Weather in the WEST?

Deep Easterly · 02-12-2010 10:40pm

Forecast for 7am: (HIRLAM)

dark blue = snow risk.

Latest HIRLAM has the greatest risk of snowfall tomorrow morning over North Connacht, Donegal, Roscommon and east Galway. Of course it won't pan out exactly like that but these areas seem to be most at risk a couple of hours of snow as this weak front passes over.

Just to add, only talking about the western region there, of course the midlands have a much greater chance of seeing some of the white stuff!

Pangea · 02-12-2010 10:40pm

Ok RTE NEWS said People in Donegal to stay indoors because they are expecting heavy snow fall , and then Jean Byrne says it will be rain and sleet on the coasts and will turn to snow in the midlands.
This sums up Irelands Forecast system for me lol.
Pure Confusing.

hotwhiskey · 02-12-2010 10:43pm

Pangea wrote: »

Ok RTE NEWS said People in Donegal to stay indoors because they are expecting heavy snow fall , and then Jean Byrne says it will be rain and sleet on the coasts and will turn to snow in the midlands.
This sums up Irelands Forecast system for me lol.
Pure Confusing.

Liked the Government!!!

redsteveireland · 02-12-2010 10:45pm

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Forecast for 7am: (HIRLAM)

dark blue = snow risk.

Latest HIRLAM has the greatest risk of snowfall tomorrow morning over North Connacht, Donegal, Roscommon and east Galway. Of course it won't pan out exactly like that but these areas seem to be most at risk a couple of hours of snow as this weak front passes over.

I think i can claim to be inside that snow risk area with you DE.

Avns1s · 02-12-2010 10:45pm

hotwhiskey wrote: »

Liked the Government!!!

Nah, not that bad and at least, ME, RTE and Jean are trying to tell the truth!!:)

nacho libre · 02-12-2010 10:49pm

Pangea wrote: »

Ok can anyone tell me whats the best dew point or humdity?
What should it be for snow to fall?

all you need to know is here:
http://www.irelandsweather.com/forum/weather-faq/a-guide-on-how-to-forecast-snow-in-ireland/

fryup · 02-12-2010 10:50pm

but how about the mid-west > clare, tipp, limerick any sneactha?

Deep Easterly · 02-12-2010 10:52pm

redsteveireland wrote: »

I think i can claim to be inside that snow risk area with you DE.

Let's hope so Redsteve. I remember Nacho saying the other day that the best snowfalls come unexpected. He was proved right in this just the other day when I woke up to an unexpected top up of 2 inches! Let's hope for another similar surprised tomorrow morning! I just hope we dont end up getting that ****ty ice rain like last christmas.

snaps · 02-12-2010 10:52pm

Temps really rising now, was -7c about an hour ago, now -2.8c, it seems to be cloudy here now.

sillymoo · 02-12-2010 10:53pm

Oooh I hope east Galway gets a dusting! I hope I'm not too near the coast

KittyeeTrix · 02-12-2010 10:56pm

snaps wrote: »

Temps really rising now, was -7c about an hour ago, now -2.8c, it seems to be cloudy here now.

Is that good or bad, I mean does that mean snow is more likely??
Sorry, no clue when it comes to these things....:o

irish1967 · 02-12-2010 10:59pm

Ahem. Me right on the coast do I need an umbrella ? Will the M4 buoy be any guidance to me?

nacho libre · 02-12-2010 10:59pm

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Let's hope so Redsteve. I remember Nacho saying the other day that the best snowfalls come unexpected. He was proved right in this just the other day when I woke up to an unexpected top up of 2 inches! Let's hope for another similar surprised tomorrow morning! I just hope we dont end up getting that ****ty ice rain like last christmas.

well i'm sill fearful that's exactly what will happen. as we've seen so often with breakdown scenarios the milder upper air gets established a lot quicker than anticipated. the best i'm hoping for is a brief period of snow before it turns back to rain. also it would seem from the 9:30 pm forecast that a sneaky second front crosses the country tomorrow night. I really hope it's not heavy and moves on quickly!
As whatever about this front being all snow, that won't be. i know my negativity is probably annoying some people but it's due to the Atlantic spoiling the party so often in the past

ch750536 · 02-12-2010 11:00pm

fryup wrote: »

but how about the mid-west > clare, tipp, limerick any sneactha?

fugall

redsteveireland · 02-12-2010 11:01pm

Yeah, Christmas morning trip to mass last year was an adventure to say the least.
We still have alot of snow lying here from Tuesday morning, if we get freezing rain I can safely say I will not be leaving the house tomorrow.

Watching the front move in on yr.no they gives temps of 6 or 7 degrees as it passes, this is probably air temp though so the ground may still be freezing I guess.

Chicken Run · 02-12-2010 11:04pm

Clear as a bell, cold and starry -7.7C here in East Clare...

Deep Easterly · 02-12-2010 11:06pm

nacho libre wrote: »

well i'm sill fearful that's exactly what will happen. as we've seen so often with breakdown scenarios the milder upper air gets established a lot quicker than anticipated. the best i'm hoping for is a brief period of snow before it turns back to rain. also it would seem from the 9:30 pm forecast that a sneaky second front crosses the country tomorrow night. I really hope it's not heavy and moves on quickly!
As whatever about this front being all snow, that won't be. i know my negativity is probably annoying some people but it's due to the Atlantic spoiling the party so often in the past

Indeed Nacho. The ideal frontal snow for us in the midlands and west/Northwest would be for a vigorous front and low to approach from the SW. This would create a southeasterly wind would have a much longer land track over the frozen country. This would help to keep dewpoints much lower as there would be a much less maritime feed. Looking at the set up of tonight's front, it bares a stirking resemblence to the one that passed over last christmas day which hit sub-zero temps but still fell as rain. I hope some of us see some snow out of it, which is still more likely further away from the coast, but I'd much prefer the scenario that I described above for some serious snow.

snow ghost · 02-12-2010 11:13pm

Anyone in the Leenane, Delphi area?

Would be interesting to see what that precip on the radar is?

Or maybe that is inteference on the radar?

mountainy man · 02-12-2010 11:13pm

-4.3 to -2.0 in under an hour tis quite a jump, no stars visable, feels positively balmy !:(

irish1967 · 02-12-2010 11:14pm

(gets wellies and umbrella ready)

Shrugs

Ah well. Sigh

ellieh1 · 02-12-2010 11:17pm

Clear sky here in Limerick too, fingers crossed for snow!

nifheorais · 02-12-2010 11:28pm

nacho libre wrote: »

all you need to know is here:
http://www.irelandsweather.com/forum/weather-faq/a-guide-on-how-to-forecast-snow-in-ireland/

where would I find dewpoints for whest listed?

Pangea · 02-12-2010 11:29pm

irish1967 wrote: »

(gets wellies and umbrella ready)

Shrugs

Ah well. Sigh

Cheer up
Didnt really read the above posts but If i open the curtains in the morning and there is snow then nice one! If not then thats nothing new ,we are used to that all week now.
You might be suprised though, plenty of snow lieing here still from saturday , I would be suprised if it was all washed away tonight!
Time will tell....

John mac · 02-12-2010 11:29pm

snow ghost wrote: »

Anyone in the Leenane, Delphi area?

Would be interesting to see what that precip on the radar is?

Or maybe that is inteference on the radar?

interference, i recon.

cherryghost · 02-12-2010 11:31pm

Midnight is the magic time folks

eskimocat · 02-12-2010 11:33pm

nacho libre wrote: »

a shower? or is the front arriving head of schedule?

I am going to hold tight to the hopes that the shower that passed briefly was merely the advance warning party of specially selected, highly trained sleet, who are coming ahead to check the level of enthusiasm awaiting the main party ( read snowmageddon) in the west!

They will not go back disappointed!! I for one have left out a glass of milk and a plate of cookies.... lololololo

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. think I might be loosing it a little here, only snowman snow can cure me.... all donations welcomed :cool:

IMBACKLATER · 02-12-2010 11:35pm

anticipating the rain here soon in louisburgh co. mayo, dont stand a chance of seeing any snow, ice begining to melt now outside.:(

so irritating after seeing a week of insane snowfall on the other side of the country.

oh well lady Muck is on her way (the atlantic)