Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

The money is following sarries, gone to -14 now.

I have absolutely no idea how this game will go.

I think I'll go for under 50.5 points @10/11 and under 6.5 tries @10/11

I'll definitely take one of those two, after that first half!

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

Toulouse - 15 @evens

Easy

unplayable

Doris anytime tryscorer 8.5 coral/lads
Healy anytime tryscorer 8.5 Betfair sportsbook

1 point on each GL

Leinstertomas

Double on Ireland and Crusaders HT/FT @EVENS
Double on Ireland and Crusaders both to score first try and lead HT @2/1

sydthebeat

Leinstertomas wrote: »

Double on Ireland and Crusaders HT/FT @EVENS
Double on Ireland and Crusaders both to score first try and lead HT @2/1

I like the second bet, but I also wouldn't be surprised to see the tahs maul over in the first five minutes

sydthebeat

Weekend bets

Rebels -18 @ 10/11
Blues +6 @ evens
Ireland -12 @ evens

Tournament bets
Blues to win SR @10s and also @12s
France to win 6N @12s
Bristol to win prem @28s

Open bets
Ringrose top HC try scorer @9/4
D Kearney top Pro14 try scorer @ 15/2

The real mccoy 91

Couple done for Saturday

Bet builders

Italy +15 at ht
Italy +30
Josh Adams anytime
Under 59.5 points
4/1

Adams and bellini both score a try 6/1

Ireland -4 at ht
Ireland -11
Conway anytime
Under 51.5 points
15/2

Conway and larmour both score a try 11/2

Will look into the French game tomorrow think they could give England a rattle on sunday

Lucy8080

Heart shouting for Ireland , head telling me Scotland are over-priced (and value) at 13/2.

We have a new coach ,and i would expect a bedding in period for new idea's /plays.

I want to see us play a more expansive game,win or lose,hopefully. Scotland might have the measure on us in this department.

Del.Monte

Gone with anytime try scorers today so it will probably be all penalty kicks.


Sexton 4/1
Conway Evens
Stockdale 10/11


and just for fun - Stockdale/Conway and Maitland all to score 25/1.

Leinstertomas

Don't usually go for enhanced match specials but Murray to score try in first half and Cooney in second half @66/1 looks good value
Conway to outscore Hogg @2/1
HT handicap Ireland -7 @EVENS
Ireland first half race to 15 @6/5

sydthebeat

Ollivon anytime @8/1

Ringrose anytime @17/10

Squidgy Black

Took James Ryan MOTM @ 9/1, not my usual sort of selection but have a feeling it might be worth a punt

Del.Monte

Del.Monte wrote: »

Gone with anytime try scorers today so it will probably be all penalty kicks.


Sexton 4/1
Conway Evens
Stockdale 10/11


and just for fun - Stockdale/Conway and Maitland all to score 25/1.

Good old Johnny.

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

Rebels -18 @ 10/11
Blues +6 @ evens
Ireland -12 @ evens

Call me The Cooler....

I give up

Leinstertomas

Leinstertomas wrote: »

Double on Ireland and Crusaders HT/FT @EVENS
Double on Ireland and Crusaders both to score first try and lead HT @2/1

Leinstertomas wrote: »

Don't usually go for enhanced match specials but Murray to score try in first half and Cooney in second half @66/1 looks good value
Conway to outscore Hogg @2/1
HT handicap Ireland -7 @EVENS
Ireland first half race to 15 @6/5

No success here but were smaller stakes so profitable day overall. Think I'll stay away from tomorrows game to ensure it stays that way :pac:

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

Ollivon anytime @8/1

Ringrose anytime @17/10

Ollivon saves me from having a disaster

Del.Monte

sydthebeat wrote: »

Ollivon saves me from having a disaster

A total wipeout for me - had England more than 10.5 in first half and to win by more than 5. Still it took PP three weeks to wipe-out my entire stake so I regard that as a win of sorts.

unplayable

Wales +6 @1.91 on sky bet. Get it while it lasts my god what a line haha

sydthebeat

On a slightly more positive note, my France @12/1 is looking valuable.

After today they are tournament favs @5/2

sydthebeat

unplayable wrote: »

Wales +6 @1.91 on sky bet. Get it while it lasts my god what a line haha

Took them at +5 @ same odds

They're currently +4 with PP.

Id imagine at best it's a scratch game

Lucy8080

Ireland v Wales.

Wales to win by 10 pts or more.

7/1 Coral.

I backed Scotland last week @ 13/2. Delighted we won ,dunno how I lost that bet. I'm not convinced about us at the moment.

sydthebeat

Wales +5 @ 10/11
England -9 @ evens

Ireland Wales draw @ 16/1

Dupoint anytime @ 6/4
Vincent anytime @ 6/4

Rattez in the first 10 mins @ 9/1

Always Tired

I see everyone thinks Wales + the points is a gift from the gods. Not so fast my friends. Few things i learned from betting the NFL: never underestimate revenge, or home field. And most importantly don't bet handicaps based off last weeks game.

I think this match fits all those angles and now that I can get Ireland -3 evs I'm happy to take that. This is a huge game to silence the doubters imo. Everyone in Ireland is down on them now and the handicap has dropped like a stone as a result. Ive always found home fans are too overemotional and are too up or down based on recent results.

Wales havent won in Ireland since 2012 and this team isnt coached by the same fella as last time.

Always Tired

Was also considering taking Under 37.5 but the weather doesnt seem to be as bad as expected. Its windy here in Donegal but not top wet, Dublin isnt as bad as here. Still, it should be a tight game. Lean to the under but I am going to take that bet in the later game instead, checking the weather for Murrayfield it appears they are going to have it windier and wetter than here if thats possible. Last game was 38 all and matches rarely go the same way twice. Plus watching Scotland they cant score tries even when they are on the doorstep.

Under 37.5 in England Scotland for my second bet of the day.

Banner2theend

Wales/Wales HT/FT Result at 5/2 looks the best rugby bet of the weekend IMO. You will see a marked change to the way Wales want to play and will run us ragged against a more structured, direct Ireland. The weather looks dry too in Dublin, albeit a bit windy, which should suit the Welsh more than ourselves.

God I will continue to sing Amhran na Bhfiain and Ireland's call with augusto and fanfare. Hopefully we will come out on top, but if we do, it will have to be a very low scoring encounter.

My prediction in my heart goes for Ireland 9 Wales 8
My prediction otherwise is Wales 27 Ireland 10

franglan

4/9 ire wal each over 9.5 points.

unplayable

unplayable wrote: »

Wales +6 @1.91 on sky bet. Get it while it lasts my god what a line haha

To beat the CL by 3 points and the game to go like this haha what a joke all I can do is laugh tbh

Lucy8080

Always Tired wrote: »

I see everyone thinks Wales + the points is a gift from the gods. Not so fast my friends. Few things i learned from betting the NFL: never underestimate revenge, or home field. And most importantly don't bet handicaps based off last weeks game.

I think this match fits all those angles and now that I can get Ireland -3 evs I'm happy to take that. This is a huge game to silence the doubters imo. Everyone in Ireland is down on them now and the handicap has dropped like a stone as a result. Ive always found home fans are too overemotional and are too up or down based on recent results.

Wales havent won in Ireland since 2012 and this team isnt coached by the same fella as last time.

Well done. I'm happy to have got this one wrong. Oh me of little faith!

Always Tired

Lucy8080 wrote: »

Well done. I'm happy to have got this one wrong. Oh me of little faith!

You weren't the only one. Reading the other threads on the match was hilarious, people saying we need to get a different manager, as if he hadnt got them to number 1 before the World Cup. I've been betting US football handicaps for a long time and use a lot of the same angles, mostly based on scheduling spots, doesn't always work out but sometimes it does.

Last week I had Scotland +14 as Ireland had hammered them the last 2 games and thought they might not be too bothered to show their full hand, and might be looking ahead to the revenge game with Wales. Home fans don't tend to look at that overall big picture, they tend to overreact to one game.

No doubt we'll be a dead cert for the Grand Slam now after this win lol.

Del.Monte

Serious after-timing here but it's a long time since I have such a tense but ultimately happy outing. At halftime in the dire Scotland v England game I threw caution to the wind and took Scotland to score over 3.5 in total - threw the whole weekend pot at and won!! Still can't believe it.

I also won the pub draw for 1st try scorer.