UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING

Axwell · 30-05-2015 11:46pm

Not a huge card so just one acca to keep me interested, will put a few of them on as singles on between fights

Accmulator on:
Norman Parke by KO @ 5/1
Wendell Oliveira by KO @ 21/10
Ryan Jimmo on Points @ 13/8
K.J. Noons on Points @ 13/5
Charles Oliveira by Submission @ 8/5
Carlos Condit by Submission @ 4/1

Copper_pipe · 30-05-2015 11:50pm

mailburner wrote: »

definitely wont get better than evens imo
hard to see if he will even hit evens, my own opinion would be no
that fact that conor is as short as 4/5 with one bookie amazes me though

be interesting to hear what others think

Hoki wrote: »

Possibly in the last week or two before the fight when a lot of money will be gambled but i can't see it lasting long tbh. I think the betting lines won't sway that much between now and then. Then again Aldo could well get a lot shorter in price during fight week...

Im hoping Aldo reaches evens at least because I want to lump on, If he hits evens I will...

Hoki · 30-05-2015 11:58pm

Added this low stake big odds (70/1) accumulator for interests sake, hopefully we have an upset or two tonight!

Mirsad Bektic @ 2/9
Juliana Lima @ 10/21
Tom Breese @ 10/17
Carlos Condit @ 3/10
Jussier Formiga @ 4/5
Francimar Barroso @ 9/4
Nik Lentz @ 9/4

dulux99 · 31-05-2015 1:07am

I personally think Nik Lentz is a crazy price at 9/4. Going big on a single

Axwell · 31-05-2015 1:21am

Decent start on the singles. Going Dalby on pts in the next.

Mellor · 31-05-2015 3:35am

Took Wendle and Parke,
Want to take all 3 Oliveria's in a treble but wouldn't let me for some reason.

Dodged a bullet there

callaway92 · 31-05-2015 3:43am

Charles Oliveira & Carlos Condit double is the one bet for the night.

Mellor · 31-05-2015 3:45am

mailburner wrote: »

definitely wont get better than evens imo
hard to see if he will even hit evens, my own opinion would be no
that fact that conor is as short as 4/5 with one bookie amazes me though

He's 4/5 or 5/6 with 6 or 7 bookies. And they all have Aldo at evens. They couldn't have Conor that short and still have Aldo <evens.

mailburner · 31-05-2015 11:58am

Mellor wrote: »

He's 4/5 or 5/6 with 6 or 7 bookies. And they all have Aldo at evens. They couldn't have Conor that short and still have Aldo <evens.

betfair have conor at 4/5 using oddschecker who have it wrong with the site showing aldo at 1.94 which isnt best factoring in the commission
http://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/jose-aldo-v-conor-mcgregor/winner

best on aldo currently is 10/11, ive yet to see bigger and would be surprised
if aldo hit evens myself

dulux99 · 31-05-2015 12:59pm

dulux99 wrote: »

I personally think Nik Lentz is a crazy price at 9/4. Going big on a single

Gah... Thought he had it won after the second round, oliviera looked to be out of the fight. Ah well.

Mellor · 01-06-2015 1:06am

mailburner wrote: »

betfair have conor at 4/5 using oddschecker who have it wrong with the site showing aldo at 1.94 which isnt best factoring in the commission
http://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/jose-aldo-v-conor-mcgregor/winner

best on aldo currently is 10/11, ive yet to see bigger and would be surprised
if aldo hit evens myself

He was showing as evens for me last night on oddschecker mobile site. Was prob a mistake as the mobile site is pants.

But Aldo has been as high as 2.04 on betfair. I have money on at 2.0

mailburner · 01-06-2015 3:28pm

boetsch v hendo at the weekend
big step down compared to who's hes been fighting in boetsch but could still
see tim knocking out dan
few pricing it up yet and 11/10 the only price available

figure one of these is probably going to sleep

Mellor · 02-06-2015 1:17am

Can't see it going the distance.
Hendo is the underdog on 5dimes, most bookies take a lead from there
Under 1.5 rds coming up the favourite too

mailburner · 02-06-2015 11:26am

Mellor wrote: »

Can't see it going the distance.
Hendo is the underdog on 5dimes, most bookies take a lead from there
Under 1.5 rds coming up the favourite too

under 1.5 5/4 with paddy
suprised that's not odds on myself

Mellor · 02-06-2015 11:54am

mailburner wrote: »

under 1.5 5/4 with paddy
suprised that's not odds on myself

It's a lot shorter with 5dimes, I've a feeling it's about to move south.

Depp · 05-06-2015 3:25am

Nice 5-fold for the weekend, Mitrione, Poirier, Ortega, Abreu and Sote...pays about 12/1 and its in with a good shout by my reckoning.

Naos · 06-06-2015 8:35pm

5 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Rivera - Pays back 63
1 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Henderson - Pays back 19
1.3 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Jordan - Pays back 17.4

Hinging everything on Rothwell & Medeiros tonight

CurryFlavoured · 06-06-2015 9:59pm

Naos wrote: »

5 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Rivera - Pays back 63
1 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Henderson - Pays back 19
1.3 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Jordan - Pays back 17.4

Hinging everything on Rothwell & Medeiros tonight

Rothwell's odds are generous for sure, can't comment on Medeiros as I've never seen him fight.

csallmighty · 06-06-2015 10:01pm

Going with Soto, Poirier, Mitrione and Hendo fiver returns €47

Naos · 06-06-2015 10:24pm

CurryFlavoured wrote: »

Rothwell's odds are generous for sure, can't comment on Medeiros as I've never seen him fight.

He's a big LW, also came in a few pounds over but didn't kill himself trying to make weight - went to Dustins room beforehand and apologised in person stating he'd miss weight.

Trains with the Diaz bros so I'd hope his cardio is ok and I'm gunning on Dustin has a bit of an adrenaline dump with it being his hometown. That and Medeiros apparently hits hard and Dustin is quite susceptible to being hit...

Trying to convince myself here

mailburner · 06-06-2015 11:12pm

went with singles on these

under 1.5 rounds in hendo boetsch 5/4

poirier ko 5/2 banking on poirier to put on a show here (or get flattened)

soto sub 5/1(Betv) like this one and next best 10/3
most of his wins have been by sub so think this is value
double of both also at 20/1

accum at 87/1
soto sub
poirier ko
boetsch
under 1.5 rounds in lewis jordan at 1/2 looks a safe one...lol
under 1.5 in mitrione rothwell

El Guapo! · 06-06-2015 11:41pm

Just one bet this time.....

Poirier, Rothwell, Hendo all by ko.

€10 pays €540.

Depp · 07-06-2015 3:13am

Naos wrote: »

5 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Rivera - Pays back 63
1 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Henderson - Pays back 19
1.3 on Rothwell, Medeiros and Jordan - Pays back 17.4

Hinging everything on Rothwell & Medeiros tonight

good shout with rivera, blinked and missed it!

El Guapo! · 07-06-2015 9:53am

El Guapo! wrote: »

Just one bet this time.....

Poirier, Rothwell, Hendo all by ko.

€10 pays €540.

So close.

No luck gambling lately.

callaway92 · 07-06-2015 12:12pm

El Guapo! wrote: »

So close.

No luck gambling lately.

In fairness, when you're constantly betting on long shots you can't really be saying you have no luck.

That's only from the bets I've seen you post on here of course, you probably do other bets that you don't post.

I know people bet on accumulators for fun but singles in mma are just as much fun really.

El Guapo! · 07-06-2015 1:12pm

callaway92 wrote: »

In fairness, when you're constantly betting on long shots you can't really be saying you have no luck.

That's only from the bets I've seen you post on here of course, you probably do other bets that you don't post.

I know people bet on accumulators for fun but singles in mma are just as much fun really.

Ah no I always do a few other bets for every event. I only post one or two here though. I usually have a few winners but I rarely have any luck with the long shots.
In saying that, the treble I posted here last night wasn't exactly a long shot. It had a good chance of coming in.

dulux99 · 07-06-2015 2:02pm

El Guapo! wrote: »

Ah no I always do a few other bets for every event. I only post one or two here though. I usually have a few winners but I rarely have any luck with the long shots.
In saying that, the treble I posted here last night wasn't exactly a long shot. It had a good chance of coming in.

54/1 is a long shot no matter what way you dress it up!

Naos · 07-06-2015 2:12pm

Depp wrote: »

good shout with rivera, blinked and missed it!

Yeah, he was hanging with Faber up until the eye poke! Damn Mederios, that's the last time I bet on someone who misses weight.

callaway92 · 07-06-2015 4:00pm

El Guapo! wrote: »

Ah no I always do a few other bets for every event. I only post one or two here though. I usually have a few winners but I rarely have any luck with the long shots.
In saying that, the treble I posted here last night wasn't exactly a long shot. It had a good chance of coming in.

Just for example.

An equivalent bet would be Ukraine winning the next World Cup, Tottenham winning the next Premier League, Everton being relegated.

Of course it can happen though.

54/1 is the equivalent of a 1.75% chance of the result happening.

El Guapo! · 07-06-2015 4:32pm

callaway92 wrote: »

Just for example.

An equivalent bet would be Ukraine winning the next World Cup, Tottenham winning the next Premier League, Everton being relegated.

Of course it can happen though.

54/1 is the equivalent of a 1.75% chance of the result happening.

What??

I'm not a seasoned gambler but I have a decent enough grasp on betting to know that your example is FAR from an equivalent bet. I had a 53/1 treble on. It wasn't a 53/1 longshot single.
I felt it had a good chance of coming in and it very nearly did. Yes it had pretty long odds but it wasn't miles off the realms of possibility like your example.

UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING