Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

The Pheasant2

I'm waiting until they put up the bets for alternative handicap

Buer

matthew8 wrote: »

I don't think the Ospreys bet is as clear cut as made out to be. Castres are without Tales, Martial and Forestier.

I'd expect Castres to win but I wouldn't care to touch it beyond that. Ospreys have several injuries and the guys that are stepping in are going to be well up for it.

Castres are not a free flowing and try scoring side. If Ospreys can hang onto the ball, they can frustrate. That's still a good pack they've out.

Don't think that the Castres HC bet is a lock by any stretch of the imagination.

However, getting in early and getting 'free' points (i.e getting 10/11 on Castres -9 when if you wait 36 hours you can only get 10/11 on Castres -12) will make you money in the long run.

The Pheasant2

Jaysus, PP are taking their sweet time putting up the other bets for the matches...how long do they usually take?

Buer

The Pheasant2 wrote: »

Jaysus, PP are taking their sweet time putting up the other bets for the matches...how long do they usually take?

Expect they'll hold off until the line ups are out.

matthew8

Quins +5 evens or 2/1 to win could be a decent bet. Metro haven't exactly hammered teams at home this year and are without Sexton. Harlequins are a good away team and probably too well drilled to take a thrashing anyway. Metro team sheet is obviously still very good which is the only off putting part. Perhaps the most encouraging thing is Harlequins' 7 point loss away to Clermont.

The Pheasant2

Gracelessly Tom wrote: »

Was bored at lunch so went into PP and did the following Hail Mary accum.......

Castres - 10
Glasgow -4
Clermont -20
Exeter +8
Saracens -18
Leinster +2
Ulster -22
Gloucester +1
Leicester -12

All 10/11 so it pays around 336/1.

A man can dream.......:)

Haha I just made this bet although some of the handicaps are a point or two more difficult. I also opted for Toulon on the spread over Exeter

No, you're a...

Old Balance: 39.80 unit

- 1 unit Castres (-9.0) @ 1.90
- 1 unit Glasgow Warriors (-5.0) @ 2.00
- 1 unit accumulator

Munster @ 1.08

Leinster @ 2.20

Toulon @ 1.33

Castres @ 1.16

Glasgow Warriors @ 1.50

New Balance: 36.80

Probably more to come over the weekend

thomond2006

1.5 units Castres -8
2 units Castres -9 (put on after team announcements)

Full list later!

Ugo Monye spacecraft experience

cardiff +6 and Castre -11

[Jackass]

former legend wrote: »

Just so long as that Ospreys team is accurate...

I'd go the other way, I'd take Ospreys at +11, even with the teams named.

sydthebeat

[Jackass] wrote: »

I'd go the other way, I'd take Ospreys at +11, even with the teams named.

Well of kocketts kicking continues how it's stated, it Will be very close.

0 for 2 so far for simple kicks

thomond2006

Old Balance: 36.90 units

- 2 units (10/11) Castres -9 (lost)
- 1.5 units (10/11) Castres -8 (lost)
- 1.5 units (10/11) Racing Metro -5
- 1 unit (10/11) Zebre +18
- 1 unit (evens) Connacht +25
- 1 unit (10/11) Leinster +2
- .5 units (10/11) Montpellier +12

New Balance: 28.40 units

sydthebeat

ah well....

im glad i left it small this weekend

wp_rathead

Two €1 Accums done for interest: no research done

47/1
Connacht (+34.0) @ 4/11
Edinburgh (+9.0) @ 2/9
Munster to win by 1 - 12 points @ 11/8
Racing Metro to win by 1 - 12 points @ 7/5
Toulon to win by 1 - 12 points @ 11/8
Leinster (+11.0) @ 2/9
Scarlets (+27.0) @ 1/2
Zebre (+35.0) @ 1/6

44/1
Grenoble by 1-10 @ 2/1
Ulster to win by 13 or more points @ 3/10
Saracens to win by 13 or more points @ 3/10
Clermont Auvergne to win by 13 or more points @ 1/4
Racing Metro by 1-10 @ 17/10
Toulon by 1-10 @ 13/8

Buer

Exeter +7 and Racing scratch double. 5 units.

matthew8

Exeter +7.5 1.92, Harlequins +4.5 2.08 and Sarries, Clermont, Munster, Toulouse and Ulster to win 1.51.

lostsoul21

Waiting on Quins plus 5 ,leinster plus 7 and ulster minus 21 for a sixfold

The Pheasant2

**** sake had a tenner down on a 15.5/1 accum, 11 come through and then ****ing Connaught decide to win in Toulouse of all places...****!

Exile22

The Pheasant2 wrote: »

**** sake had a tenner down on a 15.5/1 accum, 11 come through and then ****ing Connaught decide to win in Toulouse of all places...****!

Made a similar bet. Am happy and sad all at once.

P.Walnuts

What price were Toulouse?

Judgement Day

Happy days, second week in a row. Was going to have a punt on Toulouse to get more than 17.5 in the first half but after the Munster game decided to stay in the pub instead.

duckysauce

P.Walnuts wrote: »

What price were Toulouse?

-26/27

connacht 20/1

P.Walnuts

duckysauce wrote: »

-26/27

connacht 20/1

Their straight price?

wp_rathead

P.Walnuts wrote: »

What price were Toulouse?

1/200
:P

P.Walnuts

wprathead wrote: »

1/200
:P

Ha!

Oh dear, to be honest if you put that in a accumulator you deserve to lose!

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 36.90 units

- 2 units (10/11) Castres -9 (lost)
- 1.5 units (10/11) Castres -8 (lost)
- 1.5 units (10/11) Racing Metro -5
- 1 unit (10/11) Zebre +18
- 1 unit (evens) Connacht +25
- 1 unit (10/11) Leinster +2
- .5 units (10/11) Montpellier +12

New Balance: 28.40 units

New Balance: 33.26 units

No, you're a...

No, you're a... wrote: »

Old Balance: 39.80 unit

- 1 unit Castres (-9.0) @ 1.90
- 1 unit Glasgow Warriors (-5.0) @ 2.00
- 1 unit accumulator

Munster @ 1.08

Leinster @ 2.20

Toulon @ 1.33

Castres @ 1.16

Glasgow Warriors @ 1.50 :mad:

New Balance: 36.80

Probably more to come over the weekend

New Balance: 36.80

thomond2006

Initial spreads for the weekend:

Ulster -10
Toulon -21
Perpignan -2
Clermont -7
Leinster -10
Toulouse -10
Gloucester -13

I like the look of Ulster, Leinster and Gloucester. 21 points is a couple of points too many for Toulon.

Judgement Day

Can lightning strike twice? Connacht to win at 4/1 or the draw at 25/1 look tempting.