Cold: Snow/Ice - Sat 17th March Onward - READ MOD NOTE POST #1

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/976034849139187713

Not sure where to post this;




Dear Friends,



The Irish Meteorological Society is pleased to announce an exciting Conference on the theme of hurricanes and windstorms that affect Ireland. The Conference will take place in the RDS (Hall 7, Concert Hall) on Friday, 13th of April from 18.00 to 20.30.



With Hurricane Ophelia still fresh in the mind, and with the recent experience of Storm Emma, it is clear to us all that severe weather events such as windstorms can have a huge impact on our lives. The ability to forecast such events and to have some indications of future trends in frequency and intensity, is vital. The success of Met Éireann in forecasting the events over the last year gives confidence that Ireland is on the right track to achieve that goal.



Under the title "The Wind that Shakes the Island", the Conference will focus on the challenges of forecasting significant events (with Hurricane Ophelia as the prime example}. It will feature speakers such as Evelyn Cusack and Liz Walsh, both key members of the Met Éireann forecast team that dealt so well with the major events. International cooperation is a vital feature of meteorological forecasting and this will be represented in the Conference by our guest speaker, Dr. Mike Brennan of the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami. A research element will be included in the final programme.



The Conference will be held in cooperation with Met Éireann and with the kind assistance of the RDS.



To register for what promises to be a very exciting and attractive event, please visit the RDS website at:



Click Here



and fill in your details.









IMS Committee

So what about all this talk of snow over Easter then?

https://twitter.com/DonegalWeatherC/status/976108281545535490

Cold hanging on for one last night, Mullingar at 0200h was -3, Moorepark and Oak Park both -2.

SweetCaliber wrote: »

Based on your expert opinions, can anyone tell if there is a high chance to flight disrupting snow forecast for next weekend (end of march), supposed to be heading to Manchester for a game and just hoping it doesn't become affected.

People may have good abilities to read charts here, but we're not magicians and fortune tellers!

jArgHA wrote: »

Can someone tell me is the speed of the thaw at this time of the year mainly down to the ground/soil temperatures, or is there a bit more to it relating to the power of the sun. I noted someone posted a few days back how 3 degrees celsius in March is very different to 3 degrees celsius in January and wondered what was mean by this.

Presumably as we are closer to the sun now than 2 months ago, so the power of solar radiation is increased and contributes to the speed of the thaw?

The sun's rays are about 10% stronger now than at the start of the month, plus daylight is almost an hour longer. The sun's shortwave radiation is absorbed by the ground, surfaces, etc., and gets to heating these rapidly. That's why the thaw is much faster this time round, regardless of air temperature. Of course the warming mechanism above then causes these surfaces to heat the air, so we also see air temperature respond that much quicker now than 3 weeks ago. Just look at yesterday's morning heating of a good 10-15 degrees on a few hours.