Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

thomond2006

Munster out to -7 after the lineup announcement. That feels about right.

franglan

Connacht plus 15 handicap @4/9. This will be close, Gloucester on a terrible run. May just edge it but not by much.

sydthebeat

franglan wrote: »

Connacht plus 15 handicap @4/9. This will be close, Gloucester on a terrible run. May just edge it but not by much.

If you think it's going to be close, why would you bet longer than the spread?

franglan

sydthebeat wrote: »

If you think it's going to be close, why would you bet longer than the spread?

I'm ultra conservative when it comes to betting.

sydthebeat

Stockdale anytime @13/10

Two or more @5/1

franglan

Northampton over 1. 5 tries at 3/4 betfair.

Leinstertomas

sydthebeat wrote: »

current open bets

for the weekend coming
Leinster -6
Munster -1
connacht +8
quins +12

all @ 10/11

and small acca @ 12 /1

Great calls! Hope Connacht complete you acca

Del.Monte

Munster game was a dire spectacle and my Munster -2 was in doubt until the very end but I had it covered anyway thanks to a friend who put me onto Defi Du Seuil in the 15.00 at Sandown. I'm seriously thinking of switching to betting on the horse racing and just enjoying (?) the rugby.

sydthebeat

the connacht one was always the dodgy one for me.. id have liked about another 3 points on it.

Gloucester have a formidable back row, but connacht have a better back line. If connacht can get parity up front i think they should cover the spread... gloucester would be happy to take it 4-1

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

the connacht one was always the dodgy one for me.. id have liked about another 3 points on it.

Should have laid against

Ah well

sydthebeat

Early spreads out for this weekends games

ulster scratch v quins over there.
Quins practically out already, and ulster in a great position to top the group if they can get at least 4 here and take at least 1 away in clermont.
i think ulster werent as good as they could be last weekend, and quins threw the sink at them to keep their euro hopes alive.
Ulsters lack of BPs could end up hurting them so this really is a must win game for them, or they could be looking at an away fixture against a poll winner in the QFs

Leinster -19 is probably about 2 points too strong IMHO, though saints are still in with a good 2nd place qf hope. Lyons interest in this comp is isnt great so saints will be hoping for 4 away there in round 6. If saints are within 10 by the 60th min they will fight to the end.... if not leinster could open up to put 50 on them.

munster +10 v saracens is generous i think. i was expecting about +15. Sarries will bring the big guns back and munster will be without botha, and will have a tiring murray trying to run the show. This could end up being very sore for munster. i dont expect the spread to change much as munster will go all out and the only question is what team will sarries put out.

connacht -3 is about right. they will be disappointed not to take anything last weeknd, and if they dont win this weekend they are completely out.

so my nap currently is sarries -10, but i might wait until further into the week to put anything on..... until selection rumours start to flow

sydthebeat

ulster gone -4 after teams named, quins resting some front liners.

saracens already -12 before teams named, and i expect that to go another 2 points after named. Glad i took them at -10

aloooof

Racing were 4/7 to top the group at the start of the week. Was considering lumping into that but they've since come in to 4/9. Raging I missed that tbh.

Del.Monte

Just waiting for this to come in before I decide where to use lose my winnings. Probably on Saracens -12

Leinstertomas

Have a feeling Ulster will beat that Quins side fairly easily, possibly aiming for a BP.

Ulster -9 @7/4
Ulster - 3 @10/11
Ulster and Toulouse double @2/1
And wee bet on Ulster by 21-30 @8/1

sydthebeat

already 21 points between leinster and ulster this weekend..thats disappointing

sydthebeat

Leinstertomas wrote: »

Have a feeling Ulster will beat that Quins side fairly easily, possibly aiming for a BP.

Ulster -9 @7/4
Ulster - 3 @10/11
Ulster and Toulouse double @2/1
And wee bet on Ulster by 21-30 @8/1

:D:D:D

thats a very sweet list !!

sydthebeat

leinster gone from -25 to -28 after teams named.

ulster at one stage were as narrow as -1 but are now -4

so theres some value in the pro14 this weekend, with 4 of the 7 games having a spread of less than -4 and one other at -7


im on:
leinster -25 @ evens
ulster -3 @ evens

and a double on
dragons -4, blues -1 @ 2.6/1

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

leinster gone from -25 to -28 after teams named.

ulster at one stage were as narrow as -1 but are now -4

so theres some value in the pro14 this weekend, with 4 of the 7 games having a spread of less than -4 and one other at -7


im on:
leinster -25 @ evens
ulster -3 @ evens

and a double on
dragons -4:D, blues -1 :mad: @ 2.6/1

good enough return last weekend, disappointed the blues couldnt get over the line.

sydthebeat

this weekend so far:

Saints -15 @evens (gone out to -21 already)
Racing -6 @evens

then a long acca on the following being winners:

bath, la rochelle, clermont, toulouse, exeter, gloucester, leinster, saints, racing @ approx 7/1

the biggest risk here is chiefs away to glasgow.

Leinstertomas

Ulster +9 10/11

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

this weekend so far:

Saints -15 @evens (gone out to -21 already)
Racing -6 @evens

then a long acca on the following being winners:

bath, la rochelle, clermont, toulouse, exeter, gloucester, leinster, saints, racing @ approx 7/1

the biggest risk here is chiefs away to glasgow.

added saracens -13 @ evens

about 10 points too short in my opinion

The real mccoy 91

sydthebeat wrote: »

added saracens -13 @ evens

about 10 points too short in my opinion

Yes this will be my main bet for the weekend waiting on Boyle's for tryscorer markets and bet builders interested in singleton and the 2 wingers anytimes both odds against with pp which is a mistake imo

The real mccoy 91

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Yes this will be my main bet for the weekend waiting on Boyle's for tryscorer markets and bet builders interested in singleton and the 2 wingers anytimes both odds against with pp which is a mistake imo

Managed to jump on singleton @2/1 with pp 7/5 now(9/4 with 365) and the wingers have gone odds on.

thomond2006

On Racing +12

You have to think the atmosphere in Barnet tomorrow will be poisonous and the visitors will fancy turning the sword.

sydthebeat

thomond2006 wrote: »

On Racing +12

You have to think the atmosphere in Barnet tomorrow will be poisonous and the visitors will fancy turning the sword.

The money is following sarries, gone to -14 now.

I have absolutely no idea how this game will go.

I think I'll go for under 50.5 points @10/11 and under 6.5 tries @10/11

thomond2006

sydthebeat wrote: »

The money is following sarries, gone to -14 now.

Feck.

sydthebeat

Toulouse - 15 @evens

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Feck.

Double feck.

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

I think I'll go for under 50.5 points @10/11 and under 6.5 tries @10/11

This is looking silly right now