UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING

Mellor · 14-06-2015 5:55am

qwabercd wrote: »

Surprised that PP paid out on gastelum 2nd round KO there.

Why are you surprise. That was the result

but1er · 14-06-2015 8:56am

Easy money on wedurm by sub last night!

El Guapo! · 14-06-2015 10:55am

El Guapo! wrote: »

Not a lot takes my fancy for UFC188 but I'll definitely go with Velasquez v Werdum under 2.5 @ 11/10

No MOV markets up on PP yet but I'll probably take Cain by KO too if there's any decent value.

Edit: Cain KO is 5/6 on Betfair

If anyone fancies a punt on Werdum by sub, Boyles are offering 10/1.

Got the under 2.5 bet so that'll do nicely.

But I'm absolutely gutted, after all my waffling about Werdum by sub @ 10/1 I forgot to put that bet on. What a dope.

mailburner · 14-06-2015 10:55am

mailburner wrote: »

followed that tho i dont know montano, odds seem nice
montano pts maybe value at 13/2

two singles and a double 13/2+3/1+27/1 (betv)

single
under 1.5 rounds gastelum marq at 13/8 (365)

treble at 6.75 (betv)
under 1.5 gast marq
alvarez melendez to go the distance
over 2.5rnd cain v werdum

good luck all

one lousy winner, dunno how gastelum fight went two rounds

montano was beyond useless, cost me a nice double or rather betting against pendred cost me yet again

bradlente · 14-06-2015 3:08pm

bradlente wrote: »

Small shout on Alvarez @6/4,seems like a bit of an unjust dog.

Fell asleep before the fight,sounds like it could've gone either way.

TimRiggins · 14-06-2015 3:31pm

but1er wrote: »

Easy money on wedurm by sub last night!

Stuck a 5er on it after work for the craic, Fancied Cain to win but Werdum was far far too big of a price

Hoki · 14-06-2015 5:49pm

Love the smell of after-timing in the afternoon :pac:

Depp · 14-06-2015 8:16pm

Depp wrote: »

just a small one this week, werdum, marquart, pendred and torres, works out at about 60/1

heartbreaking!:p

17-06-2015 4:43am

Is Ken Shamrock at 2/1 not good odds? The man is old for sure but Kimbo Slice is an unfit mess and Ken is in amazing shape for his age. Surely he will have more of a gas tank then Kimbo.

TimRiggins · 17-06-2015 4:53am

Deleted User wrote: »

Is Ken Shamrock at 2/1 not good odds? The man is old for sure but Kimbo Slice is an unfit mess and Ken is in amazing shape for his age. Surely he will have more of a gas tank then Kimbo.

Don't think so. Kimbo isn't really an unfit mess, He went 7-0 as a Pro Boxer since his time at the UFC, and I know his opponents were laughable but its probably more then Shamrock has done in the last 5 years.

17-06-2015 4:59am

TimRiggins wrote: »

Don't think so. Kimbo isn't really an unfit mess, He went 7-0 as a Pro Boxer since his time at the UFC, and I know his opponents were laughable but its probably more then Shamrock has done in the last 5 years.

Did you see the boxing match he had in Sydney? I know he won the fight but he was gassed about 2 minutes in.

TimRiggins · 17-06-2015 5:02am

Deleted User wrote: »

Did you see the boxing match he had in Sydney? I know he won the fight but he was gassed about 2 minutes in.

I did, and I don't think Shamrock even lasts 2 minutes to be honest. 2/1 is a decent price on him though, But I think Kimbo knocks him out early.

Mellor · 18-06-2015 4:17am

His boxing record is only relevant if Ken trye to stand with him. I think he's gonna duck under the first sloppy haymaker and take him down.
Kimbo has no ground game when he was fighting MMA, I doubt he was doing much training when he was pro boxing

mailburner · 18-06-2015 9:35am

Think you have to take the value here which has to be the 2s on sham
My only fear is that he might be stupid enough to stand with kimbo when he could
probably take him down and keep him there

mailburner · 18-06-2015 9:52am

Romero 11/8 to beat machida
Honestly thought he would be much the same price if not a slight favourite
Bookies got this one wrong imo
Think pts is the only way machina can win this which is 7/2 yet the machida tko is a ridiculous 11/8
I honestly think there isn't a hope of machina finishing romero

Am I giving romero too much credit here given he hasnt fought a top guy yet?

the nikkei is rising · 18-06-2015 5:38pm

mailburner wrote: »

Romero 11/8 to beat machida
Honestly thought he would be much the same price if not a slight favourite
Bookies got this one wrong imo
Think pts is the only way machina can win this which is 7/2 yet the machida tko is a ridiculous 11/8
I honestly think there isn't a hope of machina finishing romero

Am I giving romero too much credit here given he hasnt fought a top guy yet?

Romero was pretty much finished between rounds by Tim Kennedy who doesn't strike nearly as well as Machida, tough fight to call but I'd favor Machida slightly.

As for Saturday, if this is a real fight with no dodgy payments to force standup or even for someone to take a dive then Shamrock should beat Kimbo.

weemcd · 18-06-2015 6:00pm

Wouldn't touch Kimbo v Shamrock tbh. Too many question marks.

Last Shamrock fight I saw (I'm guessing about 5 years ago) he quit due to leg kicks, this isn't a problem with Kimbo so much, but the point I'm making is his body is destroyed.

Kimbo is terrible at MMA and his boxing competition is a list of cans.

I'd expect them to both gas within 5 minutes or less. Almost any outcome possible with both ko'd, Shamrock subbing Kimbo or either winning a decision in an ugly brawl of a fight.

El Guapo! · 18-06-2015 6:32pm

Think I'll go with a 3/1 accumulator on:

Lashley
Strays
Freire
Chandler
Kimbo

TimRiggins · 18-06-2015 6:55pm

I think people are being far too harsh on Kimbo. Has been training with ATT the last year as well as what he did before. Should be able to have decent enough take down defence at this stage.

bradlente · 18-06-2015 8:45pm

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2495066-inside-ken-shamrocks-quest-to-show-hes-still-the-worlds-most-dangerous-man

Nice read on Kens preparation there.

the nikkei is rising · 18-06-2015 10:43pm

TimRiggins wrote: »

I think people are being far too harsh on Kimbo. Has been training with ATT the last year as well as what he did before. Should be able to have decent enough take down defence at this stage.

The man is known to slack in training and has badly arthritic knees, 0% chance he can block a low single if Shamrock is willing to drag the fight to the canvass.

Mellor · 19-06-2015 1:42am

TimRiggins wrote: »

I think people are being far too harsh on Kimbo. Has been training with ATT the last year as well as what he did before. Should be able to have decent enough take down defence at this stage.

He was unwilling to train grappling when he was on TUF, and signed for the UFC. I can't see that changing.
Even if he was training, there is a ceiling in what he can achieve in a few months.

mailburner · 19-06-2015 9:41pm

Chickened out on sham even at 2s
Think it's too much to ask all things considered

Paully D · 19-06-2015 11:31pm

Small bet for interest on Ken Shamrock at 5/2 (Powers). It's the equivalent of betting on WWE in that the result is probably already known, but meh.

El Guapo! · 20-06-2015 8:25am

El Guapo! wrote: »

Think I'll go with a 3/1 accumulator on:

Lashley
Strays
Freire
Chandler
Kimbo

callaway92 · 20-06-2015 10:40am

Piotr Hallman tonight is a good shout I think in his bout at 10/11 - nice chunk on that

Going with him a single and also a treble with Siver and Jedrzejczyk at 9/4

Hoki · 20-06-2015 12:24pm

Not a lot stood out for me tonight except a possible upset in Lukasz Sajewski defeating local boy Nick Hein. Although Hein has knocked down both Dober & Vick in the first rounds of his last two fights he failed to finish either resulting in him losing a decision to Vick while winning a decision vs Dober. I think his gas tank is questionable as he's a pretty big guy for Lightweight. Sajewski is making his debut as an undefeated fighter going 13-0 with 7 victories by submission. I'm hoping he can withstand Hein early & get a sub in the later rounds. Backed Sajewski to win at 5/4 and have a few quid on him to win by Sub at 13/2.

callaway92 · 20-06-2015 7:20pm

callaway92 wrote: »

Piotr Hallman tonight is a good shout I think in his bout at 10/11 - nice chunk on that

Going with him a single and also a treble with Siver and Jedrzejczyk at 9/4

Ugh.. Enjoyable fight though!

Hoki · 20-06-2015 8:46pm

Hoki wrote: »

Not a lot stood out for me tonight except a possible upset in Lukasz Sajewski defeating local boy Nick Hein. Although Hein has knocked down both Dober & Vick in the first rounds of his last two fights he failed to finish either resulting in him losing a decision to Vick while winning a decision vs Dober. I think his gas tank is questionable as he's a pretty big guy for Lightweight. Sajewski is making his debut as an undefeated fighter going 13-0 with 7 victories by submission. I'm hoping he can withstand Hein early & get a sub in the later rounds. Backed Sajewski to win at 5/4 and have a few quid on him to win by Sub at 13/2.

Not the greatest fight. Sajewski was poor and his striking looks extremely basic. Couldn't get near Hein. Done for the night betting wise!

mailburner · 24-06-2015 1:06pm

aldo evens :eek: 8/11 conor boyles

Paully D · 24-06-2015 2:44pm

mailburner wrote: »

aldo evens :eek: 8/11 conor boyles

Aldo's out as far as 21/20 on Betfair exchange.

dulux99 · 24-06-2015 2:45pm

mailburner wrote: »

aldo evens :eek: 8/11 conor boyles

The real value seems to be the fight not to happen, 5/6 on Betfair.

ibrahimovic · 24-06-2015 4:32pm

Paully D wrote: »

Aldo's out as far as 21/20 on Betfair exchange.

11/10 aldo now

Naos · 24-06-2015 7:07pm

If the fight is called off, will our bets be refunded? I put on Conor months ago so got good odds.

JonesGoat · 24-06-2015 9:27pm

Naos wrote: »

If the fight is called off, will our bets be refunded? I put on Conor months ago so got good odds.

Yes money back.

Naos · 24-06-2015 11:00pm

JonesGoat wrote: »

Yes money back.

Aaah fs. Thanks

EuskalHerria · 24-06-2015 11:08pm

Anywhere still taking bets on the fight not going ahead?

mailburner · 24-06-2015 11:40pm

dulux99 wrote: »

The real value seems to be the fight not to happen, 5/6 on Betfair.

wish I'd seen this earlier

no market anywhere now it seems, probably didnt last long

Mellor · 25-06-2015 12:43am

Naos wrote: »

If the fight is called off, will our bets be refunded? I put on Conor months ago so got good odds.

A lot of the time there's a clause that if it happens within X number of weeks the of the bet stands.

I've got money on both of them above evens so Im really want the bets to go ahead

mailburner · 26-06-2015 11:54pm

single on romero at 2.58 is all for me

feel this is a bad match up for machida and it's coming too soon

Axwell · 28-06-2015 12:30am

Few bets to make this card more interesting:

Full card acca:
Antonio Carlos Junior
Alex Oliveira
Lorenz Larkin
Yoel Romero
Thiago Santos
Hacran Dias
Leandro Silva
Steve Montgomery
Sirwan Kakai

MOV acca:
Steve Montgomery on Points
Sirwan Kakai on Points
Hacran Dias on Points
Thiago Santos by KO
Lorenz Larkin on Points
Yoel Romero by KO

mailburner · 28-06-2015 11:17am

mailburner wrote: »

Romero 11/8 to beat machida
Honestly thought he would be much the same price if not a slight favourite
Bookies got this one wrong imo
Think pts is the only way machina can win this which is 7/2 yet the machida tko is a ridiculous 11/8
I honestly think there isn't a hope of machina finishing romero

Am I giving romero too much credit here given he hasnt fought a top guy yet?

but1er · 28-06-2015 11:25am

<mod snip>

No After-timing

mailburner · 28-06-2015 4:19pm

getting a bit ahead of myself here (july 18) scottish card

4/5 bisb 11/10 leites

five rounds
I thought leites might have been favourite for this,bisb can only win this on pts imo and think leites has more ways of winning this

any thoughts? do folks think bisbing should be fav?

PrettyBoy · 01-07-2015 1:24pm

What do people think of a Gunnar and Conor double? Considering putting a relatively big bet on the two of them to win..

rolexeagle1 · 01-07-2015 2:31pm

PrettyBoy wrote: »

What do people think of a Gunnar and Conor double? Considering putting a relatively big bet on the two of them to win..

Add Pendred in there too, the way he is going he can't lose :rolleyes:

akelly02 · 01-07-2015 2:34pm

PrettyBoy wrote: »

What do people think of a Gunnar and Conor double? Considering putting a relatively big bet on the two of them to win..

Thatch will beat him imo. Gunnar doesnt get this to the mat straight away then he is in trouble

EuskalHerria · 03-07-2015 3:59pm

It seems safer in here....

My long range accumulator for the night. Will probably wait until closer to lay more bets.

Seery, Pendred, Gunni by Sub, Bermudez by Sub, Conor. Odds: 111

martyos121 · 03-07-2015 4:38pm

EuskalHerria wrote: »

It seems safer in here....

My long range accumulator for the night. Will probably wait until closer to lay more bets.

Seery, Pendred, Gunni by Sub, Bermudez by Sub, Conor. Odds: 111

That's quite good value, you'd get even bigger odds if you backed Conor by TKO (can't see him winning a five rounder tbh, he has to finish him I reckon).

I planned on doing a similar accumulator, but without Seery, and with Rory and Almeida.

Paully D · 03-07-2015 4:39pm

Going for:

Pendred to win
Almeida KO/TKO
McGregor decision
MacDonald decision

74/1 with Unibet, 888sport and 32Red.

UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING