Potential Extreme Wind Storm - Thursday 8th December

Pangea

63 knot gust at Malin Head 2am readings.

Redsunset

Pangea wrote: »

Just so you know, that refers to the force of the wind, not the actual 'storm'.

Of course i know it's a reference to storm force winds,i was just merely highlighting to the ME bashers that the hazard is not being overlooked.

maquiladora

Pangea wrote: »

63 knot gust at Malin Head 2am readings.

Impressive, thats about 10 knots higher than what the models were showing as max gusts for tonight there.

Something to consider when we look at the models for Thursdays storm.

Rougies

Impressive gust alright. Maybe something to consider for Thursday's storm on how the models are handling the current setup, but I wouldn't look into it too much at all, gusts can be very random in every way, including location and intensity of course.

I might as well stay up for the 00z GFS at this stage

JONJO THE MISER

Very windy here at the moment.

maquiladora

Tracking slightly further south on the 0Z.

Stronger gusts for Donegal/NI on this run.

Rougies

It's looking tighter, more to the south and slightly more intense to me on the 00z GFS run

Rougies

maquiladora wrote: »

Tracking slightly further south on the 0Z.

any news from the NMM model?

edit: and what the hell is the NMM model anyway?
edit2: nevermind googled it like I should have before asking

maquiladora

Rougies wrote: »

any news from the NMM model?

edit: and what the hell is the NMM model anyway?

Not out for another hour.

maquiladora

Rougies wrote: »

edit: and what the hell is the NMM model anyway?

It's a hi-res (8km) model available through Netweather Extra.

maquiladora

Here comes the next storm on the 0Z.....looking really impressive so far...whats its going to do?

Edit : Boom...

nacho libre

impressive- if this chart verifies

maquiladora

Back to Thursdays storm.

0Z NMM shows 75mph gusts for the northwest coast and of course stronger winds about to slam into Scotland @ 36 hours.

maquiladora

nacho libre wrote: »

impressive- if this chart verifies

Yeah if. GFS not reliable with lows at that timeframe but it's possible...

Steve Murr on NW:

One of the most outrageous GFS runs that I have ever seen...

then Ireland gets wiped out

:P

Anyway, whatever happens with that, Thursday will be really interesting to watch. Finally - some really interesting weather!

Redsunset

Here's Jonny,
Latest Ecm showing early next weeks potential damaging storm

ninebeanrows

Tomorrows storm hasn't heightened in risk but is still very severe.

Here is the latest NAE



At present, gusts to 70knots along the north and northeast coast.

Widely gusts of 50-60 knots

Southwestern Scotland will see the worst with gusts to 80 knots.

And this could be upgraded if the storm was to push further south.

So for Ireland in km/hr

Widespread gusts 90-110 km/hr

Gusts up to 140 km/hr in the north coast and northeast

eskimocat

wasn't sure where to post this... mods feel free to move but just thought ye might enjoy this little picture...

http://brunnur.vedur.is/athuganir/eldingar/index.html

(have forgotten how to capture the chart, no time to learn... catch it while its flying!)

H2UMrsRobinson

I don't post much but I have to say I'm tingling with excitement. I'm in a new job with a massive window next to me and so far all I've been able to see out of it is grey skies and pissing rain.

irish1967

Ah H2U wondered where u had got to this year. That's it the storm is confirmed if u r here.

H2UMrsRobinson

irish1967 wrote: »

Ah H2U wondered where u had got to this year. That's it the storm is confirmed if u r here.

yep I tend to lurk these days and just enter the forecast competitions (which I suck at btw) but I may come back out of my shell if the forecasts prove correct.

I'm in an office with a tin roof, under the flight path up at the airport so if you don't hear from me in the next few days - tell my family I love them....:D

Tom Cruises Left Nut

The back end of it looks stronger on this run

ninebeanrows

Worrying chart for Northeastern Ireland.

These are likely gust values.

So gusts to 75 knots in northeastern NI.

Widespread 60-70 knots

irish1967

FYI
75knts = 139km/h

Now that's a daddy of a breeze !

Big Daddy Cool

:eek: looking at weatherchecks chart there, it looks like us up in the hills of north east meath are going to get a battering tomorrow, or am i reading it wrong

maquiladora

The 06Z GFS makes the storm more severe.



88-92mph gust area almost touching Irish coast there. You could add another 5-10mph to that for highest gusts IMHO.
Scotland getting hammered once again.

leahyl

maquiladora wrote: »

The 06Z GFS makes the storm more severe.



88-92mph gust area almost touching Irish coast there. You could add another 5-10mph to that for highest gusts IMHO.
Scotland getting hammered once again.

The winds won't be too severe in the south will they?

Harps

Crazy looking storm on the 6Z GFS, getting an upgrade on each run at the moment :eek:

maquiladora

leahyl wrote: »

The winds won't be too severe in the south will they?

North/northwest will be where the severe wind potential will be.

Caitriona

Big Daddy Cool wrote: »

:eek: looking at weatherchecks chart there, it looks like us up in the hills of north east meath are going to get a battering tomorrow, or am i reading it wrong

Please someone verify this, I live on the side of one of those hills :eek:

leahyl

maquiladora wrote: »

North/northwest will be where the severe wind potential will be.

aaaw ok was looking forward to a nice storm:(:)