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Coronavirus Pandemic Information- Local and Worldwide

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,011 ✭✭✭Neddyusa


    emaherx wrote: »
    Instead of academics they should just recruit people from internet forums. We'd have been sorted months ago.

    I've nothing against them - sure I am one myself!
    They are all experts in their own fields - unfortunately not in the areas of social and economic impacts.

    I just don't think any country should outsource its management to such a group for an extended time.


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,146 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Sam, the regular survey is a good idea. You wouldn't need the size of sample you're suggesting. Something like 2,000 should do. With the fairly invasive test in use, it's probably not practical ATM. Once a saliva, esp DIY becomes available then yes.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,138 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Water John wrote: »
    Sam, the regular survey is a good idea. You wouldn't need the size of sample you're suggesting. Something like 2,000 should do. With the fairly invasive test in use, it's probably not practical ATM. Once a saliva, esp DIY becomes available then yes.

    It's been done. Dublin and Sligo in July.

    https://www.thejournal.ie/antibody-testing-ireland-5181472-Aug2020/

    Trouble is as the blood tests showed and from experience. Antibodies don't always show up on those blood tests even from people with confirmed covid. So basing your estimates of infection on those antibody tests is a bit of a non runner.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,946 ✭✭✭yosemitesam1


    Water John wrote: »
    Sam, the regular survey is a good idea. You wouldn't need the size of sample you're suggesting. Something like 2,000 should do. With the fairly invasive test in use, it's probably not practical ATM. Once a saliva, esp DIY becomes available then yes.

    It's not a good idea, it's a minimum standard.

    Uncertainty is an inherent part of field sampling and population monitoring. The only option available to counteract that uncertainty is introduce randomness. All the experts have failed to grasp this.
    You want to soil test a field, what do you do to get a representative sample?
    Add randomness by collecting multiple samples from different areas.
    It's so fundamental to so much of the sampling of nearly everything that I don't see how it has been overlooked


  • Registered Users Posts: 734 ✭✭✭longgonesilver


    I don't understand why with our testing capacity that they couldn't have setup a random population monitoring survey. Either a group of say 100,000 or so tested every two weeks or else test 50,000 random people every week.
    Those approaches would give numbers that actually mean something


    Do you know what a test costs?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,946 ✭✭✭yosemitesam1


    Do you know what a test costs?

    €200 a pop, lockdown and associated restrictions in excess of €30 billion, current testing strategy has cost over €200 million and has given very little usable data to move us out of current position


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,146 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    €200 was the exhorbitant price being charged by some Dublin private hospitals. Real cost a fraction of that.

    Every fool in Dublin gathered in one place, anti-lockdown protest;
    https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/0822/1160698-anti-lockdown-protest/


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,036 ✭✭✭minerleague


    Water John wrote: »
    €200 was the exhorbitant price being charged by some Dublin private hospitals. Real cost a fraction of that.

    Every fool in Dublin gathered in one place, anti-lockdown protest;
    https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/0822/1160698-anti-lockdown-protest/

    Maybe they are fools, but i'm waiting since may for cancer scan, so what with backlog of screening and then longer lists for treatment how long will i wait? Always paid VHI ( and parents before) but no go when needed( feel like a fool thinking on amounts spent ) Now I know not all scans lead to anything but age, symptoms and family history for same ( and glass half empty :rolleyes: type) means thinking about whatif a lot


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,146 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Minerleague, fully emphatise with your position. Staff in the private hospitals were furious of the deal done over their heads.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,069 ✭✭✭✭wrangler


    Maybe they are fools, but i'm waiting since may for cancer scan, so what with backlog of screening and then longer lists for treatment how long will i wait? Always paid VHI ( and parents before) but no go when needed( feel like a fool thinking on amounts spent ) Now I know not all scans lead to anything but age, symptoms and family history for same ( and glass half empty :rolleyes: type) means thinking about whatif a lot


    Yea, It sickens me that the useless Public Pervice has taken over our only alternative, I've been to A and E twice since lockdown and there's nothing going on in the hospitals, apparently they've decided that pre existing conditions aren't deteriorating since lockdown.
    Having the empty Private Hospitals at their disposal you'd imagine they'd be eating into waiting lists


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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,611 ✭✭✭Mooooo


    It's the lack of info in the public domain that annoys people even more. Than various stories that make people doubt those making the calls, rightly or wrongly, shall create another issue in itself


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,987 ✭✭✭emaherx


    wrangler wrote: »
    Yea, It sickens me that the useless Public Pervice has taken over our only alternative, I've been to A and E twice since lockdown and there's nothing going on in the hospitals, apparently they've decided that pre existing conditions aren't deteriorating since lockdown.
    Having the empty Private Hospitals at their disposal you'd imagine they'd be eating into waiting lists

    I know people who've had routine procedures carried out as normal. It's not like the hospitals have just stopped.

    The A and E being quite is another issue all together, mostly they aren't filled to the brim with non emergency patients who should probably went to their GP's in the first place (if they needed to go anywhere).


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,611 ✭✭✭Mooooo


    emaherx wrote: »
    I know people who've had routine procedures carried out as normal. It's not like the hospitals have just stopped.

    The A and E being quite is another issue all together, mostly they aren't filled to the brim with non emergency patients who should probably went to their GP's in the first place (if they needed to go anywhere).

    A world of scans and the like have been put off, a lot important for early diagnosis, only slowly getting back going


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,069 ✭✭✭✭wrangler


    emaherx wrote: »
    I know people who've had routine procedures carried out as normal. It's not like the hospitals have just stopped.

    The A and E being quite is another issue all together, mostly they aren't filled to the brim with non emergency patients who should probably went to their GP's in the first place (if they needed to go anywhere).


    True, I shouldn't have been there if my consultant was able to see me in March instead of having to wait until now. six months later.
    Like I said Public Service has decided preexisting conditions have miracously gone into remission because of covid.


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,146 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    The owners of the private hospitals saw the easy money. Deal was very poor for everyone else.


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,153 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    Mooooo wrote: »
    A world of scans and the like have been put off, a lot important for early diagnosis, only slowly getting back going

    Sister went yesterday for her annual mri, it was in july last year. Amazed it was done on a Saturday in Smithfield. She normally goes to Beaumont


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    The first documented case of reinfection with covid19. Second case was milder and doctors suspect some level of immunity was present from the first infection.
    https://twitter.com/damiangarde/status/1297888175684190212?s=19


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,146 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Would be interesting to know if it was a slightly diff strain?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    Water John wrote: »
    Would be interesting to know if it was a slightly diff strain?

    It was. They had already tested the original and the new strain was different.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,164 ✭✭✭✭Base price


    It was. They had already tested the original and the new strain was different.
    So does that mean the new strain is less virulent?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 21,146 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    The patient may have had some Covid antibodies but also the new strain was different enough to infect him/her. That's my reading of it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,164 ✭✭✭✭Base price


    As an aside, there is little evidence of a lockdown in Kildare. OH and I have been drawing round bales of straw from the Naas area every day since last Wednesday (including Sunday) - we had to clear a shed of last years straw as the farmer wanted the shed clear to stack this years bales. We never came across a checkpoint on the route that we took - N4/M4, Kilcock, Clane and Naas.


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,146 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Last years straw will still be better than this years.
    Whilst Kildare was high, the nature of the spread in Dublin is more of a concern.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,164 ✭✭✭✭Base price


    Water John wrote: »
    Last years straw will still be better than this years.
    Whilst Kildare was high, the nature of the spread in Dublin is more of a concern.
    TBH I'm not surprised. We have the highest density of population and in my own observation the lack of social distancing/general disregard of the guidelines.

    Let alone the fact that Dublin Airport, Dublin Port and Dun Laoghaire are open for all and sundry.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,946 ✭✭✭yosemitesam1


    Water John wrote: »
    The patient may have had some Covid antibodies but also the new strain was different enough to infect him/her. That's my reading of it.

    That's not likely to be the case. Coronavirus can reproduce in mucous without necessarily causing the body to mount an immune response.
    Look at how e coli and other pathogens can make up a part of microbiome but never actually cause disease.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,138 ✭✭✭✭Say my name




  • Registered Users Posts: 18,497 ✭✭✭✭_Brian


    Hopefully the setback in Cambridge with the vaccine development isn’t too serious and they get restarted again.

    The more good labs working on it the better.

    Short term I’ll be keeping up the Vit D supplements, all emerging data shows its massively important in fighting Covid if you are unfortunate enough to contract it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,146 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Oxford won't be happy with you confusing them with Cambridge, but they might be, in this case.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,049 ✭✭✭zetecescort


    are they waiting till after the All Ireland before they lockdown Dublin or what? tonight must be the 3rd or 4th night that they are concerned about the numbers in Dublin yet do nothing about it


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  • Registered Users Posts: 29,153 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    are they waiting till after the All Ireland before they lockdown Dublin or what? tonight must be the 3rd or 4th night that they are concerned about the numbers in Dublin yet do nothing about it

    The figures today are a bit off I think, no cases in limerick.


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