League of Ireland Bets

Gavin "shels"

Well as most of you know I mainly bet on the LoI when I post in the main gambling forum, and well was doing quite well before the break there. But well it's back this weekend so I said I'd start a betting log which will hopefully end up with profit and win anybody crazy enough to follow it money.:D

Gonna start with a 100 points (all betting will be done on Boylesports I'd say, but that might change).

Good few matches that I like the looks of this weekend already, will post up my final selections usually every Thursday, means I've got all my information, official team news, etc...

The Volt

Best of luck man. Bloody hard to win money on the LOI

x PyRo

Best of luck Gav, Hope it goes well for you.

Gavin "shels"

Voltwad wrote: »

Best of luck man. Bloody hard to win money on the LOI

Sound. Ye it's tough enough, saying that I tipped Rovers e/w for the League last year on here and I tipped Pats e/w to win it this season on here too, along with a tonne of match bets.:D

Sure we'll see how they pan out over the next few weeks and see how far these 100 pts go.:cool:

Gavin "shels"

Shamrock Rovers -2 @ 7/2 - 3 pts

Over 2.5 goals Fingal -v- UCD and Drogs -v- Galway @ 4/1 - 3 pts

Waterford Utd -2 @ 2/1 - 2 pts

Cork -v- Limerick draw @ 2/1 - 2 pts

The Volt

returns what? I'm intrigued.

Gavin "shels"

Voltwad wrote: »

returns what? I'm intrigued.

What?

SRFC90

Whats all this points lark man!? Don't understand it!

The Volt

Gavin shels wrote: »

What?

How much do you sttand to gain?

stooge

Voltwad wrote: »

How much do you sttand to gain?

Shamrock Rovers -2 @ 7/2 - 3 pts
returns 13.50pts

Over 2.5 goals Fingal -v- UCD and Drogs -v- Galway @ 4/1 - 3 pts
returns 15pts

Waterford Utd -2 @ 2/1 - 2 pts
returns 6pts

Cork -v- Limerick draw @ 2/1 - 2 pts
returns 6pts

Gavin "shels"

SRFC90 wrote: »

Whats all this points lark man!? Don't understand it!

Just take it as one point = €1.;)

Voltwad wrote: »

How much do you sttand to gain?

Aw right, cheers to stooge for doing that out. In future I'll do what it returns for you.;)

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Shamrock Rovers -2 @ 7/2 - 3 pts

Over 2.5 goals Fingal -v- UCD and Drogs -v- Galway @ 4/1 - 3 pts

Waterford Utd -2 @ 2/1 - 2 pts

Cork -v- Limerick draw @ 2/1 - 2 pts

Only 1 winner outta four. Very suprised at Rovers. Had planned on backing Longford or Draw/Limerick or Draw sick I didn't now.



Bank 96pts.

SRFC90

V unlucky with our result. Had a tenner on Rovers -1 and Twigg to score anytime.

He could of had 6 and we missed 2 point blank chances from 4 yards. Unreal!!

Gavin "shels"

Fairly pished off with Shels -v- Fingal last night, got to see the teamsheets at like 7.30 and texted around to a couple of mates to get the odds on Shels or Draw, none of the feckers texted back.:mad:

Liking the look of the LoI Premier matches this week Bohs -1, UCD, Sligo and Pats -1 look likely to be my bets once Boyles throw up the odds.

Gavin "shels"

Bohs -1 @ 2/1 - 2pts
Returns 6pts

Pats -1 @ 7/5 - 2pts
Returns 4.8pts

Drogs -v- UCD Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 - 2pts
Returns 4.5pts

Drogs -v- UCD Over 2.5 goals / Pats -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 1pt
Returns 5pts

Limerick and draw / Longford and draw @ EVENS - 2pts
Returns 4pts



Sligo -v- Shams DRAW
Limerick -v- Waterford DRAW
Longford -v- Cork DRAW
@ 30/1 - 1pt
Returns 31pts

coughlan08

i admire ya for trying to make a bit of money from the loi,,best of luck with it by the way,but i find your staking to be very strange,
you have 1pt on a 30-1 shot and at the same time you have 2pts on at evens,this is only 1 example i know but its something maybe you should look into,i know for sertain if this was the staking strategy i used in my log i wouldnt last long,
just my thoughts,
all the best..;)

Gavin "shels"

coughlan08 wrote: »

i admire ya for trying to make a bit of money from the loi,,best of luck with it by the way,but i find your staking to be very strange,
you have 1pt on a 30-1 shot and at the same time you have 2pts on at evens,this is only 1 example i know but its something maybe you should look into,i know for sertain if this was the staking strategy i used in my log i wouldnt last long,
just my thoughts,
all the best..;)

Well I don't take advice off people who are still in school! :DOnly joking mate.

Ye I don't really have a staking plan, it's moreso the one's I feel will come true I put more points on, like predicting 3 draws @ 30/1 is a fairly hard bet so I only gave it 1pt, whereas Pats -1 got 2pts as Galway are pretty muck and their players weren't paid this week so morale will be down.

coughlan08

i think your missing the point a small bit...
the 30-1 bet obviously is a lot less likely to happen than the pats -1,
but your stakes dont reflect that,your stakes more or less say that the 30-1 bet has only double the chance of occuring than the pats bet.
where realistically it has 21.4 times the chance of occuring than the pats bet.(30/1.4)=21.4.
basically what im saying is that, the chance of occuring to odds ratio between your different bets are way off,,.
hope you understand my point fully this time.

joekeville

right gavo im taking ur advice :eek::eek:

pats -1 15/8
bohs -1 11/5
sligo draw 21/10
uruguay 11/10
brazil 19/20
argentina 13/10
spain 1/2

1 Euro gets me 400 lol

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Bohs -1 @ 2/1 - 2pts
Returns 6pts

Pats -1 @ 7/5 - 2pts
Returns 4.8pts

Drogs -v- UCD Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 - 2pts
Returns 4.5pts

Drogs -v- UCD Over 2.5 goals / Pats -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 1pt
Returns 5pts

Limerick and draw / Longford and draw @ EVENS - 2pts
Returns 4pts



Sligo -v- Shams DRAW
Limerick -v- Waterford DRAW
Longford -v- Cork DRAW
@ 30/1 - 1pt
Returns 31pts

Few winners, poxy Sligo-v-Shams screwing my 30/1 bet.:mad:

Bank 94.8pts

Gavin "shels"

Shams -v- Pats DRAW
Fingal -v- Sligo DRAW
@ 10/1 - 2pts
Returns 20pts

UCD -v- Bohs
Paddy Madden First Goal Scorer @ 9/2 - 2pts
Returns 11pts

Draw or St Pats/Draw or Drogheda @ 2/1 - 1.8pts
Returns 5.82pts

Bank 89pts
In Play 5.8pts

Wasn't really planning on doing any bets but sure how and ever.

Paddy Madden has scored 4 goals in 5 matches and is on fire for Bohs, player who will end up in England come next year imo. 9/2 is pretty good odds imo, and worth a punt.

In the two matches between Shams and Pats this season the away team has won, Pats are on good form whereas Rovers have been shaky, Pats will be well able for a draw. Drogs although haven't been Dundalk in a Louth derby in 2 years iirc, BUT Dundalk played away in Europe on Thursday which from all reports sounded intense along with several players injured/suspended I think Drogs can snatch a draw in Oriel.

dunno?

Gavin shels wrote: »

Shams -v- Pats DRAW
Fingal -v- Sligo DRAW
@ 10/1 - 2pts
Returns 20pts

UCD -v- Bohs
Paddy Madden First Goal Scorer @ 9/2 - 2pts
Returns 11pts

Draw or St Pats/Draw or Drogheda @ 2/1 - 1.8pts
Returns 5.82pts

Bank 89pts
In Play 5.8pts

Wasn't really planning on doing any bets but sure how and ever.

Paddy Madden has scored 4 goals in 5 matches and is on fire for Bohs, player who will end up in England come next year imo. 9/2 is pretty good odds imo, and worth a punt.

In the two matches between Shams and Pats this season the away team has won, Pats are on good form whereas Rovers have been shaky, Pats will be well able for a draw. Drogs although haven't been Dundalk in a Louth derby in 2 years iirc, BUT Dundalk played away in Europe on Thursday which from all reports sounded intense along with several players injured/suspended I think Drogs can snatch a draw in Oriel.

Thanks mate I followed your Paddy Madden bet got 5/1 on ladbrokes

Gavin "shels"

dunno? wrote: »

Thanks mate I followed your Paddy Madden bet got 5/1 on ladbrokes

Good stuff, glad someone won some money from my log;). Hopefully the scores stay as and my other two bets will be winners.:D

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Hopefully the scores stay as and my other two bets will be winners.:D

And just as I say that Drogs go 2-1 down, after being winning 1-0.:mad:

dunno?

Its good to see someone doing this for the LOI fair play

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Shams -v- Pats DRAW
Fingal -v- Sligo DRAW
@ 10/1 - 2pts
Returns 20pts

UCD -v- Bohs
Paddy Madden First Goal Scorer @ 9/2 - 2pts
Returns 11pts

Draw or St Pats/Draw or Drogheda @ 2/1 - 1.8pts
Returns 5.82pts

Bank 89pts
In Play 5.8pts

Back to square one with 100pt Bank. Very unlucky by all accounts, Ryan Guy missing a peno with virually the last kick of the game to screw over my 10/1 bet. Then by all accounts Drogs should have gotten the draw too.

Knew making a profit would be hard but god is my luck bad.

celtic723

This is what i had...

Dundalk Vs. Drogs
Bohs Vs. UCD
Sligo Rovers Vs. Fingal DRAW
and the one that ****ed one of my doubles over.........

Pats Vs. Rovers DRAW

Guy missed a bloody peno. RAGING:mad:


Still won a few bob so i'm pleased.

Gavin "shels"

Gonna get these done early as won't be able to do them as usual on a Thursday and well I'll be on a bus down to Cork on Friday for the Shels match so these are somewhat blind-bets.

Drogs -v- Bohs Over 2.5 goals / Sligo -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 2pts
Returns 10pts

Bohs, Sligo, Fingal, and Pats all to win @ 7/1 - 1pt
Returns 8pts

Sligo -v- Galway DRAW
Pats -v- UCD DRAW
@ 10/1 - 1pt
Returns 11pts


Bank 96pts
In Play 4pts

deise48

madden 1st goalscorer again

ForzaKid

Gavin shels wrote: »

Gonna get these done early as won't be able to do them as usual on a Thursday and well I'll be on a bus down to Cork on Friday for the Shels match so these are somewhat blind-bets.

Drogs -v- Bohs Over 2.5 goals / Sligo -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 2pts
Returns 10pts

Bohs, Sligo, Fingal, and Pats all to win @ 7/1 - 1pt
Returns 8pts

Sligo -v- Galway DRAW
Pats -v- UCD DRAW
@ 10/1 - 1pt
Returns 11pts


Bank 96pts
In Play 4pts

NICE obviously bout 5/1 seen as the bohs game was voided ya??

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Drogs -v- Bohs Over 2.5 goals / Sligo -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 2pts
Returns 10pts

Bohs, Sligo, Fingal, and Pats all to win @ 7/1 - 1pt
Returns 8pts


Bank 96pts
In Play 4pts

Anyone know what odds I'd get on both of these since Bohs match was void, afaik they were 1/2 to win, not sure on the overs? Forgot to do the best myself.:mad:

Headshot

Gavin any thoughts on the Shamrock Rovers vs. Dundalk match ?

Gavin "shels"

Headshot wrote: »

Gavin any thoughts on the Shamrock Rovers vs. Dundalk match ?

Well you're lucky I wasn't on to tell you my advice, wouldn't have been siding with Dundalk and Draw tbh.

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Anyone know what odds I'd get on both of these since Bohs match was void, afaik they were 1/2 to win, not sure on the overs? Forgot to do the best myself.:mad:

Well since I'm lost at what the odds were I'm just gonna go with 3pts return on the Galway -v- Sligo overs and 5/1 on the accum. So returns 9pts in total.


Bank 105pts.

Profit, yay!:D Pity Bohs went and screwed over my odds.:mad:

coughlan08

if you dont mind could you give me your thoughts on the Bohemians v The New Saints,,
thanks.

SantryRed

If you can get Bohs to win to nil it'd be worth a bet. Fenlon will be hell bent on not giving away an away goal.

Gavin "shels"

coughlan08 wrote: »

if you dont mind could you give me your thoughts on the Bohemians v The New Saints,,
thanks.

Bohs will have way to much for TNS, last time Bohs played a Welsh team in Europe they beat they 9-3 on aggrate that against Rhyl who imo are the best Welsh side.

Bohs to win 3-1 @ 12/1 (Boyles)
Bohs -1 @ 5/4 (Paddy Powers)


Can't find any sites that are offering goalscorers yet, but I'd be throwing a free bob on Paddy Madden too.;) Also Chris Sharp (TNS) anytime scorer might be a decent bet if the odds are good.

coughlan08

thanks for that mate,,
bohemians are at home,yes?
it would be a safeish bet to back bohs to win in 90 mins at 2/5,pp....?
thanks again

Gavin "shels"

coughlan08 wrote: »

thanks for that mate,,
bohemians are at home,yes?
it would be a safeish bet to back bohs to win in 90 mins at 2/5,pp....?
thanks again

Ye Bohs are at home, safeish bet!? I'd be fairly confident of Bohs to win by 2 or 3 goals tbh.

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Can't find any sites that are offering goalscorers yet, but I'd be throwing a free bob on Paddy Madden too.;) Also Chris Sharp (TNS) anytime scorer might be a decent bet if the odds are good.

Paddy Madden 3/1 first goalscorer and Chris Sharp 7/2 anytime.

Headshot

is the match on tv, gavin ?

Gavin "shels"

Headshot wrote: »

is the match on tv, gavin ?

It's on the Welsh channel C4S or whatever the hell it's called afaik. Away leg is on Setanta Ireland then next week I think.

Gavin "shels"

http://www.cesarica.net/en/t28850/tv-live-bohemians-dublin-tns-live-stream-online-13-7-a/

Not sure what the craic is with that up there, but sure you'll see if it works at 7.45.:D

Headshot

Gavin shels wrote: »

It's on the Welsh channel C4S or whatever the hell it's called afaik. Away leg is on Setanta Ireland then next week I think.

S4C ?

I cant find it on that at all

Gavin "shels"

Headshot wrote: »

S4C ?

I cant find it on that at all

Maybe it isn't so, try that stream. RTE should be showing it, but sure it's only an Irish team in the Champions League.:rolleyes:

coughlan08

Gavin shels wrote: »

Bohs will have way to much for TNS, .

thanks gavin,
much appreciated...

Gavin "shels"

coughlan08 wrote: »

thanks gavin,
much appreciated...

No bother mate, from all reports I've heard from fans and whatnot, Bohs should have won by alot more with Paddy Maddens banking at least a hat-trick.

Can see me staying away from Shams match on Thursday.

SRFC90

Gavin shels wrote: »

No bother mate, from all reports I've heard from fans and whatnot, Bohs should have won by alot more with Paddy Maddens banking at least a hat-trick.

Can see me staying away from Shams match on Thursday.

Gone for the draw myself @3.2, but won't be too upset if we win

Gone with this for the weekend. Nothing craaazzay! 10er returns 46!

Shamrock Rovers @ 1.83
Win-Draw-Win
Galway United v Shamrock Rovers

UCD @ 1.44
Win-Draw-Win
UCD v Bray Wanderers

Bohemians @ 1.72
Win-Draw-Win
Bohemians v Sligo Rovers

Gavin "shels"

SRFC90 wrote: »

Gone for the draw myself @3.2, but won't be too upset if we win

Gone with this for the weekend. Nothing craaazzay! 10er returns 46!

Shamrock Rovers @ 1.83
Win-Draw-Win
Galway United v Shamrock Rovers

UCD @ 1.44
Win-Draw-Win
UCD v Bray Wanderers

Bohemians @ 1.72
Win-Draw-Win
Bohemians v Sligo Rovers

Wonder if there's any odds of the Palestine protest outside to kick off when the away support turns up.:D

As for the matches, well can't see me going near teams that played in Europe, as seen by the Shams-v-Dundalk match last weekend, Dundalk sounded like they were still over in Lux.

SRFC90

Nice few bob earned there on the 1-1 draw tonight. Have a feeling though that the away goal will kill us...

The Volt

One would surely lump on Pats this weekend.