Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

lostsoul21

Ulster-10
Northampton +11
Saracens -36
Munster-2
Exeter +21

4 folds for a bita interest

matthew8

Backed Ulster -12.5 at evens. Could have got better odds earlier in the week but Treviso seem like an absolute mess right now.

beertons

Anyone got odds on Parks to get a drop goal?

KevIRL

beertons wrote: »

Anyone got odds on Parks to get a drop goal?

Hope you got on...

beertons

KevIRL wrote: »

Hope you got on...

Wouldn't take the bet off me, game was on.

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

leinster v northampton less than 34 points total @ 2/1

With this i broke even for the weekend.

matthew8

Metro +9 could be a good bet but I'd question how hard they will try even with the strong team named so I'll stay away. Leicester to win at 2.2 on betfair looks fantastic though. Montpellier have made a lot of changes (although some spots in the forwards might be a little bit better if anything) and should be quite weak. Only worry is it was 2006 the last time Leicester won in France (in the Heineken at least) but I have faith in them this time.

No, you're a...

Old Balance: 36.80

- 2 units; Perpignan v Munster - Munster @ 1.90 (+1.0)
- 1 unit (double);

Ospreys v Castres - Ospreys @ 1.22 (+10.0)
Glasgow Warriors v Cardiff Blues - Glasgow Warriors @ 1.40 (-6.0)

- 0.5 unit; Glasgow Warriors v Cardiff Blues - Alex Cuthbert to Score a Try in 80 min @ 3.25
- 1 unit; Perpignan v Munster - Keith Earls to Score a Try in 80 min @ 3.25
- 1 unit; Perpignan v Munster - Sean Dougal to Score a Try in 80 min @ 7 :(
- 1 unit; Leinster v Northampton - Leinster @ 1.90 (-10.0)
- 1 unit; Gloucester v Edinburgh - Gloucester by 11-20 @ 3.75
- Montpellier v Leicester - Leicester @ 2.00

New Balance: 34.14

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 33.26 units

- 4 units (10/11) Leinster -10
- 2 units (10/11) Ulster -10
- 1.5 units (6/5) Munster to win
- 1 unit (evens) Connacht +14
- 1 unit (10/11) Gloucester -13
- .25 units (~13.5/1) Accum: All Irish provinces to win

New Balance: 23.51 units

New Balance: 30.63 units

sydthebeat

i know the weathers to be ridiculous, but leinster at -3 with THAT team must be the bet of the weekend. 10/11

matthew8

Leinster -3 looks good to me too but the tight 5 is a bit weak so I'll wait and see what the weather is like. Might try and get into the Top 14. Grenoble +12 against Stade looks good to me. Don't often get thrashed, Stade don't often thrash, and Grenoble have a good team out. For a French team they're not horrible on the road too, often picking up a point.

thomond2006

1.5 units on Stade Francais -12

Full list to follow

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

i know the weathers to be ridiculous, but leinster at -3 with THAT team must be the bet of the weekend. 10/11

Bollix anyway, pain somewhat eased by a under 27.5 bet

thomond2006

Old Balance: 30.63 units

- 1.5 units (10/11) Stade Francais -12
- 2 units (10/11) Leicester +12
- 1.5 units (4/6) Connacht to win
-.25 units (9/4) Connacht -8
- 1 unit (10/11) Perpignan +11
- .5 units (11/8) Racing Métro to win
.25 units (11/4) CJ Stander try in 80 mins
.25 units (8/1) Dave Kilcoyne try in 80 mins

Added: - 1.5 units (10/11) Bordeaux Begles +17

New Balance: 21.88 units (not taking Stade win into account)

Judgement Day

After a complete disaster last weekend which emptied my account, and wiped out the two previous weekends' winnings, I committed the whole of this weekends budget on the Cardiff/Ospreys game. I'm up more than 80% simply by checking all the weather data that I could find at about 6.30pm - the only match that appeared to have any chance of decent weather was Cardiff vs Ospreys.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Leinster -3 looks good to me too but the tight 5 is a bit weak so I'll wait and see what the weather is like. Might try and get into the Top 14. Grenoble +12 against Stade looks good to me. Don't often get thrashed, Stade don't often thrash, and Grenoble have a good team out. For a French team they're not horrible on the road too, often picking up a point.

Maybe not. Seems like a very unpredictable league beyond the home team always winning (and of course the odds are always rubbish on that). The Aviva premiership on the other hand looks very black and white. I think Saracens could really do a job on Leicester tomorrow. Weak Leicester team out and a strong Sarries one. Betfair are offering -13.5 and it will probably end up at 2.3, where I would back them. Harlequins are 2.74 on betfair and while they should be underdogs to Bath who are all of a sudden a good team, they have a good team out and are finding their rhythm.

sydthebeat

Munster scarlets under 35.5 5/6

thomond2006

-1.5 units on BB +17 added

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

Munster scarlets under 35.5 5/6

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 30.63 units

- 1.5 units (10/11) Stade Francais -12
- 2 units (10/11) Leicester +12
- 1.5 units (4/6) Connacht to win
-.25 units (9/4) Connacht -8
- 1 unit (10/11) Perpignan +11
- .5 units (11/8) Racing Métro to win
.25 units (11/4) CJ Stander try in 80 mins
.25 units (8/1) Dave Kilcoyne try in 80 mins

Added: - 1.5 units (10/11) Bordeaux Begles +17

New Balance: 21.88 units (not taking Stade win into account)

New Balance: 30.11 units

thomond2006

Old Balance: 30.11 units

- 1 unit (~6.75/1) Scarlets, Glasgow, Cardiff Blues all to win

New Balance: 29.11 units

its_phil

Connacht at +13. Jumping on that

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 30.11 units

- 1 unit (~6.75/1) Scarlets, Glasgow, Cardiff Blues all to win

New Balance: 29.11 units

New Balance: 29.11 units

thomond2006

its_phil wrote: »

Connacht at +13. Jumping on that

Forecast could well keep the score down!

its_phil

thomond2006 wrote: »

Forecast could well keep the score down!

It's went down to +11 last time I checked

Judgement Day

Connacht to win 5/1 and the unlikely draw at 28/1 beckon.

P_1

With the weather the way it is and the line set at 31 I reckon unders is the way to bet this evening

awec

I stuck five on Munster by 6-10 points and Ulster -4.5 for tomorrow. Accum at 18s, returns 99.

thomond2006

P_1 wrote: »

With the weather the way it is and the line set at 31 I reckon unders is the way to bet this evening

For some reason I think it will cover that! I've a small insurance bet though just in case it's a six-niller!

Old Balance: 29.11 units

- 3 units (10/11) Brive +12
- .5 units (5/1) Brive to win
- 1 unit (10/11) Perpignan +15
- .75 units (7/5) Toulon to win
- 1.5 units (5/6) Munster vs Connacht: over 31.5 points
- .25 units (18/1) Munster vs Connacht: Race to 10 points No Winner

New Balance: 22.11 units

thomond2006

Dodgy try at the end for Connacht but I'll take it! I was all set up for another frustrating close call!