Boxing betting thread

Mantis Toboggan

I'll have a little nibble on Parker at 9/1 for the KO.

Boooourns

Molina v Kelly is 4/5 to go the distance, thinking of doubling that up with Joshua points. Molina has never been stopped.

Johner

Johner wrote: »

5/1 best price.

I'd be stunned if Parker last the twelve.

megadodge wrote: »

My post was about the 'value bet' which basically means there's a better chance of something happening than the bookies reckon, not that I actually think it's highly likely. In other words it's priced wrongly in my opinion.

I can see this going long for either a late stoppage or a clear points win both for Joshua.

Edit: Just checked on Betfair and you can get Joshua on pts at 6/1 right now.

Morrison J wrote: »

Anyone think there might be a bit of value on Joshua points at the weekend? 4/1.

Looking like a great shout lads. Fair play!

Boooourns

Boooourns wrote: »

Molina v Kelly is 4/5 to go the distance, thinking of doubling that up with Joshua points. Molina has never been stopped.

*cough*

Kaiser84

Had Joshua on points 9/2.

Had Joshua and Ryan Burnett on points double.
Paid just over 9/1.

Kaiser84

Gutted I didn't put a wedge on.

walshb

The boys who had a points win for AJ, good shout..

I felt that the fight was nothing more than a spar. AJ was quite nonchalant for large parts of it. Either that or he’s just not all that good..

normanoffside

Anybody else think Lara at 5/6 is a good bet Vs Hurd?

Sprinter Sacre

Hurd has no defence in my eye but his size is huge and he's relentless. Hurd would be a big MW and must be killing himself to make 154. Lara has experience against that type of fighter though and he was robbed against Williams for me. I'd definitely favour Lara more than what the odds indicate but I feel Hurd will get shorter with time as there's a lot of hype over him and Lara is a typical Cuban who goes under the radar and doesn't get much credit due to his style. I'll probably wait until the props are put on the books.

I like Gallimore to beat Williams on the undercard. Williams looks a little ruined since the Charlo fight and Gallimore is a decent fighter with good power. The price isn't too attractive right now though.

Surely nobody will take on DeGale at that price?

Morrison J

Going to wait till more prices come out before deciding what I'll do on Hurd-Lara.

Hurd is extremely basic but he's massive for the weight and will keep coming forward. Will test Lara's stamina and toughness for all its worth.

I think I'd lean Lara points. Maybe hedged with Hurd in rounds 7-12. Lara should build up an early lead, just a matter of whether he'll see out the late storm.

I agree Gallimore is very live against Williams too. Gallimore can dig and Williams is chinny. Think Williams probably wins on points but if there's decent Gallimore via KO odds about I'll be taking them.

normanoffside

Morrison J wrote: »

Going to wait till more prices come out before deciding what I'll do on Hurd-Lara.

Hurd is extremely basic but he's massive for the weight and will keep coming forward. Will test Lara's stamina and toughness for all its worth.

I think I'd lean Lara points. Maybe hedged with Hurd in rounds 7-12. Lara should build up an early lead, just a matter of whether he'll see out the late storm.

I agree Gallimore is very live against Williams too. Gallimore can dig and Williams is chinny. Think Williams probably wins on points but if there's decent Gallimore via KO odds about I'll be taking them.

Still nothing on the Irish bookies for method of victory but you can get 7/4 in places for a Lara pts victory.
Odds on the straight win for Lara are shortening.

Meanwhile Truax odds have come right in since I posted about him being 5/1 just to beat DeGale, you can only get 3/1 for a Truax win or 5/1 for a pts win.

Not sure it's worth it at those odds anymore...

Morrison J

normanoffside wrote: »

Still nothing on the Irish bookies for method of victory but you can get 7/4 in places for a Lara pts victory.
Odds on the straight win for Lara are shortening.

Meanwhile Truax odds have come right in since I posted about him being 5/1 just to beat DeGale, you can only get 3/1 for a Truax win or 5/1 for a pts win.

Not sure it's worth it at those odds anymore...

7/4 isn't great. More I think, the more I think I might leave it entirely. Hurd on points wouldn't be a complete shocker given the judges tend to favour the come forward fighter. Lara takes fighting negative to a new level. He'll definitely lead early but after that I'm not sure. The size of the ring will be a big difference maker too.

normanoffside

Lara is drifting out to evens to win in places.

I placed a small double on Truax and Lara both to win via points @ around 15/1

normanoffside

pac_man wrote: »

I can see them both going to pts but going with the narrative that Degale took the eye of the ball in the first fight and will rectify that tonight. Hope it comes through for you though.

if i had gotten on this 3 weeks ago it was 30/1. It's almost a regret bet at this stage but it's only a tenner

normanoffside

normanoffside wrote: »

Jessie Vargas is 11/8 to beat Broner at 144lbs.
That's another one I have my eye on

Morrison J wrote: »

Looks good value to me too. I'll prob hold out for the better value on Vargas points though. Can't see Broner getting stopped.

Way too late again.Vargas now a decent favourite and best you can get on a Points win is 5/4.
Gotta jump on more of these bets early doors.

weemcd

Anyone fancy either Lo Greco by KO or Donaire to cause the upset? Tasty odds on both. A small part of me fancies a few quid on Lo Greco because it's Khan and he's been very inactive.

Thoughts?

Sprinter Sacre

Couldn't back someone like Lo Greco and Khan's chin problems are vastly overstated tbh. Not many take the KO punches by Canelo and Garcia. I'd imagine Khan will make light work of him tomorrow.

Donaire/Frampton is a close fight though and odds are off by my eye. Frampton is @1.24 when he should be about 1.4 maybe even 1.5. Does Donaire ever get a decision in Belfast, unlikely. Does he still have the power to get it done, I'd say he does and I'll take a bit of the stoppage odds @9.4

walshb

Greco isn’t much of a digger, and is slow as fook...Khan should pitter patter him into defeat..

Donaire only has a puncher’s chance. I don’t think he puts his punches together anymore...

Morrison J

Some very suspicious betting patterns being reported on the Cummings vs. Keeler fight. Keeler to win in round 3 apparently.

I highly highly doubt Cummings is the type to take a dive but something to keep an eye on.

normanoffside

Morrison J wrote: »

Some very suspicious betting patterns being reported on the Cummings vs. Keeler fight. Keeler to win in round 3 apparently.

I highly highly doubt Cummings is the type to take a dive but something to keep an eye on.

Can't get odds on that anywhere now :pac:

normanoffside

Morrison J wrote: »

Some very suspicious betting patterns being reported on the Cummings vs. Keeler fight. Keeler to win in round 3 apparently.

I highly highly doubt Cummings is the type to take a dive but something to keep an eye on.

looked likely after the 2nd!

liamoreilly

...He may not have got the ko in 3rd, but what a fight this is... they did mention alot of late money in keeler to win...

normanoffside

I have to say, with all the talk of betting fixes, that fight looked a bit dodgy. Cummings did nothing for the last 3-4 rounds after looking good in the middle ones but had loads of energy lest.

Morrison J

Miller v Duhaupas to go the distance - 3/1

Decent value I think.

Miller has come in outrageously overweight and Duhaupas is very very durable. Will hopefully turn into a hugging match down the stretch and go the distance.

Johner

Morrison J wrote: »

Miller v Duhaupas to go the distance - 3/1

Decent value I think.

Miller has come in outrageously overweight and Duhaupas is very very durable. Will hopefully turn into a hugging match down the stretch and go the distance.

304 pounds. :eek: Dear lord, I'd love to know what weight he was before he started camp. :pac:

Kaiser84

Morrison J wrote: »

Miller v Duhaupas to go the distance - 3/1

Decent value I think.

Miller has come in outrageously overweight and Duhaupas is very very durable. Will hopefully turn into a hugging match down the stretch and go the distance.

Good call.

normanoffside

Morrison J wrote: »

Miller v Duhaupas to go the distance - 3/1

Decent value I think.

Miller has come in outrageously overweight and Duhaupas is very very durable. Will hopefully turn into a hugging match down the stretch and go the distance.

Good shot. Saw this yesterday but didn't have the courage to follow through.
A very Hairy moment between 11 and 12 though!!

akelly02

Haye on pts the weekend 11/2 will have a go

Sprinter Sacre

Shocked to see Sadam Ali @5/6 vs Munguia. He was at 4/11 earlier in the week apparently. It is a shame as I do give Munguia a very good chance of starching him. Ali is a decent boxer with decent speed but Vargas got at him with ease and was able to floor him hard, and Vargas is not a big puncher at all. Munguia is a big guy who can hit very hard and even though he's 21 he's got to feel this his chance even though he's fought subpar opposition up until now. Price for stoppage is piss poor though.

Morrison J

Going with a Stevenson & Selby double tomorrow for a bit of added interest. Better than evens.

I think Warrington is going to let this crowd get to him and come in to the ring like a man possessed, completely rush his work and get picked off all night. Selby wins a pretty clear decision or might even get a late stoppage depending on how gun-ho Warrington gets.

I also think Jack likes to trade in the pocket too much and isn't going to be able to stand up to Stevenson's left hand. Think he could go pretty early. Jack survives the early rounds though and he has a right chance of even stopping Stevenson late.