NBA Thread

padraig_f

Mon Feb 28

Suns @ Nets: Nets +2.5, 2 units. Win
Celtics @ Jazz: Celtics -4.5, 5 units. Win
Clippers @ Kings: Clippers ML, 2 units. Lose

Result: 7-2
To date: 11-7

padraig_f

Fri Mar 4

Heat @ Spurs: Spurs -2.5, 3 units. Win.

To date: 14-7

padraig_f

Sat Mar 5

Timberwolves @ Wizards, Wizards -3.5, 1.5 units. Win
Nuggets @ Clippers, Clippers -1.5, 1.5 units. Win
Kings @ Jazz, Jazz -7.5, 2 units. Lose

To date: 17-9

padraig_f

Sun Mar 6

Lakers @ Spurs, Spurs -3.5, 3 units. Lose

To date: 17-12

padraig_f

Mon Mar 7

Clippers @ Bobcats, Clippers ML, 2 units. Win

To date: 19-12

padraig_f

Tue Mar 8

Blazers @ Heat, Heat -8.5, 3 units. Lose

To date: 19-15

jive

under 219.5 @ half, 76ers and pacers. 118 scored so far

jive

^ finished at 210, fairly comfortable. just 36 scored in the 3rd. Put a tiny bet on miami +4.5 @ 10/11 for a bit of interest in the end of that game

jive

and Miami lose by 9! interesting viewing though profit for the night anyway, cant beat it

El Horseboxo

The Heat are a mess right now. Too much pressure on them from their home media and Bosh saying he isn't happy with his role. Really fancy the Lakers to win tomorrow by at least a bucket. They've been rolling since the all star break.

padraig_f

jive wrote: »

and Miami lose by 9! interesting viewing though profit for the night anyway, cant beat it

Yeah I hated my bet as soon as I started watching the match. I managed to get out of it, bet the Blazers straight-up at half-time with a 6-point lead @ 6/4. They look an impressive team now that they're healthy & with the addition of Gerald Wallace. Wouldn't like to face them in the first round of the playoffs.

padraig_f

Wed Mar 9

Thunder @ 76ers, Thunder +1.5, 2 units.
Knicks @ Grizzlies, Grizzlies -4.5, 2 units.
Warriors @ Nets, Warriors -2.5, 3 units. (No Deron Williams, looks good value)

jive

i love placing an unders bet and watching the line sink really fast after you put it on music to my eyes i tell ya

El Horseboxo

If you can stay up late and watch the games and have the stats handy you can clean up on games that are really high scoring in the first and both teams are shooting above their FG percentage. The markets get inflated and then over the course of the game they regress to the norm. Really need to be up watching the game though instead of just looking at a score and then taking the bet. And also take the bet before the 1st half ends as they'll recalculate the line for the second half at the break.

jive

El Horseboxo wrote: »

If you can stay up late and watch the games and have the stats handy you can clean up on games that are really high scoring in the first and both teams are shooting above their FG percentage. The markets get inflated and then over the course of the game they regress to the norm. Really need to be up watching the game though instead of just looking at a score and then taking the bet. And also take the bet before the 1st half ends as they'll recalculate the line for the second half at the break.

if the first 2 quarters have abnormally high scoring i like to wait till the finish of the 2nd (they seem to score a few baskets in the last minute or 2 of the 2nd quarter which inflates the line further) then i like to take the unders market. It's especially nice if one team is up by >15. I usually open up tabs with the starting game lines and see how inflated they actually are in comparison to how they opened up. I've had some joy with it but sometimes you get unlucky but you only need to hit 2/3 to score profit and I think based on my record it's fairly do-able over the long run you just have to know when to strike and hope that the scoring doesn't continue abnormally high. It usually does slow down after 2 big quarters.

Tonight i'm having a small bet on the lakers -4.5 at 29/20, just for a bit of interest really! Miami are in a bad way at the moment and lakers have won 8 on the snot. Dunno if they'll beat them by 5 but i prefer it over the -1.5 @ 10/11 because i think miami will win or just go bust like i sad though just a small bet as i'm not good at all with basketball outrights tbh

El Horseboxo

When i meant before the 1st half ends i meant like the last possession of the half. Basketball is a season long game. I didn't do it properly this year like i done in others. But you really need to be watching the games, keeping up with the stats, capping the games yourself and making a few bets a week based on units instead of level betting. As you said 2/3 or 5/6 for the week and you are up.

I just took the Lakers +3. 250 euro.

3hn2givr7mx1sc

Gone for Under 202.5 in Thunder @ Heat.

partyndbs

boston celtics i hate u all that is all

pablo-jericho

partyndbs wrote: »

boston celtics i hate u all that is all

I know the feeling well.

El Horseboxo

The Celtics been kind to me lately. But they have royally fúcked me over in the past.

MikeyGorse

Had the Spurs last night +5.5,can't believe they actually lost for a finish after leading all game nearly.

El Horseboxo

MikeyGorse wrote: »

Had the Spurs last night +5.5,can't believe they actually lost for a finish after leading all game nearly.

They were missing Duncan and altitude plays a role in Denver which is why they have a good home record most seasons. Spurs looked tired in the 4th.

MikeyGorse

Gone with a €25 double on the Spurs & Trailblazers (+4),pays €101,prices with PP. Spurs have come up trumps for me last 2 two times I've backed them on the handicap although I'm just going with them on the moneyline tonight,I like the 11/10. Was going to back Portland on the moneyline but just settled for the handicap,reckon it'll be close.

Shouldn't really be backing teams at the moment,I'll blame boredom for that!!

MikeyGorse

Just waiting on Heat tonight for my 6/1 treble to come through,the Bulls & the Mavs won for me last night on the moneyline.

MikeyGorse

MikeyGorse wrote: »

Just waiting on Heat tonight for my 6/1 treble to come through,the Bulls & the Mavs won for me last night on the moneyline.

celtics gonna win!!

El Horseboxo

I've a large sum on the Celtics to win the series. But Brothers is the ref tonight. He heavily favors road teams in his decisions. I've seem him change games big time with bogus calls. Also Rondo is a game time decision after messing up his elbow. Hoping for a Celtics win though.

MikeyGorse

I fancy Chicago to do the business again tonight with 5pts to spare.

JONJO THE MISER

I like the over 200.5 Pts in tonights game, Dallas vs Okl, i think its nailed on:cool:.

MikeyGorse

JONJO THE MISER wrote: »

I like the over 200.5 Pts in tonights game, Dallas vs Okl, i think its nailed on:cool:.

Looks good alright,I also fancy The Mavs -5.

Nuri Sahin

JONJO THE MISER wrote: »

I like the over 200.5 Pts in tonights game, Dallas vs Okl, i think its nailed on:cool:.

Nice one Jonjo. had a small bet on it after reading this last night.