Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

sydthebeat · 31-01-2014 3:06pm

England +3
Ireland -6.5
Wales to win by 11-20

Accum pays approx 10/1

Edit:
Also trimble first try scorer @ 10/1

captbarnacles · 31-01-2014 11:03pm

France are amazing value @ 3-1 for the outright

with Ireland and England at home

Wales away are difficult but I think Wales will already have lost to Ireland and England

Judgement Day · 01-02-2014 1:40am

Whole weekend's budget committed on this game.

matthew8 · 01-02-2014 11:08am

matthew8 wrote: »

Never backed unfortunately. Both beat the handicaps but the Perpignan one shifted and Toulouse's team sheet put me off. Nevertheless, up to 47.4.

1 unit on France to win 1.74. Might take Ireland -12 as the weather is meant to dry up. Still meant to be extremely windy though, anyone know how windy the Aviva gets in these situations?

Suckfisher · 01-02-2014 11:26am

Judgement Day wrote: »

Whole weekend's budget committed on this game.

Fofana 150/1 score a hat trick with Ladbrokes may as well get price going.

Suckfisher · 01-02-2014 11:29am

Like Wales to be top points scorer this weekend @11/8 in Ladbrokes
France- England should be tight enough.
Ireland Scotland weather could be poor pitch will definitely be heavy.

Wales should hammer italians hop ethe roof is on keep the dirty weather out

matthew8 · 01-02-2014 11:35am

Suckfisher wrote: »

Like Wales to be top points scorer this weekend @11/8 in Ladbrokes
France- England should be tight enough.
Ireland Scotland weather could be poor pitch will definitely be heavy.

Wales should hammer italians hop ethe roof is on keep the dirty weather out

That's actually very good. Wish I had a Ladbrokes account. Not a chance France/England will be top so it's essentially a 2 horse race and the bookies are favouring Wales by 8 more than they're favouring Ireland.

MikeCork2009 · 01-02-2014 1:06pm

Looking at 7/1 for the handicap treble:

Ireland -12 Evens
France -3 Evens

and

Italy + 20 Evens

Reckon Ireland will account for Scotland pretty handily (only worry would be if the weather turned nasty)

Think France will be too good for England in Paris

Italy always start well, and are improving year on year (and if the after Lions tour effect applies to France doing well then why not Italy) and last year, Wales got off to a slow start. Still think Wales will win but not by more than 20

matthew8 · 01-02-2014 8:13pm

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit on France to win 1.74. Might take Ireland -12 as the weather is meant to dry up. Still meant to be extremely windy though, anyone know how windy the Aviva gets in these situations?

48.14 now. Hate to have backed the -3

.

1 unit on Ireland -12.5 1.96.

Inspector Coptoor · 01-02-2014 11:05pm

Today was a pretty good day.

2 units on France -3 didnt pay off
2 units on Wales -20 didnt pay off

1 unit on Cuthbert at 6-1 as first try scorer was good (7 units returned)
1 unit on Huget at 11-1 as first try scorer was good and the odds were doubled as he scored a 2nd try (23 units returned)

Tomorrow I'm going
2 units on Ireland -12
1 unit on Cian Healy for first try scorer at 18-1
1/2 unit on Johnny Sexton to hit a penalty, conversion and DG at 14-1

Fireball07 · 02-02-2014 2:56am

Not doing the whole units thing but I have the following rugby bets laid:

Ireland -12 @evens
Ireland > 2.5 Tries @8/11
Conor Murray Anytime Tryscorer @16/5

and

Ireland > 9.5 Tries in Tournament @5/6
Conor Murray Ireland's Top Tryscorer in Tournament @25/1

I've put a lot less on the two Conor Murray ones compared to the others but they have a bigger reward. I reckon he's a decent shout at being our top tryscorer in the tournament... he likes to snipe around the fringes, and we don't really have top-class wings... and the ones who start tomorrow may not be starting by the end. I could easily see him getting 2 or 3 and that being enough.

I also think that we'll score 10 or more tries in the whole tournament, get 3 tomorrow and lay down a marker.

matthew8 · 02-02-2014 5:54pm

matthew8 wrote: »

48.14 now. Hate to have backed the -3 .

1 unit on Ireland -12.5 1.96.

49.1 now, also made a lot of money by backing Scotland +24.5 on Betfair the moment I saw people were offering them at 2.2 because they thought that last try had been scored.

sydthebeat · 02-02-2014 10:12pm

Trimble first try scorer at 10/1 means i doubled up for the weekend.

Fireball07 · 02-02-2014 10:15pm

Murray didn't score, but the other 2 came through... fairly happy.

thomond2006 · 03-02-2014 10:59pm

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 36.99 units

Bets for the Weekend:

- 3 units (10/11) France -3
- 1 unit (evens) Ireland -12

Open Bets:

- 2 units (5/1) Ireland to win Six Nations Championship
- 2 units (3/1) France to win Six Nations Championship
- .5 units (40/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer
- .5 units (10/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer (place part of each way bet, 4 places)

New Balance: 27.99 units

New Balance: 29.99 units

Very annoyed that France lost that lead but it's a good start on my outright winners front. Not the best weekend on the top tryscorer bet with Huget and Campagnaro picking up a brace each.

thomond2006 · 03-02-2014 11:23pm

I'm leaning towards Scotland +10 at the moment, will wait on team news. I can see that match being a pretty dour affair at Murrayfield with England winning by less than 7.

Judgement Day · 04-02-2014 1:19pm

PP are offering 9/2 on the extremely unlikely outcome of a Scottish win on Saturday - surely worth a tenner.

Since 2000 there have been 7 Murrayfield encounters between the two sides as follows:

2/4/00 19-13
2/2/02 3-29
21/2/04 13-35
25/2/06 18-12
8/3/08 15-9
13/3/10 15-15
4/2/12 6-13

Three wins apiece and 1 draw. I refused to bet on England beating the All Blacks in 2012 @ 10/1 and explained to my son that NZ couldn't lose (this ship can't sink) hence the odds....I won't make that mistake again for a long time. Time for Scotland to spoil England's dreams?

The Pheasant2 · 05-02-2014 12:42pm

Heaslip to score in 80 @4.33 1 unit
POM ,, ,, ,, @8.5 .5 units
George North ,, ,, ,, @3.6 .5 units

The Pheasant2 · 05-02-2014 12:54pm

On a side note I think O'Mahoney at 8.5 to score in 80 is very generous; especially considering the likely style of play we'll adopt vs. Wales not to mention the conditions. It'll probably be a game for the forwards

thomond2006 · 05-02-2014 1:34pm

3 units on Scotland +10 and half a unit on Scotland to win at 9/2. It sounds like the pitch will be a mess so I can't see it being high scoring.

Fireball07 · 05-02-2014 8:27pm

Has anyone attempted a €10 to €10,000 challenge?

thomond2006 · 05-02-2014 11:09pm

Old Balance 29.99 units

Weekend Bets:

- 3 units (10/11) Scotland +10
- .5 units (9/2) Scotland to win
- .125 units (9/1) Scotland/England no try

- .5 units (15/8) Ireland -8
- .125 units (16/1) Brian O'Driscoll first tryscorer
- .25 units (9/2) Brian O'Driscoll try in 80 mins
- .125 units (33/1) Mike Ross try in 80 mins
- .125 units (15/2) Rory best try in 80 mins
- .125 units (13/2) Peter O'Mahony try in 80 mins

- 1 unit (10/11) Stade Francais +12
- .75 units (10/11) Montpellier +9
- .5 units (10/11) Racing Metro +4

Open Bets:

- 2 units (5/1) Ireland to win Six Nations Championship
- 2 units (3/1) France to win Six Nations Championship
- .5 units (40/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer
- .5 units (10/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer (place part of each way bet, 4 places)

New Balance: 22.86 units

P.Walnuts · 05-02-2014 11:09pm

Fireball07 wrote: »

Has anyone attempted a €10 to €10,000 challenge?

Complete waste of time tbh

Fireball07 · 05-02-2014 11:31pm

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Complete waste of time tbh

How so? I mean most people don't win, fair enough... and most people would probably take their winnings before getting to 10k, but I know one guy who was able to do it, and I don't think he thinks it was a waste of time!

P.Walnuts · 05-02-2014 11:36pm

Fireball07 wrote: »

How so? I mean most people don't win, fair enough... and most people would probably take their winnings before getting to 10k, but I know one guy who was able to do it, and I don't think he thinks it was a waste of time!

Ah its a bit of a fad, everyone knows someone who has done it, yet to see a bet slip though ha!

I'm not sure how many time you have to roll it over to get to 10k, but the chances of all those 1.10 shots coming in are not good at all. Harmless I suppose, but I would nt expect any return!

Fireball07 · 05-02-2014 11:43pm

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Ah its a bit of a fad, everyone knows someone who has done it, yet to see a bet slip though ha!

I'm not sure how many time you have to roll it over to get to 10k, but the chances of all those 1.10 shots coming in are not good at all. Harmless I suppose, but I would nt expect any return!

You just need extraordinary good luck... like all gambling really. You also need to have guts, which would probably rule me out :P It's a mindset thing really, because you're betting your winnings, it feels less risky, but not many people would continually put large sums for such little reward in general. But that's how you do it.

It's about 23 bets at an average of 1.3 odds, is what I've been told.

its_phil · 06-02-2014 12:00am

Fireball07 wrote: »

Has anyone attempted a €10 to €10,000 challenge?

Probably easier with rugby but I was doing it with football. Disaster

matthew8 · 07-02-2014 4:09pm

matthew8 wrote: »

49.1 now, also made a lot of money by backing Scotland +24.5 on Betfair the moment I saw people were offering them at 2.2 because they thought that last try had been scored.

Leicester -11.5 1 unit, Ireland to win 1.88 1 unit, also thinking about Sale -4.5 tonight.

No, you're a... · 08-02-2014 12:19am

Old Balance: 31.54

Last Weekend
- 1 unit: Ireland v Scotland - Ireland @ 2.00 (-12.0)

- 2 unit: France v England - France @ 2.00 (-3.0)

- 1 unit: Wales v Italy - Wales by 11-20 @ 3.40

Open Bets
- 1 unit: France To Win Six Nations - Yes @ 4.00
- 2 unit: Ireland To Win Six Nations - Yes @ 6.00

This Weekend
- 2 unit: Ireland v Wales - Ireland @ 2.00 (-2.0)
- 2 unit: Scotland v England - Scotland @ 2.00 (+10.0)

New Balance: 22.54

HankSchrader · 08-02-2014 9:38am

Scotland +10 @ evens - pitch is a mess, Scotland's record in murrayfield isn't the worst (apart from the odd 20 point hammering

). Just hope they don't give away too many penalties.

BOD MOTM @ 12/1 - just for fun

Munster v Cardiff - Zebo anytime 7/5
Might want to prove a point to get a look in for rest of six nations.

matthew8 · 08-02-2014 2:00pm

matthew8 wrote: »

Leicester -11.5 1 unit, Ireland to win 1.88 1 unit, also thinking about Sale -4.5 tonight.

Bath -17.5 1.96 and Northampton to win 1.82.

EDIT: Saracens -16.5 1.85.

sydthebeat · 08-02-2014 2:32pm

Accum:
Ireland -2
Italy +18
Scotland +12

Bod motm @12/1

Fireball07 · 08-02-2014 3:03pm

I'm not sure what to bet on, I really can't judge how the Ireland match will go... and conditions in Murrayfield will make that really hard to predict too.

sydthebeat · 08-02-2014 3:10pm

Fireball07 wrote: »

I'm not sure what to bet on, I really can't judge how the Ireland match will go... and conditions in Murrayfield will make that really hard to predict too.

I was going to throw something in Scotland to win, but i didn't think the odds were generous enough.

Maybe bet on total points being under in both games?

Edit: just did that, gone on accum for all 3 games to be under total points.

Fireball07 · 08-02-2014 3:19pm

Gon

sydthebeat wrote: »

I was going to throw something in Scotland to win, but i didn't think the odds were generous enough.

Maybe bet on total points being under in both games?

Edit: just did that, gone on accum for all 3 games to be under total points.

Gone for under in the England-Scotland game... conditions look decent in Dublin, and I don't like betting on under in matches I care about.

matthew8 · 08-02-2014 5:48pm

matthew8 wrote: »

Bath -17.5 1.96 and Northampton to win 1.82.

EDIT: Saracens -16.5 1.85.

Gee it's pretty embarrassing when you back a team -16.5 and they lose by 9 points (what a shocker by Saracens). Nevertheless a last second Louw try gives Bath an 18 point win to take me to 48.94 units.

thomond2006 · 08-02-2014 11:47pm

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance 29.99 units

Weekend Bets:

- 3 units (10/11) Scotland +10 :mad:
- .5 units (9/2) Scotland to win :mad:
- .125 units (9/1) Scotland/England no try :mad:

- .5 units (15/8) Ireland -8
- .125 units (16/1) Brian O'Driscoll first tryscorer
- .25 units (9/2) Brian O'Driscoll try in 80 mins
- .125 units (33/1) Mike Ross try in 80 mins
- .125 units (15/2) Rory best try in 80 mins
- .125 units (13/2) Peter O'Mahony try in 80 mins

- 1 unit (10/11) Stade Francais +12
- .75 units (10/11) Montpellier +9
- .5 units (10/11) Racing Metro +4

Open Bets:

- 2 units (5/1) Ireland to win Six Nations Championship
- 2 units (3/1) France to win Six Nations Championship
- .5 units (40/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer
- .5 units (10/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer (place part of each way bet, 4 places)

New Balance: 22.86 units

New Balance: 26.69 units

Ireland are +5 for the trip to England, I'll have some of that!

beertons · 09-02-2014 4:45pm

Am I the only one that took France -19?

Fireball07 · 09-02-2014 4:46pm

beertons wrote: »

Am I the only one that took France -19?

I've got Italy +17.

Maybe France will turn it on in the 2nd half, but it doesn't look like they're able.

sydthebeat · 09-02-2014 5:51pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

I was going to throw something in Scotland to win, but i didn't think the odds were generous enough.

Maybe bet on total points being under in both games?

Edit: just did that, gone on accum for all 3 games to be under total points.

Wow that was close.

Under 42.5 in the last game returned me 5/1

Podge_irl · 09-02-2014 5:52pm

Stupid Italy. The +17 cost me 5 units.

Ah well, still on 65 and have 10 on Ireland to win the 6N at 11/2

Fireball07 · 09-02-2014 6:02pm

Podge_irl wrote: »

Stupid Italy. The +17 cost me 5 units.

Ah well, still on 65 and have 10 on Ireland to win the 6N at 11/2

Cost me too

HankSchrader · 09-02-2014 8:44pm

HankSchrader wrote: »

Scotland +10 @ evens - pitch is a mess, Scotland's record in murrayfield isn't the worst (apart from the odd 20 point hammering ). Just hope they don't give away too many penalties.

BOD MOTM @ 12/1 - just for fun

Munster v Cardiff - Zebo anytime 7/5
Might want to prove a point to get a look in for rest of six nations.

1/3...could have been worse I suppose!!

Ireland +5 10/11 at the mo, can see it dropping to +3 closer to the game. I'll be taking that tomorrow.

sydthebeat · 09-02-2014 8:47pm

straight out and put my winnings from earlier on ireland to win in twickers at 7/4

No, you're a... · 10-02-2014 5:13pm

No, you're a... wrote: »

Old Balance: 31.54

Open Bets
- 1 unit: France To Win Six Nations - Yes @ 4.00
- 2 unit: Ireland To Win Six Nations - Yes @ 6.00

This Weekend
- 2 unit: Ireland v Wales - Ireland @ 2.00 (-2.0)
- 2 unit: Scotland v England - Scotland @ 2.00 (+10.0)

New Balance: 22.54

New Balance: 26.54 units, back to where i began

thomond2006 · 14-02-2014 2:13pm

Leinster 13/8 to get the BP tonight, even with the weather I think that's a great bet. With the weather I think a lot of normally kickable penalties will be declined and the focus will be some 10 man rugby tries! Ulster the same!

Old Balance: 26.99 units

- 4 units (13/8) Leinster to get Try BP
- 1 unit (4/6) Connacht to win
- 1 unit (10/11) Castres +11
- .25 units (7/1) Rory Kockott try in 80 minutes
- .75 units (10/11) Montpellier -11
- .5 units (10/11) Cardiff Blues to win
- 1.5 units (5/4) Munster vs Zebre - over 5.5 tries
- .5 units (8/13) Munster vs Zebre - over 4.5 tries

Open Bets:

- 2 units (7/4) Ireland to win (vs England)
- 2 units (10/11) Ireland +5 (vs England)
- 2 units (5/1) France to win Six Nations Championship
- 2 units (3/1) France to win Six Nations Championship
- .5 unit (40/1) Brice Dulin Top Six Nations tryscorer
- .5 units (10/1) Brice Dulin Top Six Nations tryscorer place (4 places)

New Balance: 13.49 units

Will see how I get on tonight before making any more bets tomorrow.

Gracelessly Tom · 14-02-2014 3:24pm

thomond2006 wrote: »

Leinster 13/8 to get the BP tonight, even with the weather I think that's a great bet. With the weather I think a lot of normally kickable penalties will be declined and the focus will be some 10 man rugby tries! Ulster the same!

I like that Leinster shout, think I will avail of some of that.

matthew8 · 14-02-2014 5:33pm

matthew8 wrote: »

Gee it's pretty embarrassing when you back a team -16.5 and they lose by 9 points (what a shocker by Saracens). Nevertheless a last second Louw try gives Bath an 18 point win to take me to 48.94 units.

Up to 49.76. 1 unit on Grenoble 1.9. Would be backing Ulster and Sale on the handicaps tonight if the weather wasn't so horrible.

thomond2006 · 14-02-2014 7:59pm

2 units added to Leinster Try BP bet, Ulster bet voided due to postponement.

Inspector Coptoor · 14-02-2014 8:08pm

1 unit on Leinster try bp
1 unit on Leinster to beat the spread (-16)

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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