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GFS Promises Christmas Heatwave

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    #152
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Harps wrote: »
    A bit confused as to what I'm seeing here, from what I can tell both are showing the 850hPa temps for Thursday morning yet they're showing a massive difference.

    HIRLAM makes a lot more sense so I assume I'm reading the NAE
    chart wrong?
    The ECMWF is going for warmer T850s than other models so that would explain the Hirlam's warmth. It depends on the exact strength of the SWerly gradient, which depends on the southerly progress of the cold pool from Greenland. Therein lies the difference I would say. Stronger gradient means stronger SWerly flow bringing the warmer temperatures that bit further north.


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    #153
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Met Office white Christmas infographic showing snow at Christmas in the UK over the last 50 years.
    snow-at-christmas.jpg
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZkWX1Y7hw24


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    #154
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Five ME stations were at 12.0 C or more at midday.

    Valentia 12.6
    Claremorris 12.4
    Finner 12.2
    Oak Park 21.1
    Johnstown Castle 12.0

    The coldest was Knock at 10.5 °C


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    #155
    dublincelt
    Registered Users Posts: 409 ✭✭dublincelt


    Su Campu wrote: »
    Five ME stations were at 12.0 C or more at midday.

    Valentia 12.6
    Claremorris 12.4
    Finner 12.2
    Oak Park 21.1
    Johnstown Castle 12.0

    The coldest was Knock at 10.5 °C

    We are enjoying a barbecue down here!!

    Kids playin in the paddling pool and all!! :pac:


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    #156
    blackius
    Closed Accounts Posts: 469 ✭✭blackius


    Su Campu wrote: »
    Five ME stations were at 12.0 C or more at midday.

    Valentia 12.6
    Claremorris 12.4
    Finner 12.2
    Oak Park 21.1
    Johnstown Castle 12.0

    The coldest was Knock at 10.5 °C
    I'm at 12.7c


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    #157
    je55ie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 423 ✭✭je55ie


    Reading 14c here in Kerry and feels warm too!!!


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    #158
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Its very mild in the sun but still a bit chilly indoors, I guess we need a few more days for the effect to warm the bricks up fully! :pac:


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    #159
    Tazio
    Registered Users Posts: 698 ✭✭✭Tazio


    I don't have a weather station to report temperatures...


    But I do have daisies (Bellis Perennis) growing again and flowering on the fields... crazy.:confused: I'll post picts later...


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    #160
    gbee
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    Tazio wrote: »
    But I do have daisies (Bellis Perennis) growing again and flowering on the fields... crazy.:confused: I'll post picts later...

    Like these?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VvrFI3gv1cY


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    #161
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Max temp today 14.5c in Waterford City which is the highest December temp recorded at a Waterford station since December 10th 1994 (14.6c)

    www.waterfordcityweather.com/wxindex.php


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    #162
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    The northwest should see some light snow and graupel showers above around 200 metres during Friday morning before pressure rises from the west and warmer air moves in again later in the day.


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    #163
    gbee
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    11°C and dropping

    a beautiful view this evening

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWQm5ZsiIiU


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    #164
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Looking almost a definite at this stage:

    185991.png

    Stratus.


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    #165
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Claremorris maxed out at 13.2C today, with Valentia, Cork Airport and Roches Point all on 13.1C.


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    #166
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,643 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    Looking almost a definite at this stage:

    6034073

    Stratus.

    Stratus- faction? :p

    http://www.unchained-wwe.com/gallery/trish-stratus/trishwall.jpg


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    #167
    Irishmarinelife
    Closed Accounts Posts: 61 ✭✭Irishmarinelife


    My car posted 14° this afternoon for 5 minutes or so while driving through Fanad, Donegal today. Really didn't feel like December!


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    #168
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    nacho libre wrote: »
    Stratus- faction? :p

    http://www.unchained-wwe.com/gallery/trish-stratus/trishwall.jpg

    Nah, more stratus opacus :P

    Don't know what happened the image I attached.


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    #169
    Lucreto
    Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    What are the charts telling us about the length of this mild weather that ruins my nightly sleeps and possibly ruin one of my Christmas traditions


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    #170
    Sponge Bob
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Charts say FABULOUS...simply FABULOUS! :D

    186016.png


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    #171
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Charts say FABULOUS...simply FABULOUS! :D

    186016.png

    FABULOUS if you would like lashing rain , good man,

    Any how the GEFS says no , but both are so far out they shouldnt be here there should be in the FI thread .

    186017.png


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    #172
    kingshankly
    Registered Users Posts: 7,540 ✭✭✭kingshankly


    christ it is very mild this morning all the people who called sponge bob a troll hang yer heads in shame he was spot on to be fair


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    #173
    leahyl
    Registered Users Posts: 14,245 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Jesus Christ came to work this morning in a light cardigan and a top and jeans - no heavy coat, scarf, gloves nothing!! Incredibly mild!! :eek::(

    Roll on January - although I wish we were getting our cold snap while we are off work for Christmas - that way it wouldn't cause so much havoc (well for me anyway!):D

    But now it doesn't look like we're going to get anything exceptional in January either:confused:!


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    #174
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users Posts: 6,042 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    kingshankly wrote: »
    christ it is very mild this morning all the people who called sponge bob a troll hang yer heads in shame he was spot on to be fair

    I saw it coming a month ago.

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=75639579

    edit: the weather chart for today and nov 24th are almost identical.


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    #175
    Sponge Bob
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Elmer Blooker wrote: »
    I saw it coming a month ago.
    Next time YOU start the thread and take all the negativity from the rabid snow bunnies. :cool:


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    #176
    kingshankly
    Registered Users Posts: 7,540 ✭✭✭kingshankly


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Next time YOU start the thread and take all the negativity from the rabid snow bunnies. :cool:

    shame on you bob people don't want to hear that it's a 99:99% probability to be mild they want the .01% chance of snow


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    #177
    Sponge Bob
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    kingshankly wrote: »
    shame on you bob people don't want to hear that it's a 99:99% probability to be mild they want the .01% chance of snow

    If THAT is what they want they should go forthwith to the North Korean State News Agency who will see to their peculiar needs.

    This tender eulogy to the recently departed was published yesterday. :cool: Sniffz! :cool: It reads like a ghost story foretelling a wintertime manqué.

    We can get back to the good news later. For Now:

    http://www.kcna.co.jp/item/2011/201112/news21/20111221-48ee.html
    Kim Jong Il's Life Bright as Snow
    Pyongyang, December 21 (KCNA) -- Snow fell over Pyongyang on Wednesday when its citizens are overwhelmed with bitter sorrow and grief over the loss of the sun of the nation.

    Snow fell gently on the heads of an endless stream of lamenting mourners.

    Not thinking about wiping away snow from them, they recollect the words of leader Kim Jong Il who likened his revolutionary philosophy to snow he loved so much.

    Kim Jong Il told officials that devoting himself to the immortality of President Kim Il Sung, the prosperity of the country and the happiness of the people means his philosophy on snow and that means self-sacrifice.

    Looking back on world history, there were many statesmen who advocated patriotism and dedication. But, no one has ever made such total dedication with a pure and true mind like snow.

    It was only Kim Jong Il who made his life shine like snow.

    He worked hard day and night, having uncomfortable sleep and taking rice-balls. He was the first to greet dawn like a man in his twenties. Seeing his dedication in tears, the people would ask him to stop making any more journeys along snow-covered roads in cold weather and sitting up all night. Hearing this, he said he considered it as his pleasure and his routine to do so and continued his journeys despite strong wind and snow and spent nights full of enthusiasm.


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    #178
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Let's be serious here.

    What about all the poor people who cannot afford to turn on the air conditioning in their home this Christmas?

    :p


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    #179
    Rikand
    Registered Users Posts: 20,341 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    leahyl wrote: »
    Jesus Christ came to work this morning in a light cardigan and a top and jeans - no heavy coat, scarf, gloves nothing!!

    It must be great having the son of God for a co-worker!


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    #180
    Sponge Bob
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Warmest Christmas ....EVER!?!?!?!

    http://www.thejournal.ie/are-we-going-to-get-our-warmest-christmas-ever-313706-Dec2011/
    The forecasters at Met Éireann have predicted a “very mild” but windy day tomorrow with temperatures reaching as high as 13 degrees Celsius.

    This time last year, temperature lows of -15C were seen in various areas of the country. That means Sunday could be about 26C warmer than 2010′s Christmas Day.

    Overnight temperatures of between 9C and 10C should make it easy for Santa Claus to make his deliveries in extra-quick time.

    However, temperatures may be a fraction too low to beat the record temperature of 13.7C set in 1974, reports the Irish Independent today

    It made 13.3c on Wednesday in Shannon but it looks like it might be just a tad too breezy on Christmas day.

    And happy seasonals to all the Graupel Ghouls who have contributed to this thread so far. :D


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    #181
    daelight
    Registered Users Posts: 194 ✭✭daelight


    Sponge Bob for el Presidente.


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