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16-09-2018, 23:11   #1
Meteorite58
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Storm Ali : Weds 19 Sept 2018

The main models have been showing a very vigorous system for Weds for a number of runs now. This storm is being aided by a very fast jet. It's track could drift further North as they sometimes do and it could have lesser wind speeds by Weds but at present it is worth keeping a record of it's progress I think. We can change the title if needs be.










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16-09-2018, 23:20   #2
pad199207
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Yeah the weather for the rest of the week needs monitoring more than Helene

Last edited by pad199207; 16-09-2018 at 23:26.
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16-09-2018, 23:26   #3
Widdensushi
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Ali i presume will rumble
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17-09-2018, 00:38   #4
Pangea
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Donegal Weather channel saying possible red warning.
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17-09-2018, 00:44   #5
sdanseo
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Donegal Weather channel saying possible red warning.
Borderline at the moment. 12Z ECM calling for mean >80km/h and gusts >130km/h, both red criteria, over small portions of Galway and Mayo.

Probably not quite enough for them to go red yet on balance - they don't pull that trigger when it's so marginal (which of course defeats the purpose of the criteria, but hey, that's another debate).

Any upgrades between now and Tuesday however and it will be red for parts of the west.
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17-09-2018, 02:02   #6
pauldry
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Donegal Weather channel saying possible red warning.
What number is this on Sky?
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17-09-2018, 07:41   #7
Pangea
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Going by the lack of action on here and M.Ts tame forecast for Wednesday a Red seems like a long shot.
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17-09-2018, 13:38   #8
MJohnston
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If the ARPEGE pans out there would definitely be Red warnings in the west:



This wind would be preceeded by a fair amount of rain too, so with the trees still holding onto all their leaves, and the worst of it being around midday, I'd definitely call this a Red if it pans out.
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17-09-2018, 13:41   #9
squarecircles
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If the ARPEGE pans out there would definitely be Red warnings in the west:



This wind would be preceeded by a fair amount of rain too, so with the trees still holding onto all their leaves, and the worst of it being around midday, I'd definitely call this a Red if it pans out.

EEEK i live in the epi centre of that storm.
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17-09-2018, 13:57   #10
squarecircles
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latest form Met Eireann.

Very disturbed weather expected through the rest of the week.

Wednesday: Wet and very windy on Wednesday especially during the morning, with widespread rain and some very heavy falls expected through western and northern counties especially, with local flooding. Very windy countrywide with strong to gale force southerly winds, possibly reaching storm force at Sea off the west and north coasts. Winds will veer westerly in the afternoon and later moderate. Highs of 14 to 17 degrees Celsius. Some further heavy rain possible Wednesday night in southern areas especially near the south, drier elsewhere with scattered showers.
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17-09-2018, 14:32   #11
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latest form Met Eireann.

Very disturbed weather expected through the rest of the week.

Wednesday: Wet and very windy on Wednesday especially during the morning, with widespread rain and some very heavy falls expected through western and northern counties especially, with local flooding. Very windy countrywide with strong to gale force southerly winds, possibly reaching storm force at Sea off the west and north coasts. Winds will veer westerly in the afternoon and later moderate. Highs of 14 to 17 degrees Celsius. Some further heavy rain possible Wednesday night in southern areas especially near the south, drier elsewhere with scattered showers.
This is as autumnal as you can get. I'm going to the Ploughing Championships on Wednesday
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17-09-2018, 14:38   #12
Meteorite58
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Cross model agreement on very windy weather countrywide on Weds. More so in the W and NW , some models showing the SW very windy for a time early morning.

Going to stick a yellow advisory on the thread title. Can upgrade later , quite possiby orange warning for quite a few areas.
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17-09-2018, 14:42   #13
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Worth noting some models showing some windy weather on Atlantic coastal counties Tues evening / Night.
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17-09-2018, 14:58   #14
Graces7
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EEEK i live in the epi centre of that storm.
that means so do I? eeeekk also. eyes tired and I think power is flickering west mayo offshore island
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17-09-2018, 15:19   #15
irelandspurs
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Flying home from Majorca Wednesday evening. We may just stay for another week so.
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