 9/1 is PIVOINE in the 3,15.

The Gosdens have a very short one in this and while the horse (Poet of Life) could turn out to be very good has beaten very little so far winning easily in a class 5 last time.Meets some useful handicappers in a class 2 now and is very short at 6/4.

The value bet for me is PIVOINE who has won off a mark of 104,races off 94 now and represents ew value having run well last time and suited by the course and trip.

Finally i will not be betting on the Ebor,i could pick 6 and not get a placed horse so i will give it a miss.

zimmermania

ONLY THE BRAVE 4.30 Salisbury must have a very good chance today in a ladies race for amateur riders,with probably the best rider,Brodie Hampson on board and from the yard of Archie Watson the horse will go close.

Given too much to do last time i fully expect the mare to her head in front and the fitting of a first time visor may help 3/1 everywhere.

Another mare OUTONPATROL 2,10 Bangor is my only other bet in a 3 mile handicap chase.

She has not run for 50 days but if ready to go is an ew bet at 10/1,one of two 7 year olds in the race she may still be improving and taking her fitness on trust 10/1 may be a bit generous.

zimmermania

Outonpatrol continues to drift and unless there is some money for the horse I would be inclined to wait closer to the off before deciding to get involved.

zimmermania

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117796465#Comment_117796465

Money for the horse so I had my ew bet,now sorry i didnt take the 10s lol

Chancer3001

Jamil is 40/1 in the 1.30 at Catterick tomorrow.

The odds speak for themselves. 66s probabaly available if a man shopped around.

Used to be a decent horse. Totally lost its way of late.

But has won at catterick before.

Goes best on slow ground so if theres any rain (good to soft at the min) ill have an ew shot at it. 4places with skybet.

bassy

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117799369#Comment_117799369

Chancer Goodman ☺️☺️🤣😆

Chancer3001

Going actually improved (good) so i stayed away. Hope others did too

zimmermania

Sam Maximus has run a few very good races and was very close to some speedy types in the Gimcrack and may be too good for the home team.,Millie has improved over hurdles this year and a tiny improvement would enable her to win at Hamilton.

zimmermania

NECTARINE is the complete outsider in the 7.15 at the Curragh but she gets weight in this nursery.

All the top trainers have runners but i have a feeling NECTARINE will outrun her odds (33/1 or better) and a few quid ew on the filly may give a return.

zimmermania

Good racing today and hopefully we may back a few winners .

Judicial 3.15 Bev is a bit of a specialist at the track and with Pp going 4 places I backed it ew.

Perotto 3.35 Goodwood has a bit to find but is very game and at 10s is worth a small bet ew.

Cambridgeshire looks a good bet in the 5.05 Newmarket.

Chief of Chiefs at 14 to1 is worth a little ew in the2.45 Newmarket.

Go on Chez was very impressive first time over fences from the point point fields and a good judge told me it has a bright future and will defy a rise in the weights in the 5.15 Cartmel at around 4 to1 and finally Teona has a lot of class and may find the 6oc at Windsor easy pickings.

zimmermania

Bank holiday in the UK and lots of meetings so i picked out 3 that i think should qo well.

SOLAR IMPULSE would be going for 5 on the trot except for falling with the race won and can defy a penalty in the 4.45 Cartmel.

KETTLE HILL gave 5 lbs to Garden Oasis when beaten a head last time,an unlucky loser then and should have no trouble turning the tables in the 3.40 at Ripon now 4 lbs better of and on a stiff track.

MY BROTHER MICK caused a shock last time beating two he meets again on worse terms but he should beat them again and has the same amateur jock on board in this contest confined to amateur riders in the 4.50 Ripon.

zimmermania

No joy today as the three I fancied failed to sparkle.

Backing one at a big price ew in the 6.15 Roscommon .Stylistic Approach has been off for a while but that should not prevent a good run at around 11 or 12 to 1.

ShamoBuc

18.45 Roscommon Shamad e/w at 18/1 4 places

Edit - poor

hudhastings

622 down royal silent performeance half danxied after second last time

hudhastings

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117843219#Comment_117843219

Trying to get it going it's quite a lot. He got up easy enough had bit of info there and they payed 1/4 which was good these days. On a bad run so good to get 1 back off the collectors will try post up if any other infos with proper spelling.

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zimmermania

I think EMBOUR is a decent ew bet in the 1.10 at Doncaster,EMBOUR takes plenty of racing and last won in april,a class 3 off 90.

The gelding has run 10 times since,8 class 2s,1 class 3 and 1 class 4 when he was beaten a head,he runs off 87 here and his rider takes off 3 lbs in a race confined to ladies.

With a good rider up,exactly 8 runners EMBOUR must be a very good ew bet at 6s,he gives 8 lbs to the short priced fav Lord P who has won its last two but a 9 lbs rise may be be too much or the fav and i expect EMBOUR to come out on top.

realdanbreen

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117866217#Comment_117866217

Embour is a non runner I'm afraid Zim

zimmermania

One gets a good price and the horse is taken out,however it is better that the horse was withdrawn if there was something not quite right or the going was deemed unsuitable.

The well backed horse is well worth keeping in mind.

zimmermania

Had a look at the friday cards and i am going to back a few that i think may be value.

Sandown 3.30 THE TURPINATOR was off for 662 days beore running well to be beaten a neck and if in the same form is value ew at 17/2 ew.

In the 4.05 Sandown MOUNT MARCY can improve for a step up in trip at around 7/2.

At Doncaster HOO YA MAL impressed me last time and can win the the listed race at 1.40 for the in-form Balding yard.

I am going to give KIMIFIVE one last chance in the hot handicap at 3.45,almost at a lifetime low mark now i swore i would not back him again when he left the Tuite yard,now with Bridgewater he carries my ew money one more time at 11/1.