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Storm Erik : Friday 8th February 2019

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  • Registered Users Posts: 10,076 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Met 2303 update


    23:03
    TONIGHT - Thursday 7th February
    Becoming increasingly windy tonight as Storm Erik tracks to the northwest of Ireland bringing gale force winds at the coast. Some damaging wind gusts are possible in western and northwestern coastal counties by dawn. It will be a wet night with widespread rain giving heavy falls in parts. Temperatures rising overnight to range 6 to 10 degrees by morning.


    TOMORROW - Friday 8th February
    Very windy in all areas on Friday with stormy conditions for a time in the west and north as Storm Erik tracks just to the north of Ireland. Heavy rain in eastern counties will clear quickly in the morning to leave a mix of bright intervals and widespread blustery showers during the day. Highest temperatures of 7 to 10 degrees with gale force southwesterly winds and some damaging gusts in parts of the west and north.


    Friday Night

    Widespread blustery showers will continue on Friday night, and some of the showers will be heavy with a risk of hail and isolated thunderstorms. Lowest temperatures will stay around 4 and 7 degrees. Strong to near gale southwest to westerly winds, with gales or strong gales near the coasts, will slowly ease overnight.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,844 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Breezy and wet here near Tralee. Bar 993.6 hPa Falling Rapidly


    KlBZdhM.jpg

    pression2_uk_uyn1.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,844 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Euro 4 18Z out and more or less the same for tomorrow initially but far windier tomorrow evening into Sat.


    tRczT9B.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,358 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    23z report from M6 buoy was 977 mb, wind SSW 59 km/hr gusting to 87. Not quite into the strongest winds yet, will be around 0200h when low passes north of this location.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,889 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Tomorrow night is quickly looking like a nationwide orange


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,844 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Well the ICON 21Z isn't backing off , very tight gradient along the W/ NW on this one.

    anim_hfy9.gif




    anim_aar8.gif


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,844 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ICON Flash Hi Res 21Z if verifies looks very serious now up along the W and NW . Damaging to say the least. Red warning territory on coasts . Not sure if it is overplaying it or not ?


    r9e7L2U.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,233 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Viewing the ICON on meteologix/WUS makes it looks a bit worse than it is especially with mountain winds so prominently displayed. Shave off 20-30km/h

    Of course even doing that is 130-140km/h gusts for west coast, all depends how far inland MÉ think they will get.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,153 ✭✭✭jimbobaloobob


    Right on the west coast here, when is it expected to be at its worst?


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,991 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Erik means business.

    wind steadily rising,torrents of rain,west Mayo.



    11ip9x4.png

    Erik the Red,badass.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 590 ✭✭✭Monkeynut


    Right on the west coast here, when is it expected to be at its worst?

    When gusts are a top speed I guess it will be at its worst!!!

    But really I say 8am looking at the chart above, then another strong part in the evening.


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,233 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Right on the west coast here, when is it expected to be at its worst?

    Early in the morning & again tomorrow evening.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,358 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Right on the west coast here, when is it expected to be at its worst?

    About 0500h to 0900h should be your peak winds but now we're getting some suggestions of a long-duration event with a second peak, so that timing is mainly for onset. It should be quite blustery by 0300h.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,153 ✭✭✭jimbobaloobob


    Monkeynut wrote: »
    When gusts are a top speed I guess it will be at its worst!!!


    I figured that much, just moored a boat this evening came in off the sea. Have a bit of driving to do up along the west coast tomorrow and wondering when its to peak so as to avoid the worst of it with high sided vehicle. Thanks (dont mean to derail this thread)


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,844 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ARPEGE 18Z Max gusts


    arpegeuk-52-37-0_rmv3.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,358 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    ... and ... M6 tipped over. (973 mb working though).


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    No real wind in Galway at the moment, has been raining ,(unsurprisingly) for hours though.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,844 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ICON Flash 21Z Good test for this model to see how it performs....

    Info on the site:

    European HD Flash (ICON-EU) (intermediate deadlines, 1 day)
    This product displays output from a special model that can adapt to rapidly changing weather situations. The model can be run every three hours to provide the most updated information both to forecasters and to you. It is run at a high resolution but only for Europe and it only goes out 30 hours into the future.



    qs5vw9M.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 90 ✭✭policy75


    Unlikely to be interesting. That said it's been a very boring winter so I wouldn't mind something.

    And the first paragraph of my post completed with my microphone just accepting my words and writing them. Most cool


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,903 ✭✭✭pauldry


    It will be very interesting in some parts this weekend though not perhaps for the 10,000 homes without power.....(this usually happens in an orange wind event)

    And wind is picking up a little too 40 knots in places now


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,991 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    As storm Erik approaches Ireland today and over the coarse of this evening and tonight the area of low
    pressure will under go Explosive cyclogenesis also known to many as a weather bomb. Explosive cyclogenesis
    is the rapid deepening of an cyclonic low-pressure area. The change in pressure needed to classify something
    as explosive cyclogenesis is latitude dependent. For example, at 60° latitude, explosive cyclogenesis occurs if
    the central pressure decreases by 24 mbar (hPa) or more in 24 hours. This is a predominantly maritime, winter
    event. The centre of the area of low pressure named storm Erik is forecast to drop around 40 mbar (hPa) in less
    than 24 hours which is a massive drop in pressure.
    Tonight a band of rain will cross the country moving west to east and will be heavy with the risk of spot flooding
    and as this rain sweeps across Ireland winds will start to strengthen and becoming windy. Strongest winds will occur
    between 5am Friday morning to 1pm Friday. But wind will remain very strong across the northwest and north with the
    strongest winds not easing there until 6am Saturday morning.





    Worst effected county’s will be Kerry, Clare, Galway, Mayo, Sligo, Leitrim, Donegal and Derry especially
    along coastal region where winds may gust up to 130km/hr within the warning period. Wind along the exposed
    coastal areas of Galway, Mayo, Donegal and Derry may exceed 130km/hr for a time on Friday morning into the
    early afternoon with gust close to 140km/hr.
    widespread power outages could occur along southwestern, western , northwestern and northern county’s on Friday
    morning and over the afternoon as the rapidly deepening depression, named Storm Erik by Met Éireann tracks to
    the northwest of Ireland early Friday morning with an expected minimum pressure of 954hPa at 9am 8th Feb 2019.
    Away from Atlantic coastal regions winds will gust up to 90km/hr to 110km/hr with the risk of scattered power outages.
    The public should avoid all coastal areas, piers and walkways on Friday into Saturday morning and not put your
    life at risk as well as others at risk.
    Anyone planing to travel by air or sea on Friday morning there is likely to be some disruption and it would be
    important to check in before travelling



    Donegal weather channel


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,358 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wind reports resumed from M6, gusting to 104 km/hr from southwest at 0200h, pressure 967 mbs. Belmullet gusting to 47 knots from south.


  • Registered Users Posts: 399 ✭✭DaithiMa


    Am around 8 miles to the NW of Tuam and the wind is really picking up. Lashing rain too.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,117 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Winds picking up here. Strong and very gusty.


  • Registered Users Posts: 52 ✭✭Porridgemonster


    I’m in Fanad head Donegal at the min. Horizontal rain and very strong gusts.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,117 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Serious gusts shaking the building.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    Strong gusts Kinsale.


  • Registered Users Posts: 725 ✭✭✭Timfy


    wind.png?1549604599871

    Started a bit earlier than expected here in the West on the Galway/Mayo border. Quietened down a little now but still blowing well.

    No trees were harmed in the posting of this message, however a large number of electrons were terribly inconvenienced.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,117 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh




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  • Registered Users Posts: 707 ✭✭✭Pops_20


    Torrential rain and strong gusts here in Cork City.


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