Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

4PP

its_phil wrote: »

Accumulator with Clermont, Ireland -8 came out. Also had couple of football games on it! 19/1...winning

19/1! fracking excellent man!

missed your pregame game post, more's the pity

btw when did you post that tip??

Judgement Day

A picture paints a thousand words....only my bet on more than 18.5 points in the 1st half of the France vs England match saved my bacon. It could have been so different if Tommy Bowe's try hadn't been disallowed and if Wales had only got 1 more point.

Plus 10

Anyone have any opinion on how they are likely to price up the U20 game against England?

I was thinking maybe +7ish ?? Unfortunately I can't see us beating England.

6N bet this weekend

Big on Ireland +7.5 / Italy + 7.5 double on the Alternative Handicaps to give a 1.25 return.

duckysauce

Plus 10 wrote: »

Anyone have any opinion on how they are likely to price up the U20 game against England?

I was thinking maybe +7ish ?? Unfortunately I can't see us beating England.

+15

PhatPiggins

duckysauce wrote: »

+15

If only Ireland hadn't lost to France and were going for the GS tonight.....................wait a second

Ireland +18 Skybet, gimme.

thomond2006

On +15 on pp, c'mon boys!!

PhatPiggins

thomond2006 wrote: »

On +15 on pp, c'mon boys!!

:(:( you are but Paddy Powers pawn

thomond2006

PhatPiggins wrote: »

:(:( you are but Paddy Powers pawn

Works both ways I suppose, PP would be my pawn if I bet on England!

PhatPiggins

Acording to Frankie we should have lost by 478 points but a wins a win

tolosenc

Cheltenham cleared me out. Relying on Mr Bowe to get 2 tries tomorrow. If he does, I will forever celebrate March 17th as Tommy Bowe Day.

Judgement Day

Had to empty my PP a/c today to pay bills so I'm out this weekend - probably enjoy the games more as a result.

duckysauce

tolosenc wrote: »

Cheltenham cleared me out. Relying on Mr Bowe to get 2 tries tomorrow. If he does, I will forever celebrate March 17th as Tommy Bowe Day.

yep nice odds for a Bowe double, also went for SOB MOM 9/1 say he will be like a caged animal let loose tomorrow, and D Ryan again at 40/1 .

Just hope we win.

thomond2006

Munster -2 at the moment with PP.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Munster -2 at the moment with PP.

Have a look at the HT/FT market there.

Doesn't 7 strike you as a bit too much for "any result involving a draw". Especially considering the first half is likely to be a "trading penalties" type of game?

I'm taking a little piece of that.

irishbucsfan

Forward to get the first try at 15/8...?

Judgement Day

thomond2006 wrote: »

Munster -2 at the moment with PP.

Only for the true believers?

wp_rathead

Perpignan -8 Vs Bayonne

Perpignan at home:
26/08/11 T1 Perpignan 25 - 6 Castres Olympique (Won 19)
09/09/11 T1 Perpignan 12 - 9 Brive (Won 3)
16/09/11 T1 Perpignan 19 - 12 Montpellier (Won 6)
30/09/11 T1 Perpignan 12 - 19 SU Agen (Lost 7)
21/10/11 T1 Perpignan 3 - 39 ASM Clermont Auvergne (lost 36)
25/11/11 T1 Perpignan 16 - 35 Stade Françaiso (lost 19)
23/12/11 T1 Perpignan 38 - 13 Bordeaux-Bègles (Won 25)
07/01/12 T1 Perpignan 14 - 14 Racing Métro 92 (Tie)
17/02/12 T1 Perpignan 25 - 6 Biarritz (Won 19)
10/03/12 T1 Perpignan 22 - 22 Toulon (Tie)

3/10 won -8 Handicap

Bayonne away:
03/09/11 T1 Bordeaux-Bègles 18 - 6 Bayonne (Lost 12)
16/09/11 T1 Stade Français 33 - 18 Bayonne (lost 15)
23/09/11 T1 ASM Clermont Auvergne 19 - 13 Bayonne (lost 6)
22/10/11 T1 Brive 30 - 10 Bayonne (Lost 20)
29/11/11 T1 Biarritz 21 - 19 Bayonne (lost 2)
04/12/11 T1 SU Agen 37 - 18 Bayonne (lost 9)
30/12/11 T1 Stade Toulousain 30 - 15 Bayonne (lost 15)
28/01/12 T1 Toulon 50 - 10 Bayonne (lost 40)
03/03/12 T1 Racing Métro 92 22 - 21 Bayonne (lost 1)
10/03/12 T1 Montpellier 37 - 26 Bayonne (lost 9)

7/10 games lost +8 Handicap

Appears 50:50 but Perpignan will know that a win here (and denying Bayonne a LBP) will almost guarantee their safety for next season

wp_rathead

Don't wanna boast or anything but BOOM:cool:

Perpignan 47-9 Bayonne

PhatPiggins

Leinster have gone from -10 to -13 but there's still a bit of -12 around if people are quick.

Cardiff are in free fall

thomond2006

Leinster -18 would be a more realistic spread.

totallegend

PhatPiggins wrote: »

Leinster have gone from -10 to -13 but there's still a bit of -12 around if people are quick.

Cardiff are in free fall

Leinster are 1/9 to win. That is unbelievable for a HC qf.

CatFromHue

Any ideas on the Stade Francais Exeter game tonight?

PP have Exeter at +11. They're in great form at the moment though and while they did lose to Perpignan in the pool stages it was only by 3 points.

Judgement Day

wprathead wrote: »

Don't wanna boast or anything but BOOM:cool:

Perpignan 47-9 Bayonne

We're waiting for this weekend's tips - take your time!

wp_rathead

haha I dunno, don't really like betting in HEC or Amlin
the domestic leagues usually easier to predict
couple games in Pro D2 in France on tomorrow but I'v been to busy watching the Masters to research anything
two teams have big handicaps Tarbes +14 v away at La Rochelle and Perigeux +17 v away to Dax- teams don't tend to get destroyed in this league but I prob wouldn't bother betting tbh

That said, Brive is +7 at home to Scarlets in Amlin? Could someone explain this please? Surely its not just based on Wales's Grand Slam?

PhatPiggins

wprathead wrote: »

haha I dunno, don't really like betting in HEC or Amlin
the domestic leagues usually easier to predict
couple games in Pro D2 in France on tomorrow but I'v been to busy watching the Masters to research anything
two teams have big handicaps Tarbes +14 v away at La Rochelle and Perigeux +17 v away to Dax- teams don't tend to get destroyed in this league but I prob wouldn't bother betting tbh

That said, Brive is +7 at home to Scarlets in Amlin? Could someone explain this please? Surely its not just based on Wales's Grand Slam?

How close is that to Brive'sv strongest team? Seems a crazy price to me.

wp_rathead

Brive: 15 Mathias Atayi, 14 Jacques Boussuge, 13 Ronnie Cooke, 12 Riaan Swanepoel, 11 Sevania Galala, 10 Shane Geraghty, 9 Jean-Baptiste Pejoine, 8 Petrus Hauman, 7 Alexandre Bias, 6 Vincent Forgues, 5 Olivier Caisso, 4 Julien Le Devedec, 3 Pat Barnard, 2 Virgile Lacombe (capt), 1 Jefferson Poirot.
Replacements: 16 Iuri Natriashvili, 17 Davit Khinchagishvili, 18 Alexandre Barozzi, 19 Retief Uys, 20 Poutasi Luafutu, 21 Augustin Figuerola, 22 Scott Spedding, 23 Arnaud Mignardi.

Scarlets: 15 Liam Williams, 14 George North, 13 Gareth Maule, 12 Jonathan Davies, 11 Andrew Fenby, 10 Stephen Jones, 9 Gareth Davies, 8 Ben Morgan, 7 Jon Edwards, 6 Josh Turnbull, 5 Damian Welch, 4 Sione Timani, 3 Deacon Manu, 2 Matthew Rees, 1 Rhodri Jones.
Replacements: 16 Ken Owens, 17 Phil John, 18 Peter Edwards, 19 Dominic Day, 20 Kieran Murphy, 21 Rhodri Williams, 22 Rhys Priestland, 23 Sean Lamont.

It is a strong Scarlets team but Brive are sitting in 9th in T14- safe from relegation and too far of making the play-offs, so I'd assume they would target this game at home to get to a semi-final..? When you look at last two games Brive have played at home they have beaten Toulon and Stade Francais..
The Bookies obliviously know something we don't?

antogz1979

Clermont +3 with StanJames looks the bet today.
I was looking at their team and they have class all over the field. I was comparing the 2 teams on paper and they are nearly better in every position. Clermont have only lost 1 of their last 13 matches and that was against Biarritz last week, where they rested players. They are all out for the Heineken cup this year as it is their centenary year.
I watched Saracens last week against Quins and they were terrible. They rely too heavily on Farrell with penalties and their backs can be very lathergic at times. Saracens show the premiership of what it is a competition of very mediocre teams. They are an honest bunch of players, but are not in the same league as teams like Leicester or Wasps in years gone by. With Hodgson and Wigglesworth at halfbacks, they are going nowhere.
I think Clermont will win this with a bit to spare, maybe 5 points.

liammur

PhatPiggins wrote: »

Leinster have gone from -10 to -13 but there's still a bit of -12 around if people are quick.

Cardiff are in free fall

well called.

How about no try in today's game boys ?

liammur

antogz1979 wrote: »

Clermont +3 with StanJames looks the bet today.
I was looking at their team and they have class all over the field. I was comparing the 2 teams on paper and they are nearly better in every position. Clermont have only lost 1 of their last 13 matches and that was against Biarritz last week, where they rested players. They are all out for the Heineken cup this year as it is their centenary year.
I watched Saracens last week against Quins and they were terrible. They rely too heavily on Farrell with penalties and their backs can be very lathergic at times. Saracens show the premiership of what it is a competition of very mediocre teams. They are an honest bunch of players, but are not in the same league as teams like Leicester or Wasps in years gone by. With Hodgson and Wigglesworth at halfbacks, they are going nowhere.
I think Clermont will win this with a bit to spare, maybe 5 points.

They don't travel. There's no doubt they are the better team, but like toulouse, will they turn up?