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WINTER WEATHER 2013/2014 - See Mod Note First Post

Allanjjmurphy · 2013-08-11 16:26:04

Has anybody any theories on earths weather and do you have any predictions for WINTER 2013/2014? Mod Note To all Forum Users Everyone has the right to post here whether they use main-stream, model-based approaches to forecasting or other, perhaps less orthodox methodologies. Opposing approaches and theories can make for…

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#212 30-09-2013 9:53am
Lumi

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Kippure wrote: »

Joe bastardy has been going on for a couple of years that 2013 and 2014 winter would be the big one for Europe., even when he was at weatheronline and his weekly monthly videos would mention it.

Been looking for what he has been saying presently for this winter, cant find much.

Has anyone else found out much about what he is saying for this winter?

If you want to keep an eye on Joe Bastardi's winter thoughts/forecasts the one week free trial to Weather Bell Premium I posted about previously is still working - but for how much longer I don't know. Details here
The last update on Winter 2013/14 was in late August where he suggests severe cold during early to mid winter for Europe

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#213 30-09-2013 12:25pm
jaffusmax

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Mild? @ 1:56

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#214 30-09-2013 6:05pm
Clav

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Lads, we may all forget about thunder snow, broken F5 buttons and lamp post watching. :mad:

I just passed a bright orange 132-D NRA snow plough on the M50. Pretty much confirms not a flake of snow is going to fall on the road network for at least 5 years I reckon.

Looked like a proper job too - not just a flat back truck with a muck spreader stuck to it....

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#215 30-09-2013 6:53pm
Blizzard 2010

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Clav wrote: »

Lads, we may all forget about thunder snow, broken F5 buttons and lamp post watching. :mad:

I just passed a bright orange 132-D NRA snow plough on the M50. Pretty much confirms not a flake of snow is going to fall on the road network for at least 5 years I reckon.

Looked like a proper job too - not just a flat back truck with a muck spreader stuck to it....

Maybe they know something we dont. Preparation is the ticket:D

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#216 30-09-2013 8:01pm
jaffusmax

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Clav wrote: »

I just passed a bright orange 132-D NRA snow plough on the M50. .

That will be used by Mods to Plough through Snow Bunnies who throw toys out of their prams this winter on here!

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#217 30-09-2013 10:39pm
davidsr20

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I hate this mild weather and it's nearly October

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#218 01-10-2013 8:12am
dopolahpec

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davidsr20 wrote: »

I hate this mild weather and it's nearly October

Aaaand it's October. It's not uncommon for October to be mild and muggy. I quite like it. The Atlantic still hibernates.

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#219 01-10-2013 10:51am
average_runner

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davidsr20 wrote: »

I hate this mild weather and it's nearly October

October has been mild for the last 5-6 years i say

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#220 01-10-2013 12:36pm
Tindie

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davidsr20 wrote: »

I hate this mild weather and it's nearly October

Don't forget 2 years ago today, there was heatwave up to 28 in places, I clad that didn't happen this year!.

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#221 01-10-2013 1:10pm
DOCARCH

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average_runner wrote: »

October has been mild for the last 5-6 years i say

Yes, certainly can be mild but also the potential for cold too.

A couple of years ago there was lying snow in October...2009 IIRC (at the end of the month/27th).

So...let the fun begin! Time to dust down those model links!!!

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#222 01-10-2013 1:27pm
Tom Cruises Left Nut

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DOCARCH wrote: »

Yes, certainly can be mild but also the potential for cold too.

A couple of years ago there was lying snow in October...2009 IIRC (at the end of the month/27th).

So...let the fun begin! Time to dust down those model links!!!

Models bookmarked...check

Netweather Extra Radar purchased...check

Sanity ready to be lost...Check

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#223 01-10-2013 1:35pm
Rebelbrowser

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DOCARCH wrote: »

Yes, certainly can be mild but also the potential for cold too.

A couple of years ago there was lying snow in October...2009 IIRC (at the end of the month/27th).

So...let the fun begin! Time to dust down those model links!!!

I remember it was -5 on halloween night in 2008. That was the first frost in Cork in about 2 years but ushered in a very frosty (but not snowy) winter 08/09. The fun began then in winter 09/10.....

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#224 01-10-2013 3:18pm
Iancar29

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:D:D

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#225 01-10-2013 3:26pm
jaffusmax

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Iancar29 wrote: »

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#226 01-10-2013 5:23pm
Frank Garrett

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There was a dumping of snow on the east coast in October 2008. According to the Met Eireann website, it was sometime between 27th and 31st (didn't give it a proper read, just remember it was October 2008).

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#227 01-10-2013 7:57pm
Blizzard 2010

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Frank Garrett wrote: »

There was a dumping of snow on the east coast in October 2008. According to the Met Eireann website, it was sometime between 27th and 31st (didn't give it a proper read, just remember it was October 2008).

It was the 28th of October, it didnt last very long.

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#228 01-10-2013 10:12pm
ZX7R

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Blizzard 2010 wrote: »

It was the 28th of October, it didnt last very long.

I remember that quite well ,i was plastering outside up near hollywood,headed home early to suncroft to cold wet rain.

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#229 01-10-2013 11:21pm
davidsr20

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Ok did someone not say mt was do do his winter predictions in September?

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#230 01-10-2013 11:40pm
Lucreto

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davidsr20 wrote: »

Ok did someone not say mt was do do his winter predictions in September?

The last few years it was the middle of October before he did his winter prediction.

I am looking forward to seeing it whatever it brings.

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#231 01-10-2013 11:47pm
ninebeanrows

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I feel an early winter this year. Think November will be COLD.

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#232 02-10-2013 4:34am
Kippure

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Blizzard 2010 wrote: »

It was the 28th of October, it didnt last very long.

October can be an interesting month.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/33065-x-treme-irish-weather-october-2003/

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#233 04-10-2013 11:11am
Rebelbrowser

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Iancar29 wrote: »

:D:D

Can I ask how you access the CFS on Meteociel?

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#234 04-10-2013 11:22am
Tom Cruises Left Nut

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Rebelbrowser wrote: »

Can I ask how you access the CFS on Meteociel?

Here ya go

http://meteociel.fr/modeles/cfse_cartes.php

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#235 04-10-2013 11:51am
RobertKK

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average_runner wrote: »

October has been mild for the last 5-6 years i say

The mean temperature for where I live was 8.5C last year and 11.1C in 2011.
So last October was cool.

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#236 04-10-2013 12:37pm
patneve2

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Frank Garrett wrote: »

There was a dumping of snow on the east coast in October 2008. According to the Met Eireann website, it was sometime between 27th and 31st (didn't give it a proper read, just remember it was October 2008).

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055407835&page=10

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055408502

Nice pics in second thread

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#237 04-10-2013 12:40pm
patneve2

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Kippure wrote: »

October can be an interesting month.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/33065-x-treme-irish-weather-october-2003/

October 2003 is a perfect example of the instability and convection that is possible when the the sea is still relatively warm...Over 60mm of precipitation recorded at Dublin Airport between the 22nd and 23rd, similar amounts in Casement.

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#238 05-10-2013 4:00pm
mick145

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Anyone have any kind of clue what weather the winter will be like?

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#239 05-10-2013 4:29pm
DOCARCH

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.....this way http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057012575

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#240 06-10-2013 8:55pm
jaffusmax

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Dramatic Increase in Snow Cover over Siberia

Blocked COLD Winter

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#241 07-10-2013 9:27am
dopolahpec

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The hype is starting to build on the Netweather forum. Greenland Blocking a feature in FI. Extensive early snow cover in northern eurasia and a quiet Atlantic.

Far too early for it to amount to anything substantial for predicting what will happen in December say. If people are just looking north and east, they may miss what comes from south and west if ya catch my (snow)drift.

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