Storm Ali : Weds 19 Sept 2018

Villain

Menat to be departing Dublin airport at 10:30, hopefully get to take off as I love some decent turbulence

Doctors room ghost

_Whimsical_ wrote: »

Will bins be emptied in an orange warning does anyone know?

They’ll be emptied alright just not by a bin man haha

Beechwoodspark

Is there any risk this will become a red alert at very short notice?

ninebeanrows

Do we think the first wave will depart EIDW with not many delays or will that Southely cause issues ?

_Whimsical_

_Whimsical_ wrote: »

Will bins be emptied in an orange warning does anyone know?

Emptied and strewn all over the road!

Storm 10

stephenjmcd wrote: »

Maybe it was just me but that forecast on rte didn't seem very serious. Met office in the UK driving home the fact that there could be damage caused and transport disruption.
Met eireann more interested in having kids cheering in the background at the plowing.

Funny enough I thought the same thing I think with an Orange warning they should have got rid of the kids it came across as a happy forecast when it's anything but. At the end of the day it's a life threatening storm

Meteorite58

ECM 12Z just rolling out . This is a slight upgrade on previous runs I believe. North Clare, Galway, Mayo look like getting a fair smack of the first winds. ( the 151 km/h would be high ground ). 140 km/h gusts over the Aran Islands. 120 to 130 km/h gusts running in Galway bay.

Gusts

fergus1001

John.Icy wrote:

It's funny. Everyone is Ophelia Ophelia Ophelia but Darwin had stronger gusts at 17 of 23 Met Eireann stations (can't find mean 10 min data for Ophelia to compare there). Ophelia won in out and out strength but in many areas Darwin gave a bigger smacking.

coming from a forestry perspective Darwin war way more destructive that Ophelia, went out to inspect forest after Ophelia expecting to see them on the floor only to be pleasantly surprised

cherryghost

Galway near a red at this stage. It looks highly dangerous on exposed coasts

fergus1001

ventusky is showing wind gust up to 140km/h coming into galway and Clare from 9 am onwards surely met should upgrade to a red for Clare and Galway

Meteorite58

Add the driving rain to that wind, making for difficult conditions especially the school drop offs.

SleetAndSnow

I wonder what their HARMONIE model is showing, im assuming thats where they are getting their levels?

Storm 10

Flash of lightning in Galway Bay just now

squarecircles

time to charge the ipad,phone and look for the candles.

conditions have deteriorated rapidly here,west Mayo.

Oscar Bravo

wow! a fine lightning bolt just west of castlebar now

Storm 10

fergus1001 wrote: »

ventusky is showing wind gust up to 140km/h coming into galway and Clare from 9 am onwards surely met should upgrade to a red for Clare and Galway

Too busy playing with kids a the ploughing

JanuarySnowstor

Talk of red warnings is absurd
It's a very average storm system

Whispered

I've to be out, 9am - 1pm, toddler in car for some of that time. Rural roads in Kilkenny. Considering cancelling plans but would need to do so in the next hour or so. Usually I'd be quick to take the safety first route but it's not even orange for the area. Conversation here though makes me think maybe it will be?

spookwoman

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

wow! a fine lightning bolt just west of castlebar now

Quite a few showing on http://en.blitzortung.org/live_lightning_maps.php?map=12

Meteorite58

AROME is one of the models Met Eireann use. Not one to over exaggerate wind speeds.

Gusts




Close up view of approx .gusts to expect.

squarecircles

Storm 10 wrote: »

Flash of lightning in Galway Bay just now

whats with the netweather lightning detector,shows loads of strikes of the west coast

SleetAndSnow

If they use that then I am still at a loss as to why Cork and Limerick are at yellow, they both get gusts of about 120km/h for a period. I have a feeling theres more upgrades to come yet. But oof clare galway and mayo are going to get hit! during the school runs too!

no.8

JanuarySnowstor wrote:

Talk of red warnings is absurd It's a very average storm system

....And where do you live (roughly)?

TheRiverman

Whispered wrote: »

I've to be out, 9am - 1pm, toddler in car for some of that time. Rural roads in Kilkenny. Considering cancelling plans but would need to do so in the next hour or so. Usually I'd be quick to take the safety first route but it's not even orange for the area. Conversation here though makes me think maybe it will be?

The amount of trees allowed to grow on rural roadsides is disgraceful.They are so dangerous during windy/stormy weather,yet the councils will not prosecute landowners or make them cut the trees down.

The Specialist

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

If they use that then I am still at a loss as to why Cork and Limerick are at yellow, they both get gusts of about 120km/h for a period. I have a feeling theres more upgrades to come yet. But oof clare galway and mayo are going to get hit! during the school runs too!

I can never understand that either, Clare in the orange warning but Limerick remains yellow. The wind isn't going to slow down at Bunratty ffs

PcAngel

I dread traveling in the morning * loads of trees at the side of the road

Meteorite58

Hirlam 12Z Showing widespread mean speeds of 85 km/h on Coast from Kerry to Mayo, and areas of 100Km/h mean especially on the Clare / Galway ( possibly Kerry ) coast early morning and later the NW and N coasts.

Discodog

cherryghost wrote: »

Galway near a red at this stage. It looks highly dangerous on exposed coasts

I have just walked along the coast West of Spiddal with a handheld anemometer. Peak gusts were only 50 kph. Wind often sounds & feels much faster than it actually is.

irishrover99

I’ll say it before someone else does.

“Bloody Millennials looking for a red, sure it’s only a bit of wind and rain” 😀

sdanseo

Close to a red warning for west coast fringes and orange needs to be extended to Limerick and Cork.

Mean windspeeds of >90km/h coming onshore on HIRLAM
Gusts of over 150km/h still present on ECM
- these are two of MÉ's most trustworthy models

Widespread onshore gusts of >160km/h on the "Britain HD" model on Weather US (is this UKMO?)
ICON showing up to 150km/h gusts over land

Looks like the Swiss HD also shows possible stingjet feature approaching Donegal, cycle from 6am through to 12pm tomorrow here:
https://weather.us/model-charts/swisshd-eu/ireland/wind-mean-direction/20180919-0800z.html

Also, Sunday's hurricane -force storm is still there on GFS with the UK getting very serious 150km/h gusts - and the GFS is very conservative. If other models tag along for the ride we're in trouble.