Winter/Spring 2013 (Model Output Discussion)

DylanII

I get really confused when looking through here. Can someone tell me if its looking like we are going to be getting some snow?

maquiladora

Min wrote: »

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi
UK beware. a heck of a winter is lurking. Water temps resemble what is going on around Alaska pic.twitter.com/EKZBoarx

I'm not a fan of Big Joe, he lets his emotions take over when it comes to hurricanes and US winter weather. However, unlike the looney UK cold rampers that have sprung up over the last few years, he is a pro met with a degree in meteorology. So it's interesting to hear what he is saying, but still take it with a pinch of salt.

maquiladora

DylanII wrote: »

I get really confused when looking through here. Can someone tell me if its looking like we are going to be getting some snow?

It's the 16th of September. Nobody knows the answer to that yet.

Iancar29

Iancar29 wrote: »

I found the first decent one the CFS... hehehe

Back to my Nice relaxing SUnday evening... oh and back into Rant away with some fun charts

Mesa likes trends

Frosty Halloween anyone?

Deep Easterly

Iancar29 wrote: »

I remember going to work with my brother, car door was frozen shut ! , Coming homes aswell too! , had to get deicer and all ha. -12 i remember the car saying it was outside. Nice and cool indeed! ...

I live in halfway down a housing estate that is built on a very slight incline but was enough to cause nightmares while trying to drive the car out of it, and even worse when driving back into it. Slid into the edges of pavements more than once when trying navigate corners. Not to mention wore down tyres due to the amount of spinning just trying to get up the hill which had to be replaced at a pretty cost!

Best way drive get up a incline though in icy weather is to reverse slowly up it.

IrishGurll

Just found this article ,
http://www.joe.ie/news-politics/current-affairs/looks-like-we-could-be-in-for-a-white-christmas-0028302-1

maquiladora

IrishGurll wrote: »

Just found this article ,
http://www.joe.ie/news-politics/current-affairs/looks-like-we-could-be-in-for-a-white-christmas-0028302-1

Very weird article. They got the name of the website wrong first of all, it's Netweather.tv not Netwatch.tv, and I don't see anywhere on Netweather mentioning snow for Ireland in December. The only long range thing I see on Netweather is...

Winter - An Early Look
December
Confidence really is very low at this stage, but looking briefly to the start of winter the current expectation is for both temperatures and rainfall to be pretty close to normal for the time of year.

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess=

rc28

:rolleyes:
God, it makes me angry to read such poorly researched tripe. I don't have the energy to do it, can someone send a firmly worded email to oisin.collins@joe.ie on behalf of everyone on the weather forum

IrishGurll

LOL :L

vicwatson

Min wrote: »

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi
UK beware. a heck of a winter is lurking. Water temps resemble what is going on around Alaska pic.twitter.com/EKZBoarx

After he tweeted this someone asked him was he predicting a bad winter in UK this winter and he came back and said the following -

" @jakeleopold
 @BigJoeBastardi
Not really. It's been a weird year and way too early to be certain about most things..."

Newspapers are you reading?

pauldry

I reckon this Winter will be cool but not cold. Just boring most of the time.

I wish the Winters of 2010 (January and December) would happen every year but they dont.

I think this Winter we will see a lot of wind from the Northwest so there will be some wintry showers but no prolonged cold spells.

This is just my provisional forecast but I have to start somewhere. By mid October it will be clearer. Hopefully we will have a few storms to liven up the season.

The rest of September looks fairly boring with just cool nights and some rain but nothing out of the ordinary.

Birdnuts

pauldry wrote: »

I reckon this Winter will be cool but not cold. Just boring most of the time.

.

I'm assuming it can't be as boring as the last one - the most boring one I can ever remember. Mild,dull and dry. Which isn't all bad but this being Ireland, things tend to be balanced out over the year which meant another generally rubbish summer:(

maquiladora

pauldry wrote: »

I reckon this Winter will be cool but not cold. Just boring most of the time.

I wish the Winters of 2010 (January and December) would happen every year but they dont.

I think this Winter we will see a lot of wind from the Northwest so there will be some wintry showers but no prolonged cold spells.

This is just my provisional forecast but I have to start somewhere. By mid October it will be clearer. Hopefully we will have a few storms to liven up the season.

The rest of September looks fairly boring with just cool nights and some rain but nothing out of the ordinary.

:P

Baibin Sneachta

http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fm.guardian.co.uk%2Fenvironment%2F2012%2Fsep%2F14%2Farctic-sea-ice-harsh-winter-europe%3Fcat%3Denvironment%26type%3Darticle&h=hAQEOuxU4

Kopparberg Strawberry and Lime

posting in hope of good decent snow like 2010 style !

gbee

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Best way drive get up a incline though in icy weather is to reverse slowly up it.

And have the lowest possible pressure in the tyres too.

scatch085

vicwatson wrote: »

After he tweeted this someone asked him was he predicting a bad winter in UK this winter and he came back and said the following -

" @jakeleopold
 @BigJoeBastardi
Not really. It's been a weird year and way too early to be certain about most things..."

Newspapers are you reading?

If he said this then i find this strange as this it what he posted yesterday on his website weatherbell



The UKMET is more eastern trough... but not as much neg NAO as other modeling... but certainly is hinting at the cold. Notice also the southern jet it is developing into the southwest.



At least at this point its quite different



It is really be the way, cranking winter in the UK as most of the models are. This year I expect the Euro winter to be severe again regionally, but the west looks to be where its worst. Perhaps the 7-10 day means are a warm up for what is to come as more chill attacks england ( and of course we have the chill coming into the US.) Notice also how Nadine gets stuck int he Atlantic and a new typhoon appears to perhaps let us know whether another recurve is coming.

Min

scatch085 wrote: »

If he said this then i find this strange as this it what he posted yesterday on his website weatherbell



The UKMET is more eastern trough... but not as much neg NAO as other modeling... but certainly is hinting at the cold. Notice also the southern jet it is developing into the southwest.



At least at this point its quite different



It is really be the way, cranking winter in the UK as most of the models are. This year I expect the Euro winter to be severe again regionally, but the west looks to be where its worst. Perhaps the 7-10 day means are a warm up for what is to come as more chill attacks england ( and of course we have the chill coming into the US.) Notice also how Nadine gets stuck int he Atlantic and a new typhoon appears to perhaps let us know whether another recurve is coming.

Mark Vogan

On twitter:
Mark Vogan ‏@MarkVogan
Major heat is set to dominate ALL of W. North America from California to Alaska. Records are likely to fall much of the nxt 7 days!


Mark Vogan ‏@MarkVogan
As a consequence, the polar vortex will get split with very cold air dropping into 2 troughs 1) into Central USA 2) into UK/Scand.

Su Campu

Nooooooooo....not Vogan again!!!!! :rolleyes:

mcriot29

Su Campu wrote: »

Nooooooooo....not Vogan again!!!!! :rolleyes:

All vogan does is say what job b tweets etc , it seems vogans best friend is joe bs son

maquiladora

Min wrote: »

Mark Vogan ‏@MarkVogan

nacho libre

Deep Easterly wrote: »

I screen grabbed a couple of met eireann forecasts during that spell just to keep them on record. You don't see a forecast like this everyday on their website: (from the 20th Dec 2010)




Met reports for midnight Christmas Eve 2010: Brutally cold everywhere:



Epic spell of weather.

indeed paddy one. it brings a tear to the eye to read through that forecast again. i remember thinking at the time, i'll be unlikely to see a forecast like it again(at least not until later this year,hopefully) if it does happen, i'll have no choice but to come back to Ireland:pac:

ninebeanrows

Reading that forecast just sent a shiver down my spine!

What good times. We thought it would never happen but it did. Although maybe that's our lifetime cold spell over and done with!

mrweatherman

Just spoke to the dog there on the street and his in the same opinion that it will be a wet, very mild and boring winter like last year :-P

mrweatherman

Jokes aside tv3 claim frost in parts thursday night rain in munster as norm sign of things to come

mrweatherman

Jokes aside tv3 claim frost in parts thursday night rain in munster as norm sign of things to come

HellFireClub

mrweatherman wrote: »

Jokes aside tv3 claim frost in parts thursday night rain in munster as norm sign of things to come

Just been out for a few minutes in Dublin 12, it does feel very cold for this time of year...

mcriot29

HellFireClub wrote: »

mrweatherman wrote: »

Jokes aside tv3 claim frost in parts thursday night rain in munster as norm sign of things to come

Just been out for a few minutes in Dublin 12, it does feel very cold for this time of year...

I hear the weather postman said it will be a normal winter this year no signs of any deep freeze

HellFireClub

mcriot29 wrote: »

I hear the weather postman said it will be a normal winter this year no signs of any deep freeze

Fúck 'em! :D:D

srmambo

Weathergossip state that the month of November will be a mild and wet month.

http://autumnireland2012.blogspot.ie/