Lisbon Treaty - Exit Poll

ei.sdraob · 02-10-2009 6:11pm

DeVore wrote: »

I'm manipulating the figures behind the scenes....

ei.sdraob wrote: »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aBaX9GPSaQ

moondogspot · 02-10-2009 6:14pm

My name is URL wrote: »

Just to retain a glimmer of hope for those on the No side, have a look at the poll on breakingnews.ie

sample size is over 1000, and at the time of posting this it's completly even between the 2 sides

Politics.ie is far far ahead with a No.;)

PopeBuckfastXVI · 02-10-2009 6:16pm

moondogspot wrote: »

Politics.ie is far far ahead with a No.;)

:eek:

moondogspot · 02-10-2009 6:17pm

PopeBuckfastXVI wrote: »

:eek:

Meaning, there's no need to get carried away with the ''poll'' here, which I think some are.;)

motherFocker · 02-10-2009 6:18pm

moondogspot wrote: »

Meaning, there's no need to get carried away with the ''poll'' here, which I think some are.;)

u got stats?

moondogspot · 02-10-2009 6:20pm

motherFocker wrote: »

u got stats?

Look at the how did you vote section in politics.ie. It should tell one enough.

PopeBuckfastXVI · 02-10-2009 6:21pm

moondogspot wrote: »

Meaning, there's no need to get carried away with the ''poll'' here, which I think some are.;)

I don't know that I am, I'm merely interested in the discrepancy between this "poll" and previous "polls"'s, and not extrapolating to a national result. Like I said I haven't even voted in this one myself (or any of the previous ones, for that matter).

P.S. Why are we quoting the word "poll" like this?

motherFocker · 02-10-2009 6:24pm

moondogspot wrote: »

Look at the how did you vote section in politics.ie. It should tell one enough.

How did this 'poll' compare to politics.ie the last we were not listened to?

ynotdu · 02-10-2009 6:24pm

I have been having this recurring nightmare since the debate began!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_RpSv3HjpEw

motherFocker · 02-10-2009 6:27pm

ynotdu wrote: »

I have been having this recurring nightmare since the debate began!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_RpSv3HjpEw

I didnt know that.:D

Scofflaw · 02-10-2009 6:27pm

PopeBuckfastXVI wrote: »

I don't know that I am, I'm merely interested in the discrepancy between this "poll" and previous "polls"'s, and not extrapolating to a national result. Like I said I haven't even voted in this one myself (or any of the previous ones, for that matter).

P.S. Why are we quoting the word "poll" like this?

A poll that produces a result you don't like is a "poll". Otherwise it's just a poll.

cordially,
Scofflaw

marco_polo · 02-10-2009 6:33pm

Example a tom dunne text in is a poll. An mrbi survey is a "poll"

Thrill · 02-10-2009 6:37pm

motherFocker wrote: »

I didnt know that.:D

Yes you did. You just didn't know that you did.

motherFocker · 02-10-2009 6:39pm

Thrill wrote: »

Yes you did. You just didn't know that you did.

No I did know that. But I didnt know, that you knew that I didnt know. But I know that now.......asf.afsdaf

AtomicHorror · 02-10-2009 6:40pm

Still haven't made it to the polling station. Working late...

PrivateEye wrote: »

I don't "get" this to be honest?

My family always do this, in elections too. 7 or 8 older neighbours. Pretty standard grassroots affair, not a million miles from the days of the 'Sinn Fein Bus' (I remember the 'Gus Bus' too, as a local councillor called it!)

If you're implying it was a xenophobic vote, considering I'm a committed anti-fascist, then nope. It was two fingers to an undemocratic referendum, two fingers to IBEC and their endorsement of a Treaty they feel would 'liberalise education', and two fingers to a certain CEO.

You do realise you weren't voting for Ryanair, right? Would you put your hand in a fire if Michael O'Leary and IBEC told you not to?

Were you giving two fingers to anything actually in the treaty?

USE · 02-10-2009 6:41pm

worldclass wrote: »

and the most active poll on Facebook has:

Yes 2,362 47.89 %

No 2,172 44.04 %

Could I get a link please?

DeVore · 02-10-2009 6:43pm

Last time our prediction was within 0.2% of the actual outcome. I dont think this will be as accuracte because its not as big (I think we had about 2k people then) but we were scarily accurate.

When do polling stations close? I think we are in for a long weekend....

DeV.

mayordenis · 02-10-2009 6:45pm

DeVore wrote: »

Last time our prediction was within 0.2% of the actual outcome. I dont think this will be as accuracte because its not as big (I think we had about 2k people then) but we were scarily accurate.

When do polling stations close? I think we are in for a long weekend....

DeV.

10 tonight with counting beginning at 9 in the morning or so I am led to believe.

USE · 02-10-2009 6:45pm

DeVore wrote: »

When do polling stations close?

10pm your time. 3h to go.

Frankie Lee · 02-10-2009 7:03pm

Big discrepancy with the how do you intend to vote poll so far, hopefully that changes soon.

cornbb · 02-10-2009 7:06pm

The how do you intend to vote poll has been running since July, I image a large number of people will have changed their minds since then.

RandomName2 · 02-10-2009 7:08pm

Hopefully people who intend to vote no won't just give up due to the fact that they either are weighed down from the massive yes campaign or just have no confidence in their decision being respected. Hope neither side is scared into voting another way.

Frankie Lee · 02-10-2009 7:10pm

cornbb wrote: »

The how do you intend to vote poll has been running since July, I image a large number of people will have changed their minds since then.

That makes sense, the threats from intel and pfizer I find are really what will win it for the yes side.

cornbb · 02-10-2009 7:13pm

Frankie Lee wrote: »

threats from intel and pfizer

Bandit12 · 02-10-2009 7:20pm

Looks like it's going to be very close. Come on you no's.:cool:

ei.sdraob · 02-10-2009 7:22pm

Frankie Lee wrote: »

the threats from intel and pfizer

what threats?

faster microchips? better viagra??

turgon · 02-10-2009 7:26pm

http://apps.facebook.com/realpolls/results/ojv8khe43

Yes - 925 - 49.1%
No - 853 - 45.3%

http://apps.facebook.com/realpolls/results/fxuihr9be

Yes - 303 - 51.8%
No - 230 - 39.3%

nd · 02-10-2009 7:32pm

DeVore wrote: »

Last time our "What way are you GOING to vote" was accurate to a very high degree... 0.1% as I recall.

I think our exit poll was also pretty accurate. This time round I feel that Boards has had an attempt to highjack it somewhat, which we have done well to halt, but votes are votes and with a small sample size its margin of error may be larger.

I predict a 53/47 Yes outcome with my magic 8 ball.

DeV.

Are the results of the 2008 polls still up somewhere?

TheDublinMan · 02-10-2009 7:37pm

I voted yes.
:P to all the no-people, why don't you have that extra glass, polling stations are open until 11pm?

Rb · 02-10-2009 7:38pm

TheDublinMan wrote: »

I voted yes.
:P to all the no-people, why don't you have that extra glass, polling stations are open until 11pm?

Indeed, and don't forget to write a little note of explanation at the bottom.

Lisbon Treaty - Exit Poll

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