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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2020 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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    #962
    bazlers
    Registered Users Posts: 694 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Just a thought but i wonder should we create a thread for this potential cold spell. Are we ruining this FI thread?
    Or would that jinx the whole bloody thing?


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    #963
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    bazlers wrote: »
    Just a thought but i wonder should we create a thread for this potential cold spell. Are we ruining this FI thread?
    Or would that jinx the whole bloody thing?

    I'd hold fire on that for just a bit longer...


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    #964
    bazlers
    Registered Users Posts: 694 ✭✭✭bazlers


    BLIZZARD7 wrote: »
    I'd hold fire on that for just a bit longer...

    Cool


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    #965
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,738 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    bazlers wrote: »
    Just a thought but i wonder should we create a thread for this potential cold spell. Are we ruining this FI thread?
    Or would that jinx the whole bloody thing?

    we're not even close to locking in this cold spell just yet or how it may unfold for us directly. This is all still very much FI stuff at 8 to 14 days away.


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    #966
    Humberto Salazar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 624 ✭✭✭Humberto Salazar


    bazlers wrote: »
    Just a thought but i wonder should we create a thread for this potential cold spell. Are we ruining this FI thread?
    Or would that jinx the whole bloody thing?

    Too early. Towards the weekend it will be pretty much nailed on at T120. Or not.


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    #967
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    Mount Vesuvius wrote: »
    Yep I'd be happy with a brief cold onslaught too. A good dumping be very welcome.

    Aye especially for those of us who didn’t get a chance the last time.


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    #968
    bazlers
    Registered Users Posts: 694 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Humberto Salazar wrote: »
    Too early. Towards the weekend it will be pretty much nailed on at T120. Or not.

    I understand that but we are going to end up with about 15-20 pages of poo on this thread until we get to that reliable time frame to where its yea or nay.

    I thought a thread with potential plastered all over it would prevent that and just discard the whole lot if it fails.

    Just a thought, all good.


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    #969
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    ECM 12z looking tasty from day 7 on -

    +192hrs -

    ECH1-192.GIF?11-0


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    #970
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,660 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    C0B2E84D-DEAA-4851-BA83-31A23596FFDF.png.e2fc508310430b3e064b1b1383198d6e.png


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    #971
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,987 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    don't want to jinx the rest of the run but the ECM looks excellent. the GFS is still stuck at T180! at this point I hope it stays stuck since it sounds worse than the other models ;)


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    #972
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,660 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    bazlers wrote: »


    I understand that but we are going to end up with about 15-20 pages of poo on this thread until we get to that reliable time frame to where its yea or nay.

    I thought a thread with potential plastered all over it would prevent that and just discard the whole lot if it fails.

    Just a thought, all good.

    It will get peoples hope up if you have a thread now. Someone will post a thread at the appropriate time if this is going to happen.


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    #973
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,660 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Artane2002 wrote: »
    don't want to jinx the rest of the run but the ECM looks excellent. the GFS is still stuck at T180! at this point I hope it stays stuck since it sounds worse than the other models ;)

    Yes the ECM has pulled it out of the fire. Lets hope the mean backs it.


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    #974
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    Goodnight Atlantic-

    ECH1-216.GIF?11-0


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    #975
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,660 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    E91AD371-3E54-4797-BCE6-A3BA96260FB5.png.5e4be19d1f63845a7252816cffad3c36.png

    Even better. The pesky bit of Vortex over Eastern Canada is shredded. Surely that gives us a better chance of the high not toppling. Too bad this isn't a t48 chart!


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    #976
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,987 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    BLIZZARD7 wrote: »
    Goodnight Atlantic-

    I'd do anything for that to come off! I have a feeling that it's an outlier though since the ECM ensembles have been trending the wrong direction for about 3 runs in a row.


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    #977
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,660 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Artane2002 wrote: »
    I'd do anything for that to come off! I have a feeling that it's an outlier though since the ECM ensembles have been trending the wrong direction for about 3 runs in a row.

    Yes. it's my fear too. The odd of a clean evolution like that are unlikely. Nine times out of a 10 a pesky shortwaves will act as a spoiler to flatten the high.


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    #978
    bazlers
    Registered Users Posts: 694 ✭✭✭bazlers


    nacho libre wrote: »
    It will get peoples hope up if you have a thread now. Someone will post a thread at the appropriate time if this is going to happen.

    100% let the games begin.


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    #979
    SeaBreezes
    Registered Users Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    bazlers wrote: »
    100% let the games begin.

    May the odds be ever in our favour :)


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    #980
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    Artane2002 wrote: »
    I'd do anything for that to come off! I have a feeling that it's an outlier though since the ECM ensembles have been trending the wrong direction for about 3 runs in a row.

    Perhaps, maybe the higher res of the op run has figured this out before the ensembles though, it wouldn't be the first time.
    Decent consistency with the 00z run anyway.


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    #981
    bazlers
    Registered Users Posts: 694 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Looks fantansic. Seem to do even better than the uk ; )


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    #982
    Arduach
    Closed Accounts Posts: 618 ✭✭✭Arduach


    I'm here singing 'The ECM' to Motorhead 'The Ace of Spades' :D


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    #983
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 5,979 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Finally we get a proper Greenland high with the ECM. A lovely run


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    #984
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    The ECM 192 would be very wintry for our Limavady correspondent
    Source air artic Scandinavia/siberian with a long fetch of water west way north of the shetlands then south to the north coast
    Its a long track but a cold one,it would fetch many showers


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    #985
    cold.stream
    Registered Users Posts: 22 ✭cold.stream


    Far too early but the ECM also shows a countrywide snow event on the 18th (Mon). With uppers of -5/-6 and decent thicknesses it would be borderline but nice to see nonetheless. Will be containing my excitement until Friday at the earliest though.


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    #986
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,660 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    image.png.bd633d4de45494bb691d541becc6fa4d.png


    Nice to look at. Decent snow showers on that. None of this warm sector or marginality crap to contend with


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    #987
    bazlers
    Registered Users Posts: 694 ✭✭✭bazlers


    nacho libre wrote: »
    image.png.bd633d4de45494bb691d541becc6fa4d.png


    Nice to look at. Decent snow showers on that. None of this warm sector or marginality crap to contend with

    Beautiful to see. If we created a new thread this would be rain : ) rollercoaster climbing again fasten the seat belts.
    Dont forget the kleenex for the way down though..


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    #988
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    nacho libre wrote: »
    image.png.bd633d4de45494bb691d541becc6fa4d.png


    Nice to look at. Decent snow showers on that. None of this warm sector or marginality crap to contend with
    Oh I am sure one would spring up.


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    #989
    esposito
    Registered Users Posts: 1,345 ✭✭✭esposito


    nacho libre wrote: »
    image.png.bd633d4de45494bb691d541becc6fa4d.png


    Nice to look at. Decent snow showers on that. None of this warm sector or marginality crap to contend with

    And it’s not at day 10 for once! I know a lot of people would settle for a 2-3 day intense cold snap with decent snow but I’m not settling for that. I want a prolonged spell of at least a week. If the Greenland high is robust enough this could actually happen.


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    #990
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,660 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    It would be great if the GFS pub run backed the ECM. It's still no guarantee of course that this will happen.


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    #991
    bazlers
    Registered Users Posts: 694 ✭✭✭bazlers


    All looking good so far. Great entertainment. Beats eastenders! Now thats saying something..


This discussion has been closed.
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