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Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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    #362
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Taking the + in the

    France v NZ (10)
    Eng v Arg (13)
    Ire v Sam ( 11)

    and the - in the
    Sa v Wales (2)


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    #363
    matthew8
    Registered Users Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    I like Australia at -10 and SA at -3 (or even at a longer spread). Might not place SA though as I'll be at the Ireland game and won't be able to watch it live. Argentina at +14 is lovely until you realize Lobbe is not playing. Gives the England forwards a definite edge and the backs should be able to take advantage against one of the poorer backlines in world rugby.


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    #364
    andymx11
    Registered Users Posts: 586 ✭✭✭andymx11


    [Deleted User] wrote: »
    Taking the + in the

    France v NZ (10)
    Eng v Arg (13)
    Ire v Sam ( 11)

    and the - in the
    Sa v Wales (2)

    I'm not a betting man, so forgive my stupidity! Looking at the above information if I bet on Ireland to beat Samoa with above handicap they would have to beat them by 11 points or more for me to win?


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    #365
    P_1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    andymx11 wrote: »
    I'm not a betting man, so forgive my stupidity! Looking at the above information if I bet on Ireland to beat Samoa with above handicap they would have to beat them by 11 points or more for me to win?

    You'd need them to win by 12 or more with an 11 point handicap, just to give some scoring examples for you:

    Ireland 15 Samoa 3 = Ireland 4 (15-11) Samoa 3 on the handicap which means Ireland covered the handicap
    Ireland 14 Samoa 3 = Ireland 3 (14-11) Samoa 3 on the handicap which means a handicap draw
    Ireland 13 Samoa 3 = Ireland 2 (13-11) Samoa 3 on the handicap which means Samoa covered the handicap


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    #366
    thomond2006
    Registered Users Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Spread in Ireland/Samoa now -9 for Ireland.


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    #367
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Stan James seem to be the "Wrong" (imo) side of the market for a lot of games this weekend.

    Could be some value available...

    Italy + 12
    Argentina + 15
    Samoa + 10
    France + 12


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    #368
    Dazzler0911
    Registered Users Posts: 223 ✭✭Dazzler0911


    Treble for Saturday:

    Scotland (-18.0) vs Japan

    Italy vs Australia (-10.0)

    Wales vs South Africa (-4.0)

    Pays 7.5/1


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    #369
    Ugo Monye spacecraft experience
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,221 ✭✭✭Ugo Monye spacecraft experience


    I've gone for McGrath and Best for first try scorer in the Irish game, both at 25/1

    I've also had an optimistic punt on Ireland -24 at 7/2

    And I've done a big accum of:

    NZ -10
    Ireland -9
    Boks -4
    Australia -10


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    #370
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,213 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Ugo Monye spacecraft experience wrote: »

    I've also had an optimistic punt on Ireland -24 at 7/2

    I've gone on Samoa -3 @4/1

    ;)


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    #371
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Contemplating going for Samoa to win 5/2 with Paddy Power but they are missing several key men including Alesana Tuilagi and Census Johnston.


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    #372
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    Judgement Day wrote: »
    Contemplating going for Samoa to win 5/2 with Paddy Power but they are missing several key men including Alesana Tuilagi and Census Johnston.

    Alesana Tuilagi has gone downhill big time and was terrible in the Summer tests --playing in Japan now. Cenus is a big loss alright.


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    #373
    P_1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    Gentlemen, JD is contemplating backing Samoa, lump lump and lump again on Ireland to win in that case :P


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    #374
    matthew8
    Registered Users Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    All favourites to win in the 6 games at 4.11 on betfair. Certainly I find it very hard to see past Scotland, England, Australia, NZ and Ireland (in that order of confidence) and I'm not sure how Wales can win unless there is some sort of scrum demolition. That was the root of their only impressive win this year (England) before they cut loose.


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    #375
    thomond2006
    Registered Users Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 36.98 units

    - 2 units (10/11) South Africa -3
    - 1 unit (10/11) Ireland -9
    - 1 unit (evens) Ireland -9 (added after 10/11 bet!)
    - 1 unit (evens) France +11
    - .5 units (3/1) France to win
    - .5 units (10/11) Scotland -18
    - .5 units (5/1) Argentina to win

    New Balance: 30.48 units

    Have a positive feeling about Ireland, didn't like the -11 but couldn't resist -9!


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    #376
    P_1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    Ireland, England, Scotland, New Zealand and South Africa wins @ a shade above 2/1 for me this weekend


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    #377
    Dazzler0911
    Registered Users Posts: 223 ✭✭Dazzler0911


    Belvo (-9.0) vs Ballynahinch tmrw

    Hinch yet to win a game, Belvo on good form...beat Young Munster away last week.


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    #378
    rudiger2.0
    Registered Users Posts: 151 ✭✭rudiger2.0


    P_1 wrote: »
    Ireland, England, Scotland, New Zealand and South Africa wins @ a shade above 2/1 for me this weekend

    Got the same price for Ireland, England, Scotland, NZ and Australia wins. Seems like easy money to me. Not a betting man so let's say I put my 50 units on this.


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    #379
    The Pheasant2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,699 ✭✭✭The Pheasant2


    Have a €2 accum on NZ, SA, Ireland (all H'cap) and Australia (match) which got me near 10/1


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    #380
    matthew8
    Registered Users Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    SA -3.5, Ireland -9.5, NZ -10.5 all backed.


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    #381
    Davei141
    Registered Users Posts: 4,541 ✭✭✭Davei141


    Aus over 27.5, England over 26.5, Ireland over 27.5 and NZ France over 40.5. England doing their best to **** it up, no points in the 2nd half


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    #382
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,213 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Davei141 wrote: »
    Aus over 27.5, England over 26.5, Ireland over 27.5 and NZ France over 40.5. England doing their best to **** it up, no points in the 2nd half


    Traditionally France v NZ has been low enough scoring...


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    #383
    Davei141
    Registered Users Posts: 4,541 ✭✭✭Davei141


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Traditionally France v NZ has been low enough scoring...

    I refuse to do any under bets, I find it spoils my enjoyment of the match so ill be cheering every score! In between them low scores has been a few high scoring games though so ill be hoping for one of them.


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    #384
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,213 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Davei141 wrote: »
    I refuse to do any under bets, I find it spoils my enjoyment of the match so ill be cheering every score! In between them low scores has been a few high scoring crackers though so ill be hoping for one of them.

    Mind if i ask what odds you got on the above?


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    #385
    Davei141
    Registered Users Posts: 4,541 ✭✭✭Davei141


    10/1 for the 4 bet accumulator.

    Edit: It was 5/6 for NZ france game


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    #386
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    England scoring with 3 mins left kills my Argentina HC.

    Scotland scored 3 tries in last 10 minutes against a weary Japanese to kill my + 18 too.

    ugh. Crossbars everywhere


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    #387
    beertons
    Hosted Moderators Posts: 23,069 ✭✭✭✭beertons


    NZ -11 lads. Has it a chance?


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    #388
    matthew8
    Registered Users Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    beertons wrote: »
    NZ -11 lads. Has it a chance?

    Quite likely I would say. It's probably odds on at any bookies.


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    #389
    basillarkin
    Registered Users Posts: 2,409 ✭✭✭basillarkin


    matthew8 wrote: »
    Quite likely I would say. It's probably odds on at any bookies.

    Prob not, I'm on it for the last leg of my treble, had Ireland in the handicap and SA backed earlier


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    #390
    Davei141
    Registered Users Posts: 4,541 ✭✭✭Davei141


    There is always the chance NZ will pull away but France have turned up so i wouldn't do it


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    #391
    beertons
    Hosted Moderators Posts: 23,069 ✭✭✭✭beertons


    I'll be sweating for the next 40 minutes so.


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