*** Heavy Rain and High Winds for many as Storm approaches(Mon 24th - Tues 25th Sept)

Tom Cruises Left Nut

redsteveireland wrote: »

Brownie points and I'd rather do it now before it gets colder!

Met Eireann are giving heavy rain tomorrow night and Monday for the west. Does this match the latest model runs?

The HIRLAM doesn't seem to show it

http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/index/danmark/vejrkort.htm

Choose "Nebdor" and let it run

maquiladora

redsteveireland wrote: »

Met Eireann are giving heavy rain tomorrow night and Monday for the west. Does this match the latest model runs?

That would be associated with another low pressure system coming down from the northwest. I don't see a whole lot of rain from that for the west tomorrow.

Redsunset

18z Hi res Hirlam accumulated rainfall till 6am Tuesday

Redsunset

Here's a 12z model comparison of the big 4 to help show where the low is headed. Image are for midday on Tuesday and show the 24 hour precip totals. The northern half of country looks most miserable but as the system will be clipping east coast during it's rotation prior to this, these regions could see some hefty rainfall too. Still not certain though.

jimmynokia

the indo had this to say today..
http://www.independent.ie/weather/weather-alert-frost-hail-and-thunder-on-way-as-temperature-set-to-plunge-3236203.html

Sponge Bob

The system has crossed the south coast of England and is just into south Wales now and is raining across a broad area. Heaviest rain will come onshore Dorset Hampshire or so around midday

Watch it here.

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

TURRICAN

Sat 24 is showing plenty of thunderstorm activity and even has a strike recorded in Ireland.
Hopefully we will get some action.
http://www.sat24.com/


Edit
Irish strike is gone now must be a mistake. Typical Irish bloody weather;)

maquiladora

I would be surprised if there wasn't some flooding in parts of England and Wales from this over the next few days.

Any impact here will probably only be in the north/northeast, if at all.

Cantona's Collars

maquiladora wrote: »

I would be surprised if there wasn't some flooding in parts of England and Wales from this over the next few days.

Any impact here will probably only be in the north/northeast, if at all.

I love a good storm but this week England are welcome to it.Didn't fancy going around the ploughing championships with the place like a swamp.

Redsunset

I've changed thread title to point out provinces where most rainfall and stronger wind is forecast. While the east looks to get some heavy rain over night, it's northern regions that should experience the most inclement conditions overall. Local flooding is very likely here. The rest of the country looks somewhat spared any deluge.

notnumber

Netweather have 60mm of rain falling over Dublin tomorrow with most it falling from 12-6 pm..:eek:

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=world;page=2;loc=1011164~dublin,%20Dublin,%20IRELAND;sess=#forecast

Belfast getting even more!!

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=world;page=2;loc=807907~belfast,%20Belfast,%20UNITED%20KINGDOM;sess=#forecast

maquiladora

Amber warnings for Northern Ireland for Monday and Tuesday posted by the UK Met Office now.

Su Campu

This low is called Karin.

Iancar29

12z GFS shifts more of the precip in land effecting more of Ireland tomorrow and into Tuesday , oh how i love the complexity of the Weather!



EDIT: NMM Model coinciding with the GFS and brings more of the persistent rain
to a larger part of the East with a higher chance of flooding with 50mm possible over the course of tomorrow. ONe to watch for sure.

ninebeanrows

This system looks like becoming increasingly troublesome.

GFS 12z is particularly alarming.

Not only precipitation but now windspeeds onto the east coast and combined with the torrential rain will make things increasingly rough as tomorrow progresses.

GFS gives windspeeds at 925hpa of near 55/60KTs along east coast. Suggesting gusts to near this level (above 60mph).

Also precipitation amounts of potentially as much as 100mm in exposed parts.

It will be interesting to see if the system begins to ramp up in the model output in the next 12 hours.

maquiladora

Met Eireann:

Weather Warning

Issued at 23 September 2012 - 19:00

Weather Advisory
Between 25 and 40mm of rain will accumulate during Monday 24th September in north and east Leinster, as well as much of Ulster. Higher totals may be recorded in east Ulster.

Valid from 03:00 hours Monday, 24-Sep-2012 until 23:59 hours Monday, 24-Sep-2012

maquiladora

One of the interesting things about this system that makes it different from the more typical lows we see coming around our neck of the woods is that instead of this low weakening and filling as it reaches land it will actually be deepening tonight and tomorrow over the UK.

Big Daddy Cool

off tomorrow so looking forward to this, we live just north of slane in Meath, how much rain could we potentially see?

ninebeanrows

Big Daddy Cool wrote: »

off tomorrow so looking forward to this, we live just north of slane in Meath, how much rain could we potentially see?

You could see 50mm. But still very uncertain.

TURRICAN

Weatherman2012 wrote: »

Guys biggest problem if the latest model runs are correct is high winds and heavy rain will lead to huge leaf fall from trees and in turn this could potentially cause big problems in terms of flooding.

True dat.
That will make driving conditions alot more tricky too with Slippy leaves down.

Iancar29

Shall be interesting to hear what Met Éireann have to say after the news.

Just of note just been out walking the dog down the park , the ground is very dry and cold , feels like a rock! And heavy downpours at first will run right off..


But ye... ohhh to have this sight to watch right now!

average_runner

Iancar29 wrote: »

Shall be interesting to hear what Met Éireann have to say after the news.

Just of note just been out walking the dog down the park , the ground is very dry and cold , feels like a rock! And heavy downpours at first will run right off..


But ye... ohhh to have this sight to watch right now!

looks the north to get the worst. Dublin to be wet for awhile but no warning.

maquiladora

18Z models will be interesting. GFS to back off or other models to come more into line with the GFS?

Oscar Bravo

A nice line of showers developing in the West now.

bilston

Living in Belfast do the weather experts here advise me to bring an umbrella to work tomorrow?:)

Sappa

What sort of rainfall for Galway.

maquiladora

bilston wrote: »

Living in Belfast do the weather experts here advise me to bring an umbrella to work tomorrow?:)

No. Bring four.

maquiladora

18Z NAE showing up to 77mm on the east coast by 48 hours.

100+mm in some areas of the UK.

pauldry

Id say tomorrow approx rainfalls would be

Dublin 25mm
Belfast 35mm
Donegal 30mm (Sam)
Claremorris 20mm (Samless)
Galway 15mm
Ballyhaise 40mm
Mullingar 25mm
Shannon 10mm
Cork 5mm

Wind gusts of 60 knots possible tomorrow night in Northwest

Oh Sligo of course!!! 28mm Ill guess.

maquiladora

18Z GFS has backed off on the rain totals for the east by 36 hours.

Could all change on the 0Z again of course.