GE Exit Poll 10 pm

christy c wrote: »

Odds gone to 12/1 for that. FF/SD/Lab/Green now the favourite marginally

Good I have money on that. Looking like a stretch though with FF on 22%

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

That does seem to be the problem. From the RTE figures, it certainly looks like we shall have to raise the voting age to 25+ before permanent damage is done to the country.

Because everything is awesome at the moment.

RMAOK wrote: »

Another election could well suit Sinn féin

Which is why FF and FG will want to avoid one I would think...

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

That does seem to be the problem. From the RTE figures, it certainly looks like we shall have to raise the voting age to 25+ before permanent damage is done to the country.

Yikes. Let’s not turn into Britain and their way of dividing each other with garbage like that.

interesting to see what paddy power thinks

How does the transfer system work?

RMAOK wrote: »

That's possibly what could happen as a means of keeping Sinn féin out of government.

Confidence and supply again, perhaps?

Only likely government from this is FF/FG

I reckon the FF vote will be slightly higher than the exit poll suggests. There is still an embarrassment factor there for some voters since 2010....who just won’t admit they voted FF.

Varadkar is probably breathing a little easier tonight.
Not a brilliant poll for them. But by no means the predicted FG collapse either

sdanseo wrote: »

3 way neck and neck.
I'd be very surprised if we're not doing it all again within six months.

Six weeks more like

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

That does seem to be the problem. From the RTE figures, it certainly looks like we shall have to raise the voting age to 25+ before permanent damage is done to the country.

Shakin in your right wing boots. Love it.

That's some disaster for FF if 22% is true. 41.6% in 2007 (Bertie), 17.4 2011, 24.3 2016 Micheál. Any other party would have ditched him long ago.

Banana Republic. wrote: »

Ppl want change, simple as.

Some younger voters in the Universities and right on Millennials want change alright, no doubt.

But more mature voters who have seen everything seem to be happy enough with a steady ship, even though it is leaking holes everywhere. We have a good economy don't we (stupid), lowest unemployment rate, and so on.

Many are happy enough with the status quo. And in saying that I do understand the gripes the younger people have regarding housing. But most of the Uni types feck off to ME and elsewhere after we have paid for their tuition and couldn't give a whatnot eventually.

It's a herd mentality. But it's working and whilst I don't agree with SF and would never give them a scratch ever, in time the old codgers will ease off their mortal coil, and there will/may eventually be a SF led Government. Hope I'm retired to an offshore island by then!

But credit where it is due just the same, SF pitched to a certain demographic who have never witnessed or heard of nor care that the Army Council, not MLMD is in charge of SF.

Fianna Fail missed a trick by not positioning themselves to the left of centre. Sinn Fein have filled that void and are now the party of the left. Labour are no longer a player and the far left support has plateaued.

I'm surprised that Sinn Fein have done so well with youth voters. Yes, it was expected to gain support from that demographic, but nobody thought to that extent. Is it a protest vote or do young people genuinely believe that Sinn Fiein can do something for them?

Like I said earlier, more trip ups by a another FF-FG agreement might just push Sinn Fein over the line, next time round.

Hurrache wrote: »

The thing is, our economy is in good shape and pretty much full employment levels, so not a bad state in reality, despite the well publicised social issues.

I have to agree - major social issues to be sorted but credit has to be given where it's due. When the horrendous reign of Brian Cowen ended I was on a 3 day week and was subsequently made redundant after 23 years. My son graduated in November and within 2 weeks was working and living abroad along with every single graduate in his class. The public service embargo closed Templemore, saw our nursing graduates heading for the airports and newly qualified teachers unable to get near a classroom.
I'm now employed in a job I love, the son is home and has bought a house.
We have choices that were not available 10 years ago. I realise that I am only speaking for myself and that the Government owes more to it's citizens but time will tell.

Millionaire only not wrote: »

The shinners will stay in opposition , there not capable or don want to be in government ! Especially a rainbow government

FF are hungry for power, MM will step aside and let the new leader make a deal with SF. Any deal with FG would destroy both parties next election.

bilbot79 wrote: »

How does the transfer system work?

Follow it on Sky Sports. They give a run down on all the latest transfers e.g Joe Blogs goes on loan from Crewe to Wigan

velo.2010 wrote: »

Fianna Fail missed a trick by not positioning themselves to the left of centre. Sinn Fein have filled that void and are now the party of the left. Labour are no longer a player and the far left support has plateaued.

I'm surprised that Sinn Fein have done so well with youth voters. Yes, it was expected to gain support from that demographic, but nobody thought to that extent. Is it a protest vote or do young people genuinely believe that Sinn Fiein can do something for them?

Like I said earlier, more trip ups by a another FF-FG agreement might just push Sinn Fein over the line, next time round.

No single party government since the Jack Lynch landslide. Whatever line you think they are going over, it will be in the company of others.