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Winter/Spring 2013 (Model Output Discussion)

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    #332
    mcriot29
    Registered Users Posts: 386 ✭✭mcriot29


    delw wrote: »
    mcriot29 wrote: »
    Geoff sharp was correct for past few years
    He seems to think west europe will be hit hard this winter.
    As we will see a neg Ao this year
    You can view his 2010 forecast he was correct
    http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node/189
    What did he say about last winter?
    He has that on his site he was correct


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    #333
    Daniel2590
    Registered Users Posts: 1,645 ✭✭✭Daniel2590


    mcriot29 wrote: »
    He has that on his site he was correct

    Well James Madden says he was correct so there's always the possibility he's stretching the truth :o


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    #334
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Christmas mornings don't get much better than this, 2009..
    VKyZnl.jpg


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    #335
    rc28
    Registered Users Posts: 2,246 ✭✭✭rc28


    ^^ You mean Christmas 2010? Them were the days alright :)


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    #336
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    rc28 wrote: »
    ^^ You mean Christmas 2010? Them were the days alright :)

    No 2009.


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    #337
    rc28
    Registered Users Posts: 2,246 ✭✭✭rc28


    Wow I don't remember Christmas 2009 having temps during the day of -9c! I do remember that it got really cold around New Years though and then we had the January 2010 cold spell - which we thought was something...until November and December 2010! :D


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    #338
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    rc28 wrote: »
    Wow I don't remember Christmas 2009 having temps during the day of -9c! I do remember that it got really cold around New Years though and then we had the January 2010 cold spell - which we thought was something...until November and December 2010! :D

    Well, it didn't stay that cold for the whole day because a warm front did come up across the country.


    so for later in the day it was this
    56yegl.jpg

    and it snowed away in Donegal that day, so it was a nice White Christmas. :)

    Yes I should correct my original post when I said it doesn't get any better than this, (the following year it was colder!)


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    #339
    mcriot29
    Registered Users Posts: 386 ✭✭mcriot29


    Pangea wrote: »
    rc28 wrote: »
    Wow I don't remember Christmas 2009 having temps during the day of -9c! I do remember that it got really cold around New Years though and then we had the January 2010 cold spell - which we thought was something...until November and December 2010! :D

    Well, it didn't stay that cold for the whole day because a warm front did come up across the country.


    so for later in the day it was this
    56yegl.jpg

    and it snowed away in Donegal that day, so it was a nice White Christmas. :)

    Yes I should correct my original post when I said it doesn't get any better than this, (the following year it was colder!)
    That pic would look even better with jean byrne in it in her leather dress lol


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    #340
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Pangea wrote: »
    Christmas mornings don't get much better than this, 2009..
    VKyZnl.jpg

    Frezing. Not quite cold enough for two Es but still cold!


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    #341
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    mcriot29 wrote: »
    That pic would look even better with jean byrne in it in her leather dress lol
    No problem :D
    Forecast from 4th January 2010
    Mm9pAl.jpg


    Su Campu wrote: »
    Frezing. Not quite cold enough for two Es but still cold!
    Oh you want colder eh?

    Forecast from 21st December 2010
    Day temperature
    AesRyl.jpg

    Night
    zxiUXl.jpg


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    #342
    jimmy.d
    Registered Users Posts: 200 ✭✭jimmy.d


    bit of FI 12_384_preciptype.png?cb=573 and depth not much12_384_uksnowdepth.png?cb=573


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    #343
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Sorry lads, there's no snow there, FI or not. :pac:


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    #344
    mcriot29
    Registered Users Posts: 386 ✭✭mcriot29


    jimmy.d wrote: »
    bit of FI 12_384_preciptype.png?cb=573 and depth not much12_384_uksnowdepth.png?cb=573
    Is it even poss to have snow on the frist of oct at sea level doubt it


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    #345
    srmambo
    Closed Accounts Posts: 78 ✭✭srmambo


    mcriot29 wrote: »
    Is it even poss to have snow on the frist of oct at sea level doubt it

    Strange, the 12Z GFS charts on Weather Online don't show the chances of snow noted on the charts you have posted.

    12100112_1512.gif


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    #346
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    mcriot29 wrote: »
    Is it even poss to have snow on the frist of oct at sea level doubt it

    It's very rare but not impossible. There was snow at low levels in England on 20th Septermber 1919.

    Rrea00219190920.gif

    But those GFS charts on the previous page do not show any snow, only rain. The air temps are 8 to 12 degrees there.


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    #347
    Baibin Sneachta
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7 ✭Baibin Sneachta


    http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node%2F270


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    #348
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Pangea wrote: »

    Oh you want colder eh?

    I screen grabbed a couple of met eireann forecasts during that spell just to keep them on record. You don't see a forecast like this everyday on their website: (from the 20th Dec 2010)
    220852.png



    Met reports for midnight Christmas Eve 2010: Brutally cold everywhere:

    220853.png

    Epic spell of weather.


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    #349
    Lucreto
    Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    All this posts are getting my expectations up. Please continue.:D

    I see a few trees yellowing now and the spider population seemed to have moved into my house.

    Lots of spiders this year. I noticed the same in 2010.


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    #350
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Deep Easterly wrote: »


    Met reports for midnight Christmas Eve 2010: Brutally cold everywhere:

    220853.png

    .

    I remember going to work with my brother, car door was frozen shut ! , Coming homes aswell too! , had to get deicer and all ha. -12 i remember the car saying it was outside. Nice and cool indeed! :D :pac: ...


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    #351
    Min
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭Min


    Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi
    UK beware. a heck of a winter is lurking. Water temps resemble what is going on around Alaska pic.twitter.com/EKZBoarx


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    #352
    Not
    Closed Accounts Posts: 626 ✭✭✭Not


    And then the big thaw on 26th Dec 2010, went from -12C in south Dublin overnight to +12C. The massive icicles came crashing down that evening, and about 15 inches of lying snow and ice snow just dissappeared :eek:


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    #353
    mcriot29
    Registered Users Posts: 386 ✭✭mcriot29


    Min wrote: »
    Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi
    UK beware. a heck of a winter is lurking. Water temps resemble what is going on around Alaska pic.twitter.com/EKZBoarx
    Whats water temps in alaska got to do with us having a cold winter , does that mean a neg nao or what is joe b saying


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    #354
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Min wrote: »
    Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi
    UK beware. a heck of a winter is lurking. Water temps resemble what is going on around Alaska pic.twitter.com/EKZBoarx

    36ar24.jpg


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    #355
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,119 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Joe B got the Winter spot on over Europe last year! He predicted the worst of the cold over Eastern Europe and down into Greece and it happened! He singled out Ireland and that also happened!


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    #356
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Joe B got the Winter spot on over Europe last year! He predicted the worst of the cold over Eastern Europe and down into Greece and it happened! He singled out Ireland and that also happened!

    Im not saying hes gonna be wrong..... its more of a " SUrely you cant be serious!? " haha

    Ye he got last year pretty well covered, but for the US he kept going topsy turning on his thoughts. But ye, i certainly rather him saying that than the opposite! ha


  • Options
    #357
    mcriot29
    Registered Users Posts: 386 ✭✭mcriot29


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    pad199207 wrote: »
    Joe B got the Winter spot on over Europe last year! He predicted the worst of the cold over Eastern Europe and down into Greece and it happened! He singled out Ireland and that also happened!

    Im not saying hes gonna be wrong..... its more of a " SUrely you cant be serious!? " haha

    Ye he got last year pretty well covered, but for the US he kept going topsy turning on his thoughts. But ye, i certainly rather him saying that than the opposite! ha
    Iv heard that joe b is looking at a 2010 type event again but longer
    Piers is saying the same predicting it from nov to feb


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    #358
    Min
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭Min


    Joe got the last two winters for Europe right in terms of where the major cold would appear as Pad said.
    I am unaware of his predictions before then.
    So for 2012/2013 it looks to be in this area again.

    I look forward to what he puts out in the coming weeks and months for this part of the world.
    I think he is one of the more credible longterm forecasters.


  • Options
    #359
    mcriot29
    Registered Users Posts: 386 ✭✭mcriot29


    Min wrote: »
    Joe got the last two winters for Europe right in terms of where the major cold would appear as Pad said.
    I am unaware of his predictions before then.
    So for 2012/2013 it looks to be in this area again.

    I look forward to what he puts out in the coming weeks and months for this part of the world.
    I think he is one of the more credible longterm forecasters.
    What has alaskas sea temp got to do with us having a cold winter


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    #360
    Min
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭Min


    mcriot29 wrote: »
    What has alaskas sea temp got to do with us having a cold winter


    I think he is saying the sea temperatures are similar to those of Alaska and I guess he is predicting another severe winter for Alaska, which was exceptional last year.
    Sea temperatures to our north east seem to be the key area, but not sure on that, there are better people here to explain it than me.


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    #361
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Min wrote: »
    Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi
    UK beware. a heck of a winter is lurking. Water temps resemble what is going on around Alaska pic.twitter.com/EKZBoarx

    Btw we should delete this before the Papers see it!! ... :pac: :rolleyes:


This discussion has been closed.
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