Storm Erik : Friday 8th February 2019

Oscar Bravo · 07-02-2019 11:23pm

Met 2303 update

23:03
TONIGHT - Thursday 7th February
Becoming increasingly windy tonight as Storm Erik tracks to the northwest of Ireland bringing gale force winds at the coast. Some damaging wind gusts are possible in western and northwestern coastal counties by dawn. It will be a wet night with widespread rain giving heavy falls in parts. Temperatures rising overnight to range 6 to 10 degrees by morning.

TOMORROW - Friday 8th February
Very windy in all areas on Friday with stormy conditions for a time in the west and north as Storm Erik tracks just to the north of Ireland. Heavy rain in eastern counties will clear quickly in the morning to leave a mix of bright intervals and widespread blustery showers during the day. Highest temperatures of 7 to 10 degrees with gale force southwesterly winds and some damaging gusts in parts of the west and north.

Friday Night

Widespread blustery showers will continue on Friday night, and some of the showers will be heavy with a risk of hail and isolated thunderstorms. Lowest temperatures will stay around 4 and 7 degrees. Strong to near gale southwest to westerly winds, with gales or strong gales near the coasts, will slowly ease overnight.

Meteorite58 · 07-02-2019 11:29pm

Breezy and wet here near Tralee. Bar 993.6 hPa Falling Rapidly

Meteorite58 · 07-02-2019 11:52pm

Euro 4 18Z out and more or less the same for tomorrow initially but far windier tomorrow evening into Sat.

M.T. Cranium · 07-02-2019 11:55pm

23z report from M6 buoy was 977 mb, wind SSW 59 km/hr gusting to 87. Not quite into the strongest winds yet, will be around 0200h when low passes north of this location.

JanuarySnowstor · 07-02-2019 11:59pm

Tomorrow night is quickly looking like a nationwide orange

Meteorite58 · 08-02-2019 12:07am

Well the ICON 21Z isn't backing off , very tight gradient along the W/ NW on this one.

Meteorite58 · 08-02-2019 12:18am

ICON Flash Hi Res 21Z if verifies looks very serious now up along the W and NW . Damaging to say the least. Red warning territory on coasts . Not sure if it is overplaying it or not ?

sdanseo · 08-02-2019 12:24am

Viewing the ICON on meteologix/WUS makes it looks a bit worse than it is especially with mountain winds so prominently displayed. Shave off 20-30km/h

Of course even doing that is 130-140km/h gusts for west coast, all depends how far inland MÉ think they will get.

jimbobaloobob · 08-02-2019 12:26am

Right on the west coast here, when is it expected to be at its worst?

squarecircles · 08-02-2019 12:27am

Erik means business.

wind steadily rising,torrents of rain,west Mayo.

Erik the Red,badass.

Monkeynut · 08-02-2019 12:29am

jimbobaloobob wrote: »

Right on the west coast here, when is it expected to be at its worst?

When gusts are a top speed I guess it will be at its worst!!!

But really I say 8am looking at the chart above, then another strong part in the evening.

sdanseo · 08-02-2019 12:31am

jimbobaloobob wrote: »

Right on the west coast here, when is it expected to be at its worst?

Early in the morning & again tomorrow evening.

M.T. Cranium · 08-02-2019 12:31am

jimbobaloobob wrote: »

Right on the west coast here, when is it expected to be at its worst?

About 0500h to 0900h should be your peak winds but now we're getting some suggestions of a long-duration event with a second peak, so that timing is mainly for onset. It should be quite blustery by 0300h.

jimbobaloobob · 08-02-2019 12:32am

Monkeynut wrote: »

When gusts are a top speed I guess it will be at its worst!!!

I figured that much, just moored a boat this evening came in off the sea. Have a bit of driving to do up along the west coast tomorrow and wondering when its to peak so as to avoid the worst of it with high sided vehicle. Thanks (dont mean to derail this thread)

Meteorite58 · 08-02-2019 12:33am

ARPEGE 18Z Max gusts

M.T. Cranium · 08-02-2019 12:34am

... and ... M6 tipped over. (973 mb working though).

JCX BXC · 08-02-2019 12:40am

No real wind in Galway at the moment, has been raining ,(unsurprisingly) for hours though.

Meteorite58 · 08-02-2019 12:44am

ICON Flash 21Z Good test for this model to see how it performs....

Info on the site:

European HD Flash (ICON-EU) (intermediate deadlines, 1 day)
This product displays output from a special model that can adapt to rapidly changing weather situations. The model can be run every three hours to provide the most updated information both to forecasters and to you. It is run at a high resolution but only for Europe and it only goes out 30 hours into the future.

policy75 · 08-02-2019 1:06am

Unlikely to be interesting. That said it's been a very boring winter so I wouldn't mind something.

And the first paragraph of my post completed with my microphone just accepting my words and writing them. Most cool

pauldry · 08-02-2019 1:14am

It will be very interesting in some parts this weekend though not perhaps for the 10,000 homes without power.....(this usually happens in an orange wind event)

And wind is picking up a little too 40 knots in places now

squarecircles · 08-02-2019 1:22am

As storm Erik approaches Ireland today and over the coarse of this evening and tonight the area of low
pressure will under go Explosive cyclogenesis also known to many as a weather bomb. Explosive cyclogenesis
is the rapid deepening of an cyclonic low-pressure area. The change in pressure needed to classify something
as explosive cyclogenesis is latitude dependent. For example, at 60° latitude, explosive cyclogenesis occurs if
the central pressure decreases by 24 mbar (hPa) or more in 24 hours. This is a predominantly maritime, winter
event. The centre of the area of low pressure named storm Erik is forecast to drop around 40 mbar (hPa) in less
than 24 hours which is a massive drop in pressure.
Tonight a band of rain will cross the country moving west to east and will be heavy with the risk of spot flooding
and as this rain sweeps across Ireland winds will start to strengthen and becoming windy. Strongest winds will occur
between 5am Friday morning to 1pm Friday. But wind will remain very strong across the northwest and north with the
strongest winds not easing there until 6am Saturday morning.

Worst effected county’s will be Kerry, Clare, Galway, Mayo, Sligo, Leitrim, Donegal and Derry especially
along coastal region where winds may gust up to 130km/hr within the warning period. Wind along the exposed
coastal areas of Galway, Mayo, Donegal and Derry may exceed 130km/hr for a time on Friday morning into the
early afternoon with gust close to 140km/hr.
widespread power outages could occur along southwestern, western , northwestern and northern county’s on Friday
morning and over the afternoon as the rapidly deepening depression, named Storm Erik by Met Éireann tracks to
the northwest of Ireland early Friday morning with an expected minimum pressure of 954hPa at 9am 8th Feb 2019.
Away from Atlantic coastal regions winds will gust up to 90km/hr to 110km/hr with the risk of scattered power outages.
The public should avoid all coastal areas, piers and walkways on Friday into Saturday morning and not put your
life at risk as well as others at risk.
Anyone planing to travel by air or sea on Friday morning there is likely to be some disruption and it would be
important to check in before travelling

Donegal weather channel

M.T. Cranium · 08-02-2019 2:38am

Wind reports resumed from M6, gusting to 104 km/hr from southwest at 0200h, pressure 967 mbs. Belmullet gusting to 47 knots from south.

DaithiMa · 08-02-2019 3:07am

Am around 8 miles to the NW of Tuam and the wind is really picking up. Lashing rain too.

igCorcaigh · 08-02-2019 4:04am

Winds picking up here. Strong and very gusty.

Porridgemonster · 08-02-2019 4:40am

I’m in Fanad head Donegal at the min. Horizontal rain and very strong gusts.

igCorcaigh · 08-02-2019 5:24am

Serious gusts shaking the building.

SeaBreezes · 08-02-2019 5:27am

Strong gusts Kinsale.

Timfy · 08-02-2019 5:47am

Started a bit earlier than expected here in the West on the Galway/Mayo border. Quietened down a little now but still blowing well.

igCorcaigh · 08-02-2019 5:51am

https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/1093748749812277249?s=19

Pops_20 · 08-02-2019 6:04am

Torrential rain and strong gusts here in Cork City.

08-02-2019 6:06am

Gusts in Galway very powerful the past few hours

igCorcaigh · 08-02-2019 6:07am

Pops_20 wrote: »

Torrential rain and strong gusts here in Cork City.

Just about to say, some incredible rain there...

smurph6 · 08-02-2019 6:08am

Pops_20 wrote: »

Torrential rain and strong gusts here in Cork City.

It's absolutely miserable here this morning

Graces7 · 08-02-2019 6:11am

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

a rough few hours for Grace going on them Meteorite!

For that kind thought thank you

Erik arrived out here after a noisy enough night around 1/4 to four am and now I am sitting abed wincing at the gust s involuntarily

Far far rather be overwarned than it be played down and not warned.

People yelled about Callum as it was a west coast event. Said it was a normal winter storm for the west. We don';t usually get roads smashed as they did in Belmullet that night and record breaking gusts off Achill island .

It was the worst storm I have seen in this place so far, and watching Erik?

Respect the weather. All safe here because of the warnings. Thank you met.ie and boards. ie!

stay safe out there... I thanked westnet, my server, as in all these storms the dish, on the gable end facing north, has never flickered and we rarely get power cuts.

Gaoth Laidir · 08-02-2019 6:11am

Highest gusts so far (up to 6 am):

59 kts: Belmullet
57 kts: Newport, Mace Head

Graces7 · 08-02-2019 6:12am

Timfy wrote: »

Started a bit earlier than expected here in the West on the Galway/Mayo border. Quietened down a little now but still blowing well.

same out here but still ferocious. Loud and fierce

Gaoth Laidir · 08-02-2019 6:20am

It looks like a sting jet occured a few hours ago but the satellite signature is not as clear now as the centre nears the northwest. We'll know in the next couple of hours.

The pressure difference between Belmullet and Newport (~50 km) was 4 hPa at 5 am.

sparrowcar · 08-02-2019 6:22am

TAF for Dublin airport shows a sting in Erik's tail Fri night into Sat morning. Gusting 55kts between 0000-0500.

It was discussed here in previous posts.

Graces7 · 08-02-2019 6:27am

Lights are flickering and server slowed right down... non stop tirade

west mayo offshore.. terrifying power in the gale now.. sustained not gusts

Mc Love · 08-02-2019 6:33am

Ok to cycle?

Fitzo123 · 08-02-2019 6:36am

Looking at these charts, Sligo should definitely be considered for Orange. Wind is already fairly phenomenal here.

Gonna be a disaster getting to school (Work!) in an hour or two.

uck51js9zml2yt · 08-02-2019 6:36am

Mc Love wrote: »

Ok to cycle?

Sure...knock yourself out;)

redsteveireland · 08-02-2019 6:47am

All quiet here so far, the odd gust here and there, nothing spectacular.

Villain · 08-02-2019 6:49am

That second wave of winds tonight looks rather nasty, will be interesting to see if Met Eireann update warnings.

He looks impressive on sat images!

https://twitter.com/carlowweather/status/1093760862576394240?s=21

White_hills · 08-02-2019 6:50am

Mc Love wrote: »

Ok to cycle?

Few folk out on their bikes but I saw two people get off and walk as they were being blown about too much in Dublin 8.

Mc Love · 08-02-2019 7:03am

White_hills wrote: »

Few folk out on their bikes but I saw two people get off and walk as they were being blown about too much in Dublin 8.

Thanks for the useful info White Hills!

NewMrs2b · 08-02-2019 7:08am

White_hills wrote: »

Few folk out on their bikes but I saw two people get off and walk as they were being blown about too much in Dublin 8.

Just showed hubby this. He was gonna cycle
D24 to D4 but thankfully decided against.

Gaoth Laidir · 08-02-2019 7:11am

7 am.

Mace Head 45 gust 65 kts, pressure 973 hPa.

Belmullet 45 gust 61 kts, pressure 967 hPa.

Newport 30 gust 52 kts, pressure 971 hPa.

degsie · 08-02-2019 7:12am

redsteveireland wrote: »

All quiet here so far, the odd gust here and there, nothing spectacular.

Would make sense if we knew where 'here' is.

KingdomRushed · 08-02-2019 7:12am

The 0z Hirlam doesn’t make as much of it as the other models with the second wave of winds this evening/tonight looking less intense than on other models.

Storm Erik : Friday 8th February 2019

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