Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

Tuesday, 7 May 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average 3 to 5 deg above normal values. It will be quite dry, with rainfalls in a range of 10 to 30 per cent of normal, until next Tuesday (14th) when heavier rain could begin across parts of the south. Low cloud, sea fog, and cooler coastline temperatures will be a factor, but it will feel like summer in many parts of the country.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny or partly cloudy inland, with low cloud and sea fog near some coasts; warm with highs 17 to 21 C, except 13 to 16 C near coasts.

TONIGHT partly cloudy to clear inland, cloudy near coasts, with fog patches developing, lows 6 to 9 C.

WEDNESDAY partly cloudy and quite warm, coastal cloud and fog. Some rain at times in west, spreading into Ulster later in the day. Lows 6 to 9 C, highs 17 to 21 C (12 to 15 C coastal).

THURSDAY to SATURDAY will continue settled and warm with potential for highs into low 20s inland, 15 to 18 C coastal. Nights will be mild with lows 7 to 12 C.

By SUNDAY a more unsettled trend will develop as the warm high pressure system drifts northeast, allowing rain to spread in from the southeast. This rain could become thundery and quite heavy, by early in the following week (Monday night into Tuesday 14 May currently indicated, south at risk). It will likely stay rather warm despite the cloud and rain (near 18 C) and nights will be very mild (10 to 13 C). This prolonged warm spell could begin to transition to more seasonable conditions around the weekend of 18th-19th.

My local weather was cloudy with a few breaks, and passing showers which gave a few intervals of hail and otherwise rain, about 5 mm fell, and it was cool at 12 C. We are going into a much warmer spell later in the week, 28-31 C predicted for Friday and weekend here. Severe storms are pounding parts of Oklahoma at this late hour (near 0100 local in CDT). This is basically the same cold front I was describing in Nevada and Utah last Saturday night.

Thursday, 9 May 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average 1 to 3 deg above normal values. It will be generally quite dry until Sunday, but by next Monday (13th) into Tuesday (14th) heavier rain could develop especially across parts of the south. Low cloud, sea fog, and cooler coastline temperatures will be a factor, but it will feel like summer in many parts of the country.

FORECASTS

THURSDAY hazy sunshine and cloudy intervals, warm with potential for highs into low 20s inland, 15 to 18 C coastal south and east, where low cloud and sea fog could drift a short distance inland.

TONIGHT partly cloudy to clear inland, cloudy near coasts, with fog patches developing, lows 7 to 12 C.

FRIDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers in western counties, lows 7 to 12 C and highs 17 to 21 C (a bit lower near coasts).

SATURDAY sunny intervals, warm, isolated showers in western counties, lows 7 to 12 C and highs 17 to 22 C.

SUNDAY increasing cloud, a few outbreaks of light to moderate rain, lows near 10 C and highs near 20 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY cooler with frequent showers and some isolated thunderstorms, lows 9 to 11 C and highs 15 to 17 C.

WEDNESDAY will also be unsettled but with more isolated rainfall, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

It will gradually turn a bit warmer again by late next week and could eventually return to low 20s at some point around weekend of 18 to 19 May.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny and eventually quite warm with a high near 16 C.

Saturday, 11 May 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average 1 to 3 deg above normal values. It will be generally dry until Sunday, and by next Monday (13th) into Tuesday (14th) heavier rain could develop especially across parts of the south. Low cloud, sea fog, and cooler coastline temperatures will be a factor, but it will feel like summer in many parts of the country until the wetter interval develops.

FORECASTS

TODAY sunny intervals, warm, isolated showers in western counties, and highs 17 to 22 C.

TONIGHT overcast with occasional light rain in south and west, foggy near coasts, lows 9 to 13 C.

SUNDAY increasing cloud, a few outbreaks of light to moderate rain, but also a few brighter spells and highs 17 to 20 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY cooler with frequent showers and some isolated thunderstorms, lows 9 to 11 C and highs 15 to 19 C.

WEDNESDAY will also be unsettled but with more isolated rainfall, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

It will gradually turn a bit warmer again by late next week and could eventually return to low 20s at some point around weekend of 18 to 19 May. The following week looks relatively warm but increasingly unsettled.

My local weather on Friday was sunny and very warm, with a high of about 29 C. We saw a modified version of the grand auroral display that was reported in Ireland and Britain, sky generally covered with rays and sheets but without as much colour as reported further east. I will give it another look after posting this. (later look was considerably improved, just about similar to earlier reports but I didn't see any purple or bright pink colours, just green and red rays, but very good structure developed around midnight, would say almost equal to 1989).

Monday, 13 May 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 deg above normal values. Rainfalls will be close to average but could be heavier in a few parts of the south. Low cloud, sea fog, and cooler coastline temperatures will continue to be a factor, but there will also be a few brighter intervals. A more settled but partly cloudy to overcast interval will develop later in the week.

FORECASTS

TODAY outbreaks of heavy rain in south, up to 30 mm possible around Cork, rain spreading north but becoming showery and amounts of only 5 to 10 mm expected, a few brighter intervals following in the afternoon across parts of south; highs 16 to 19 C.

TONIGHT overcast with occasional rain redeveloping after midnight in south, occasional showers further north, foggy in places especially inland central and north, and near coasts, lows 10 to 13 C.

TUESDAY cooler with frequent showers and some isolated thunderstorms, highs 15 to 18 C (could be only 13-14 C south). Winds easterly 30-50 km/hr.

WEDNESDAY will also be unsettled but with more isolated showery rainfall, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C except closer to 15 C east coast. Light northeast winds likely.

THURSDAY variable cloud, a few showers by afternoon, winds east to northeast 30-50 km/hr. Lows near 7 C and highs about 14 to 16 C east, 16 to 18 west.

FRIDAY into WEEKEND cloudy with a few breaks, isolated showers, rather warm (17-20 C) especially away from east coast where an onshore flow could keep readings closer to 14-15 C.

Little change is foreseen in this easterly flow of mild but not remarkably warm air, nights will be mild (7 to 11 C) and this will be the main reason for a positive temperature anomaly as highs will be generally below 20 C. Although long-range forecasts are generally dry after today's downpours and Tuesday's scattered showers, it would not take large changes to produce brief heavy rainfalls in this sort of pattern, and would not expect very good accuracy on timing these however, as weak energy could be enough to trigger locally heavy showers at any point. It won't be cloudy all the time but there probably won't be as much sunshine as was enjoyed on Friday and Saturday.

My local weather on Sunday was again sunny and very warm, highs near 27 C. Cloud from a weak cold front spread in after 5 p.m. but so far rain is evaporating before reaching ground (virga) around the region. Expecting a bit cooler on Monday (around 21 C) with a few showers possible.

Wednesday, 15 May 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 deg above normal values. Further rainfalls will be about one-third of average but could be heavier in a few parts of the south. Low cloud, sea fog, and cooler coastline temperatures will continue to be a factor, but there will also be a few brighter intervals. A more settled but partly cloudy to overcast interval will develop later in the week lasting to about Tuesday 21st.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be unsettled but with more isolated showery rainfall and chance of a thunderstorm inland west, highs near 17 C except closer to 15 C east coast. Light northeast winds likely.

TONIGHT overcast to partly cloudy, occasional rain or drizzle, lows 7 to 9 C.

THURSDAY variable cloud, a few showers by afternoon, winds east to northeast 30-50 km/hr. Lows near 7 C and highs about 14 to 16 C east, 16 to 18 west.

FRIDAY little change, variable cloud and a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

WEEKEND partly cloudy with a few sunny breaks, perhaps more frequent by Sunday, as isolated showers become quite infrequent, rather warm (17-20 C) especially away from east coast where an onshore flow of east-northeast breezes 30-50 km/hr could keep readings closer to 14-15 C. Monday and Tuesday could prolong this dry interval and produce better sunshine totals too; highs near 20 C away from cooler coasts.

It will likely turn more unsettled later next week but details are not very reliable in this blocked pattern. There are indications that the low pressure currently off to the southeast could redevelop after weakening during the dry interval indicated, so a reload of current conditions is quite possible.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with a few clouds and the high was a pleasant 24 C. Trees are now fully in leaf at our elevation (this happened weeks ago lower down), however, there is still snow on the ground in forested areas between here and alpine areas northwest of town, which is an odd contrast to spring vegetation already leafing out there as well.

Friday, 17 May 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average near to 1.0 deg above normal values. Further rainfalls will be about one-third of average but could be heavier in a few parts of the south. Low cloud, sea fog, and cooler coastline temperatures will continue to be a factor, but there will also be a few brighter intervals. A briefly more settled but partly cloudy to overcast interval will develop later today lasting to about Tuesday 21st (although western counties could see a return to unsettled weather by Monday afternoon).

FORECASTS

TODAY cloudy with a few afternoon sunny breaks, showers ending across south, winds north to northeast 40 to 60 km/hr, and highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT partly cloudy, a bit cooler with lows 5 to 8 C.

SATURDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers, highs near 19 C (cooler in a few coastal areas).

SUNDAY sunny wit cloudy intervals, warm, lows near 6 C and highs near 20 C (cooler near coasts).

MONDAY increasing cloud, showers by afternoon in western counties, lows near 8 C and highs near 19 C.

TUESDAY variable cloud, a few showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

Later next week, a few drier days likely but the end of the month appears quite unsettled with potential for heavy rainfalls.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast with afternoon rain (about 5 ) and highs around 19 C. Cool and unsettled here for several days as we approach a "long weekend."

Sunday, 19 May 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average near to 1.0 deg above normal values. Rainfalls will range from isolated to widespread on various days, but most locations will see less than two-thirds of average totals. Low cloud, sea fog, and cooler coastline temperatures will be a factor, but there will also be brighter intervals.

FORECASTS

SUNDAY sunny with cloudy intervals, warm, and highs near 20 C (cooler near coasts). Isolated showers could include one or two locally heavy thunderstorms in southeast.

TONIGHT partly cloudy, fog patches, lows 7to 10 C.

MONDAY increasing cloud, showers by afternoon in western counties, and highs near 19 C.

TUESDAY variable cloud, a few showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will see cloudy skies and occasional rain, possibly heavy by late Wednesday into early Thursday, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

FRIDAY the rain will be confined to south and there could be sunny intervals at times further north, highs 15 to 19 C.

Further outbreaks of rain, heavy at times, towards weekend of 25-26 and into last week of month.

My local weather on Saturday was unseasonably cool with a cold rain occasionally mixing with soft hail. Temperatures were between 5 and 10 C depending on intensity of the wintry-looking precip. Bears are out of hibernation but could be regretting that. This is about as cold as it can be around here this late into spring. Snow was falling in nearby alpine areas.

Tuesday, 21 May 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average near to 1.0 deg above normal values. Rainfalls will range from isolated to widespread on various days, but most locations will see less than two-thirds of average totals. Low cloud, sea fog, and cooler coastline temperatures will be a factor, but there will also be brighter intervals.

FORECASTS

TODAY variable cloud, a few showers, heavy by afternoon in parts of inland south, east; highs near 17 C.

TONIGHT partly cloudy to overcast, occasional rain, lows 8 to 11 C.

WEDNESDAY a few outbreaks of rain heavier in east and north, and highs 15 to 17 C.

THURSDAY will see cloudy skies at first and occasional rain, possibly heavy from early overnight into Thursday morning, but gradual clearing by later morning into afternoon, lows near 10 C and highs near 21 C where sunny, 17 C if it stays cloudy in parts of Ulster and north Leinster.

FRIDAY outlook uncertain, some guidance suggests a dry day with some sun, otherwise some rain will be confined to south and west, lows near 7 C and highs at least 17 to 21 C but possibly warmer if more sun. (split in potential guidance unchanged so far)

SATURDAY will be cloudy with rain for part of the day, partial clearing by afternoon in south and west, lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with any further showers isolated, lows near 8 C and highs near 19 C.

Variable conditions into last week of month, dry days could return for a short spell but eventually a rather wet pattern will develop near first weekend of June.

My local weather on Monday was partly cloudy with showers around, and highs near 17 C.

Thursday, 23 May, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average near normal values. Rainfalls will range from isolated to widespread on various days, and eventually most locations will see near average totals as rain will tend to be heavier next week. It will be rather cloudy, but there will also be brighter intervals.

FORECASTS

TODAY will see cloudy skies at first and occasional rain in northeast, possibly heavy in east Ulster (Carlisle in n.w. England received 85 mm in past 24 hours, but just 10-20 mm is more likely in Anrtim and Down, 2 to 5 in rest of Ulster and a few parts of n Leinster). Rain is generally moving north into western Scotland, and for most of Ireland, gradual clearing will develop by later morning into afternoon, highs 15 to 17 C, but potential for 19 to 21 C inland where sunny, noting it will likely stay cloudy in parts of Ulster and north Leinster even after rain ends.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with a few clear intervals, lows 6 to 9 C.

FRIDAY generally dry, light winds, highs dependent on any sunshine, with rather cloudy skies likely, but a few breaks possible, highs 13 to 18 C.

SATURDAY will be cloudy with rain for part of the day, partial clearing by afternoon in south and west, lows near 10 C and highs 14 to 18 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, lows near 8 C and highs 16 to 19 C.

Variable and often unsettled conditions will continue into last week of month, dry intervals could be part of the picture too, as frontal systems pass at regular intervals; rain could be rather heavy by Tuesday into Wednesday and again into the first weekend of June.

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with a little rain but generally dry, near 15 C.

Saturday, 25 May, 2024 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average near normal values, rather cool at first, then somewhat warmer later. Rainfalls will add up to near average totals to about 25% above average, as rain will tend to be heavier next week. It will be rather cloudy, but there will also be brighter intervals.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with 10 to 25 mm rain expected for first part of the day in west, and while partly sunny at first, rain will arrive towards early afternoon in the east and north. Some partial clearing could develop by later afternoon or evening in south and west, lows near 10 C and highs 14 to 18 C.

TONIGHT a few more showers but also dry intervals, lows near 10 C.SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, lows near 8 C and highs 16 to 19 C.

MONDAY partly cloudy to overcast, showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.

TUESDAY overcast with occasional rain, humid, lows near 12 C and highs near 19 C. Rain heavy at times in parts of west and central counties (potential for 15-25 mm).

WEDNESDAY showers will gradually clear as winds veer towards west-northwest after passage of a cold front, temperatures steady in range of 14 to 17 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY partly cloudy, warmer, isolated showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 21 C. Variable conditions will continue with occasional showery intervals but overall it looks a bit drier for early June as high pressure will build up just to the west. This does pose a risk of an interval of cooler northerly flow but that often ends up being more of an issue for eastern England and the North Sea region closer to the time.

Summer outlook, not particularly confident about trends but thinking it will be a bit of a mixed bag of cool spells and brief hotter intervals, with quite variable rainfalls, not settling into established trends but variable from week to week and perhaps even place to place to some extent. Reason for this is basically a generally weak steering flow environment, warmer than average sea surface temperatures likely to leave a mark in terms of cloudy skies a bit more frequently than optimal, but overall, a mixed bag with a bit of everything. I do see some potential for one severe heat wave developing and in the prime portion of summer (late July into early August, whether it fully extends into Ireland or stays off to east and southeast being the question, but some parts of Europe will almost certainly have some severe heat waves.It rather looks similar in N America also, trends are not very distinct other than a persistent tendency to severe storm development where it usually happens at this time of year, central states, but quite amplified in 2024. My local weather on Friday was overcast with a few raindrops from time to time. Cloud bases were very low, in our rolling terrain there are places where you can actually look down on cumulus clouds rolling through valleys, and that was the case up the road from here earlier. It was a bit warmer at 19 C.

Monday, 27 May, 2024 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: Temperatures will average about 1 deg below normal, and rainfall about average for a week at this time of year. Sunshine will be about 75% of normal but will improve towards next weekend.

FORECASTS:

TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, with a few showers and moderate southwest breezes 30-50 km/hr, highs near 16 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with rain developing, lows near 12 C.

TUESDAY will be mostly cloudy with some outbreaks of heavy rain followed by partial clearing, lows near 12 C, and highs near 18 C.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy and a little cooler, a few brief showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

THURSDAY partly cloudy, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.

FRIDAY variable cloud, lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK for next weekend, sunny intervals and highs 17 to 19 C, some coastal areas would see moderate northeast winds on Saturday. This settled interval could last to around Tuesday 2nd of June with indications of a cool northerly flow to follow.

My local weather on Sunday was cloudy with occasional drizzle, but generally dry, with a high of about 15 C.

Wednesday, 29 May, 2024 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: After some light rain today into Thursday morning, a prolonged dry spell is likely, with generous amounts of sunshine developing, and temperatures slowly increasing to 2-3 deg above normal.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with some outbreaks of light rain spreading east, cool with highs 14 to 17 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with rain at times in north, lows 5 to 8 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with showers ending, more frequent sunny spells by afternoon, highs 15 to 18 C.

FRIDAY will be mostly sunny with lows near 5 C and highs near 19 C.

SATURDAY and SUNDAY will continue sunny with occasional patchy high cloud, chilly at night but warm during days, lows 4 to 7 C and highs 18 to 21 C.

Next week could turn even warmer and nights will not be quite as cool either, but in light and variable, mostly easterly breezes, some coastal areas notably in Leinster could remain a bit cooler; otherwise highs could be into 22-25 C range. Any northerly flow ending this spell is now indicated to be confined to regions from North Sea eastward at times next week, and more generally over Ireland not until around weekend of 8-9 June or into following week.

My local weather on Tuesday was mostly cloudy but dry and warm, apart from one very brief shower, and a high near 23 C.

Friday, 31 May, 2024 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS: A dry spell is likely across south and central counties, lasting most of the interval, but some rain will fall around Tuesday in the north, with 10-15 mm possible there. At first, generous amounts of sunshine will appear, with an increase in cloud during the week, but continued partly cloudy intervals in the south combined with a good start should result in at least 50% above average sunshine, trending to near average in north. Temperatures will remain near average for most of the interval into next week but it could be rather chilly in some northern counties due to cloud holding down daytime readings. The best weather overall will be near the south coast and latest indications tend to downplay any coastal cooling from either sea breezes or coastal cloud or fog.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly sunny with highs near 19 C, light winds could be variable in direction but generally northwesterly.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to clear and calm, lows 4 to 7 C. Some cloud at times in north.

SATURDAY and SUNDAY will continue sunny with occasional patchy high cloud, chilly at night but warm during days, lows 4 to 7 C and highs 18 to 21 C. Some cloud may drift into northern counties at times, with patchy coastal drizzle but little of this will reach the rest of the country. It may reduce temperatures to 15-17 C in a few areas of the north.

The latest guidance for next week continues to hold temperatures around 19 or 20 C south, and 15 to 17 C north. A weak northwesterly flow will likely move into some northern counties around Tuesday to Thursday which is when any rain in that region is most likely, further south it will remain mostly dry and partly cloudy in most central and southern counties.

A relatively dry and pleasant pattern is now being indicated for weekend June 8-9 also, persisting into following week before any resumption of more disturbed frontal weather systems; highs of 20 to 23 C will be possible.

My local weather on Thursday was partly cloudy to overcast and cool with passing showers and highs of only 14 C.

Sunday, 2 June, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Rather dry across the south, but near average rainfall (Tuesday to Thursday will bring most of it) across the north; about half of average in central counties (same timing). Temperatures will fall 2 to 3 deg below normal by Tuesday and will only recover slowly by about a week from today. Sunshine will become less frequent and it will be quite cloudy in northern counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with increasing cloud from north into central counties by afternoon. Some spotty drizzle could accompany cloud near northwest coasts. Highs will range from 19 or 20 C in south to 17 C central and 14 C north.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast, lows 7 to 10 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with a few sunny breaks in southern and central counties, with drizzle possible in parts of the north, highs 14 to 17 C.

TUESDAY will become breezy (west-northwest 50-70 km/hr), cool with showers or intervals of rain. These will bring 10-15 mm of rain to north, about 5 mm in central counties, but only trace amounts to 2 mm in south. Highs 13 to 16 C, coolest in Ulster.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast and cool, with a few outbreaks of light rain, lows 7 to 10 C, highs 13 to 16 C.

THURSDAY will continue cloudy with a few showers and cool, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY and SATURDAY will continue partly cloudy and cool in a northerly breeze, lows 5 to 7 C and highs 13 to 16 C. It could be a touch warmer in parts of the south.

By SUNDAY of next weekend, a sunny and warmer interval will develop, and could persist for about three days, but eventually a cool and unsettled regime will replace that.

My local weather on Saturday was cloudy with occasional light rain and a high of about 15 C.