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Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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    #392
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Good day today - I'm back to where I started a week ago. Only bet in the All Blacks game was for Ben Smith to score a try and that after looking at the try machine that is Kieran Read. :(


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    #393
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Stan James seem to be the "Wrong" (imo) side of the market for a lot of games this weekend.

    Could be some value available...

    Italy + 12
    Argentina + 15
    Samoa + 10
    France + 12

    ha

    rubbish day


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    #394
    matthew8
    Registered Users Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    SA -3.5, Ireland -9.5, NZ -10.5 all backed.

    Also had Aus at -10 as mentioned earlier on. Placed double the usual on SA, fecking delighted when FDuP went under the posts. A bit annoyed NZ dropped the ball towards the end, I wasn't too impressed by them today.


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    #395
    beertons
    Hosted Moderators Posts: 23,065 ✭✭✭✭beertons


    Flute.


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    #396
    Ugo Monye spacecraft experience
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,221 ✭✭✭Ugo Monye spacecraft experience


    Ugo Monye spacecraft experience wrote: »
    I've gone for McGrath and Best for first try scorer in the Irish game, both at 25/1

    I've also had an optimistic punt on Ireland -24 at 7/2

    And I've done a big accum of:

    NZ -10
    Ireland -9
    Boks -4
    Australia -10

    Feck NZ anyway :(

    least Ireland -24 came up


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    #397
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    P_1 wrote: »
    Gentlemen, JD is contemplating backing Samoa, lump lump and lump again on Ireland to win in that case :P

    I didn't bet on this game at all in the end but I certainly scuppered poor Samoa by evening considering the option. :D


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    #398
    beertons
    Hosted Moderators Posts: 23,065 ✭✭✭✭beertons


    Judgement Day wrote: »
    I didn't bet on this game at all in the end but I certainly scuppered poor Samoa by evening considering the option. :D



    Fair play to ya JD for putting the pox on them.


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    #399
    Exile22
    Registered Users Posts: 21 ✭Exile22


    Saw this thread and am a bit too proud today not to post my bets :P

    AUS -10 (1.25 Unit) Evens
    ENG -8 (1.25 Unit) 4/9
    SCO -10 (1.25 Unit) 4/11
    RSA 4 (2.5 Units) Evens
    IRE -9 (1.25 Unit) Evens
    NZ -5 (1.25 Unit) 2/5

    Treble-- (1.25 Unit) 22/5
    AUS -7
    SCO -10
    RSA -4

    Accu-- (0.25 Unit) 18/1
    AUS -7
    ENG -8
    SCO -10
    RSA -4
    IRE -9
    NZ -5

    I've been doing terribly this season (especially since H-Cup Round 1) so this weekend has happily bumped me from 34.1 Units to 49.05 Units. Delighted :D


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    #400
    P_1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    P_1 wrote: »
    Ireland, England, Scotland, New Zealand and South Africa wins @ a shade above 2/1 for me this weekend

    That'll do pig, that'll do


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    #401
    thomond2006
    Registered Users Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    thomond2006 wrote: »
    Old Balance: 36.98 units

    - 2 units (10/11) South Africa -3 :)
    - 1 unit (10/11) Ireland -9 :)
    - 1 unit (evens) Ireland -9 (added after 10/11 bet!) :)
    - 1 unit (evens) France +11 :)
    - .5 units (3/1) France to win :(
    - .5 units (10/11) Scotland -18 :)
    - .5 units (5/1) Argentina to win :(

    New Balance: 30.48 units

    Have a positive feeling about Ireland, didn't like the -11 but couldn't resist -9!

    New Balance: 41.17 units


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    #402
    No, you're a...
    Registered Users Posts: 136 ✭✭No, you're a...


    Old Balance: 39.91 units

    1 unit (2.00) South Africa (v Wales) -4.0 :)
    1 unit (2.00) Ireland (v Samoa) -9.0 :)

    Italy v Australia - Australia @ 1.22
    England v Argentina - England @ 1.12
    Scotland v Japan - Scotland @ 1.05
    Wales v South Africa - South Africa @ 1.57
    Ireland v Samoa - Ireland @ 1.28
    France v New Zealand - New Zealand @ 1.20
    1 unit accumulator @ 3.5 ;)

    New Balance: 44.43 units


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    #403
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    No, you're a... wrote: »
    Old Balance: 39.91 units

    1 unit (2.00) South Africa (v Wales) -4.0 :)
    1 unit (2.00) Ireland (v Samoa) -9.0 :)

    Italy v Australia - Australia @ 1.22
    England v Argentina - England @ 1.12
    Scotland v Japan - Scotland @ 1.05
    Wales v South Africa - South Africa @ 1.57
    Ireland v Samoa - Ireland @ 1.28
    France v New Zealand - New Zealand @ 1.20
    1 unit accumulator @ 3.5 ;)

    New Balance: 44.43 units

    Were Scotland really 1/20 to beat Japan??


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    #404
    No, you're a...
    Registered Users Posts: 136 ✭✭No, you're a...


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    Were Scotland really 1/20 to beat Japan??

    No, they were 6/5. I just prefer using decimals.


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    #405
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    No, you're a... wrote: »
    No, they were 6/5. I just prefer using decimals.

    6/5 does not equal 1.05

    6/5 = 2.20


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    #406
    thomond2006
    Registered Users Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Have backed Argentina +9 and to win after reading that Adam Jones is out. Jonathan Davies out as well.


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    #407
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    6/5 does not equal 1.05

    6/5 = 2.20

    The handicaps were in the range of Japan + 18/ + 21 pre kick off.

    Definitely closer to 1/20 than 6/5...


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    #408
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    Deleted User wrote: »
    The handicaps were in the range of Japan + 18/ + 21 pre kick off.

    Definitely closer to 1/20 than 6/5...

    Huh, where does he say anything about handicaps?

    It just says Scotland 1.05?


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    #409
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    Huh, where does he say anything about handicaps?

    It just says Scotland 1.05?

    yup, but I'm saying that he's probably correct with 1.05 being the price at kick off given that the Handicaps were that wide.

    Certainly not 6/5 to beat Japan anyway.


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    #410
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    No, you're a... wrote: »
    No, they were 6/5. I just prefer using decimals.
    Deleted User wrote: »
    yup, but I'm saying that he's probably correct with 1.05 being the price at kick off given that the Handicaps were that wide.

    Certainly not 6/5 to beat Japan anyway.

    That's the only reason i'm getting 6/5, cos he said it.


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    #411
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    That's the only reason i'm getting 6/5, cos he said it.

    I know.

    You asked if Scotland were really 1/20 to beat Japan.

    They were 18-21 points favourites, and therefore probably very close to 1/20.

    The conversion from 1.05 to 6/5 makes zero sense, but the 1.05 decimal price is probably correct.


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    #412
    No, you're a...
    Registered Users Posts: 136 ✭✭No, you're a...


    No, you're a... wrote: »
    No, they were 6/5. I just prefer using decimals.

    Looks like my mental maths was wrong :o


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    #413
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    Deleted User wrote: »
    I know.

    You asked if Scotland were really 1/20 to beat Japan.

    They were 18-21 points favourites, and therefore probably very close to 1/20.

    The conversion from 1.05 to 6/5 makes zero sense, but the 1.05 decimal price is probably correct.

    Right

    1.05 is incredibly short for Scotland, who lets not forget lost to Tonga last year. I dunno Japan might have had a development squad or something


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    #414
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    Right

    1.05 is incredibly short for Scotland, who lets not forget lost to Tonga last year. I dunno Japan might have had a development squad or something

    That's what the price was though? :confused:

    Comparison - Scotland are 13 point underdogs to South Africa and South Africa are 1/10 for the win (BoyleSports)

    http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/scotland-v-south-africa/handicaps

    Japan were 18-21 point underdogs and thus Scotland being shorter (1/20) makes sense. (I personally thought that the HC was too generous and had Japan at +18 - which would have been okay if not for Japan's two yellows and 3 try concession in the final 10)


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    #415
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    Deleted User wrote: »
    That's what the price was though? :confused:

    Comparison - Scotland are 13 point underdogs to South Africa and South Africa are 1/10 for the win (BoyleSports)

    http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/scotland-v-south-africa/handicaps

    I'm not disputing it was the price, I just think its an incredibly short price.


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    #416
    P_1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    I'm not disputing it was the price, I just think its an incredibly short price.

    To be honest I was surprised it wasn't shorter or even not available as an option to back


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    #417
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    P_1 wrote: »
    To be honest I was surprised it wasn't shorter or even not available as an option to back

    We are talking about Scotland here right?

    You would want to be on cloud cuckoo land to take Scotland at 1.05


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    #418
    No, you're a...
    Registered Users Posts: 136 ✭✭No, you're a...


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    We are talking about Scotland here right?

    You would want to be on cloud cuckoo land to take Scotland at 1.05

    I do like it here in cloud cuckoo land


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    #419
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    No, you're a... wrote: »
    I do like it here in cloud cuckoo land

    No offence intended :D


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    #420
    P_1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    We are talking about Scotland here right?

    You would want to be on cloud cuckoo land to take Scotland at 1.05

    I'm talking about Scotland playing at home to Japan mind, they are a bit poor internationally but they haven't sunk so low as to possibly lose at home to Japan yet


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    #421
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    P_1 wrote: »
    I'm talking about Scotland playing at home to Japan mind, they are a bit poor internationally but they haven't sunk so low as to possibly lose at home to Japan yet


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-union/20459037


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