General Elections. The Constituency of Tipperary

realdanbreen

Joe Hannigan @ 3/1 is my bet, great value.

History Queen

My predictions seat wise:

1xFF (Cahill)
3x Ind ( Lowry,McGrath, Hannigan)

Not sure on last seat... I suspect it'll go to Alan Kelly for a finish

tipptom

realdanbreen wrote: »

Joe Hannigan @ 3/1 is my bet, great value.

Who's doing 3/1 dan?

If SF are supposed to be getting this almighty poll boost then they would have to take a seat here but I guess history and low performance compared to the polls would go aginst that and he should really be 6/1

maudgone

Hannigan now at 13/8 on PP, Healy out to 5/1.

Purple Mountain

Mattie was on the streets of Tipperary Town this evening. Was in great chatting form.

tipptom

Purple Mountain wrote: »

Mattie was on the streets of Tipperary Town this evening. Was in great chatting form.

Don't think Ahearn will get many votes around Tipp Town.

mahoney_j

Lowry mattie Kelly Cahill and hanigan was my original prediction ,hasn’t changed

digzy

tipptom wrote: »

Don't think Ahearn will get many votes around Tipp Town.

Not off the lefties on Facebook anyway!
However fg took 4 of the 7 seats in the LEA last local elections. There’s plenty fg voters there. Whether they go Aherne or Newman is another thing!
Can’t see Browne getting anywhere close. Completely unknown outside the LEA and lost his council seat last time

brightspark

Glad to see Mattie McGrath and Joe Hannigan weren't awarded their costs for the High Court action they rushed into.


https://www.irishtimes.com/news/crime-and-law/courts/high-court/two-politicians-withdraw-legal-action-over-tipperary-vote-1.4164039

brightspark

Marley Miniature Sport wrote: »

Is Marese Skehan still on the ballot paper? Genuine question

Yes

https://www.irishexaminer.com/breakingnews/ireland/marese-skehans-name-to-remain-on-ballot-with-tipp-vote-set-to-go-ahead-on-saturday-979896.html

Purple Mountain

mahoney_j wrote: »

Lowry mattie Kelly Cahill and hanigan was my original prediction ,hasn’t changed

I'm sorry but who even is Joe Hannigan?
I'd never heard of him until his leaflet came through my door and tbh I wasn't impressed with 'Jo e Hannigan'.

Wrongway1985

Predict an embarassment for Tipp myself

2 FF
2 FG
1 Labour

Mattie,Goldsboro
Lowry,Ahearn
Kelly



Hope I'm wrong

Grab All Association

Garrett Ahearn won’t get a seat. His ego is worse than Kelly.

Lowry
Mattie
Cahill
Alan Kelly
Hard to say if Seamus Healy will get in.

If Seamie Morris was running this time, he’d have got it this time. Him and David Doran were the ones building up Sinn Féin in Tipperary for years.

Wrongway1985

Grab All Association wrote: »

If Seamie Morris was running this time, he’d have got it this time. Him and David Doran were the ones building up Sinn Féin in Tipperary for years.

You never know Seamie behind a Hannigan vote, I see he hopes SF do well overall just not in Tipp!

Big Ears

Purple Mountain wrote: »

I'm sorry but who even is Joe Hannigan?
I'd never heard of him until his leaflet came through my door and tbh I wasn't impressed with 'Jo e Hannigan'.

He's a publican from Kilbarron and a former County hurler.
Politics wise he's a councillor in the Nenagh area, and was the only Tipperary candidate from the part of Tipp that was thrown into Offaly last time.
He received over 5,000 first preference votes in that election, but didn't receive many transfers from Offaly voters and was eliminated on the 4th count (finishing 6th).

He's also the chairman of the Tipperary County Football Board, and was the driving force behind the Thomas McDonaghs club and the growth of football in the Northern part of the County.
His son George played midfield for the Tipp Footballers for many years.

He'll be very popular in the northern 3rd of the County and around the Nenagh area. A big thing for him will be how he does south of Nenagh and north of Thurles. That's an area he'll need to get transfers from. Beyond there and particularly in the South (unless they're football people) most probably won't have a notion who he is.

realdanbreen

Purple Mountain wrote: »

I'm sorry but who even is Joe Hannigan?
I'd never heard of him until his leaflet came through my door and tbh I wasn't impressed with 'Jo e Hannigan'.

Well said Mattie!

elperello

realdanbreen wrote: »

Well said Mattie!

You said I was Mattie on Tuesday.

It's getting like Spartacus

Purple Mountain

Big Ears wrote: »

He's a publican from Kilbarron and a former County hurler.
Politics wise he's a councillor in the Nenagh area, and was the only Tipperary candidate from the part of Tipp that was thrown into Offaly last time.
He received over 5,000 first preference votes in that election, but didn't receive many transfers from Offaly voters and was eliminated on the 4th count (finishing 6th).

He's also the chairman of the Tipperary County Football Board, and was the driving force behind the Thomas McDonaghs club and the growth of football in the Northern part of the County.
His son George played midfield for the Tipp Footballers for many years.

He'll be very popular in the northern 3rd of the County and around the Nenagh area. A big thing for him will be how he does south of Nenagh and north of Thurles. That's an area he'll need to get transfers from. Beyond there and particularly in the South (unless they're football people) most probably won't have a notion who he is.

Exactly. That's me
This constituency is too big.

Xenophile

Good weather in the early part of the day will have suited candidates who have the support of the grey brigade.

Bad weather and darkness will have discouraged many half hearted supporters.

digzy

https://www.rte.ie/news/election-2020/2020/0208/1113979-turnout/

Wrong again!!

Xenophile wrote: »

Good weather in the early part of the day will have suited candidates who have the support of the grey brigade.

Bad weather and darkness will have discouraged many half hearted supporters.

Vizzy

Turnout was around 60% at one of the Polling Stations at 6.00pm

Xenophile

digzy wrote: »

https://www.rte.ie/news/election-2020/2020/0208/1113979-turnout/

Wrong again!!

Maybe you would like to tell me what is 'Wrong again'

digzy

Xenophile wrote: »

Maybe you would like to tell me what is 'Wrong again'

The turnout isn’t down on last time. Despite the weather which you suggested would keep ‘half hearted voters’ at home ....
You deal with anecdotes, I deal in facts!!

Wrongway1985

Prediction suggests Labour lose 2 seats hopefully Brutal and AK47

History Queen

Anyone at the count centre? I've never been at one before, can anyone go in to observe or do you have to be affiliated with one of the candidates?

elperello

History Queen wrote: »

Anyone at the count centre? I've never been at one before, can anyone go in to observe or do you have to be affiliated with one of the candidates?

I don't know about Tipp but generally speaking they are not public events.
You need a pass usually arranged through candidates.

dogcat

https://twitter.com/RTETipp/status/1226452324807299072

The latest tallies are in at #Tipperary . Lowry leads at 16% followed by Browne (SF, 11%), McGrath (IND, 10%), Jackie Cahill (FF, 9%), and then Kelly (LAB, 8%)

It wasnt me123

I hate to see Lowry do so well - I think we as a County should be better than that - IMO our political representatives should be held to a higher standard and not be crooked or have a strong whiff of brown envelope about them.

secondrowgal

Lowry, Sinn Fein and Mattie McGrath... Once again, Tipperary the laughing stock of the country, and that's saying something when there are the likes of the Healy-Raes in Kerry :mad: