Fancies For Today III

zimmermania

BRIAN THE SNAIL can win the 2.35 at Lingfield,the horse is 2 lbs better off for a half length beating with Aberama Gold 2 runs back but that is only half the story as Brian was forced to travel wide for most of the race and covered more ground than the winner.

Its a tricky little class 2 handicap with only 5 runners but BRIAN THE SNAIL is better on the AW and runs well in small fields whereas Aberama does very well in large fields.

The price at 7/2 is generous and am taking it.

DuffleBag

Dundalk @ 5. Merchant of venice should be there or thereabouts. PP paying 4 places

Anniepowaa

5.00 Merchant of venice 9/1
5.30 Buchaill or 6/1
6.00 Red heel 9/1
7.30 Big gossey 16/1

zimmermania

POLITOLOGUE looks the obvious answer to the big race at Ascot,the 3.35.

This is not a race for outsiders and nothing bigger than 5/1 has won for the last 10 years,

Favs have a good record and Politologue is a worthy fav and should come out on top.

SEAS OF ELZAAM has his 2nd run for his new owner and if coming on any bit from last run must have a good chance of getting back to winning ways in the 5.40 at Newcastle at an ew price of 8/1.

zimmermania

ARCHIMEDES at 10s might be worth a small ew bet in the 1.55 Southwell,disappointed over a furlong less last time but better drawn today he can bounce back.

QAARAAT and JAZZ LEGEND are two with chances in the race and i have done small stakes forecasts and tri-casts with ARCHIMEDES involving 6 bets forecasts and 6 bets for tri-casts for an interest and thats it for today.

zimmermania

The Thyestes Chase worth 60,000 to the winner is the highlight at Gowran today when around 20 go to post.
Mullins and Elliot are mob handed with around half the field running for them.

This race was often won by one at the bottom of the weights who was laid out for it but 5 of the last 7 winners carried more than 11 stone and that has been the trend with a lot of big handicaps in recent years.

J P McManus has a couple of fancied ones at the foot of the handicap who can be fancied but i think his ANY SECOND NOW with 11 stone 6 on his back is the one to be on.

A smart chaser who has won at Cheltenham in 2019 was only 9th in his last two races but they were two handicap hurdles presumably to make sure he did not go any higher than his mark of 150 and chasers having a run over hurdles before their main target is always a good sign for me.

Trained by the crafty Ted Walsh he will be spot on today if good enough and i think ANY SECOND NOW is ew value with PP going 6 places.

Roger Varian has one going in Meydan in the 4.15 (a race Godolphin won in 7 of the last 8 years)she has 5 Godolphin runners to contend with but at 25/1 is worth a little ew on some of her english form.
The horses name was of course STYLISTIQUE and she finished a good 2nd in todays group 2 contest,25s was freely available and she was returned at 20s.

zimmermania

PROGRESSIVE was useful on the flat and ran very well when winning first time out over hurdles and while there are a few promising fillies in the 2.37 at Doncaster any improvement at all on her first run will make PROGRESSIVE hard to beat.

zimmermania

Best meeting off but still plenty of racing on to keep us occupied.

Amtiyaz from the powerful Gosden yard is all the rage in the 2. oc at Kempton,the horse is running well enough and won two races in october and november at a lower level class 4 and class 5 and if he improves he could go close here.

However he has not shown great improvement in his last couple of runs and he may be of little value in this race.

One who can go very well is ROCHESTER HOUSE who was a very close 4th in his last two runs following two wins and could now be ready to strike again,at 8/1 4 places PP Hhe rates a good ew bet.

I have a smaller ew bet on COSMELLI,a dour stayer in the same race,only 4th last time but a very good 2nd on his previous run at 22/1 or higher he is worth a fiver or so ew with the 4 places on offer.

In the 3.15 at Doncaster GIVE ME A COPPER around 18 or 20/1 is worth an ew bet 5 places.

Atlantic Dawn

Not going to read through the thread but would it not be cheaper and better for all concerned to instal speed cameras at the places you put the ramps and have €500 fines? They are idiotic now with the proliferation of diesel cars, killing far more in emissions in these areas around schools and such places than speed ever will.

but1er

Atlantic Dawn wrote: »

Not going to read through the thread but would it not be cheaper and better for all concerned to instal speed cameras at the places you put the ramps and have €500 fines? They are idiotic now with the proliferation of diesel cars, killing far more in emissions in these areas around schools and such places than speed ever will.

What race this in?

zimmermania

VELVET VISTA 1.10 wol,won a similar race 6 days ago over 7 furlongs by 5 and a half lengths!,was held up before coming with a strong run to win going away,has a 5 lb penalty to carry now but that should be less the handicapper will raise her and she must be considered well in.

Pearl Spectre who was 2nd last week to VELVET VISTA bolted up by 2 and1/2 lengths today to frank the form.

I like a mare who improves and they often hold their form for a while and if there is any pace on she should be a good bet to follow up.

If all that is not enough VELVET VISTA'S trainer,Mike Murphy (a small trainer in Newmarket) has won with his last 4 runners!!!. and PP is money back if your horse finishes 2nd 3rd or 4th.But only for a tenner,but better than nothing.

A horse in form a trainer in form suggests a very good bet and i will be backing VELVET VISTA.

thesandeman

Mad gamble on Viola Park in that race tonight. It should put the price out on yours if it continues.

bassy

thesandeman wrote: »

Mad gamble on Viola Park in that race tonight. It should put the price out on yours if it continues.

:rolleyes::rolleyes:

Timberrrrrrrr

zimmermania wrote: »

VELVET VISTA 1.10 wol,won a similar race 6 days ago over 7 furlongs by 5 and a half lengths!,was held up before coming with a strong run to win going away,has a 5 lb penalty to carry now but that should be less the handicapper will raise her and she must be considered well in.

Pearl Spectre who was 2nd last week to VELVET VISTA bolted up by 2 and1/2 lengths today to frank the form.

I like a mare who improves and they often hold their form for a while and if there is any pace on she should be a good bet to follow up.

If all that is not enough VELVET VISTA'S trainer,Mike Murphy (a small trainer in Newmarket) has won with his last 4 runners!!!. and PP is money back if your horse finishes 2nd 3rd or 4th.But only for a tenner,but better than nothing.

A horse in form a trainer in form suggests a very good bet and i will be backing VELVET VISTA.

Burst through and stormed home, great shout zimmer!

zimmermania

Weak racing today but i am going to have a small bet on a horse who deserves a prize for retaining any desire to race after what he has had to endure.

FALSE ID has just turned 8 and in that time has run 83 times,winning 8 times and has had a total of 9 different trainers.

Races mostly at Southwell,has 7 wins there and still capable of winning if breaking on terms.Has a weight pull wit Susie Javea and Van Dijk and has a chance in the 4.40 ew PP is going 4 places and a small bet at 10s might be value as a useful claimer rides for the first time and takes off a handy 5 lbs.

In the 5.40 the race may be between SAMOVAR and NICK VEDDER,i will back SAMOVAR ew and do a rev forecast SAMOVAR NICK VEDDER.

Scoundrel

zimmermania wrote: »

Weak racing today but i am going to have a small bet on a horse who deserves a prize for retaining any desire to race after what he has had to endure.

FALSE ID has just turned 8 and in that time has run 83 times,winning 8 times and has had a total of 9 different trainers.

Races mostly at Southwell,has 7 wins there and still capable of winning if breaking on terms.Has a weight pull wit Susie Javea and Van Dijk and has a chance in the 4.40 ew PP is going 4 places and a small bet at 10s might be value as a useful claimer rides for the first time and takes off a handy 5 lbs.

In the 5.40 the race may be between SAMOVAR and NICK VEDDER,i will back SAMOVAR ew and do a rev forecast SAMOVAR NICK VEDDER.

False ID being backed off the board 9/2 now

zimmermania

FALSE IDEA blew the start (he can do that) lost a lot more than the 4 and a half lengths he was beaten,it will always be a risk as to whether he jumps off or not so backing at a big price is the only option as he he is not one to trust.

Anniepowaa

1.15 noble peace 9/1
1.30 watar allstar 10/1

Aidan Harney

Anniepowaa wrote: »

1.15 noble peace 9/1
1.30 watar allstar 10/1

From one extreme to the other!
Overall up though.
ðŸ˜

Anniepowaa

2.35 un prophete 9/1

Anniepowaa

3.40 boyhood 20/1

Anniepowaa

Aidan Harney wrote: »

From one extreme to the other!
Overall up though.
ðŸ˜

how in the name of **** would you be down after a 9/1 winner

zimmermania

PEARL SPECTRE 7.30 was an easy winner recently and if staying the extra 2 furlongs at Chelmsford should win again,Pp paying 4 places.

zimmermania

The easy winner VELVET VISTA i put up here 4 days ago runs in the 5.oc Southwell,he had previously beaten Pearl Spectre and can win again today.

zimmermania

zimmermania wrote: »

PEARL SPECTRE 7.30 was an easy winner recently and if staying the extra 2 furlongs at Chelmsford should win again,Pp paying 4 places.

He clearly failed to stay and the drift told us what was expected,one to watch when dropped back in trip

zimmermania

DADSINTROUBLE 2oc Catterick has an ew chance in a handicap hurdle over 3 miles one furlong on very testing ground,a bit old at 11 but older horses do win staying races and DADSINTROUBLE can stay and acts on heavy ground so is worth an ew bet with a good claimer on board.

An ew bet at 9 or 10 to 1 and we can be reasonably sure that he will be doing his very best in a race that may not see that many horses finish.

bassy

zimmermania wrote: »

DADSINTROUBLE 2oc Catterick has an ew chance in a handicap hurdle over 3 miles one furlong on very testing ground,a bit old at 11 but older horses do win staying races and DADSINTROUBLE can stay and acts on heavy ground so is worth an ew bet with a good claimer on board.

An ew bet at 9 or 10 to 1 and we can be reasonably sure that he will be doing his very best in a race that may not see that many horses finish.

Having a small ew on furax powered up to 35/1
Going ew on wbee at 15/2

zimmermania

The Mouse Doctor without the fav 6 to1 4.30 Dundalk.

zimmermania

TOORA LOORA 3.25 Ling can upset Waldfabel who is 1/1 and trained by Gosden.

TOORA LOORA was 2nd to Father of Jazz and the 1st and 3rd in that race came out and won since making the form solid.

MURHIB stepped up in trip last time and was impressive and can win the 4 oc at Ling.

BRISTOL DE MAI has the ground to his liking in the 2.20 at Sandown and will be hard to beat.

PRINCE OF ARRAN done us a turn at a big price in Australia and looks a good bet in the 6.30 at Kempton,the horse has a good record coming back from a break.

Greenlights16

None for Leopardstown Zimmer?